#estimating — Public Fediverse posts

Spotted in my Calishat Snaps: a number-based daily guessing game called Estimania. From the Hacker News Announcement: “Estimania is a daily game where you get 5 numerical questions and are scored based on how close your guesses are to the actual number. There’s also a leaderboard and groups, so you can compare your judgment with other players and friends.”

Spotted in my Calishat Snaps: a number-based daily guessing game called Estimania. From the Hacker News Announcement: “Estimania is a daily game where you get 5 numerical questions and are scored based on how close your guesses are to the actual number. There’s also a leaderboard and groups, so you can compare your judgment with other players and friends.”

4/

I've been thinking about #uncertainty from risk POV, & Doug Hubbard's concepts of calibrated estimators. My team does weekly calibrations for #estimating uncertainty. Listening to Choi-Greene talk about AI's certainty - confidently wrong, sometimes - I couldn't help but think that having calibrated, specific uncertainty on events, plans, projects, #technology would become MORE valuable in the future.

@bsidesseattle #BSidesSeattle #BSidesSEA #2026 #cybersecurity #infosec #cyber #security

4/

I've been thinking about #uncertainty from risk POV, & Doug Hubbard's concepts of calibrated estimators. My team does weekly calibrations for #estimating uncertainty. Listening to Choi-Greene talk about AI's certainty - confidently wrong, sometimes - I couldn't help but think that having calibrated, specific uncertainty on events, plans, projects, #technology would become MORE valuable in the future.

@bsidesseattle #BSidesSeattle #BSidesSEA #2026 #cybersecurity #infosec #cyber #security

Wednesday Links - Edition 2026-02-25
https://dev.to/0xkkocel/wednesday-links-edition-2026-02-25-1lp0
#java #jvm #gc #heap #double #jdk #pid #estimating

Estimating the Perceived 'Claustrophobia' of New York City's Streets

http://mfranchi.net/posts/claustrophobic-streets/

#HackerNews #Estimating #Claustrophobia #NYC #Streets #UrbanDesign #CityLife #PublicSpaces

Estimating the Perceived 'Claustrophobia' of New York City's Streets

http://mfranchi.net/posts/claustrophobic-streets/

#HackerNews #Estimating #Claustrophobia #NYC #Streets #UrbanDesign #CityLife #PublicSpaces

In carpentry you measure twice and cut once. In software development you never measure and make cuts until you run out of time.

— Adam Morse

#estimating #planning #programming

In carpentry you measure twice and cut once. In software development you never measure and make cuts until you run out of time.

— Adam Morse

#estimating #planning #programming

The sooner you start to code, the longer the program will take.

— Roy Carlson

#estimating #programming

The sooner you start to code, the longer the program will take.

— Roy Carlson

#estimating #programming

Measuring programming progress by lines of code is like measuring aircraft building progress by weight.

— Bill Gates

#estimating

Measuring programming progress by lines of code is like measuring aircraft building progress by weight.

— Bill Gates

#estimating

Calvin Liang: The Fed says this is a cube of $1M. They’re off by half a million.. “I first tried counting the stacks right there in the room. The cube was tall, so I had to step back to see the whole thing, squinting at the stacks, trying to follow each row. I lost track almost immediately. Also, people were starting to look at me funny. Apparently, staring intensely at a pile of cash while […]

https://rbfirehose.com/2025/07/14/calvin-liang-the-fed-says-this-is-a-cube-of-1m-theyre-off-by-half-a-million/

Estimating Logarithms

https://obrhubr.org/logarithm-estimation

#HackerNews #Estimating #Logarithms #Estimation #Math #HackerNews #Learning

Estimating Logarithms

https://obrhubr.org/logarithm-estimation

#HackerNews #Estimating #Logarithms #Estimation #Math #HackerNews #Learning

Measuring programming progress by lines of code is like measuring aircraft building progress by weight.

— Bill Gates

#estimating

Measuring programming progress by lines of code is like measuring aircraft building progress by weight.

— Bill Gates

#estimating

The sooner you start to code, the longer the program will take.

— Roy Carlson

#estimating #programming

The sooner you start to code, the longer the program will take.

— Roy Carlson

#estimating #programming

The first 90% of the code accounts for the first 90% of the development time. The remaining 10% of the code accounts for the other 90% of the development time.

— Tom Cargill

#estimating

The first 90% of the code accounts for the first 90% of the development time. The remaining 10% of the code accounts for the other 90% of the development time.

— Tom Cargill

#estimating

Estimate always goes wrong. That too in one way.

— Sumit Agrawal

#estimating

Estimate always goes wrong. That too in one way.

— Sumit Agrawal

#estimating

Measuring programming progress by lines of code is like measuring aircraft building progress by weight.

— Bill Gates

#estimating

Measuring programming progress by lines of code is like measuring aircraft building progress by weight.

— Bill Gates

#estimating

The first 90% of the code accounts for the first 90% of the development time. The remaining 10% of the code accounts for the other 90% of the development time.

— Tom Cargill

#estimating

The first 90% of the code accounts for the first 90% of the development time. The remaining 10% of the code accounts for the other 90% of the development time.

— Tom Cargill

#estimating

The first step of any project is to grossly underestimate its complexity and difficulty.

— Nicoll Hunt

#estimating #management #planning

The first step of any project is to grossly underestimate its complexity and difficulty.

— Nicoll Hunt

#estimating #management #planning

After you finish the first 90% of a project, you have to finish the other 90%.

— Michael Abrash

#estimating

After you finish the first 90% of a project, you have to finish the other 90%.

— Michael Abrash

#estimating

Editing this latest batch of screenlogs is a chore (just about halfway through December, now). I worked a lot of longer days, so there's a lot of footage. Also, when I'm doing a lot of rendering, there's more task-switching, so more edits to make to summarize it.

But these will among the most valuable ones for estimating my maximum real output.

I'm hoping to get a useful number for estimating production time on episode two, then follow through with that and see if I can't actually get it done in the predicted time.

It'd be a real confidence builder if I could. #LunaticsProject #Management #Screenlogging #Estimating

Editing this latest batch of screenlogs is a chore (just about halfway through December, now). I worked a lot of longer days, so there's a lot of footage. Also, when I'm doing a lot of rendering, there's more task-switching, so more edits to make to summarize it.

But these will among the most valuable ones for estimating my maximum real output.

I'm hoping to get a useful number for estimating production time on episode two, then follow through with that and see if I can't actually get it done in the predicted time.

It'd be a real confidence builder if I could. #LunaticsProject #Management #Screenlogging #Estimating

Wednesday Links - Edition 2024-12-18
https://dev.to/0xkkocel/wednesday-links-edition-2024-12-18-2iff
#java #jvm #jdk #resilience4j #docker #testcontainers #estimating

Things that are impossible just take longer.

— Ian Hickson

#estimating #planning

Things that are impossible just take longer.

— Ian Hickson

#estimating #planning

After you finish the first 90% of a project, you have to finish the other 90%.

— Michael Abrash

#estimating

After you finish the first 90% of a project, you have to finish the other 90%.

— Michael Abrash

#estimating

Later equals never.

— Le Blanc's law

#estimating

Later equals never.

— Le Blanc's law

#estimating

The first 90% of the code accounts for the first 90% of the development time. The remaining 10% of the code accounts for the other 90% of the development time.

— Tom Cargill

#estimating

The first 90% of the code accounts for the first 90% of the development time. The remaining 10% of the code accounts for the other 90% of the development time.

— Tom Cargill

#estimating

In carpentry you measure twice and cut once. In software development you never measure and make cuts until you run out of time.

— Adam Morse

#estimating #planning #programming

In carpentry you measure twice and cut once. In software development you never measure and make cuts until you run out of time.

— Adam Morse

#estimating #planning #programming

The sooner you start to code, the longer the program will take.

— Roy Carlson

#estimating #programming

The sooner you start to code, the longer the program will take.

— Roy Carlson

#estimating #programming

In carpentry you measure twice and cut once. In software development you never measure and make cuts until you run out of time.

— Adam Morse

#estimating #planning #programming

In carpentry you measure twice and cut once. In software development you never measure and make cuts until you run out of time.

— Adam Morse

#estimating #planning #programming

Features, quality, time: pick two.

— anonymous

#estimating #specification

The first step of any project is to grossly underestimate its complexity and difficulty.

— Nicoll Hunt

#estimating #management #planning

Things that are impossible just take longer.

— Ian Hickson

#estimating #planning