#wethink — Public Fediverse posts

#BTW: #WeThink #IT's #OnlyRightAndProper that we #GlossOver #SimonPegg's #Imposturising of #JamesDoohan...

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#Quote: "#YouBummer"

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MRP OPINION POLLING ANALYSIS

There have been multiple constituency opinion polls this election and multiple MRP polls. To try to tell which MRP's are more accurate, I've compared the constituency opinion poll results with the equivalent MRP seat projections, and the results are very interesting.

Thread below, but the TLDR version is that the #Ipsos and #WeThink MRPs seem to be the closest match to the constituency polling we've seen.

#ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #MRP #GE2024

MRP OPINION POLL

Headline Westminster seats projection from MRP poll by @Omnisis (#Wethink):

🔴 Labour: 465 (+263)
🔵 Conservatives: 76 (-289)
🟠 Liberal Democrats: 52 (+41)
🟡 SNP: 29 (-19)
⚪ Reform UK: 3 (+3)
🌻 Plaid Cymru: 3 (-1)
🟢 Green Party: 3 (+2)

Conducted 30 May - 21 June 2024. Changes with 2019 GE result.

Details, including map and analysis: https://wethink.report/news-hub/news/we-think-mrp-historical-low-for-the-conservatives/

#ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #SNP #ReformUK #PlaidCymru #MRP #GE2024

CONSTITUENCY OPINION POLL

Gillingam & Rainham constituency opinion poll by @Omnisis (#WeThink):

🔴 Labour: 55% (+27)
🔵 Conservatives: 23% (-39)
⚪ Reform UK: 15% (new)
🟠 Liberal Democrats: 5% (=)
🟢 Green Party: 2% (=)

Conducted 5-16 June 2024. Changes with notional 2019 general election result.

#ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #ReformUK #GE2024 #Gillingham #Medway #Kent