#climateprojections — Public Fediverse posts
Live and recent posts from across the Fediverse tagged #climateprojections, aggregated by home.social.
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@UniversidadxClima
Thanks for sharing the research & info for Spain! 🙏🏻 Including: “Projections for the next 50 years suggest that Southern Europe, including Spain, will experience a combination of rising temperatures, increased drought frequency, and aging infrastructure.” 😐Re infrastructure, could say “aging & inappropriate infrastructure - certainly for my country, Australia, where for instance, our storm water drains are often overwhelmed because they were not built to carry the volumes of water we now experience as rain becomes torrential & all the hard built surfaces (pavement, concrete, brick) increase the runoff & overwhelm the existing infrastructure which often has a huge maintenance backlog already. Nothing like torrential rain to test a water removal system built when Queen Victoria was a girl! [metaphor for old & antiquated]
#Spain #Australia #infrastructure #ClimateCatastrophe #agingInfrastructure #SouthernEurope #climateProjections #risingTemperatures #increasingDrought #torrentialRainfall
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RE: https://mastodon.nl/@Blogfeedser/116426759073016504
🌎 AMOC likely to weaken 51% (±8%) by 2100 – far more than model ensemble mean (32±37%) according to new science paper. Observational constraints + ridge regression correct South Atlantic salinity bias, bringing tipping point closer.
🔗 https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.adx4298
#AMOC #ClimateTippingPoints #Oceanography #ClimateScience #AtlanticMeridionalOverturningCirculation #ClimateProjections
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Day as opposed to month. It makes a difference.
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#AI4PEX research focus 8: Projections
AI4PEX aims to deliver improved #climateprojections of changes in the regimes of #ExtremeEvents and associated impacts from the next generation of #ESMs #ArtificialIntelligence-enhanced and grounded on #earthobservations. -
Are you wondering how #AI4PEX plans to overcome uncertainties in #ESMs and how to improve #climateprojections in the future?
Over the next weeks, we will introduce you to the main research tasks of our project, which will ultimately result in an improved #ESM.🚀 Stay tuned!
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When you are trying to work out the implications of #SeaLevelRise on populations you need to know how big and how much the population is growing...
Based on this probabilistic projection I've come to the conclusion that #demographics exist to make #climateProjections look good...
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(Full disclosure, I' leading a work package on #ClimateProjections in this project!)
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The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), a natural cycle of warm and cold phases in the tropical Pacific, is not behaving as expected under climate change. Most computer models predict that ENSO will become more intense and frequent as the planet warms, but observations show no clear trend. This discrepancy challenges scientists’ ability to project future climate impacts, such as droughts, floods and hurricanes. #ENSO #Pacific #ClimateProjections https://yaleclimateconnections.org/2023/04/a-mystery-in-the-pacific-is-complicating-climate-projections/
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Per #ChatGPT: “based on the global projections provided by NOAA, and assuming a linear increase in sea level over time, we can estimate that San Diego's sea level could rise by around 4-8 inches (10-20 cm) by 2055 under the low-emissions scenario, and by 10-20 inches (25-50 cm) under the high-emissions scenario.”
#SanDiego #ClimateProjections #california #urbandevelopment #strongtown