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  1. @dacig a summary of what I think AI will impact:
    * objective of AI: increase dollar value capture through automation of tasks replacing human work activity

    * human tasks using LANGUAGE will be hit first. Software creation is being impacted now.

    * in some time in the future, tasks that use or output language will be automated using higher level instructions (detailed design specifications, test assertions and output verification)

    * because software is eating the world, every task using software will be impacted by AI in both speed to market and breadth of scope.

    * as the AI allows more difficult problems to be described, more specialised software can be made.

    * human work that requires co-ordination b/w people (middle management, comms) will be removed and impacted as tasks reduce head count.

    * human work requiring physical activity will be (future) eaten by specifically trained humanoid robots (car makers)

    Now I caveat all of the AI replacement trajectory with cost. If replacement of work costs more than workers, this will collapse the AI market. This will delay, but not stop AI replacing humans and will be limited by the “effectiveness of Large Language Models” and cost.

    So the Oligarchy class want what I call #ZeroHourWork for the #WhiteCollar and try to replace #BlueCollar workers. The Q I ask is, is AI now Stephensons Rocket in the Age of Steam? 🚂