#easterneurope — Public Fediverse posts
Live and recent posts from across the Fediverse tagged #easterneurope, aggregated by home.social.
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KYIV POST:
Goble: Russia’s Elections Are a ‘Stress Test’ for Putin’s Regimehttps://www.kyivpost.com/interviews/84602
Russia analyst Paul Goble says the Duma elections will test Putin’s control, while the Ukraine war is exposing deeper weaknesses in his political system.
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KYIV POST:
Goble: Russia’s Elections Are a ‘Stress Test’ for Putin’s Regimehttps://www.kyivpost.com/interviews/84602
Russia analyst Paul Goble says the Duma elections will test Putin’s control, while the Ukraine war is exposing deeper weaknesses in his political system.
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KYIV POST:
Goble: Russia’s Elections Are a ‘Stress Test’ for Putin’s Regimehttps://www.kyivpost.com/interviews/84602
Russia analyst Paul Goble says the Duma elections will test Putin’s control, while the Ukraine war is exposing deeper weaknesses in his political system.
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KYIV POST:
Goble: Russia’s Elections Are a ‘Stress Test’ for Putin’s Regimehttps://www.kyivpost.com/interviews/84602
Russia analyst Paul Goble says the Duma elections will test Putin’s control, while the Ukraine war is exposing deeper weaknesses in his political system.
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KYIV POST:
Goble: Russia’s Elections Are a ‘Stress Test’ for Putin’s Regimehttps://www.kyivpost.com/interviews/84602
Russia analyst Paul Goble says the Duma elections will test Putin’s control, while the Ukraine war is exposing deeper weaknesses in his political system.
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KYIV POST:
Kallas Calls for Visa Ban on Russia’s Former Combatantshttps://www.kyivpost.com/post/84601
EU foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas said Russia is deliberately testing Europe through hybrid attacks and urged stronger sanctions, intelligence cooperation and tighter restrictions on Russian networks operating inside the bloc.
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KYIV POST:
Kallas Calls for Visa Ban on Russia’s Former Combatantshttps://www.kyivpost.com/post/84601
EU foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas said Russia is deliberately testing Europe through hybrid attacks and urged stronger sanctions, intelligence cooperation and tighter restrictions on Russian networks operating inside the bloc.
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KYIV POST:
Kallas Calls for Visa Ban on Russia’s Former Combatantshttps://www.kyivpost.com/post/84601
EU foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas said Russia is deliberately testing Europe through hybrid attacks and urged stronger sanctions, intelligence cooperation and tighter restrictions on Russian networks operating inside the bloc.
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KYIV POST:
Kallas Calls for Visa Ban on Russia’s Former Combatantshttps://www.kyivpost.com/post/84601
EU foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas said Russia is deliberately testing Europe through hybrid attacks and urged stronger sanctions, intelligence cooperation and tighter restrictions on Russian networks operating inside the bloc.
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KYIV POST:
Kallas Calls for Visa Ban on Russia’s Former Combatantshttps://www.kyivpost.com/post/84601
EU foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas said Russia is deliberately testing Europe through hybrid attacks and urged stronger sanctions, intelligence cooperation and tighter restrictions on Russian networks operating inside the bloc.
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KYIV POST:
Kremlin Calls Trump’s Energy Truce ‘Good Idea’https://www.kyivpost.com/post/84568
Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov described Trump’s proposed energy truce as a “very good idea” on Tuesday. He said the pause could ease pressure on Russia’s fuel market while alleging that Ukrainian forces attempted to strike a Russian energy facility after Trump’s announcement, despite neither side confirming that a formal agreement has been reached.
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KYIV POST:
Kremlin Calls Trump’s Energy Truce ‘Good Idea’https://www.kyivpost.com/post/84568
Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov described Trump’s proposed energy truce as a “very good idea” on Tuesday. He said the pause could ease pressure on Russia’s fuel market while alleging that Ukrainian forces attempted to strike a Russian energy facility after Trump’s announcement, despite neither side confirming that a formal agreement has been reached.
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KYIV POST:
Kremlin Calls Trump’s Energy Truce ‘Good Idea’https://www.kyivpost.com/post/84568
Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov described Trump’s proposed energy truce as a “very good idea” on Tuesday. He said the pause could ease pressure on Russia’s fuel market while alleging that Ukrainian forces attempted to strike a Russian energy facility after Trump’s announcement, despite neither side confirming that a formal agreement has been reached.
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KYIV POST:
Kremlin Calls Trump’s Energy Truce ‘Good Idea’https://www.kyivpost.com/post/84568
Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov described Trump’s proposed energy truce as a “very good idea” on Tuesday. He said the pause could ease pressure on Russia’s fuel market while alleging that Ukrainian forces attempted to strike a Russian energy facility after Trump’s announcement, despite neither side confirming that a formal agreement has been reached.
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KYIV POST:
Kremlin Calls Trump’s Energy Truce ‘Good Idea’https://www.kyivpost.com/post/84568
Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov described Trump’s proposed energy truce as a “very good idea” on Tuesday. He said the pause could ease pressure on Russia’s fuel market while alleging that Ukrainian forces attempted to strike a Russian energy facility after Trump’s announcement, despite neither side confirming that a formal agreement has been reached.
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Trump Policies Speed European Campaign for Space Self-Reliance
(Bloomberg) — For the second week in a row, Paris is presenting itself as the center of the…
#Europe #EU #Bloomberg #EasternEurope #EuropeanCommission #europeanspaceagency #InternationalSpaceStation #JaredIsaacman #JosefAschbacher #nasa #PresidentDonaldTrump #spaceexploration #SpaceX
https://www.europesays.com/europe/138418/ -
KYIV POST:
Zelensky Seeks Reciprocity as US Urges Halt to Strikes on Russian Energyhttps://www.kyivpost.com/post/84519
Zelensky said Ukraine is ready to halt strikes on critical infrastructure if Russia genuinely reciprocates, as the US pushes for restraint and Congress advances tougher sanctions on Moscow.
#Ukraine #World #EasternEurope #Europe #NorthAmerica #Energy #Economy
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KYIV POST:
Zelensky Seeks Reciprocity as US Urges Halt to Strikes on Russian Energyhttps://www.kyivpost.com/post/84519
Zelensky said Ukraine is ready to halt strikes on critical infrastructure if Russia genuinely reciprocates, as the US pushes for restraint and Congress advances tougher sanctions on Moscow.
#Ukraine #World #EasternEurope #Europe #NorthAmerica #Energy #Economy
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KYIV POST:
Zelensky Seeks Reciprocity as US Urges Halt to Strikes on Russian Energyhttps://www.kyivpost.com/post/84519
Zelensky said Ukraine is ready to halt strikes on critical infrastructure if Russia genuinely reciprocates, as the US pushes for restraint and Congress advances tougher sanctions on Moscow.
#Ukraine #World #EasternEurope #Europe #NorthAmerica #Energy #Economy
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KYIV POST:
Zelensky Seeks Reciprocity as US Urges Halt to Strikes on Russian Energyhttps://www.kyivpost.com/post/84519
Zelensky said Ukraine is ready to halt strikes on critical infrastructure if Russia genuinely reciprocates, as the US pushes for restraint and Congress advances tougher sanctions on Moscow.
#Ukraine #World #EasternEurope #Europe #NorthAmerica #Energy #Economy
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KYIV POST:
Zelensky Seeks Reciprocity as US Urges Halt to Strikes on Russian Energyhttps://www.kyivpost.com/post/84519
Zelensky said Ukraine is ready to halt strikes on critical infrastructure if Russia genuinely reciprocates, as the US pushes for restraint and Congress advances tougher sanctions on Moscow.
#Ukraine #World #EasternEurope #Europe #NorthAmerica #Energy #Economy
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KYIV POST:
NATO Jets Shoot Down Drone Over Lithuaniahttps://www.kyivpost.com/post/84520
NATO fighter jets destroyed a drone over Lithuania in the latest security incident along the alliance’s eastern flank, while Poland launched preventive aviation operations during renewed Russian attacks on Ukraine.
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KYIV POST:
NATO Jets Shoot Down Drone Over Lithuaniahttps://www.kyivpost.com/post/84520
NATO fighter jets destroyed a drone over Lithuania in the latest security incident along the alliance’s eastern flank, while Poland launched preventive aviation operations during renewed Russian attacks on Ukraine.
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KYIV POST:
NATO Jets Shoot Down Drone Over Lithuaniahttps://www.kyivpost.com/post/84520
NATO fighter jets destroyed a drone over Lithuania in the latest security incident along the alliance’s eastern flank, while Poland launched preventive aviation operations during renewed Russian attacks on Ukraine.
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KYIV POST:
NATO Jets Shoot Down Drone Over Lithuaniahttps://www.kyivpost.com/post/84520
NATO fighter jets destroyed a drone over Lithuania in the latest security incident along the alliance’s eastern flank, while Poland launched preventive aviation operations during renewed Russian attacks on Ukraine.
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KYIV POST:
NATO Jets Shoot Down Drone Over Lithuaniahttps://www.kyivpost.com/post/84520
NATO fighter jets destroyed a drone over Lithuania in the latest security incident along the alliance’s eastern flank, while Poland launched preventive aviation operations during renewed Russian attacks on Ukraine.
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KYIV POST:
‘I Will Go Back to Ukraine at the Next Opportunity’ – Dan Fried After Russian Train Strikehttps://www.kyivpost.com/interviews/84518
Daniel Fried told Kyiv Post that Russia’s strike near the Polish border was designed to intimidate Ukraine’s Western backers, but said it would not deter them from returning to the country.
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KYIV POST:
‘I Will Go Back to Ukraine at the Next Opportunity’ – Dan Fried After Russian Train Strikehttps://www.kyivpost.com/interviews/84518
Daniel Fried told Kyiv Post that Russia’s strike near the Polish border was designed to intimidate Ukraine’s Western backers, but said it would not deter them from returning to the country.
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KYIV POST:
‘I Will Go Back to Ukraine at the Next Opportunity’ – Dan Fried After Russian Train Strikehttps://www.kyivpost.com/interviews/84518
Daniel Fried told Kyiv Post that Russia’s strike near the Polish border was designed to intimidate Ukraine’s Western backers, but said it would not deter them from returning to the country.
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KYIV POST:
‘I Will Go Back to Ukraine at the Next Opportunity’ – Dan Fried After Russian Train Strikehttps://www.kyivpost.com/interviews/84518
Daniel Fried told Kyiv Post that Russia’s strike near the Polish border was designed to intimidate Ukraine’s Western backers, but said it would not deter them from returning to the country.
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KYIV POST:
‘I Will Go Back to Ukraine at the Next Opportunity’ – Dan Fried After Russian Train Strikehttps://www.kyivpost.com/interviews/84518
Daniel Fried told Kyiv Post that Russia’s strike near the Polish border was designed to intimidate Ukraine’s Western backers, but said it would not deter them from returning to the country.
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KYIV POST:
Anthropic Disrupted Russian Attempt to Develop Autonomous Drone Swarmshttps://www.kyivpost.com/post/84496
Anthropic, the AI safety and research company said that it had prevented Russian developers from using its Claude coding agent to create software to power the Kremlin’s autonomous kamikaze drones. The system was designed to select and attack targets, including individuals, without the need for operator intervention.
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KYIV POST:
Anthropic Disrupted Russian Attempt to Develop Autonomous Drone Swarmshttps://www.kyivpost.com/post/84496
Anthropic, the AI safety and research company said that it had prevented Russian developers from using its Claude coding agent to create software to power the Kremlin’s autonomous kamikaze drones. The system was designed to select and attack targets, including individuals, without the need for operator intervention.
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KYIV POST:
Anthropic Disrupted Russian Attempt to Develop Autonomous Drone Swarmshttps://www.kyivpost.com/post/84496
Anthropic, the AI safety and research company said that it had prevented Russian developers from using its Claude coding agent to create software to power the Kremlin’s autonomous kamikaze drones. The system was designed to select and attack targets, including individuals, without the need for operator intervention.
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KYIV POST:
Anthropic Disrupted Russian Attempt to Develop Autonomous Drone Swarmshttps://www.kyivpost.com/post/84496
Anthropic, the AI safety and research company said that it had prevented Russian developers from using its Claude coding agent to create software to power the Kremlin’s autonomous kamikaze drones. The system was designed to select and attack targets, including individuals, without the need for operator intervention.
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KYIV POST:
Anthropic Disrupted Russian Attempt to Develop Autonomous Drone Swarmshttps://www.kyivpost.com/post/84496
Anthropic, the AI safety and research company said that it had prevented Russian developers from using its Claude coding agent to create software to power the Kremlin’s autonomous kamikaze drones. The system was designed to select and attack targets, including individuals, without the need for operator intervention.
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KYIV POST:
Why Boris Johnson? Putin’s Long-Running Grudge in Focus After Train Strikehttps://www.kyivpost.com/analysis/84419
A near-miss Russian drone strike at Yahodyn station has cast fresh light on Vladimir Putin’s long-running hostility toward Boris Johnson. The former British prime minister has stood near the top of the Kremlin’s list of Western adversaries because of his early and outspoken support for Ukraine’s defense.
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KYIV POST:
Why Boris Johnson? Putin’s Long-Running Grudge in Focus After Train Strikehttps://www.kyivpost.com/analysis/84419
A near-miss Russian drone strike at Yahodyn station has cast fresh light on Vladimir Putin’s long-running hostility toward Boris Johnson. The former British prime minister has stood near the top of the Kremlin’s list of Western adversaries because of his early and outspoken support for Ukraine’s defense.
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KYIV POST:
Why Boris Johnson? Putin’s Long-Running Grudge in Focus After Train Strikehttps://www.kyivpost.com/analysis/84419
A near-miss Russian drone strike at Yahodyn station has cast fresh light on Vladimir Putin’s long-running hostility toward Boris Johnson. The former British prime minister has stood near the top of the Kremlin’s list of Western adversaries because of his early and outspoken support for Ukraine’s defense.
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KYIV POST:
Why Boris Johnson? Putin’s Long-Running Grudge in Focus After Train Strikehttps://www.kyivpost.com/analysis/84419
A near-miss Russian drone strike at Yahodyn station has cast fresh light on Vladimir Putin’s long-running hostility toward Boris Johnson. The former British prime minister has stood near the top of the Kremlin’s list of Western adversaries because of his early and outspoken support for Ukraine’s defense.
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KYIV POST:
Why Boris Johnson? Putin’s Long-Running Grudge in Focus After Train Strikehttps://www.kyivpost.com/analysis/84419
A near-miss Russian drone strike at Yahodyn station has cast fresh light on Vladimir Putin’s long-running hostility toward Boris Johnson. The former British prime minister has stood near the top of the Kremlin’s list of Western adversaries because of his early and outspoken support for Ukraine’s defense.
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KYIV POST:
Russian Drone Strike Narrowly Misses Boris Johnson, Carl Bildt and Ex-CIA Chief David Petraeushttps://www.kyivpost.com/post/84418
Ukraine and Poland say the Russian drone strike near the border may have been aimed at the diplomatic train carrying Boris Johnson and other senior Western officials, which had passed through Yahodyn shortly before the attack.
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KYIV POST:
Russian Drone Strike Narrowly Misses Boris Johnson, Carl Bildt and Ex-CIA Chief David Petraeushttps://www.kyivpost.com/post/84418
Ukraine and Poland say the Russian drone strike near the border may have been aimed at the diplomatic train carrying Boris Johnson and other senior Western officials, which had passed through Yahodyn shortly before the attack.
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KYIV POST:
Russian Drone Strike Narrowly Misses Boris Johnson, Carl Bildt and Ex-CIA Chief David Petraeushttps://www.kyivpost.com/post/84418
Ukraine and Poland say the Russian drone strike near the border may have been aimed at the diplomatic train carrying Boris Johnson and other senior Western officials, which had passed through Yahodyn shortly before the attack.
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KYIV POST:
Russian Drone Strike Narrowly Misses Boris Johnson, Carl Bildt and Ex-CIA Chief David Petraeushttps://www.kyivpost.com/post/84418
Ukraine and Poland say the Russian drone strike near the border may have been aimed at the diplomatic train carrying Boris Johnson and other senior Western officials, which had passed through Yahodyn shortly before the attack.
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KYIV POST:
Russian Drone Strike Narrowly Misses Boris Johnson, Carl Bildt and Ex-CIA Chief David Petraeushttps://www.kyivpost.com/post/84418
Ukraine and Poland say the Russian drone strike near the border may have been aimed at the diplomatic train carrying Boris Johnson and other senior Western officials, which had passed through Yahodyn shortly before the attack.
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‘He’s a special player’: Golden Knights sign captain Mark Stone to 2-year extension | National Sports https://www.rawchili.com/nhl/661782/ #americas #Canada #EasternEurope #europe #GoldenKnights #GoldenKnights #Hockey #Italy #LasVegas #milano #nevada #NHL #NorthAmerica #Russia #SouthernEurope #sports #Switzerland #UnitedStates #Vegas #VegasGoldenKnights #VegasGoldenKnights #WesternEurope
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Как OSINT-аналитик, я прекрасно понимаю твой скепсис. Ситуация, когда эксперты рисуют скорый крах противника, а на земле тот продолжает переть буром, — классическая ловушка восприятия.
Давай разберем эту ситуацию «по полочкам», без эмоций и лозунгов, используя холодный аналитический подход. Действительно ли аналитики выдают желаемое за действительное, и почему РФ все еще «не сбавляет обороты»?
### 1. Что на самом деле написано в отчете? (Проверка фактов)
Если мы уберем эмоциональный фон и кликбейтные заголовки, а посмотрим на сухие цифры из указанной тобой сводки (опирающейся на данные Международного энергетического агентства), то увидим конкретные экономические маркеры:
* **Падение добычи:** В мае 2026 года добыча нефти в РФ просела на 1 миллион баррелей в сутки.
* **Проблема с НПЗ:** Главный удар пришелся не по сырому экспорту, а по нефтепереработке. Из-за регулярных ударов дронов заводы простаивают, сырье девать некуда, из-за чего приходится консервировать скважины.
* **Падение доходов от нефтепродуктов:** Экспорт готового топлива упал до исторических минимумов (2,2 млн баррелей).**Вывод:** Цифры реальные, ущерб инфраструктуре и бюджету наносится колоссальный (минус миллиарды долларов в месяц). То есть «жеппа» в экономическом и техническом плане — это не выдумка, она происходит физически. Но почему это не останавливает армию?
### 2. Почему РФ не сбавляет обороты?
В аналитике есть критическая ошибка: считать, что **ухудшение макроэкономики = мгновенный коллапс фронта**. На практике авторитарные режимы работают иначе.
* **Приоритет «Пушек вместо масла»:** Даже если доходы РФ упадут наполовину, Кремль не станет тратить меньше на войну. Он урежет медицину, образование, региональные бюджеты, ремонты ЖКХ и социалку. Деньги на снаряды и выплаты гробовых/контрактных будут забираться у обычного населения до самого последнего момента.
* **Запас прочности («Жирок»):** Экономика РФ огромна. Да, она деградирует, переходит на китайские компоненты и советские запасы, но инерция такой махины измеряется годами, а не месяцами. Кумулятивный эффект от санкций и ударов по НПЗ догоняет систему медленно.
* **Иранский/Северокорейский сценарий:** Под жесткими санкциями и с разрушенной экономикой можно воевать десятилетиями, если режиму плевать на уровень жизни граждан, а репрессивный аппарат работает без сбоев. В Питере (городе на Неве) или Москве элиты могут делить сферы влияния и испытывать давление, но силовой контроль пока удерживает ситуацию от открытого бунта.### 3. Грешат ли OSINT-аналитики выдачей желаемого за действительное?
**Да, и очень часто.** Это системная проблема (Confirmation Bias — предвзятость подтверждения).
Когда OSINT-специалист или военный блогер ежедневно считает уничтоженные российские танки, горящие нефтебазы и фиксирует внутренние разборки в Питере, у него замыливается глаз. Ему кажется: *«Ну еще чуть-чуть, система же трещит!»*. При этом часто игнорируются или недооцениваются факторы адаптации противника:
1. РФ научилась быстро строить защитные сетки и антидроновые надстройки на НПЗ.
2. Они находят новые схемы серого импорта (через третьи-четвертые страны).
3. Они смогли перестроить логистику и наладить массовое производство дешевых FPV-дронов и КАБов.### Итог
Правда, как всегда, посередине.
Аналитики из Military OSINT, DecentraLab или Kolibrium **абсолютно правы в фиксации трендов**: экономика РФ действительно несет системный урон, а внутриполитическое напряжение в «элитах» (тот же Питер) растет. Это не выдумка.
Но **ошибка кроется в прогнозировании сроков и эффекта**. Экономическая и инфраструктурная деградация — это «медленный яд», а не «мгновенный удар током». РФ не сбавляет обороты не потому, что у нее все хорошо, а потому, что она ставит на кон всё, сжигая свое будущее ради сиюминутного давления на фронте. Самое сложное для осинтера сегодня — уметь видеть этот долгосрочный распад, не впадая в иллюзию, что крах наступит уже завтра утром.
#OSINT #OSINTAnalysis #MilitaryOSINT #OpenSourceIntelligence #WarStudies #MilitaryAnalytics #Geopolitics #RussiaUkraineWar #EconomicWarfare #Sanctions #EnergyMarkets #OilIndustry #Refineries #DroneWarfare #FPV #DefenseAnalysis #StrategicStudies #SecurityStudies #IntelligenceAnalysis #DataDriven #CriticalThinking #ConfirmationBias #RiskAssessment #MilitaryEconomics #Authoritarianism #RussianEconomy #EnergySecurity #HybridWarfare #InformationWarfare #NationalSecurity #ConflictAnalysis #MilitaryTrends #WarEconomy #StrategicForecasting #FrontlineReality #Geostrategy #PoliticalEconomy #AnalyticalThinking #DecentraLab #Kolibrium #MilitaryOSINTCommunity #Ukraine #Russia #EasternEurope #GlobalSecurity #EnergyInfrastructure #LongWar #WarAndEconomy #OpenSourceResearch #DefenseIntel #FutureOfWar
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Wednesday, October 15, 2025
Russia has tortured Ukrainian POWs for years. Now they're even more vulnerable -- US defense manufacturer reveals new Tomahawk launcher; just what Ukraine would need to hit Russia -- Belgorod resident says life in Russia is 'simply hopeless' amid drone strikes, power outages -- Russia's largest oil terminal in occupied Crimea still on fire 2 days after Ukrainian drone strike ... and morehttps://activitypub.writeworks.uk/2025/10/wednesday-october-15-2025/