#weatherattribution — Public Fediverse posts
Live and recent posts from across the Fediverse tagged #weatherattribution, aggregated by home.social.
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Increasingly hot Europe faces more Severe Droughts and Growing Challenges for Water and Land Management
The European summer of 2026 has so far been characterised by exceptional #heat and widespread #dryness (#Copernicus, 2026). Between April and June, large parts of the continent, from #Portugal in the southwest to southern #Finland in the northeast, received below-average rainfall. Combined with successive #heatwaves, these conditions have intensified drought across #Europe, contributing to widespread #agricultural and #hydrological impacts, unusually low river levels (#NOS, 2026), and severe #wildfires, particularly in #Spain and #France, where 116,000 and 42,000 hectares have already been burnt, respectively (#EFFIS, 2026). Although western Europe experienced a relatively wet start to the year, persistent precipitation deficits in eastern Europe carried over from 2025, resulting in different types and stages of drought developing across the continent. With forecasts indicating little relief in the near term, the summer of 2026 is emerging as one of Europe’s most significant heat and #drought events in recent years.
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Increasingly hot Europe faces more Severe Droughts and Growing Challenges for Water and Land Management
The European summer of 2026 has so far been characterised by exceptional #heat and widespread #dryness (#Copernicus, 2026). Between April and June, large parts of the continent, from #Portugal in the southwest to southern #Finland in the northeast, received below-average rainfall. Combined with successive #heatwaves, these conditions have intensified drought across #Europe, contributing to widespread #agricultural and #hydrological impacts, unusually low river levels (#NOS, 2026), and severe #wildfires, particularly in #Spain and #France, where 116,000 and 42,000 hectares have already been burnt, respectively (#EFFIS, 2026). Although western Europe experienced a relatively wet start to the year, persistent precipitation deficits in eastern Europe carried over from 2025, resulting in different types and stages of drought developing across the continent. With forecasts indicating little relief in the near term, the summer of 2026 is emerging as one of Europe’s most significant heat and #drought events in recent years.
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Increasingly hot Europe faces more Severe Droughts and Growing Challenges for Water and Land Management
The European summer of 2026 has so far been characterised by exceptional #heat and widespread #dryness (#Copernicus, 2026). Between April and June, large parts of the continent, from #Portugal in the southwest to southern #Finland in the northeast, received below-average rainfall. Combined with successive #heatwaves, these conditions have intensified drought across #Europe, contributing to widespread #agricultural and #hydrological impacts, unusually low river levels (#NOS, 2026), and severe #wildfires, particularly in #Spain and #France, where 116,000 and 42,000 hectares have already been burnt, respectively (#EFFIS, 2026). Although western Europe experienced a relatively wet start to the year, persistent precipitation deficits in eastern Europe carried over from 2025, resulting in different types and stages of drought developing across the continent. With forecasts indicating little relief in the near term, the summer of 2026 is emerging as one of Europe’s most significant heat and #drought events in recent years.
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Increasingly hot Europe faces more Severe Droughts and Growing Challenges for Water and Land Management
The European summer of 2026 has so far been characterised by exceptional #heat and widespread #dryness (#Copernicus, 2026). Between April and June, large parts of the continent, from #Portugal in the southwest to southern #Finland in the northeast, received below-average rainfall. Combined with successive #heatwaves, these conditions have intensified drought across #Europe, contributing to widespread #agricultural and #hydrological impacts, unusually low river levels (#NOS, 2026), and severe #wildfires, particularly in #Spain and #France, where 116,000 and 42,000 hectares have already been burnt, respectively (#EFFIS, 2026). Although western Europe experienced a relatively wet start to the year, persistent precipitation deficits in eastern Europe carried over from 2025, resulting in different types and stages of drought developing across the continent. With forecasts indicating little relief in the near term, the summer of 2026 is emerging as one of Europe’s most significant heat and #drought events in recent years.
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Increasingly hot Europe faces more Severe Droughts and Growing Challenges for Water and Land Management
The European summer of 2026 has so far been characterised by exceptional #heat and widespread #dryness (#Copernicus, 2026). Between April and June, large parts of the continent, from #Portugal in the southwest to southern #Finland in the northeast, received below-average rainfall. Combined with successive #heatwaves, these conditions have intensified drought across #Europe, contributing to widespread #agricultural and #hydrological impacts, unusually low river levels (#NOS, 2026), and severe #wildfires, particularly in #Spain and #France, where 116,000 and 42,000 hectares have already been burnt, respectively (#EFFIS, 2026). Although western Europe experienced a relatively wet start to the year, persistent precipitation deficits in eastern Europe carried over from 2025, resulting in different types and stages of drought developing across the continent. With forecasts indicating little relief in the near term, the summer of 2026 is emerging as one of Europe’s most significant heat and #drought events in recent years.
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Climate Change and urban pressures intensify flood risk on the Gulf of Guinea coast
Between 20–22 June, the coastal regions of the countries bordering the #GulfOfGuinea, particularly Côte d’Ivoire, #Ghana, #Togo, and #Nigeria, experienced exceptionally widespread and severe #flooding following intense and persistent #rainfall. In several locations, more than 140 mm of rain fell within less than 24 hours, overwhelming natural drainage systems and triggering extensive #FlashFloods.
The floods affected a very densely populated region where rapid urbanisation and the expansion of formal and informal settlements into floodplains and conversion of natural vegetation to croplands have reduced natural drainage capacity and increased exposure to #flooding. Population growth is projected to continue its upward trajectory in this region, further increasing exposure in the decades to come. -
Climate Change and urban pressures intensify flood risk on the Gulf of Guinea coast
Between 20–22 June, the coastal regions of the countries bordering the #GulfOfGuinea, particularly Côte d’Ivoire, #Ghana, #Togo, and #Nigeria, experienced exceptionally widespread and severe #flooding following intense and persistent #rainfall. In several locations, more than 140 mm of rain fell within less than 24 hours, overwhelming natural drainage systems and triggering extensive #FlashFloods.
The floods affected a very densely populated region where rapid urbanisation and the expansion of formal and informal settlements into floodplains and conversion of natural vegetation to croplands have reduced natural drainage capacity and increased exposure to #flooding. Population growth is projected to continue its upward trajectory in this region, further increasing exposure in the decades to come. -
Climate Change and urban pressures intensify flood risk on the Gulf of Guinea coast
Between 20–22 June, the coastal regions of the countries bordering the #GulfOfGuinea, particularly Côte d’Ivoire, #Ghana, #Togo, and #Nigeria, experienced exceptionally widespread and severe #flooding following intense and persistent #rainfall. In several locations, more than 140 mm of rain fell within less than 24 hours, overwhelming natural drainage systems and triggering extensive #FlashFloods.
The floods affected a very densely populated region where rapid urbanisation and the expansion of formal and informal settlements into floodplains and conversion of natural vegetation to croplands have reduced natural drainage capacity and increased exposure to #flooding. Population growth is projected to continue its upward trajectory in this region, further increasing exposure in the decades to come. -
Climate Change and urban pressures intensify flood risk on the Gulf of Guinea coast
Between 20–22 June, the coastal regions of the countries bordering the #GulfOfGuinea, particularly Côte d’Ivoire, #Ghana, #Togo, and #Nigeria, experienced exceptionally widespread and severe #flooding following intense and persistent #rainfall. In several locations, more than 140 mm of rain fell within less than 24 hours, overwhelming natural drainage systems and triggering extensive #FlashFloods.
The floods affected a very densely populated region where rapid urbanisation and the expansion of formal and informal settlements into floodplains and conversion of natural vegetation to croplands have reduced natural drainage capacity and increased exposure to #flooding. Population growth is projected to continue its upward trajectory in this region, further increasing exposure in the decades to come. -
DATE: June 26, 2026 at 09:18AM
SOURCE: SOCIALPSYCHOLOGY.ORGTITLE: Europe's "Most Severe" Heatwave Due to Climate Change, Says Report
Source: Al Jazeera
The historic heatwave gripping Europe is part of a dangerous weather trend that can only be explained by human-caused climate change, say scientists from a highly respected international group. The extreme temperatures sweeping across Europe mark the region's "most severe" heatwave ever tracked for the month and would have been "virtually impossible" half a century ago, the World Weather Attribution group said in a report released on Friday.
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#psychology #counseling #socialwork #psychotherapy @psychotherapist @psychotherapists @psychology @socialpsych @socialwork @psychiatry #mentalhealth #psychiatry #healthcare #depression #psychotherapist #ClimateChange #EuropeHeatwave #Heatwave2024 #GlobalWarming #ExtremeWeather #WWAGroup #WeatherAttribution #SustainableFuture #HeatSafety #EnvironmentalNews
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DATE: June 26, 2026 at 09:18AM
SOURCE: SOCIALPSYCHOLOGY.ORGTITLE: Europe's "Most Severe" Heatwave Due to Climate Change, Says Report
Source: Al Jazeera
The historic heatwave gripping Europe is part of a dangerous weather trend that can only be explained by human-caused climate change, say scientists from a highly respected international group. The extreme temperatures sweeping across Europe mark the region's "most severe" heatwave ever tracked for the month and would have been "virtually impossible" half a century ago, the World Weather Attribution group said in a report released on Friday.
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Private, vetted email list for mental health professionals: https://www.clinicians-exchange.org
Unofficial Psychology Today Xitter to toot feed at Psych Today Unofficial Bot @PTUnofficialBot
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#psychology #counseling #socialwork #psychotherapy @psychotherapist @psychotherapists @psychology @socialpsych @socialwork @psychiatry #mentalhealth #psychiatry #healthcare #depression #psychotherapist #ClimateChange #EuropeHeatwave #Heatwave2024 #GlobalWarming #ExtremeWeather #WWAGroup #WeatherAttribution #SustainableFuture #HeatSafety #EnvironmentalNews
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DATE: June 26, 2026 at 09:18AM
SOURCE: SOCIALPSYCHOLOGY.ORGTITLE: Europe's "Most Severe" Heatwave Due to Climate Change, Says Report
Source: Al Jazeera
The historic heatwave gripping Europe is part of a dangerous weather trend that can only be explained by human-caused climate change, say scientists from a highly respected international group. The extreme temperatures sweeping across Europe mark the region's "most severe" heatwave ever tracked for the month and would have been "virtually impossible" half a century ago, the World Weather Attribution group said in a report released on Friday.
-------------------------------------------------
Private, vetted email list for mental health professionals: https://www.clinicians-exchange.org
Unofficial Psychology Today Xitter to toot feed at Psych Today Unofficial Bot @PTUnofficialBot
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#psychology #counseling #socialwork #psychotherapy @psychotherapist @psychotherapists @psychology @socialpsych @socialwork @psychiatry #mentalhealth #psychiatry #healthcare #depression #psychotherapist #ClimateChange #EuropeHeatwave #Heatwave2024 #GlobalWarming #ExtremeWeather #WWAGroup #WeatherAttribution #SustainableFuture #HeatSafety #EnvironmentalNews
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DATE: June 26, 2026 at 09:18AM
SOURCE: SOCIALPSYCHOLOGY.ORGTITLE: Europe's "Most Severe" Heatwave Due to Climate Change, Says Report
Source: Al Jazeera
The historic heatwave gripping Europe is part of a dangerous weather trend that can only be explained by human-caused climate change, say scientists from a highly respected international group. The extreme temperatures sweeping across Europe mark the region's "most severe" heatwave ever tracked for the month and would have been "virtually impossible" half a century ago, the World Weather Attribution group said in a report released on Friday.
-------------------------------------------------
Private, vetted email list for mental health professionals: https://www.clinicians-exchange.org
Unofficial Psychology Today Xitter to toot feed at Psych Today Unofficial Bot @PTUnofficialBot
-------------------------------------------------
#psychology #counseling #socialwork #psychotherapy @psychotherapist @psychotherapists @psychology @socialpsych @socialwork @psychiatry #mentalhealth #psychiatry #healthcare #depression #psychotherapist #ClimateChange #EuropeHeatwave #Heatwave2024 #GlobalWarming #ExtremeWeather #WWAGroup #WeatherAttribution #SustainableFuture #HeatSafety #EnvironmentalNews
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Fossil fuel emissions have rapidly worsened European heatwaves in just a few decades
Just weeks after a severe #heatwave that broke all-time May records, #Europe is experiencing another major heatwave that is breaking June and annual records. This is particularly remarkable given that June is not historically the hottest month in Western Europe. Across #France, #Germany, #Italy, #Spain, and southern #England temperatures are reaching
>>>> 5–12°C above seasonal averages,
driven by a persistent high-pressure system. This pattern has transported hot air from North #Africa into the region while also bringing clear skies and strong sunshine, which have further intensified the heat.
Heatwaves cause more deaths in Europe than all other natural hazards combined. As temperatures continue to rise, ageing populations, growing prevalence of chronic illness, and uneven access to cooling and heat-resilient housing are increasing vulnerability, placing mounting pressure on health systems.
This summer shows that at 1.4°C of #GlobalWarming, extreme heat is already reaching the limits of our societies’ ability to cope. Our analysis here shows that intense heat is increasing rapidly even in living memory, with such events tens to hundreds of times more likely since only 2003 and virtually impossible just 50 years ago.
>>> A rapid phase-out of fossil fuels is critical if we are to avoid even higher temperatures and their consequences in the future.
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Fossil fuel emissions have rapidly worsened European heatwaves in just a few decades
Just weeks after a severe #heatwave that broke all-time May records, #Europe is experiencing another major heatwave that is breaking June and annual records. This is particularly remarkable given that June is not historically the hottest month in Western Europe. Across #France, #Germany, #Italy, #Spain, and southern #England temperatures are reaching
>>>> 5–12°C above seasonal averages,
driven by a persistent high-pressure system. This pattern has transported hot air from North #Africa into the region while also bringing clear skies and strong sunshine, which have further intensified the heat.
Heatwaves cause more deaths in Europe than all other natural hazards combined. As temperatures continue to rise, ageing populations, growing prevalence of chronic illness, and uneven access to cooling and heat-resilient housing are increasing vulnerability, placing mounting pressure on health systems.
This summer shows that at 1.4°C of #GlobalWarming, extreme heat is already reaching the limits of our societies’ ability to cope. Our analysis here shows that intense heat is increasing rapidly even in living memory, with such events tens to hundreds of times more likely since only 2003 and virtually impossible just 50 years ago.
>>> A rapid phase-out of fossil fuels is critical if we are to avoid even higher temperatures and their consequences in the future.
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Climate change exposes millions of Hajj pilgrims to deadly heat for increasingly longer parts of the year
Temperatures in #SaudiArabia are rising earlier in the year and reaching more dangerous extremes, making the pilgrimage increasingly hazardous not only in the summer months, where in 2024 more than 1300 pilgrims lost their lives when #Hajj started in mid-June temperatures reached 51°C, but even during the spring months.
In a super-rapid study researchers from World #WeatherAttribution show that for pilgrims who spend 20–30 hours outdoors, often walking in dense crowds, the risk of heat exhaustion and heat stroke is becoming far more severe earlier in the year, with temperatures now reaching heights in May that were only seen in June to August in the 1960s and 1970s, due to human-induced #ClimateChange.
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Conflict, poverty and water management issues exposing vulnerable communities in #Africa
The rainy season from July to Sept. 2024 was marked by extremely heavy and sometimes unprecedented rainfall in large parts of the #Sahel region, leading to catastrophic #flooding in #Sudan in Aug. and in #Nigeria, #Niger, #Chad and #Cameroon in Sept. In total more than 2000 people lost their lives and millions were displaced.
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World Weather Attribution
#ClimateChange and high exposure increased costs and disruption to lives and livelihoods from #flooding associated with exceptionally heavy rainfall in Central #Europe
"As the event is by far the heaviest ever recorded, the exact return time is difficult to estimate based on only about 100 years of observed data. We use a 100 year return-time for the rest of the analysis..."
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Climate change key driver of extreme drought in water scarce Sicily and Sardinia
#Sicily and #Sardinia, the two largest Italian islands, important centres of #agriculture and #tourism have suffered from exceptionally low rainfall and very high temperatures over the last 12 months, culminating in extreme #drought conditions from May 2024 onwards.
#WeatherAttribution
#ClimateCrisis, man made
#Italy -
Why is #ClimateChange causing ‘record-shattering’ extreme heat?
Amid the disaster, temperatures in #Lytton was smashing the previous record for the country by 4.6C.
Climate scientists studying the #heatwave were left stunned by the record-shattering temperatures.
“Within our knowledge, this [heatwave] is basically impossible,” the late pioneering #ExtremeWeather scientist, Dr Jan van Oldenborgh, told a press conference at the time...https://www.carbonbrief.org/explainer-why-is-climate-change-causing-record-shattering-extreme-heat/
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Rapid weather attribution: Deadly Mediterranean #heatwave in July 2024 would not have occurred without human induced climate change, scientists find.
#climatecrisis #WeatherAttribution -
Rapid weather attribution: Deadly Mediterranean #heatwave in July 2024 would not have occurred without human induced climate change, scientists find.
#climatecrisis #WeatherAttribution -
Klimaungerechtigkeit von Friederike Otto | ISBN 978-3-8437-3022-8
Ein sehr wichtiges Buch - ein sehr unbequemes Buch! Aber sind nicht die unbequemen Bücher oft die wichtigsten?
#FriederikeOtto #weatherattribution #extremwetter #klimakrise
Vielleicht was für eure nächste Bücherliste?
https://www.lehmanns.de/shop/sozialwissenschaften/62438090-9783843730228-klimaungerechtigkeit
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Autumn and winter storm rainfall in the #UK and Ireland was made about 20% heavier by human-caused ClimateChange
During the winter half-year of 2023/2024, western #Europe experienced a series of damaging #storms. These storms led to disruptions and the associated #precipitation caused exacerbated #flood risks.
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A lengthy drought that caused widespread disruption to commercial ships passing through the #Panama Canal in 2023 would have been “unlikely” without the influence of El Niño, according to a rapid attribution study. With the canal’s water use expected to more than double by 2050, the study warns that authorities “may need to re-introduce shipping restrictions to safeguard drinking water supplies, particularly in #ElNiño years”.
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Heavy precipitation hitting vulnerable communities in the UAE and Oman becoming an increasing threat as the climate warms
From April 14 to15 2024, the United Arab Emirates (#UAE) and the northern parts of #Oman were hit by exceptionally heavy #rainfall causing massive disruption in infrastructure and public life in the area and leading to at least 20 fatalities in Oman and four in the UAE.
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Wenn 125 Milliardär*innen soviel Treibhausgase emittieren wie ganz Frankreich, kann man dann ihrem persönlichen Verhalten über die #WeatherAttribution Todesopfer der Erderhitzung zuordnen? Wäre das dann zumindest fahrlässige Tötung?
Ein entsprechender Prozess würde einmal für eine ordentliche Diskursverschiebung sorgen.
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Wenn 125 Milliardär*innen soviel Treibhausgase emittieren wie ganz Frankreich, kann man dann ihrem persönlichen Verhalten über die #WeatherAttribution Todesopfer der Erderhitzung zuordnen? Wäre das dann zumindest fahrlässige Tötung?
Ein entsprechender Prozess würde einmal für eine ordentliche Diskursverschiebung sorgen.
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Heavy rain that flooded northeast Aotearoa #NewZealand is now more common on warmer planet
Based on historical weather station data, the scientists found that heavy rainfall events, like those seen during #CycloneGabrielle, now produce around 30% more rain than before humans warmed the planet.
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Vulnerability and high temperatures exacerbate impacts of ongoing drought in Central South America
Since 2019 large parts of #Argentina and neighboring countries have been reeling under #drought conditions with the last four months of 2022 receiving only 44% of the average precipitation: the lowest rainfall in 35 years.
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Climate change made record breaking early season heat in Argentina and Paraguay about 60 times more likely
A large area centred around the central-northern part of #Argentina, and also southern #Bolivia, central #Chile, and most of #Paraguay and #Uruguay, experienced record-breaking temperatures during two consecutive #heatwave's in late November and early December 2022.
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"Did the warming of the planet produce the water that pulled a five-year-old boy from his mother’s arms as he was on his way to school in San Luis Obispo County on Monday? It no doubt had a role."
Having a role is just what causation is.
"Is the cause and effect immediately and directly provable, on a chart or in a document? Of course not."
This is what causation isn't, some unique necessary and sufficient condition. The world isn't like that, and philosophy and science figured that out decades ago. Causation is stochastic. Smoking kills. So does CO2.
See my "How Extreme Weather Events Are Attributed to Anthropogenic Global Warming" at https://eartharxiv.org/repository/view/95/
Or have a look at https://www.worldweatherattribution.org/
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#ClimateChange made record breaking early season heat in Argentina and Paraguay about 60 times more likely
A large area centred around the central-northern part of #Argentina, and also southern #Bolivia, central #Chile, and most of #Paraguay and #Uruguay, experienced record-breaking temperatures during two consecutive #heatwaves in late November and early December 2022.
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Record monsoon flooding in Pakistan due to a confluence of factors - Enlarge / Flooding in Pakistan's Sindh province. (credit: Ali Hyder Jun... - https://arstechnica.com/?p=1882062 #weatherattribution #climatechange #pakistan #science #monsoon
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Record-breaking UK heat “extremely unlikely” without climate change - Enlarge (credit: Peter Zelei Images)
Early last week, the UK e... - https://arstechnica.com/?p=1870224 #weatherattribution #climatechange #science
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Pakistan hits 120°F as climate trends drive spring heatwave - Enlarge (credit: Chuchart Duangdaw)
Spring has brought remarka... - https://arstechnica.com/?p=1855675 #weatherattribution #climatechange #science
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Another European heatwave, another link to climate change - Enlarge / Satellite-estimated surface temperatures for July 25, 2019. (credit: NASA Earth Observato... more: https://arstechnica.com/?p=1545801 #weatherattribution #extremeweather #climatechange #earthscience #science
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Rapid results in on climate change and the European heat wave - Enlarge / How the warmest three-day averages from June rank—the darkest red area set new records. (... more: https://arstechnica.com/?p=1530851 #weatherattribution #extremeweather #extremeheat #science