#weaksignals — Public Fediverse posts
Live and recent posts from across the Fediverse tagged #weaksignals, aggregated by home.social.
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Tuning into whispered frequencies: Harnessing Large Language Models to detect Weak Signals in complex socio-technical systems
This study evaluated whether LLMs can support a scaled and systematic analysis of surveyed data about worker adaptive practices, to foster weak signal ID.
E.g. can LLMs help identify weak signals from large-scale data. In this case, textual data describing frontline personnel adaptive behaviours during everyday operations. This was obtained via survey.
PS. Check out my YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/@safe_as_pod
Extracts:
· “Systems performance varies in everyday operations due to various internal and external factors, with individuals forced to adapt their performance to cope with any given situation”
· “The factors behind these adaptations are not usually evident, as they may emerge from disconnected pieces of information. Making sense of them refers to identifying ‘weak signals’”
· “Data gathering on adaptive performance is rarely performed, if disconnected from adverse events,” even though it “may have several benefits to fully grasp the actual status of the system and understand the mechanisms that sustain its operation.”
· Manual analysis is useful, but limited as “the dominance of human contribution in textual data analysis significantly limits its applicability and scalability”
· The “weak signals identified through the proposed approach are intrinsically socio-technical, as they emerge from the ways in which people adapt, coordinate, prioritize, and make trade-offs in everyday operations”
· This approach isn’t just related to weak signals of emerging risks, but “can also unearth weak signals that contribute positively to system performance”, e.g. “positive weak signals” represent the very mechanisms that ensure system resilience in everyday operations. They reveal how systems continue to function effectively despite uncertainty, constraints, and competing goals, by relying on adaptive capacity rather than strict procedural compliance”
· “This study demonstrates how the application of LLM-driven analysis can reveal subtle but potentially crucial weak signals within ultra-safe, complex socio-technical environments”
· One weak signal was “the combination of the absence of specific procedures and colleagues’ pressure during events characterized by communication issues”
· The study “demonstrates how the application of LLM-driven analysis can reveal subtle but potentially crucial weak signals within ultra-safe, complex socio-technical environments”
· The authors claim that such patterns are “hard to grasp by traditional methods”
· Further, “proactive safety improvements” and “strengthening the foundations of knowledge management in high-stakes domains”
Lombardi, M., & Patriarca, R. (2026). Tuning into whispered frequencies: Harnessing Large Language Models to detect Weak Signals in complex socio-technical systems. Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence, 176, 114738.
#ai #llm #safety #risk #safetyengineering
Study link: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.engappai.2026.114738
My YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@safe_as_pod
#adaptiveBehaviour #ai #artificialIntelligence #llm #resilienceEngineering #safetyIi #weakSignals
My site with more reviews: SafetyInsights.org
Shout me a coffee: https://buymeacoffee.com/benhutchinson
Safe As LinkedIn group: https://www.linkedin.com/groups/14717868 -
everything is connected to something
Already deeply unpopular with the communities upon which they are being imposed, the potential for datacenters to become sites of sabotage and warfare is not going to help their public image in the slightest.
https://www.velcro-city.co.uk/everything-is-connected-to-something/
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We have to #StandUpForScience! Without scientists we roam in the darkness. #ClimateChange #BiodiversityCrisis #WeakSignals
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reach random people in a different way
https://www.velcro-city.co.uk/reach-random-people-in-a-different-way/
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paradigms don’t die easy (but they die all the same)
https://www.velcro-city.co.uk/paradigms-dont-die-easy-but-they-die-all-the-same/
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[cont’d] #WeakSignals / A more reliable coverage of this major intelligence failure can be found in Haaretz’s news section:
Intelligence agencies identified the activation of hundreds of Israeli SIM cards by Hamas members in #Gaza, hours before the massacre on October 7th. This signaled an abnormal mobilization and prompted overnight consultations, but security officials ultimately did not give it proper weight and the prevailing assessment was that it was just a Hamas drill.
The Shin Bet claimed that the movement identified within the Strip was a drill, and Military Intelligence concurred with this assessment and did not recommend raising any level of alert. This was the case in both consultations, a few hours apart. No steps were taken, based on the Shin Bet's recommendation and with the approval of the highest military level.
#Haaretz https://www.haaretz.co.il/news/politics/2024-02-26/ty-article/.highlight/0000018d-e56d-d7f4-a3dd-e76d71770000 or https://archive.is/S6bxB
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#weaksignals: Panama lock-out, Lithium as the new oil, Nvidia’s gold-rush shovel-store
We're in a weird phase at the moment, where things simultaneously seem to be moving very fast and not changing at all. So I figure it's high time I screwed on my Grown-up Foresight Practitioner hat and started a more public practice of looking at (and interpreting) pote
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The Change in the Air exhibition was opened in 2015 at the @luomus Helsinki Finland. The museum also got a new diorama with #WoollyMammoth's. I was ordered to make a cartoon of the topic for the minister of environment, Mr. Tiilikainen. The exhibition presents the research on #ClimateChange conducted at the University of Helsinki.
#WeakSignals #science #funding #extinction #ecological #bankcrupty #beaver #mammoth
https://www.luomus.fi/en/change-air