#ground-game — Public Fediverse posts
Live and recent posts from across the Fediverse tagged #ground-game, aggregated by home.social.
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#Democrats are suspiciously #optimistic about #winning on #ElectionDay.
#Earlyvoting #trends are looking good for #VicePresident #KamalaHarris, and her #campaign has lots of #cash and a #superior #groundgame.
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Nearing a year since I swore off propping up the former Twitter with free writing as my response to Elon Musk inviting loathsome conspiracy liar Alex Jones back on that service, I do not miss posting on X one bit. And as more of the people I enjoyed seeing on that platform have begun popping up on Bluesky (most recently, much of the avgeek community), I also find I need to read X less and less–and I can do so with a quick check of the lists that I compiled years ago.
But there’s one stubborn exception to that pattern that’s become even harder to back away from over the past few weeks: the Election Twitter list I created too many years ago for me to remember.
The pollsters, vote counters, campaign strategists, journalists and analysts on that list generally know what they’re talking about (although the Nate Silver of 2024 is clearly not the guy we knew in 2008), and as the 2024 election season hurtles to a close I find myself returning to this list annoyingly often.
I can’t attest that this constant refreshing is making me that much more informed about the state of the Harris and Trump campaigns. After 2016, I can’t put too much stock in polls–certainly not when the New York Times’ Nate Cohn feels compelled to answer the question “So, Can We Trust The Polls?” by reminding readers that they are not a precision instrument and may be even less precise from attempts by pollsters to avoid repeats of past misses of Trump voters.
On-the-ground reports about how many people are voting and where their support might lie can be more informative (and as a poll worker, I like to see high turnout), but they, too, cannot dispel much uncertainty in advance.
Because I can’t take the hint and stick to reading reported pieces about the state of the race (for example, Dana Milbank’s examination in the Washington Post of the Harris field operation, or Tim Alberta’s feature in the Atlantic looking into the chaotic inside of the Trump campaign), I’ve tried to recreate this list on Bluesky. But my ElectionSky list remains only a faint echo of the one part of X where I still find some utility. I have to blame that on the nearly complete lack of interest in see in X alternatives among these election tweeps, even as Musk continues to try to turn their hangout into a Truth Social knockoff.
I still think that will change–nothing I see in Musk’s mismanagement of this platform makes me think it will get better, while Bluesky’s leadership continues to take smart if sometimes small steps to build out that decentralized platform. But the social-media shift that I hope to see clearly isn’t happening between now and Tuesday.
https://robpegoraro.com/2024/11/02/ex-twitters-last-lock-on-my-attention-is-at-its-worst-right-now/
#2024Election #Bluesky #campaign #ElectionTwitter #ElonMuskTwitter #groundGame #polling #polls #X #Xitter
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#Republicans are starting to #raise #alarms about Trump’s lack of an effective #ground #game
“They are out-matching us in #money, in #enthusiasm and in the #groundgame,” one #Michigan-based #GOP #strategist said.
https://www.politico.com/news/2024/09/30/republicans-alarm-trump-ground-game-00181577
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#Democrats put up $25 million to reach #voters in 10 states in fierce #fight for their #Senate #majority
“A formidable #groundgame makes all the difference in close #races,” #DSCC #Chairman #Sen. #GaryPeters of #Michigan said in a #statement. “We are reaching every #voter we need to #win.”