#annselzer — Public Fediverse posts

Amid Fallout From Minneapolis Shooting, Trump Again Attacks His Poor Poll Results: “Fraudulent,” “Should Be A Criminal Offense”
#News #2024Election #AnnSelzer #DonaldTrump #ElectionLine #NewYorkTimesSienaPoll

https://deadline.com/2026/01/trump-polls-minneapolis-shooting-1236696818/

Donald Trump Files Notice To Dismiss Lawsuit Against Iowa Pollster Ann Selzer
#News #Politics #AnnSelzer #DesMoinesRegister #DonaldTrump #ElectionLine #Gannett

https://deadline.com/2025/06/trump-lawsuit-ann-selzer-iowa-pollster-1236446205/

Donald Trump Files Notice To Dismiss Lawsuit Against Iowa Pollster Ann Selzer
#News #Politics #AnnSelzer #DesMoinesRegister #DonaldTrump #ElectionLine #Gannett

https://deadline.com/2025/06/trump-lawsuit-ann-selzer-iowa-pollster-1236446205/

Donald Trump Files Notice To Dismiss Lawsuit Against Iowa Pollster Ann Selzer
#News #Politics #AnnSelzer #DesMoinesRegister #DonaldTrump #ElectionLine #Gannett

https://deadline.com/2025/06/trump-lawsuit-ann-selzer-iowa-pollster-1236446205/

Donald Trump Files Notice To Dismiss Lawsuit Against Iowa Pollster Ann Selzer
#News #Politics #AnnSelzer #DesMoinesRegister #DonaldTrump #ElectionLine #Gannett

https://deadline.com/2025/06/trump-lawsuit-ann-selzer-iowa-pollster-1236446205/

On Monday, he filed a consumer fraud suit against pollster J. #AnnSelzer & the #DesMoinesRegister over an outlier poll it ran showing #Trump trailing #Harris in the presidential race in Iowa, a conservative state that he went on to win by 13 percentage points. The complaint does not hinge on a #defamation claim—public figures must cross a high legal threshold to prove that they’ve been libeled—but rather a perceived violation of the state’s consumer protection statute.
#FreePress #law #democracy

On Monday, he filed a consumer fraud suit against pollster J. #AnnSelzer & the #DesMoinesRegister over an outlier poll it ran showing #Trump trailing #Harris in the presidential race in Iowa, a conservative state that he went on to win by 13 percentage points. The complaint does not hinge on a #defamation claim—public figures must cross a high legal threshold to prove that they’ve been libeled—but rather a perceived violation of the state’s consumer protection statute.
#FreePress #law #democracy

On Monday, he filed a consumer fraud suit against pollster J. #AnnSelzer & the #DesMoinesRegister over an outlier poll it ran showing #Trump trailing #Harris in the presidential race in Iowa, a conservative state that he went on to win by 13 percentage points. The complaint does not hinge on a #defamation claim—public figures must cross a high legal threshold to prove that they’ve been libeled—but rather a perceived violation of the state’s consumer protection statute.
#FreePress #law #democracy

On Monday, he filed a consumer fraud suit against pollster J. #AnnSelzer & the #DesMoinesRegister over an outlier poll it ran showing #Trump trailing #Harris in the presidential race in Iowa, a conservative state that he went on to win by 13 percentage points. The complaint does not hinge on a #defamation claim—public figures must cross a high legal threshold to prove that they’ve been libeled—but rather a perceived violation of the state’s consumer protection statute.
#FreePress #law #democracy

On Monday, he filed a consumer fraud suit against pollster J. #AnnSelzer & the #DesMoinesRegister over an outlier poll it ran showing #Trump trailing #Harris in the presidential race in Iowa, a conservative state that he went on to win by 13 percentage points. The complaint does not hinge on a #defamation claim—public figures must cross a high legal threshold to prove that they’ve been libeled—but rather a perceived violation of the state’s consumer protection statute.
#FreePress #law #democracy

Donald Trump Sues Des Moines Register Over Poll That Showed Him Trailing Kamala Harris
#Variety #News #AnnSelzer #DesMoinesRegister #DonaldTrump

https://variety.com/2024/politics/news/donald-trump-des-moines-register-ann-selzer-poll-1236251698/

Donald Trump Sues Des Moines Register Over Poll That Showed Him Trailing Kamala Harris
#Variety #News #AnnSelzer #DesMoinesRegister #DonaldTrump

https://variety.com/2024/politics/news/donald-trump-des-moines-register-ann-selzer-poll-1236251698/

Donald Trump Sues Des Moines Register Over Poll That Showed Him Trailing Kamala Harris
#Variety #News #AnnSelzer #DesMoinesRegister #DonaldTrump

https://variety.com/2024/politics/news/donald-trump-des-moines-register-ann-selzer-poll-1236251698/

Donald Trump Sues Des Moines Register Over Poll That Showed Him Trailing Kamala Harris
#Variety #News #AnnSelzer #DesMoinesRegister #DonaldTrump

https://variety.com/2024/politics/news/donald-trump-des-moines-register-ann-selzer-poll-1236251698/

Donald Trump Sues Des Moines Register Over Poll That Showed Him Trailing Kamala Harris
#Variety #News #AnnSelzer #DesMoinesRegister #DonaldTrump

https://variety.com/2024/politics/news/donald-trump-des-moines-register-ann-selzer-poll-1236251698/

Donald Trump Sues Iowa Pollster And Des Moines Register Over Pre-Election Poll
#News #Politics #AnnSelzer #DesMoinesRegister #DonaldTrump #ElectionLine #Gannett #Iowapoll #Lawsuit

https://deadline.com/2024/12/trump-iowa-poll-lawsuit-ann-selzer-des-moines-register-1236205879/

Donald Trump Sues Iowa Pollster And Des Moines Register Over Pre-Election Poll
#News #Politics #AnnSelzer #DesMoinesRegister #DonaldTrump #ElectionLine #Gannett #Iowapoll #Lawsuit

https://deadline.com/2024/12/trump-iowa-poll-lawsuit-ann-selzer-des-moines-register-1236205879/

Donald Trump Sues Iowa Pollster And Des Moines Register Over Pre-Election Poll
#News #Politics #AnnSelzer #DesMoinesRegister #DonaldTrump #ElectionLine #Gannett #Iowapoll #Lawsuit

https://deadline.com/2024/12/trump-iowa-poll-lawsuit-ann-selzer-des-moines-register-1236205879/

Donald Trump Sues Iowa Pollster And Des Moines Register Over Pre-Election Poll
#News #Politics #AnnSelzer #DesMoinesRegister #DonaldTrump #ElectionLine #Gannett #Iowapoll #Lawsuit

https://deadline.com/2024/12/trump-iowa-poll-lawsuit-ann-selzer-des-moines-register-1236205879/

Donald Trump, Following ABC Settlement, Says He’ll File More Lawsuits Against Media, Including Iowa Pollster: “We Have To Straighten Out The Press”
#News #Politics #ABCNews #AnnSelzer #DesMoinesRegister #Disney #DonaldTrump #ElectionLine #GeorgeStephanopoulos

https://deadline.com/2024/12/trump-media-iowa-pollster-lawsuit-1236204684/

Donald Trump, Following ABC Settlement, Says He’ll File More Lawsuits Against Media, Including Iowa Pollster: “We Have To Straighten Out The Press”
#News #Politics #ABCNews #AnnSelzer #DesMoinesRegister #Disney #DonaldTrump #ElectionLine #GeorgeStephanopoulos

https://deadline.com/2024/12/trump-media-iowa-pollster-lawsuit-1236204684/

Donald Trump, Following ABC Settlement, Says He’ll File More Lawsuits Against Media, Including Iowa Pollster: “We Have To Straighten Out The Press”
#News #Politics #ABCNews #AnnSelzer #DesMoinesRegister #Disney #DonaldTrump #ElectionLine #GeorgeStephanopoulos

https://deadline.com/2024/12/trump-media-iowa-pollster-lawsuit-1236204684/

Donald Trump, Following ABC Settlement, Says He’ll File More Lawsuits Against Media, Including Iowa Pollster: “We Have To Straighten Out The Press”
#News #Politics #ABCNews #AnnSelzer #DesMoinesRegister #Disney #DonaldTrump #ElectionLine #GeorgeStephanopoulos

https://deadline.com/2024/12/trump-media-iowa-pollster-lawsuit-1236204684/

Data goals

"...But we do know that our electorates change in terms of how many people are showing up, what the composition is, and so I don't want to try to predict what that's going to be. I want to be in a place for my data to show me." - Ann Selzer

https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2024/11/4/2282388/-J-Ann-Selzer-Busts-Emerson-and-others-for-manipulating-their-polls-on-tv

#AnnSelzer #Data

All day, #political nerds had been waiting for the results of #AnnSelzer’s famously accurate poll of #Iowa. The state hasn’t been swingy in a long time, but the #Selzer poll, conducted for The #DesMoinesRegister, can offer clues about broader trends in the electorate. In 2016, when many #Democrats were feeling complacent about a #HillaryClinton victory, her survey showing #Trump leading by 7pts in Iowa was an early indication of his underestimated strength in the Midwest.

#Women
#HarrisWalz2024

#GiftArticle

We’ve Been Underestimating the Scale of #Women’s #Fury

By Michelle Goldberg

On Saturday evening I was watching a movie w/my family when a text message made me gasp so hard that it scared them. “What happened?” my husband asked, worried. “Nothing bad,” I said, slightly overcome. “It’s just … #AnnSelzer has #Harris up 3 in #Iowa!”

#HellHathNoFury #RoeRage #misogyny #BodilyAutonomy #ReproductiveRights #WomensRights #HumanRights #WomensHealth
#HarrisWalz2024
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/04/opinion/women-polls-trump-iowa.html?unlocked_article_code=1.XU4.-Vul.T65utkaFMJyp&smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare

"AM I THE ONLY PERSON WHO DETECTS, among many of my fellow commentators commentating away on this election, a kind of reluctance, almost a kind of embarrassment, to state the obvious: Abortion rights is the issue that could decide this presidential contest.

This is particularly clear from Ann Selzer’s Iowa poll…."

~ William Kristol

#KamalaHarris #Trump #women #abortion #Iowa #AnnSelzer
/10

https://www.thebulwark.com/p/its-abortion-stupid

"Iowa has one of the most restrictive abortion bans in the country. Beyond that, the state has been losing OB-GYNs since before Roe v Wade was overturned. And, in the wake of the decision, it’s been losing medical providers of all specialties."

#KamalaHarris #Trump #women #abortion #Iowa #AnnSelzer
/9

"[Ann Selzer's poll] shocked the political world. It also reminded us that the Supreme Court’s Dobb’s decision continues to have serious electoral consequences for the party that is determined to turn women into second-class citizens."

#KamalaHarris #Trump #women #abortion #Iowa #AnnSelzer
/8

~ Mary Trump

https://www.marytrump.org/p/north-carolinaand-iowa

"It never ceases to amaze me how amazed men are that women are voting for their literal freedom from a world where the government can force you to be an incubator - enduring months of daily torture and a lifetime of physical and psychological damage.

Yes we are single issue voters. The single issue is our life.

Stop being surprised that women are making this their issue.

Start being surprised that more men aren’t making it theirs."

#KamalaHarris #Trump #women #abortion #Iowa #AnnSelzer
/7

"It’s been obvious to me and pretty much everyone who has a uterus what is driving the shift to Harris. But Selzer helpfully clarifies the data: 'Age and gender are the two most dynamic factors that are explaining these numbers.'”

~ Michele Hornish

#KamalaHarris #Trump #women #abortion #Iowa #AnnSelzer
/6

https://michelehornish.substack.com/p/the-shock-is-shocking-pundits-dont

Tim Miller has an "emergency" talk with Ann Selzer about the shocking surprise she has offered the nation with her poll finding that Iowa appears to be tilting in the direction of Kamala Harris — due, Selzer explains, to women voters and the abortion issue.

#KamalaHarris #Trump #women #abortion #Iowa #AnnSelzer
/5

https://www.thebulwark.com/p/ann-selzer-how-could-this-be

"Here’s the thing that a lot of pollsters have been getting wrong: they don’t think abortion will be the reason that older women choose to vote for a Democrat. And I know that isn’t true. I have talked to hundreds of folks on the ground in places like Iowa. I’ve spoken to so many women.

Abortion may be seen as a political strategy to some, but it is life or death for women and girls."

#KamalaHarris #Trump #women #abortion #Iowa #AnnSelzer
/4

“'Age and gender are the two most dynamic factors that are explaining these numbers,' Ann Selzer said of the numbers.

I know this intuitively. I know that because I have been traveling into Iowa to speak to groups large and small for two years. I have been in small towns and big cities across the state and I know who is doing the organizing…

It’s the women."

~ Jess Piper

#KamalaHarris #Trump #women #abortion #Iowa #AnnSelzer
/3

https://jesspiper.substack.com/p/harris-could-takeiowa

"This entire election has been disproportionately viewed through the lens of polling that has deliberately weighted to ensure that polling doesn't miss Trump voters, but not (as far as we know) weighted to adjust for post-Dobbs polling misses.

And then Ann Selzer came along."

~ Marcy Wheeler

#KamalaHarris #Trump #media #MediaFail #polls #AnnSelzer #women
/6

https://www.emptywheel.net/2024/11/03/male-pollsters-shocked-shocked-when-a-woman-pollster-discovers-women-voters/

Nur zur Erklärung 👆: Dieses Institut macht mit die besten Umfragen in den USA, 2016 hat es etwa deutlich gemacht, dass #HillaryClinton Probleme hat. Wenn die jüngste jetzt auch nur ansatzweise korrekt ist, dann wird es am Dienstag nicht einmal spannend. 🤞

#HarrisWalz2024 #USA #PresidentialElections #PresidentialElections2024 #Selzer #AnnSelzer #DonaldTrump #KamalaHarris #Trump #Harris

Nur zur Erklärung 👆: Dieses Institut macht mit die besten Umfragen in den USA, 2016 hat es etwa deutlich gemacht, dass #HillaryClinton Probleme hat. Wenn die jüngste jetzt auch nur ansatzweise korrekt ist, dann wird es am Dienstag nicht einmal spannend. 🤞

#HarrisWalz2024 #USA #PresidentialElections #PresidentialElections2024 #Selzer #AnnSelzer #DonaldTrump #KamalaHarris #Trump #Harris

Nur zur Erklärung 👆: Dieses Institut macht mit die besten Umfragen in den USA, 2016 hat es etwa deutlich gemacht, dass #HillaryClinton Probleme hat. Wenn die jüngste jetzt auch nur ansatzweise korrekt ist, dann wird es am Dienstag nicht einmal spannend. 🤞

#HarrisWalz2024 #USA #PresidentialElections #PresidentialElections2024 #Selzer #AnnSelzer #DonaldTrump #KamalaHarris #Trump #Harris

Nur zur Erklärung 👆: Dieses Institut macht mit die besten Umfragen in den USA, 2016 hat es etwa deutlich gemacht, dass #HillaryClinton Probleme hat. Wenn die jüngste jetzt auch nur ansatzweise korrekt ist, dann wird es am Dienstag nicht einmal spannend. 🤞

#HarrisWalz2024 #USA #PresidentialElections #PresidentialElections2024 #Selzer #AnnSelzer #DonaldTrump #KamalaHarris #Trump #Harris

Nur zur Erklärung 👆: Dieses Institut macht mit die besten Umfragen in den USA, 2016 hat es etwa deutlich gemacht, dass #HillaryClinton Probleme hat. Wenn die jüngste jetzt auch nur ansatzweise korrekt ist, dann wird es am Dienstag nicht einmal spannend. 🤞

#HarrisWalz2024 #USA #PresidentialElections #PresidentialElections2024 #Selzer #AnnSelzer #DonaldTrump #KamalaHarris #Trump #Harris

✊👵

The nationally recognized #IowaPoll shows #KamalaHarris picking up support from women to surpass #DonaldTrump in a ruby-red state he has won twice''

Democrat Kamala #Harris leads Donald #Trump in #Iowa 47% to 44%, a new Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll shows.

A victory for Harris would be a shocking development after Iowa has swung aggressively to the right in recent elections, delivering Trump solid victories in 2016 and 2020.

The #poll shows that women — particularly those who are older or are politically independent — are driving the late shift toward Harris.

Trump continues to lead with his core base of support: men, evangelicals, rural residents and those without a college degree.

✊👵

The nationally recognized #IowaPoll shows #KamalaHarris picking up support from women to surpass #DonaldTrump in a ruby-red state he has won twice''

Democrat Kamala #Harris leads Donald #Trump in #Iowa 47% to 44%, a new Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll shows.

A victory for Harris would be a shocking development after Iowa has swung aggressively to the right in recent elections, delivering Trump solid victories in 2016 and 2020.

The #poll shows that women — particularly those who are older or are politically independent — are driving the late shift toward Harris.

Trump continues to lead with his core base of support: men, evangelicals, rural residents and those without a college degree.

✊👵

The nationally recognized #IowaPoll shows #KamalaHarris picking up support from women to surpass #DonaldTrump in a ruby-red state he has won twice''

Democrat Kamala #Harris leads Donald #Trump in #Iowa 47% to 44%, a new Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll shows.

A victory for Harris would be a shocking development after Iowa has swung aggressively to the right in recent elections, delivering Trump solid victories in 2016 and 2020.

The #poll shows that women — particularly those who are older or are politically independent — are driving the late shift toward Harris.

Trump continues to lead with his core base of support: men, evangelicals, rural residents and those without a college degree.

✊👵

The nationally recognized #IowaPoll shows #KamalaHarris picking up support from women to surpass #DonaldTrump in a ruby-red state he has won twice''

Democrat Kamala #Harris leads Donald #Trump in #Iowa 47% to 44%, a new Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll shows.

A victory for Harris would be a shocking development after Iowa has swung aggressively to the right in recent elections, delivering Trump solid victories in 2016 and 2020.

The #poll shows that women — particularly those who are older or are politically independent — are driving the late shift toward Harris.

Trump continues to lead with his core base of support: men, evangelicals, rural residents and those without a college degree.

✊👵

The nationally recognized #IowaPoll shows #KamalaHarris picking up support from women to surpass #DonaldTrump in a ruby-red state he has won twice''

Democrat Kamala #Harris leads Donald #Trump in #Iowa 47% to 44%, a new Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll shows.

A victory for Harris would be a shocking development after Iowa has swung aggressively to the right in recent elections, delivering Trump solid victories in 2016 and 2020.

The #poll shows that women — particularly those who are older or are politically independent — are driving the late shift toward Harris.

Trump continues to lead with his core base of support: men, evangelicals, rural residents and those without a college degree.

#polls #annselzer #iowa #desmoinesregister #elections2024 #KamalaHarris #tfg

The best pollster in the country has VP Harris leading Trump in Iowa , this is a shock;

“ The poll shows that women — particularly those who are older or are politically independent — are driving the late shift toward Harris.”

“ It’s hard for anybody to say they saw this coming,” said pollster J. Ann Selzer, president of Selzer & Co. “She has clearly leaped into a leading position.” https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2024/11/02/iowa-poll-kamala-harris-leads-donald-trump-2024-presidential-race/75354033007/

The historically most accurate pollster in the United States is Ann Selzer. She only does polls in one state - Iowa, typically a very Republican state. For the last two elections her polls were outliers that turned out to be correct, showing that Trump's support was far stronger than expected in 2016 and Biden wasn't going to run away with it in 2020.

She just put out her final poll of the election showing Kamala Harris up by 3 points... in Iowa.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yTU0ZWFNmzs

#Election2024 #2024Election #Trump #DonaldTrump #JDVance #uspol #uspolitics #politics #Kamala2024 #KamalaHarris #GOP #MAGA #MAGAts #Vote #Republicans #RVAT #Democrats #HarrisWalz2024 #VoteBlue #HarrisForPresident #HarrisWalz #VoteHarris #Iowa #AnnSelzer #Polls #Poll #Selzer

Harris 47, Trump 44 in Des Moines Register gold-standard poll of polls. Folks . . . this is in Iowa! Whoa!!!!!!!!!!

#YesWeKam #AnnSelzer #DesMoinesRegister #2024Election #DailyKos

https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2024/11/2/2281976/-Harris-leads-in-the-one-Iowa-poll-that-matters-with-major-national-implications?pm_campaign=front_page&pm_source=from_markos_desk&pm_medium=web