#osborn — Public Fediverse posts

Cindy Burbank Wins Senate Primary in Nebraska, but Plans to Drop Out to Help Dan Osborn https://www.byteseu.com/2015304/ #America #Dan(1975) #Elections #HouseOfRepresentatives #JohnPeter #MidtermElections(2026) #nebraska #osborn #Ricketts #Senate #UnitedStates #UnitedStatesOfAmerica #UnitedStatesPoliticsAndGovernment #US #USNews #USA #USANews

https://www.europesays.com/news/27989/ Cindy Burbank Wins Senate Primary in Nebraska, but Plans to Drop Out to Help Dan Osborn #Dan(1975) #elections #Headlines #HouseOfRepresentatives #JohnPeter #MidtermElections(2026) #Nebraska #News #osborn #Ricketts #Senate #TopStories #UnitedStatesPoliticsAndGovernment

holy hell they have an OSBORNE?!

and it ALSO powers on?!

https://www.govdeals.com/en/asset/7542/6794

WHAT TIME CAPSULE DID YOU UNCOVER, UW?

#osborn #OsbornComputing #vintage #seattle #retrocomputing #uw

holy hell they have an OSBORNE?!

and it ALSO powers on?!

https://www.govdeals.com/en/asset/7542/6794

WHAT TIME CAPSULE DID YOU UNCOVER, UW?

#osborn #OsbornComputing #vintage #seattle #retrocomputing #uw

holy hell they have an OSBORNE?!

and it ALSO powers on?!

https://www.govdeals.com/en/asset/7542/6794

WHAT TIME CAPSULE DID YOU UNCOVER, UW?

#osborn #OsbornComputing #vintage #seattle #retrocomputing #uw

holy hell they have an OSBORNE?!

and it ALSO powers on?!

https://www.govdeals.com/en/asset/7542/6794

WHAT TIME CAPSULE DID YOU UNCOVER, UW?

#osborn #OsbornComputing #vintage #seattle #retrocomputing #uw

holy hell they have an OSBORNE?!

and it ALSO powers on?!

https://www.govdeals.com/en/asset/7542/6794

WHAT TIME CAPSULE DID YOU UNCOVER, UW?

#osborn #OsbornComputing #vintage #seattle #retrocomputing #uw

💥the "Rural Urban Bridge Initiative" 💥

#RUBI's emergence alongside similar organizations like
🔸"Contest Every Race",
🔸the "Center for Working-Class Politics",
🔸"More Perfect Union",
and🔸 "Dirt Road Democrats",

comes at a precarious moment in national politics.

Not only is the Democratic brand now routinely described as “toxic” outside of deep-blue cities and college towns,

but the meaning and purpose of 21st-century progressivism seems uncertain,
with many supporters believing it has deviated,
at least partially,
from its populist and #New #Deal origins.

Some activists are beginning to entertain the nonpartisan path taken by independent #Dan #Osborn,
who since losing to Republican incumbent Deb Fischer in last year’s U.S. Senate race in Nebraska,
has started a "Working Class Heroes Fund"
to back future insurgents.

But harrowing political defeats do create a window—at least temporarily—to take aim at ossified party structures and discredited strategies.

For organizers like #Flaccavento and #Etelson, these candid assessments are essential to mapping a recovery.

Though #RUBI aims, in part, to overhaul the activist PR-speak that typically puts off rural and less-educated workers,
Flaccavento,
who is steeped in rural development issues,
is frank about the big picture that most D.C. consultants and their paymasters evade.

⭐️“Even the most down-to-earth language ain’t going to cut it until we address why so many people are pissed,” he says.

A significant part of RUBI’s work involves exploring how Democrats and the modern left went wrong with rural Americans.

That’s what “really differentiates us from almost every other rural group out there,”
says Flaccavento,
“which are more either trying to find better candidates
or just trying to make the case that the Democratic Party is the right party.”

Flaccavento is adamant that progressives have to comprehensively recognize that they have been in a losing battle to
“persuade [blue-collar rural] people that we really are for them when they don’t buy it anymore.”

RUBI’s work is about more than dissecting the weaknesses of contemporary progressivism, however.

Its major policy document,
“A Rural New Deal,”
co-published with "Progressive Democrats of America",
champions and expands upon the best aspects of President Biden’s domestic legacy,
particularly in the areas of antitrust enforcement
and re-establishing regional supply chains.

But unlike many D.C.-based think tanks,
RUBI and its allies are not trying to graft a left-leaning technocratic agenda onto rural workers based on an abstract assumption of what they most need.

Instead, RUBI is concerned with reimagining what
✅ “bottom-up prosperity”
looks like
in this age of regional inequality,
-- and retrieving the policy tools that give local communities “the capacity,”
as Flaccavento puts it,
“to solve many if not most of their problems.”

https://prospect.org/2025/03/21/2025-03-21-sowing-rural-insurgency-democrats/

#RUBI
#AnthonyFlaccavento #EricaEtelson
#KenMartin
#RoKhanna #ArlieHochschild #JimHightower

💥the "Rural Urban Bridge Initiative" 💥

#RUBI's emergence alongside similar organizations like
🔸"Contest Every Race",
🔸the "Center for Working-Class Politics",
🔸"More Perfect Union",
and🔸 "Dirt Road Democrats",

comes at a precarious moment in national politics.

Not only is the Democratic brand now routinely described as “toxic” outside of deep-blue cities and college towns,

but the meaning and purpose of 21st-century progressivism seems uncertain,
with many supporters believing it has deviated,
at least partially,
from its populist and #New #Deal origins.

Some activists are beginning to entertain the nonpartisan path taken by independent #Dan #Osborn,
who since losing to Republican incumbent Deb Fischer in last year’s U.S. Senate race in Nebraska,
has started a "Working Class Heroes Fund"
to back future insurgents.

But harrowing political defeats do create a window—at least temporarily—to take aim at ossified party structures and discredited strategies.

For organizers like #Flaccavento and #Etelson, these candid assessments are essential to mapping a recovery.

Though #RUBI aims, in part, to overhaul the activist PR-speak that typically puts off rural and less-educated workers,
Flaccavento,
who is steeped in rural development issues,
is frank about the big picture that most D.C. consultants and their paymasters evade.

⭐️“Even the most down-to-earth language ain’t going to cut it until we address why so many people are pissed,” he says.

A significant part of RUBI’s work involves exploring how Democrats and the modern left went wrong with rural Americans.

That’s what “really differentiates us from almost every other rural group out there,”
says Flaccavento,
“which are more either trying to find better candidates
or just trying to make the case that the Democratic Party is the right party.”

Flaccavento is adamant that progressives have to comprehensively recognize that they have been in a losing battle to
“persuade [blue-collar rural] people that we really are for them when they don’t buy it anymore.”

RUBI’s work is about more than dissecting the weaknesses of contemporary progressivism, however.

Its major policy document,
“A Rural New Deal,”
co-published with "Progressive Democrats of America",
champions and expands upon the best aspects of President Biden’s domestic legacy,
particularly in the areas of antitrust enforcement
and re-establishing regional supply chains.

But unlike many D.C.-based think tanks,
RUBI and its allies are not trying to graft a left-leaning technocratic agenda onto rural workers based on an abstract assumption of what they most need.

Instead, RUBI is concerned with reimagining what
✅ “bottom-up prosperity”
looks like
in this age of regional inequality,
-- and retrieving the policy tools that give local communities “the capacity,”
as Flaccavento puts it,
“to solve many if not most of their problems.”

https://prospect.org/2025/03/21/2025-03-21-sowing-rural-insurgency-democrats/

#RUBI
#AnthonyFlaccavento #EricaEtelson
#KenMartin
#RoKhanna #ArlieHochschild #JimHightower

💥the "Rural Urban Bridge Initiative" 💥

#RUBI's emergence alongside similar organizations like
🔸"Contest Every Race",
🔸the "Center for Working-Class Politics",
🔸"More Perfect Union",
and🔸 "Dirt Road Democrats",

comes at a precarious moment in national politics.

Not only is the Democratic brand now routinely described as “toxic” outside of deep-blue cities and college towns,

but the meaning and purpose of 21st-century progressivism seems uncertain,
with many supporters believing it has deviated,
at least partially,
from its populist and #New #Deal origins.

Some activists are beginning to entertain the nonpartisan path taken by independent #Dan #Osborn,
who since losing to Republican incumbent Deb Fischer in last year’s U.S. Senate race in Nebraska,
has started a "Working Class Heroes Fund"
to back future insurgents.

But harrowing political defeats do create a window—at least temporarily—to take aim at ossified party structures and discredited strategies.

For organizers like #Flaccavento and #Etelson, these candid assessments are essential to mapping a recovery.

Though #RUBI aims, in part, to overhaul the activist PR-speak that typically puts off rural and less-educated workers,
Flaccavento,
who is steeped in rural development issues,
is frank about the big picture that most D.C. consultants and their paymasters evade.

⭐️“Even the most down-to-earth language ain’t going to cut it until we address why so many people are pissed,” he says.

A significant part of RUBI’s work involves exploring how Democrats and the modern left went wrong with rural Americans.

That’s what “really differentiates us from almost every other rural group out there,”
says Flaccavento,
“which are more either trying to find better candidates
or just trying to make the case that the Democratic Party is the right party.”

Flaccavento is adamant that progressives have to comprehensively recognize that they have been in a losing battle to
“persuade [blue-collar rural] people that we really are for them when they don’t buy it anymore.”

RUBI’s work is about more than dissecting the weaknesses of contemporary progressivism, however.

Its major policy document,
“A Rural New Deal,”
co-published with "Progressive Democrats of America",
champions and expands upon the best aspects of President Biden’s domestic legacy,
particularly in the areas of antitrust enforcement
and re-establishing regional supply chains.

But unlike many D.C.-based think tanks,
RUBI and its allies are not trying to graft a left-leaning technocratic agenda onto rural workers based on an abstract assumption of what they most need.

Instead, RUBI is concerned with reimagining what
✅ “bottom-up prosperity”
looks like
in this age of regional inequality,
-- and retrieving the policy tools that give local communities “the capacity,”
as Flaccavento puts it,
“to solve many if not most of their problems.”

https://prospect.org/2025/03/21/2025-03-21-sowing-rural-insurgency-democrats/

#RUBI
#AnthonyFlaccavento #EricaEtelson
#KenMartin
#RoKhanna #ArlieHochschild #JimHightower

💥the "Rural Urban Bridge Initiative" 💥

#RUBI's emergence alongside similar organizations like
🔸"Contest Every Race",
🔸the "Center for Working-Class Politics",
🔸"More Perfect Union",
and🔸 "Dirt Road Democrats",

comes at a precarious moment in national politics.

Not only is the Democratic brand now routinely described as “toxic” outside of deep-blue cities and college towns,

but the meaning and purpose of 21st-century progressivism seems uncertain,
with many supporters believing it has deviated,
at least partially,
from its populist and #New #Deal origins.

Some activists are beginning to entertain the nonpartisan path taken by independent #Dan #Osborn,
who since losing to Republican incumbent Deb Fischer in last year’s U.S. Senate race in Nebraska,
has started a "Working Class Heroes Fund"
to back future insurgents.

But harrowing political defeats do create a window—at least temporarily—to take aim at ossified party structures and discredited strategies.

For organizers like #Flaccavento and #Etelson, these candid assessments are essential to mapping a recovery.

Though #RUBI aims, in part, to overhaul the activist PR-speak that typically puts off rural and less-educated workers,
Flaccavento,
who is steeped in rural development issues,
is frank about the big picture that most D.C. consultants and their paymasters evade.

⭐️“Even the most down-to-earth language ain’t going to cut it until we address why so many people are pissed,” he says.

A significant part of RUBI’s work involves exploring how Democrats and the modern left went wrong with rural Americans.

That’s what “really differentiates us from almost every other rural group out there,”
says Flaccavento,
“which are more either trying to find better candidates
or just trying to make the case that the Democratic Party is the right party.”

Flaccavento is adamant that progressives have to comprehensively recognize that they have been in a losing battle to
“persuade [blue-collar rural] people that we really are for them when they don’t buy it anymore.”

RUBI’s work is about more than dissecting the weaknesses of contemporary progressivism, however.

Its major policy document,
“A Rural New Deal,”
co-published with "Progressive Democrats of America",
champions and expands upon the best aspects of President Biden’s domestic legacy,
particularly in the areas of antitrust enforcement
and re-establishing regional supply chains.

But unlike many D.C.-based think tanks,
RUBI and its allies are not trying to graft a left-leaning technocratic agenda onto rural workers based on an abstract assumption of what they most need.

Instead, RUBI is concerned with reimagining what
✅ “bottom-up prosperity”
looks like
in this age of regional inequality,
-- and retrieving the policy tools that give local communities “the capacity,”
as Flaccavento puts it,
“to solve many if not most of their problems.”

https://prospect.org/2025/03/21/2025-03-21-sowing-rural-insurgency-democrats/

#RUBI
#AnthonyFlaccavento #EricaEtelson
#KenMartin
#RoKhanna #ArlieHochschild #JimHightower

💥the "Rural Urban Bridge Initiative" 💥

#RUBI's emergence alongside similar organizations like
🔸"Contest Every Race",
🔸the "Center for Working-Class Politics",
🔸"More Perfect Union",
and🔸 "Dirt Road Democrats",

comes at a precarious moment in national politics.

Not only is the Democratic brand now routinely described as “toxic” outside of deep-blue cities and college towns,

but the meaning and purpose of 21st-century progressivism seems uncertain,
with many supporters believing it has deviated,
at least partially,
from its populist and #New #Deal origins.

Some activists are beginning to entertain the nonpartisan path taken by independent #Dan #Osborn,
who since losing to Republican incumbent Deb Fischer in last year’s U.S. Senate race in Nebraska,
has started a "Working Class Heroes Fund"
to back future insurgents.

But harrowing political defeats do create a window—at least temporarily—to take aim at ossified party structures and discredited strategies.

For organizers like #Flaccavento and #Etelson, these candid assessments are essential to mapping a recovery.

Though #RUBI aims, in part, to overhaul the activist PR-speak that typically puts off rural and less-educated workers,
Flaccavento,
who is steeped in rural development issues,
is frank about the big picture that most D.C. consultants and their paymasters evade.

⭐️“Even the most down-to-earth language ain’t going to cut it until we address why so many people are pissed,” he says.

A significant part of RUBI’s work involves exploring how Democrats and the modern left went wrong with rural Americans.

That’s what “really differentiates us from almost every other rural group out there,”
says Flaccavento,
“which are more either trying to find better candidates
or just trying to make the case that the Democratic Party is the right party.”

Flaccavento is adamant that progressives have to comprehensively recognize that they have been in a losing battle to
“persuade [blue-collar rural] people that we really are for them when they don’t buy it anymore.”

RUBI’s work is about more than dissecting the weaknesses of contemporary progressivism, however.

Its major policy document,
“A Rural New Deal,”
co-published with "Progressive Democrats of America",
champions and expands upon the best aspects of President Biden’s domestic legacy,
particularly in the areas of antitrust enforcement
and re-establishing regional supply chains.

But unlike many D.C.-based think tanks,
RUBI and its allies are not trying to graft a left-leaning technocratic agenda onto rural workers based on an abstract assumption of what they most need.

Instead, RUBI is concerned with reimagining what
✅ “bottom-up prosperity”
looks like
in this age of regional inequality,
-- and retrieving the policy tools that give local communities “the capacity,”
as Flaccavento puts it,
“to solve many if not most of their problems.”

https://prospect.org/2025/03/21/2025-03-21-sowing-rural-insurgency-democrats/

#RUBI
#AnthonyFlaccavento #EricaEtelson
#KenMartin
#RoKhanna #ArlieHochschild #JimHightower

Right now, #Osborn #Kendall, a #Sniady's world premiere #Malinowski and #Venables from #Warsaw https://www.worldconcerthall.com/en/schedule/osborn_kendall_a_sniadys_world_premiere_malinowski_and_venables_from_warsaw/89064/ #wch

In 20 minutes, #Osborn #Kendall, a #Sniady's world premiere #Malinowski and #Venables from #Warsaw https://www.worldconcerthall.com/en/schedule/osborn_kendall_a_sniadys_world_premiere_malinowski_and_venables_from_warsaw/89064/ #wch

Today, #Osborn #Kendall, a #Sniady's world premiere #Malinowski and #Venables from #Warsaw https://www.worldconcerthall.com/en/schedule/osborn_kendall_a_sniadys_world_premiere_malinowski_and_venables_from_warsaw/89064/ #wch

Democrats have a choice: Do they expand the Senate map?

Republicans’ acute Senate candidate-quality problem has come back to haunt them.

In a cycle in which Democratic-held seats in Ohio, Pennsylvania, Arizona, Michigan, Wisconsin, Nevada and Montana were up for grabs,
the GOP managed to field candidates ranging from mediocre to dismal (e.g., Kari Lake in Arizona)
-- and is in deep trouble in all but one.

These Republican cranks are proving no match for wily incumbents such as
Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-Ohio)
and talented House members making a run for the Senate
(e.g., Rep. Elissa Slotkin of Michigan, Rep. Ruben Gallego of Arizona).


At this point, Democrats are feeling comfortable (although not complacent) about all but Montana.

Sen. Jon Tester (D-Mont.), running for his fourth term, managed to stay afloat in a deep-red state even in 2012,when President Barack Obama ran double digits behind Mitt Romney there.

🆘 This cycle, however, polling at the end of August showed Tester down several points, prompting several analysts to shift the race to “Lean Republican.”

And Montana looms large in this cycle.

With Sen. Joe Manchin III (I-W.Va.) leaving the Senate, 🔥Democrats will lose control if Tester loses,
even if they hold all of the other Republican-targeted states
— unless they can pick up another seat somewhere else.

Democrats have some big decisions to make.

Tester famously closes strongly and certainly could still win.
Spending heavily on TV ads and turnout might be enough.

But some analysts and party activists are looking for backup paths to the majority

Remarkably, Senate GOP incumbents in Florida, Texas and Nebraska have only tiny leads in recent polls
(e.g., two percentage points in deep-red Nebraska),
a shocking result in states that have voted strongly Republican in recent years.


Incumbent Sen. Deb Fischer (R-Neb.), a lackluster candidate who has not had a serious challenger, now faces independent candidate #Dan #Osborn.
She is breaking a promise to serve just two terms.

Osborn is “a union leader and Navy veteran hoping that a nontraditional background can help him overperform in the state’s rural areas and with blue-collar voters,” according to the Cook Political Report.

Moreover, “The super PAC Retire Career Politicians
— which is backed by the Democratic group Sixteen Thirty Fund
— has already spent nearly $1.4 million on TV ads, which goes a long way in an inexpensive state like Nebraska,” Cook explains.

“Their first ad in early August emphasized Osborn comes from the working class and pitches him as uniquely positioned to fight for economic relief.”

Some additional Democratic investment in Nebraska appears to be a cost-effective backup plan for Democrats. A modest expenditure wouldn’t require significant (if any) diversion of funds from Montana.


Two other races are dicier.

Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Tex.) has a slight lead in most polls over Rep.
Colin #Allred (D-Tex.)
— a dynamic candidate, a hawk on the border and fourth-generation Texan
— whom former Rep. Liz Cheney (R-Wyo.) endorsed.

A recent Morning Consult poll had Allred up by one point.

That brings us to 🔸Florida, where Republican Sen. Rick Scott faces Democrat #Debbie #Mucarsel-#Powell.

The latest Emerson poll shows her down by just one point, another by just four points.

Both are in the margin of error.

And those polls come at a time when Scott is vastly outspending her.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2024/09/22/texas-florida-montana-2024-senate-races-majority/

Democrats have a choice: Do they expand the Senate map?

Republicans’ acute Senate candidate-quality problem has come back to haunt them.

In a cycle in which Democratic-held seats in Ohio, Pennsylvania, Arizona, Michigan, Wisconsin, Nevada and Montana were up for grabs,
the GOP managed to field candidates ranging from mediocre to dismal (e.g., Kari Lake in Arizona)
-- and is in deep trouble in all but one.

These Republican cranks are proving no match for wily incumbents such as
Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-Ohio)
and talented House members making a run for the Senate
(e.g., Rep. Elissa Slotkin of Michigan, Rep. Ruben Gallego of Arizona).


At this point, Democrats are feeling comfortable (although not complacent) about all but Montana.

Sen. Jon Tester (D-Mont.), running for his fourth term, managed to stay afloat in a deep-red state even in 2012,when President Barack Obama ran double digits behind Mitt Romney there.

🆘 This cycle, however, polling at the end of August showed Tester down several points, prompting several analysts to shift the race to “Lean Republican.”

And Montana looms large in this cycle.

With Sen. Joe Manchin III (I-W.Va.) leaving the Senate, 🔥Democrats will lose control if Tester loses,
even if they hold all of the other Republican-targeted states
— unless they can pick up another seat somewhere else.

Democrats have some big decisions to make.

Tester famously closes strongly and certainly could still win.
Spending heavily on TV ads and turnout might be enough.

But some analysts and party activists are looking for backup paths to the majority

Remarkably, Senate GOP incumbents in Florida, Texas and Nebraska have only tiny leads in recent polls
(e.g., two percentage points in deep-red Nebraska),
a shocking result in states that have voted strongly Republican in recent years.


Incumbent Sen. Deb Fischer (R-Neb.), a lackluster candidate who has not had a serious challenger, now faces independent candidate #Dan #Osborn.
She is breaking a promise to serve just two terms.

Osborn is “a union leader and Navy veteran hoping that a nontraditional background can help him overperform in the state’s rural areas and with blue-collar voters,” according to the Cook Political Report.

Moreover, “The super PAC Retire Career Politicians
— which is backed by the Democratic group Sixteen Thirty Fund
— has already spent nearly $1.4 million on TV ads, which goes a long way in an inexpensive state like Nebraska,” Cook explains.

“Their first ad in early August emphasized Osborn comes from the working class and pitches him as uniquely positioned to fight for economic relief.”

Some additional Democratic investment in Nebraska appears to be a cost-effective backup plan for Democrats. A modest expenditure wouldn’t require significant (if any) diversion of funds from Montana.


Two other races are dicier.

Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Tex.) has a slight lead in most polls over Rep.
Colin #Allred (D-Tex.)
— a dynamic candidate, a hawk on the border and fourth-generation Texan
— whom former Rep. Liz Cheney (R-Wyo.) endorsed.

A recent Morning Consult poll had Allred up by one point.

That brings us to 🔸Florida, where Republican Sen. Rick Scott faces Democrat #Debbie #Mucarsel-#Powell.

The latest Emerson poll shows her down by just one point, another by just four points.

Both are in the margin of error.

And those polls come at a time when Scott is vastly outspending her.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2024/09/22/texas-florida-montana-2024-senate-races-majority/

Democrats have a choice: Do they expand the Senate map?

Republicans’ acute Senate candidate-quality problem has come back to haunt them.

In a cycle in which Democratic-held seats in Ohio, Pennsylvania, Arizona, Michigan, Wisconsin, Nevada and Montana were up for grabs,
the GOP managed to field candidates ranging from mediocre to dismal (e.g., Kari Lake in Arizona)
-- and is in deep trouble in all but one.

These Republican cranks are proving no match for wily incumbents such as
Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-Ohio)
and talented House members making a run for the Senate
(e.g., Rep. Elissa Slotkin of Michigan, Rep. Ruben Gallego of Arizona).


At this point, Democrats are feeling comfortable (although not complacent) about all but Montana.

Sen. Jon Tester (D-Mont.), running for his fourth term, managed to stay afloat in a deep-red state even in 2012,when President Barack Obama ran double digits behind Mitt Romney there.

🆘 This cycle, however, polling at the end of August showed Tester down several points, prompting several analysts to shift the race to “Lean Republican.”

And Montana looms large in this cycle.

With Sen. Joe Manchin III (I-W.Va.) leaving the Senate, 🔥Democrats will lose control if Tester loses,
even if they hold all of the other Republican-targeted states
— unless they can pick up another seat somewhere else.

Democrats have some big decisions to make.

Tester famously closes strongly and certainly could still win.
Spending heavily on TV ads and turnout might be enough.

But some analysts and party activists are looking for backup paths to the majority

Remarkably, Senate GOP incumbents in Florida, Texas and Nebraska have only tiny leads in recent polls
(e.g., two percentage points in deep-red Nebraska),
a shocking result in states that have voted strongly Republican in recent years.


Incumbent Sen. Deb Fischer (R-Neb.), a lackluster candidate who has not had a serious challenger, now faces independent candidate #Dan #Osborn.
She is breaking a promise to serve just two terms.

Osborn is “a union leader and Navy veteran hoping that a nontraditional background can help him overperform in the state’s rural areas and with blue-collar voters,” according to the Cook Political Report.

Moreover, “The super PAC Retire Career Politicians
— which is backed by the Democratic group Sixteen Thirty Fund
— has already spent nearly $1.4 million on TV ads, which goes a long way in an inexpensive state like Nebraska,” Cook explains.

“Their first ad in early August emphasized Osborn comes from the working class and pitches him as uniquely positioned to fight for economic relief.”

Some additional Democratic investment in Nebraska appears to be a cost-effective backup plan for Democrats. A modest expenditure wouldn’t require significant (if any) diversion of funds from Montana.


Two other races are dicier.

Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Tex.) has a slight lead in most polls over Rep.
Colin #Allred (D-Tex.)
— a dynamic candidate, a hawk on the border and fourth-generation Texan
— whom former Rep. Liz Cheney (R-Wyo.) endorsed.

A recent Morning Consult poll had Allred up by one point.

That brings us to 🔸Florida, where Republican Sen. Rick Scott faces Democrat #Debbie #Mucarsel-#Powell.

The latest Emerson poll shows her down by just one point, another by just four points.

Both are in the margin of error.

And those polls come at a time when Scott is vastly outspending her.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2024/09/22/texas-florida-montana-2024-senate-races-majority/

Democrats have a choice: Do they expand the Senate map?

Republicans’ acute Senate candidate-quality problem has come back to haunt them.

In a cycle in which Democratic-held seats in Ohio, Pennsylvania, Arizona, Michigan, Wisconsin, Nevada and Montana were up for grabs,
the GOP managed to field candidates ranging from mediocre to dismal (e.g., Kari Lake in Arizona)
-- and is in deep trouble in all but one.

These Republican cranks are proving no match for wily incumbents such as
Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-Ohio)
and talented House members making a run for the Senate
(e.g., Rep. Elissa Slotkin of Michigan, Rep. Ruben Gallego of Arizona).


At this point, Democrats are feeling comfortable (although not complacent) about all but Montana.

Sen. Jon Tester (D-Mont.), running for his fourth term, managed to stay afloat in a deep-red state even in 2012,when President Barack Obama ran double digits behind Mitt Romney there.

🆘 This cycle, however, polling at the end of August showed Tester down several points, prompting several analysts to shift the race to “Lean Republican.”

And Montana looms large in this cycle.

With Sen. Joe Manchin III (I-W.Va.) leaving the Senate, 🔥Democrats will lose control if Tester loses,
even if they hold all of the other Republican-targeted states
— unless they can pick up another seat somewhere else.

Democrats have some big decisions to make.

Tester famously closes strongly and certainly could still win.
Spending heavily on TV ads and turnout might be enough.

But some analysts and party activists are looking for backup paths to the majority

Remarkably, Senate GOP incumbents in Florida, Texas and Nebraska have only tiny leads in recent polls
(e.g., two percentage points in deep-red Nebraska),
a shocking result in states that have voted strongly Republican in recent years.


Incumbent Sen. Deb Fischer (R-Neb.), a lackluster candidate who has not had a serious challenger, now faces independent candidate #Dan #Osborn.
She is breaking a promise to serve just two terms.

Osborn is “a union leader and Navy veteran hoping that a nontraditional background can help him overperform in the state’s rural areas and with blue-collar voters,” according to the Cook Political Report.

Moreover, “The super PAC Retire Career Politicians
— which is backed by the Democratic group Sixteen Thirty Fund
— has already spent nearly $1.4 million on TV ads, which goes a long way in an inexpensive state like Nebraska,” Cook explains.

“Their first ad in early August emphasized Osborn comes from the working class and pitches him as uniquely positioned to fight for economic relief.”

Some additional Democratic investment in Nebraska appears to be a cost-effective backup plan for Democrats. A modest expenditure wouldn’t require significant (if any) diversion of funds from Montana.


Two other races are dicier.

Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Tex.) has a slight lead in most polls over Rep.
Colin #Allred (D-Tex.)
— a dynamic candidate, a hawk on the border and fourth-generation Texan
— whom former Rep. Liz Cheney (R-Wyo.) endorsed.

A recent Morning Consult poll had Allred up by one point.

That brings us to 🔸Florida, where Republican Sen. Rick Scott faces Democrat #Debbie #Mucarsel-#Powell.

The latest Emerson poll shows her down by just one point, another by just four points.

Both are in the margin of error.

And those polls come at a time when Scott is vastly outspending her.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2024/09/22/texas-florida-montana-2024-senate-races-majority/

Democrats have a choice: Do they expand the Senate map?

Republicans’ acute Senate candidate-quality problem has come back to haunt them.

In a cycle in which Democratic-held seats in Ohio, Pennsylvania, Arizona, Michigan, Wisconsin, Nevada and Montana were up for grabs,
the GOP managed to field candidates ranging from mediocre to dismal (e.g., Kari Lake in Arizona)
-- and is in deep trouble in all but one.

These Republican cranks are proving no match for wily incumbents such as
Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-Ohio)
and talented House members making a run for the Senate
(e.g., Rep. Elissa Slotkin of Michigan, Rep. Ruben Gallego of Arizona).


At this point, Democrats are feeling comfortable (although not complacent) about all but Montana.

Sen. Jon Tester (D-Mont.), running for his fourth term, managed to stay afloat in a deep-red state even in 2012,when President Barack Obama ran double digits behind Mitt Romney there.

🆘 This cycle, however, polling at the end of August showed Tester down several points, prompting several analysts to shift the race to “Lean Republican.”

And Montana looms large in this cycle.

With Sen. Joe Manchin III (I-W.Va.) leaving the Senate, 🔥Democrats will lose control if Tester loses,
even if they hold all of the other Republican-targeted states
— unless they can pick up another seat somewhere else.

Democrats have some big decisions to make.

Tester famously closes strongly and certainly could still win.
Spending heavily on TV ads and turnout might be enough.

But some analysts and party activists are looking for backup paths to the majority

Remarkably, Senate GOP incumbents in Florida, Texas and Nebraska have only tiny leads in recent polls
(e.g., two percentage points in deep-red Nebraska),
a shocking result in states that have voted strongly Republican in recent years.


Incumbent Sen. Deb Fischer (R-Neb.), a lackluster candidate who has not had a serious challenger, now faces independent candidate #Dan #Osborn.
She is breaking a promise to serve just two terms.

Osborn is “a union leader and Navy veteran hoping that a nontraditional background can help him overperform in the state’s rural areas and with blue-collar voters,” according to the Cook Political Report.

Moreover, “The super PAC Retire Career Politicians
— which is backed by the Democratic group Sixteen Thirty Fund
— has already spent nearly $1.4 million on TV ads, which goes a long way in an inexpensive state like Nebraska,” Cook explains.

“Their first ad in early August emphasized Osborn comes from the working class and pitches him as uniquely positioned to fight for economic relief.”

Some additional Democratic investment in Nebraska appears to be a cost-effective backup plan for Democrats. A modest expenditure wouldn’t require significant (if any) diversion of funds from Montana.


Two other races are dicier.

Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Tex.) has a slight lead in most polls over Rep.
Colin #Allred (D-Tex.)
— a dynamic candidate, a hawk on the border and fourth-generation Texan
— whom former Rep. Liz Cheney (R-Wyo.) endorsed.

A recent Morning Consult poll had Allred up by one point.

That brings us to 🔸Florida, where Republican Sen. Rick Scott faces Democrat #Debbie #Mucarsel-#Powell.

The latest Emerson poll shows her down by just one point, another by just four points.

Both are in the margin of error.

And those polls come at a time when Scott is vastly outspending her.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2024/09/22/texas-florida-montana-2024-senate-races-majority/