#ncwx — Public Fediverse posts
Live and recent posts from across the Fediverse tagged #ncwx, aggregated by home.social.
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Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
251 AM EDT Thu May 28 2026WHAT HAS CHANGED
Aviation Update.
Removed any mention of severe weather and potential for flooding.
KEY MESSAGES
KEY MESSAGE 1: Dry weather into this weekend.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1: Dry weather into this weekend.
A cold front will slide south into the Carolinas today, finally bringing an end to the week-long onslaught of rain showers. While this front will lack truly cold air initially, it will usher in dry conditions and abundant sunshine. Temperatures will warm into the mid to upper 70s across the mountains and reach the mid 80s in the foothills and Piedmont, peaking around 5 degrees warmer than normal for this time of year.
Cooler air will begin to arrive tonight, dropping overnight lows into the 50s. Winds will blow out of the northwest today before rotating to the northeast over the weekend. This influx of cold, dry air from the northeast will cause temperatures to fall below normal as the weekend progresses. Thanks to high pressure remaining firmly in control, rain chances will stay very low into the weekend.
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Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
251 AM EDT Thu May 28 2026WHAT HAS CHANGED
Aviation Update.
Removed any mention of severe weather and potential for flooding.
KEY MESSAGES
KEY MESSAGE 1: Dry weather into this weekend.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1: Dry weather into this weekend.
A cold front will slide south into the Carolinas today, finally bringing an end to the week-long onslaught of rain showers. While this front will lack truly cold air initially, it will usher in dry conditions and abundant sunshine. Temperatures will warm into the mid to upper 70s across the mountains and reach the mid 80s in the foothills and Piedmont, peaking around 5 degrees warmer than normal for this time of year.
Cooler air will begin to arrive tonight, dropping overnight lows into the 50s. Winds will blow out of the northwest today before rotating to the northeast over the weekend. This influx of cold, dry air from the northeast will cause temperatures to fall below normal as the weekend progresses. Thanks to high pressure remaining firmly in control, rain chances will stay very low into the weekend.
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Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
251 AM EDT Thu May 28 2026WHAT HAS CHANGED
Aviation Update.
Removed any mention of severe weather and potential for flooding.
KEY MESSAGES
KEY MESSAGE 1: Dry weather into this weekend.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1: Dry weather into this weekend.
A cold front will slide south into the Carolinas today, finally bringing an end to the week-long onslaught of rain showers. While this front will lack truly cold air initially, it will usher in dry conditions and abundant sunshine. Temperatures will warm into the mid to upper 70s across the mountains and reach the mid 80s in the foothills and Piedmont, peaking around 5 degrees warmer than normal for this time of year.
Cooler air will begin to arrive tonight, dropping overnight lows into the 50s. Winds will blow out of the northwest today before rotating to the northeast over the weekend. This influx of cold, dry air from the northeast will cause temperatures to fall below normal as the weekend progresses. Thanks to high pressure remaining firmly in control, rain chances will stay very low into the weekend.
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#NWS #flood #nwsflashflood #FlashFloodWarning Flash Flood Warning for Caldwell, NC #NCwx
FFWGSPThe National Weather Service in Greenville-Spartanburg has issued a
* Flash Flood Warning for...
North Central Caldwell County in western North Carolina...* Until 630 PM EDT.
* At 322 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing
heavy rain across the warned area. Between 2 and 4 inches of rain
have fallen. The expected rainfall rate is 0.5 to 1 inch in 1
hour. Additional rainfall amounts of 0.5 to 1 inch are possible in
the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin
shortly.HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.
SOURCE...Radar.
IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban
areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as
other poor drainage and low-lying areas.* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
Buffalo Creek valley and associated tributaries in the Buffalo
Cove Community. Areas of concern include near Buffalo Cove Road,
Stone Mountain Road and Cove Branch Road. -
#NWS #flood #nwsflashflood #FlashFloodWarning Flash Flood Warning for Caldwell, NC #NCwx
FFWGSPThe National Weather Service in Greenville-Spartanburg has issued a
* Flash Flood Warning for...
North Central Caldwell County in western North Carolina...* Until 630 PM EDT.
* At 322 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing
heavy rain across the warned area. Between 2 and 4 inches of rain
have fallen. The expected rainfall rate is 0.5 to 1 inch in 1
hour. Additional rainfall amounts of 0.5 to 1 inch are possible in
the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin
shortly.HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.
SOURCE...Radar.
IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban
areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as
other poor drainage and low-lying areas.* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
Buffalo Creek valley and associated tributaries in the Buffalo
Cove Community. Areas of concern include near Buffalo Cove Road,
Stone Mountain Road and Cove Branch Road. -
#NWS #flood #nwsflashflood #FlashFloodWarning Flash Flood Warning for Caldwell, NC #NCwx
FFWGSPThe National Weather Service in Greenville-Spartanburg has issued a
* Flash Flood Warning for...
North Central Caldwell County in western North Carolina...* Until 630 PM EDT.
* At 322 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing
heavy rain across the warned area. Between 2 and 4 inches of rain
have fallen. The expected rainfall rate is 0.5 to 1 inch in 1
hour. Additional rainfall amounts of 0.5 to 1 inch are possible in
the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin
shortly.HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.
SOURCE...Radar.
IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban
areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as
other poor drainage and low-lying areas.* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
Buffalo Creek valley and associated tributaries in the Buffalo
Cove Community. Areas of concern include near Buffalo Cove Road,
Stone Mountain Road and Cove Branch Road. -
#NWS #flood #nwsflashflood #FlashFloodWarning Flash Flood Warning for Caldwell, NC #NCwx
FFWGSPThe National Weather Service in Greenville-Spartanburg has issued a
* Flash Flood Warning for...
North Central Caldwell County in western North Carolina...* Until 630 PM EDT.
* At 322 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing
heavy rain across the warned area. Between 2 and 4 inches of rain
have fallen. The expected rainfall rate is 0.5 to 1 inch in 1
hour. Additional rainfall amounts of 0.5 to 1 inch are possible in
the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin
shortly.HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.
SOURCE...Radar.
IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban
areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as
other poor drainage and low-lying areas.* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
Buffalo Creek valley and associated tributaries in the Buffalo
Cove Community. Areas of concern include near Buffalo Cove Road,
Stone Mountain Road and Cove Branch Road. -
National Weather Service, Wakefield, VA.
704 AM EDT, Tuesday, May 26, 2026.
Changes:
…Key Messages:
1) Showers and thunderstorms capable of heavy rainfall are expected today. Additional showers and thunderstorms on Wednesday will continue the heavy rainfall threat with a marginal risk of severe thunderstorms.
2) Drier weather returns to end the week and likely continues into next weekend. -
National Weather Service, Wakefield, VA.
704 AM EDT, Tuesday, May 26, 2026.
Changes:
…Key Messages:
1) Showers and thunderstorms capable of heavy rainfall are expected today. Additional showers and thunderstorms on Wednesday will continue the heavy rainfall threat with a marginal risk of severe thunderstorms.
2) Drier weather returns to end the week and likely continues into next weekend. -
National Weather Service, Wakefield, VA.
704 AM EDT, Tuesday, May 26, 2026.
Changes:
…Key Messages:
1) Showers and thunderstorms capable of heavy rainfall are expected today. Additional showers and thunderstorms on Wednesday will continue the heavy rainfall threat with a marginal risk of severe thunderstorms.
2) Drier weather returns to end the week and likely continues into next weekend. -
National Weather Service, Wakefield, VA.
704 AM EDT, Tuesday, May 26, 2026.
Changes:
…Key Messages:
1) Showers and thunderstorms capable of heavy rainfall are expected today. Additional showers and thunderstorms on Wednesday will continue the heavy rainfall threat with a marginal risk of severe thunderstorms.
2) Drier weather returns to end the week and likely continues into next weekend. -
National Weather Service, Wakefield, VA.
704 AM EDT, Tuesday, May 26, 2026.
Changes:
…Key Messages:
1) Showers and thunderstorms capable of heavy rainfall are expected today. Additional showers and thunderstorms on Wednesday will continue the heavy rainfall threat with a marginal risk of severe thunderstorms.
2) Drier weather returns to end the week and likely continues into next weekend. -
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
346 AM EDT Tue May 26 2026WHAT HAS CHANGED
A slight risk for excessive rainfall is in place today for areas south of I-64.
There is a marginal risk for severe storms Wednesday afternoon for the Eastern Piedmont.
KEY MESSAGES
KEY MESSAGE 1: Flash flooding risk increased for today, continues into Wednesday.
KEY MESSAGE 2: Rain chances continue through Wednesday night thanks to a stalled front, drier weather expected late week.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1: Flash flooding risk increased for today, continues into Wednesday.
The Weather Prediction Center has issued a Slight Risk for excessive rainfall for most of our area today, generally south of I-64. After yesterday`s heavy rainfall, where some locations picked up 4-6", any additional rainfall could lead to flash flooding. Despite the drought, recent rains have begun to saturate the top layer of soil, and have caused rivers and streams to rise back to normal levels. The synoptic setup is virtually unchanged from yesterday, which could lead to another round of heavy rainfall where showers/storms form this afternoon. CAM models indicate some training of storms is possible yet again, though confidence is low in what location this may occur.
In addition to the recent rains, very high moisture content is present across the area, with precipitable water values around 1.5-2.0". This is due to tropical moisture being pulled into the area from the Bermuda high in the Atlantic and a disturbance along the Gulf Coast. Any showers/storms will have efficient rainfall with high rain rates of 3-4" per hour at times. Should these efficient storms train over the same area, then rain totals again could be several inches in those locations. If training storms occur over the same areas as yesterday, then flash flooding would be much more likely. Urban, low-lying, and flood-prone areas will be the most susceptible to flooding.
The flooding risk continues on Wednesday as a stationary front remains stalled across the area, with an area-wide Marginal Risk for excessive rainfall currently in place. Should heavy rainfall happen today, this risk could be upgraded.
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AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
335 AM EDT Tue May 26 2026MARINE
As of 335 AM EDT Tuesday...
Key Messages:
- Marine dense fog remains a concern today, particularly north of Parramore Island on the ocean.
- Sub-SCA winds and seas prevail through most of this week. Thunderstorms could bring locally higher winds and waves today and Wednesday.
The weak frontal boundary that has resided near or over the area the past several days is situated just north of the waters this morning. The wind direction varies from the SW in the southern waters to a light W/NW or variable wind in the northern waters. The light flow and moist airmass continues to exacerbate fog concerns, with < 1 NM visbilities likely present N of Parramore Island on the ocean. A Dense Fog Advisory is now in effect through the early afternoon. Additional fog is possible through the day and could expand southward this afternoon and evening, but confidence is not particularly high. Additionally, showers and isolated storms are again possible today with the highest probability in the lower Chesapeake Bay and S of Cape Charles on the ocean. These will be in association with the aforementioned front, which will slowly drop southward through the day. In general, the SW wind this morning should become rather variable later today with the front nearby. A gradual shift back to the S and SW is then expected tonight into Wednesday as the front lifts back N. Seas average 2-3 ft with 1-2 ft waves in the Chesapeake Bay during this time.
A stronger cold front drops southward across the area early Thursday with the wind becoming northerly. While a brief surge in northerly winds is possible along and just behind the front late Thursday morning, conditions should mostly stay sub-SCA. High pressure builds in from NW Friday with light winds. A stronger system could bring a period of N/NE winds this weekend, with gradually building seas and potential SCAs.
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Last week featured a fair weather period until the end of time. This week, rain without end, amen
And of course, nothing but the finest beach experience for our visitors. Seas to 7 feet with isolated to scattered thunderstorms possible.
Georgia and South Carolina to have the nearest severe thunderstorms.
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Last week featured a fair weather period until the end of time. This week, rain without end, amen
And of course, nothing but the finest beach experience for our visitors. Seas to 7 feet with isolated to scattered thunderstorms possible.
Georgia and South Carolina to have the nearest severe thunderstorms.
-
Last week featured a fair weather period until the end of time. This week, rain without end, amen
And of course, nothing but the finest beach experience for our visitors. Seas to 7 feet with isolated to scattered thunderstorms possible.
Georgia and South Carolina to have the nearest severe thunderstorms.
-
Last week featured a fair weather period until the end of time. This week, rain without end, amen
And of course, nothing but the finest beach experience for our visitors. Seas to 7 feet with isolated to scattered thunderstorms possible.
Georgia and South Carolina to have the nearest severe thunderstorms.
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Last week featured a fair weather period until the end of time. This week, rain without end, amen
And of course, nothing but the finest beach experience for our visitors. Seas to 7 feet with isolated to scattered thunderstorms possible.
Georgia and South Carolina to have the nearest severe thunderstorms.
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KEY MESSAGES:
1) The holiday weekend will be cooler, with rain today and rain and moderate temperatures from Sunday through next week.
2) Temperatures will moderate on Sunday as the front lifts north, but the unsettled pattern will continue, bringing more needed rainfall.
Siri edited out the bit about Friday being cloudy with periods of rain. NC forecast area is included in SPC’s thunderstorm guidance.
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Well, just mention whitecaps in the street, and cue up a thunderstorm with a huge downpour for about 15 minutes.
Again, this is the precip section of the Ambient Weather Network app, and then some pictures of the rain.
Haven't seen this much water at once since last summer.
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New drought map for the US is out today, with many areas in the west showing an improvement. Colorado and the SE are not doing much better than previously.
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Hearing thunder, one very tiny storm blew through, with 0.03" falling. Even that is welcome.
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Day 1 thunderstorm outlook. Darker green will have isolated to scattered severe thunderstorms 757 Virginia will have possible isolated to scattered late afternoon thunderstorms.
As the trough moves east, temperatures drop and rainfall probability increases for Thursday and Friday.
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Tuesday dawns a typical early summer day with heat in the low 90s to continue our fair weather outbreak (drought continues).
Boffins expect fair weather to continue Wednesday.
Rain and thunderstorms accompany cooler temperatures Thursday and Friday.
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Today we've already hit 88F after weeks of well-below normal temperatures, and I'm not ready for it.
With the drought, everything looks more like August than May, with brown, curled grass and drooping plants.
They are teasing us with rain later this week, and we will definitely be in trouble if we don't get it. Spoke to someone in CLT this morning, and they're going under water restrictions.
When are all the new plants going in? June 1st. After 16 months of delay. 🤦🏽♀️
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Today we've already hit 88F after weeks of well-below normal temperatures, and I'm not ready for it.
With the drought, everything looks more like August than May, with brown, curled grass and drooping plants.
They are teasing us with rain later this week, and we will definitely be in trouble if we don't get it. Spoke to someone in CLT this morning, and they're going under water restrictions.
When are all the new plants going in? June 1st. After 16 months of delay. 🤦🏽♀️
-
Today we've already hit 88F after weeks of well-below normal temperatures, and I'm not ready for it.
With the drought, everything looks more like August than May, with brown, curled grass and drooping plants.
They are teasing us with rain later this week, and we will definitely be in trouble if we don't get it. Spoke to someone in CLT this morning, and they're going under water restrictions.
When are all the new plants going in? June 1st. After 16 months of delay. 🤦🏽♀️
-
Today we've already hit 88F after weeks of well-below normal temperatures, and I'm not ready for it.
With the drought, everything looks more like August than May, with brown, curled grass and drooping plants.
They are teasing us with rain later this week, and we will definitely be in trouble if we don't get it. Spoke to someone in CLT this morning, and they're going under water restrictions.
When are all the new plants going in? June 1st. After 16 months of delay. 🤦🏽♀️
-
Today we've already hit 88F after weeks of well-below normal temperatures, and I'm not ready for it.
With the drought, everything looks more like August than May, with brown, curled grass and drooping plants.
They are teasing us with rain later this week, and we will definitely be in trouble if we don't get it. Spoke to someone in CLT this morning, and they're going under water restrictions.
When are all the new plants going in? June 1st. After 16 months of delay. 🤦🏽♀️
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Today we start mandatory water restrictions. I have a competitive advantage because restrictions fall mostly on lawn irrigation and I converted almost all of my lawn into garden. Gardens have fewer restrictions. 🕺
Looking ahead to a strong El Nino, and the resulting hotter and drier forecast locally, I've cut back on planting for the summer.
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A wild swing down to 37F here in #Asheville this morning, before we zoom back to the upper 80's and stay there. It's been a strange but enjoyable respite from early summer here.
Hoping the heat brings some rain as well.
Wishing everyone a good #Friday (or Saturday, depending where they are, and when they see this.)
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A wild swing down to 37F here in #Asheville this morning, before we zoom back to the upper 80's and stay there. It's been a strange but enjoyable respite from early summer here.
Hoping the heat brings some rain as well.
Wishing everyone a good #Friday (or Saturday, depending where they are, and when they see this.)
-
A wild swing down to 37F here in #Asheville this morning, before we zoom back to the upper 80's and stay there. It's been a strange but enjoyable respite from early summer here.
Hoping the heat brings some rain as well.
Wishing everyone a good #Friday (or Saturday, depending where they are, and when they see this.)
-
A wild swing down to 37F here in #Asheville this morning, before we zoom back to the upper 80's and stay there. It's been a strange but enjoyable respite from early summer here.
Hoping the heat brings some rain as well.
Wishing everyone a good #Friday (or Saturday, depending where they are, and when they see this.)
