#ncwx — Public Fediverse posts
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https://youtu.be/J-pnaf1N4Fc?is=YWCIiwECzTXV-a7j
Monday’s forecast is so dismal that Mad Max is hugging his cat while giving the opening run-down of today’s MaxVelocity brief. -
https://youtu.be/J-pnaf1N4Fc?is=YWCIiwECzTXV-a7j
Monday’s forecast is so dismal that Mad Max is hugging his cat while giving the opening run-down of today’s MaxVelocity brief. -
Monday’s hazards map is looking drab. The story behind it may not be.
NWS Wakefield, VA, expects garden-variety thunderstorms here Monday. SPC expects Monday’s action will be in the Carolina’s Low Country.
Tuesday and Wednesday storms may be more significant, as SPC predicts severe thunderstorms action will move northward and expand to menace 80 million people.
July 20 daily brief will be up after 0930q
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Monday’s hazards map is looking drab. The story behind it may not be.
NWS Wakefield, VA, expects garden-variety thunderstorms here Monday. SPC expects Monday’s action will be in the Carolina’s Low Country.
Tuesday and Wednesday storms may be more significant, as SPC predicts severe thunderstorms action will move northward and expand to menace 80 million people.
July 20 daily brief will be up after 0930q
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Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
243 AM EDT Mon Jul 20 2026WHAT HAS CHANGED
Better convective chances over North Carolina today. Hot and humid but heat index values not quite as high as previous days.
KEY MESSAGES
1. Elevated heat index values continue through Wednesday. Cooler temperatures later in the week should provide some relief from the heat. 2. Another round of scattered convection with a few severe storms possible today. Less convective coverage is anticipated on Tuesday, but a few severe storms remain possible. A weak cold front brings increased coverage and the potential for more severe weather on Wednesday.
DISCUSSION
Key message 1: Elevated heat index values continue through Wednesday. Cooler temperatures later in the week should provide some relief from the heat.
Highs remain nearly steady in the low to mid 90s outside of the mountains today and Tuesday. Dewpoints should mix out enough to keep heat index values below 105 for most locations. That said, can`t rule out a spotty brief 105 value along and south of the I-85 corridor either day. Temps do fall a few degrees Wednesday but dewpoints remain elevated. This keeps elevated heat index values along and south of the I-85 corridor. Again, most locations remain below 105 but a spotty brief 105 is possible. An airmass change takes place behind a cold front for Thursday and Friday. Highs actually end up below normal, a welcome break from the recent heat and humidity. Until then, stay hydrated, take frequent breaks in air- conditioned or shaded areas, and never leave children or pets unattended in vehicles.
Key message 2: Another round of scattered convection with a few severe storms possible today. Less convective coverage is anticipated on Tuesday, but a few severe storms remain possible. A weak cold front brings increased coverage and the potential for more severe weather on Wednesday…
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Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
243 AM EDT Mon Jul 20 2026WHAT HAS CHANGED
Better convective chances over North Carolina today. Hot and humid but heat index values not quite as high as previous days.
KEY MESSAGES
1. Elevated heat index values continue through Wednesday. Cooler temperatures later in the week should provide some relief from the heat. 2. Another round of scattered convection with a few severe storms possible today. Less convective coverage is anticipated on Tuesday, but a few severe storms remain possible. A weak cold front brings increased coverage and the potential for more severe weather on Wednesday.
DISCUSSION
Key message 1: Elevated heat index values continue through Wednesday. Cooler temperatures later in the week should provide some relief from the heat.
Highs remain nearly steady in the low to mid 90s outside of the mountains today and Tuesday. Dewpoints should mix out enough to keep heat index values below 105 for most locations. That said, can`t rule out a spotty brief 105 value along and south of the I-85 corridor either day. Temps do fall a few degrees Wednesday but dewpoints remain elevated. This keeps elevated heat index values along and south of the I-85 corridor. Again, most locations remain below 105 but a spotty brief 105 is possible. An airmass change takes place behind a cold front for Thursday and Friday. Highs actually end up below normal, a welcome break from the recent heat and humidity. Until then, stay hydrated, take frequent breaks in air- conditioned or shaded areas, and never leave children or pets unattended in vehicles.
Key message 2: Another round of scattered convection with a few severe storms possible today. Less convective coverage is anticipated on Tuesday, but a few severe storms remain possible. A weak cold front brings increased coverage and the potential for more severe weather on Wednesday…
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Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
243 AM EDT Mon Jul 20 2026WHAT HAS CHANGED
Better convective chances over North Carolina today. Hot and humid but heat index values not quite as high as previous days.
KEY MESSAGES
1. Elevated heat index values continue through Wednesday. Cooler temperatures later in the week should provide some relief from the heat. 2. Another round of scattered convection with a few severe storms possible today. Less convective coverage is anticipated on Tuesday, but a few severe storms remain possible. A weak cold front brings increased coverage and the potential for more severe weather on Wednesday.
DISCUSSION
Key message 1: Elevated heat index values continue through Wednesday. Cooler temperatures later in the week should provide some relief from the heat.
Highs remain nearly steady in the low to mid 90s outside of the mountains today and Tuesday. Dewpoints should mix out enough to keep heat index values below 105 for most locations. That said, can`t rule out a spotty brief 105 value along and south of the I-85 corridor either day. Temps do fall a few degrees Wednesday but dewpoints remain elevated. This keeps elevated heat index values along and south of the I-85 corridor. Again, most locations remain below 105 but a spotty brief 105 is possible. An airmass change takes place behind a cold front for Thursday and Friday. Highs actually end up below normal, a welcome break from the recent heat and humidity. Until then, stay hydrated, take frequent breaks in air- conditioned or shaded areas, and never leave children or pets unattended in vehicles.
Key message 2: Another round of scattered convection with a few severe storms possible today. Less convective coverage is anticipated on Tuesday, but a few severe storms remain possible. A weak cold front brings increased coverage and the potential for more severe weather on Wednesday…
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AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
252 AM EDT Mon Jul 20 2026WHAT HAS CHANGED
Slight risk ERO has been expanded slightly to cover all of northeast North Carolina today.
KEY MESSAGES
1) A stalled frontal boundary will produce showers and a few thunderstorms over southern Virginia and northeast North Carolina today. Locally heavy rainfall will be possible.
2) Periods of unsettled weather are expected through much of the coming week. Temperatures will trend below normal by Thursday and Friday.
DISCUSSION
As of 250 AM EDT Monday...
KEY MESSAGE 1...A stalled frontal boundary will produce showers and a few thunderstorms over southern Virginia and northeast North Carolina today. Locally heavy rainfall will be possible.
As of 0230Z, a frontal boundary is stalled across far southern VA early this morning with some isolated showers ongoing over the Peninsulas and also VA Beach south into NE NC. This boundary will remain fairly stationary through the day today, before lifting back north as a warm from by this evening and tonight/early Tues AM. This feature will be the focus for shower and isolated strong tstm development again today, primarily this afternoon/evening, There is a low end SVR threat today, mainly for a few instances of damaging winds, and also a SLGT ERO for all of NE NC and a marginal ERO across southern VA for isolated flash flooding due to heavy rainfall potential. Dew points will be highest across southern areas today (mid-70s) with PWATs in excess of 2", hence the MRGL/SLGT ERO. Highs today will be in the mid 80s with the some low 80s along the immediate coast. As the warm front lifts north tonight, we`ll see scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms and locally heavy rainfall will be possible. Lows tonight in the upr 60s to mid 70s.
MARINE
As of 250 AM EDT Monday...
- Small Craft conditions are likely across the waters late Tuesday into Wednesday.
- Strong storms are possible through mid week, primarily during the afternoons and evenings.
Benign marine conditions prevail today with primarily onshore flow around 10kt expected. Seas will be 2 to 3 feet. A stationary boundary lingers near the NC/VA border today, leading to scattered showers and storms across southern waters. The front lifts north tonight into tomorrow and winds turn SW as a result. Winds steadily build Tuesday into Wednesday as the pressure gradient tightens in front of a cold front. SW winds around 15kt forecast for Tues morning, increasing to 20-25kt with gusts to 30kt later Tues evening through at least Wed morning. Local wind probs for 25kt+ wind gusts peak early Wednesday morning. SCAs will likely be needed Tues evening through much of Wed. Seas build to 5-7ft during this time with waves in the bay at 3 to 4ft. Widespread showers and storms, some of which may be severe, are also expected with the cold front late Tues into Wed. Conditions improve behind the front Thurs as winds turn to the north, then NE at 10-15kt. r the northern beaches and low/moderate risk for the southern beaches.
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AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
252 AM EDT Mon Jul 20 2026WHAT HAS CHANGED
Slight risk ERO has been expanded slightly to cover all of northeast North Carolina today.
KEY MESSAGES
1) A stalled frontal boundary will produce showers and a few thunderstorms over southern Virginia and northeast North Carolina today. Locally heavy rainfall will be possible.
2) Periods of unsettled weather are expected through much of the coming week. Temperatures will trend below normal by Thursday and Friday.
DISCUSSION
As of 250 AM EDT Monday...
KEY MESSAGE 1...A stalled frontal boundary will produce showers and a few thunderstorms over southern Virginia and northeast North Carolina today. Locally heavy rainfall will be possible.
As of 0230Z, a frontal boundary is stalled across far southern VA early this morning with some isolated showers ongoing over the Peninsulas and also VA Beach south into NE NC. This boundary will remain fairly stationary through the day today, before lifting back north as a warm from by this evening and tonight/early Tues AM. This feature will be the focus for shower and isolated strong tstm development again today, primarily this afternoon/evening, There is a low end SVR threat today, mainly for a few instances of damaging winds, and also a SLGT ERO for all of NE NC and a marginal ERO across southern VA for isolated flash flooding due to heavy rainfall potential. Dew points will be highest across southern areas today (mid-70s) with PWATs in excess of 2", hence the MRGL/SLGT ERO. Highs today will be in the mid 80s with the some low 80s along the immediate coast. As the warm front lifts north tonight, we`ll see scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms and locally heavy rainfall will be possible. Lows tonight in the upr 60s to mid 70s.
MARINE
As of 250 AM EDT Monday...
- Small Craft conditions are likely across the waters late Tuesday into Wednesday.
- Strong storms are possible through mid week, primarily during the afternoons and evenings.
Benign marine conditions prevail today with primarily onshore flow around 10kt expected. Seas will be 2 to 3 feet. A stationary boundary lingers near the NC/VA border today, leading to scattered showers and storms across southern waters. The front lifts north tonight into tomorrow and winds turn SW as a result. Winds steadily build Tuesday into Wednesday as the pressure gradient tightens in front of a cold front. SW winds around 15kt forecast for Tues morning, increasing to 20-25kt with gusts to 30kt later Tues evening through at least Wed morning. Local wind probs for 25kt+ wind gusts peak early Wednesday morning. SCAs will likely be needed Tues evening through much of Wed. Seas build to 5-7ft during this time with waves in the bay at 3 to 4ft. Widespread showers and storms, some of which may be severe, are also expected with the cold front late Tues into Wed. Conditions improve behind the front Thurs as winds turn to the north, then NE at 10-15kt. r the northern beaches and low/moderate risk for the southern beaches.
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AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
252 AM EDT Mon Jul 20 2026WHAT HAS CHANGED
Slight risk ERO has been expanded slightly to cover all of northeast North Carolina today.
KEY MESSAGES
1) A stalled frontal boundary will produce showers and a few thunderstorms over southern Virginia and northeast North Carolina today. Locally heavy rainfall will be possible.
2) Periods of unsettled weather are expected through much of the coming week. Temperatures will trend below normal by Thursday and Friday.
DISCUSSION
As of 250 AM EDT Monday...
KEY MESSAGE 1...A stalled frontal boundary will produce showers and a few thunderstorms over southern Virginia and northeast North Carolina today. Locally heavy rainfall will be possible.
As of 0230Z, a frontal boundary is stalled across far southern VA early this morning with some isolated showers ongoing over the Peninsulas and also VA Beach south into NE NC. This boundary will remain fairly stationary through the day today, before lifting back north as a warm from by this evening and tonight/early Tues AM. This feature will be the focus for shower and isolated strong tstm development again today, primarily this afternoon/evening, There is a low end SVR threat today, mainly for a few instances of damaging winds, and also a SLGT ERO for all of NE NC and a marginal ERO across southern VA for isolated flash flooding due to heavy rainfall potential. Dew points will be highest across southern areas today (mid-70s) with PWATs in excess of 2", hence the MRGL/SLGT ERO. Highs today will be in the mid 80s with the some low 80s along the immediate coast. As the warm front lifts north tonight, we`ll see scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms and locally heavy rainfall will be possible. Lows tonight in the upr 60s to mid 70s.
MARINE
As of 250 AM EDT Monday...
- Small Craft conditions are likely across the waters late Tuesday into Wednesday.
- Strong storms are possible through mid week, primarily during the afternoons and evenings.
Benign marine conditions prevail today with primarily onshore flow around 10kt expected. Seas will be 2 to 3 feet. A stationary boundary lingers near the NC/VA border today, leading to scattered showers and storms across southern waters. The front lifts north tonight into tomorrow and winds turn SW as a result. Winds steadily build Tuesday into Wednesday as the pressure gradient tightens in front of a cold front. SW winds around 15kt forecast for Tues morning, increasing to 20-25kt with gusts to 30kt later Tues evening through at least Wed morning. Local wind probs for 25kt+ wind gusts peak early Wednesday morning. SCAs will likely be needed Tues evening through much of Wed. Seas build to 5-7ft during this time with waves in the bay at 3 to 4ft. Widespread showers and storms, some of which may be severe, are also expected with the cold front late Tues into Wed. Conditions improve behind the front Thurs as winds turn to the north, then NE at 10-15kt. r the northern beaches and low/moderate risk for the southern beaches.
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#NCwx #NWSRaleigh
Scattered instances of flash flooding and damaging downburst winds may result this afternoon through early tonight. -
#NCwx #NWSRaleigh
Scattered instances of flash flooding and damaging downburst winds may result this afternoon through early tonight. -
#NWS #flood #nwsflashflood #FlashFloodWarning Flash Flood Warning for Anson, NC; Richmond, NC #NCwx
FFWRAHThe National Weather Service in Raleigh has extended the
* Flash Flood Warning for...
Southeastern Anson County in central North Carolina...
Richmond County in central North Carolina...* Until 500 AM EDT.
* At 235 AM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing
heavy rain across the warned area. Between 2 and 3 inches of rain
have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches are
possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected
to begin shortly.HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.
SOURCE...Radar.
IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban
areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as
other poor drainage and low-lying areas.* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
Rockingham, Wadesboro, Hamlet, Ellerbe, Dobbins Heights,
Lilesville, Morven, Norman, McFarlan, Blewett Falls Lake, Diggs,
East Rockingham, Covington and Sandhills Game Land. -
#NWS #flood #nwsflashflood #FlashFloodWarning Flash Flood Warning for Anson, NC; Montgomery, NC; Richmond, NC; Stanly, NC #NCwx
The heavy rain has shifted southward and has ended across the
warning area. Flooding is no longer expected to pose a threat
although a separate Flash Flood Warning remains in effect for Anson
County. Please continue to heed remaining road closures. -
#NWS #flood #nwsflashflood #FlashFloodWarning Flash Flood Warning for Anson, NC #NCwx
FFWRAHThe National Weather Service in Raleigh has issued a
* Flash Flood Warning for...
Western Anson County in central North Carolina...* Until 500 AM EDT.
* At 133 AM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing
heavy rain across the warned area. Between 1 and 2 inches of rain
have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts of 2 to 3 inches are
possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected
to begin shortly.HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.
SOURCE...Radar.
IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban
areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as
other poor drainage and low-lying areas.* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
Ansonville, Polkton, Peachland and White Store. -
#NWS #flood #nwsflashflood #FlashFloodWarning Flash Flood Warning for Anson, NC; Richmond, NC #NCwx
At 1257 AM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing
heavy rain across the warned area. Between 2 and 3 inches of rain
have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts of 2 to 3 inches are
possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected
to begin shortly.HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.
SOURCE...Radar.
IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor
drainage and low-lying areas.Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
Rockingham, Wadesboro, Hamlet, Ellerbe, Dobbins Heights,
Lilesville, Morven, Norman, McFarlan, Blewett Falls Lake, Diggs,
East Rockingham, Covington and Sandhills Game Land. -
#NWS #flood #nwsflashflood #FlashFloodWarning Flash Flood Warning for Anson, NC; Montgomery, NC; Richmond, NC; Stanly, NC #NCwx
At 1252 AM EDT, Doppler radar indicated that thunderstorms have
temporarily ended across the warning area. Additional storms are
expected to move into the area between 1 and 2 AM, and flash
flooding remains a possibility.HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.
SOURCE...Radar.
IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor
drainage and low-lying areas.Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
Ansonville, Norwood, Oakboro, Mount Gilead, Uwharrie Haven and
Lake Tillery. -
#NWS #flood #nwsflashflood #FlashFloodWarning Flash Flood Warning for Anson, NC; Richmond, NC #NCwx
FFWRAHThe National Weather Service in Raleigh has issued a
* Flash Flood Warning for...
Southeastern Anson County in central North Carolina...
Richmond County in central North Carolina...* Until 300 AM EDT.
* At 1201 AM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing
heavy rain across the warned area. Between 2 and 3 inches of rain
have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are
possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected
to begin shortly.HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.
SOURCE...Radar.
IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban
areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as
other poor drainage and low-lying areas.* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
Rockingham, Wadesboro, Hamlet, Ellerbe, Dobbins Heights,
Lilesville, Morven, Norman, McFarlan, Blewett Falls Lake, Diggs,
East Rockingham, Covington and Sandhills Game Land. -
#NWS #flood #nwsflashflood #FlashFloodWarning Flash Flood Warning for Anson, NC; Montgomery, NC; Richmond, NC; Stanly, NC #NCwx
FFWRAHThe National Weather Service in Raleigh has issued a
* Flash Flood Warning for...
Northwestern Anson County in central North Carolina...
Southwestern Montgomery County in central North Carolina...
Northwestern Richmond County in central North Carolina...
Southeastern Stanly County in central North Carolina...* Until 200 AM EDT.
* At 1056 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing
heavy rain across the warned area. Between 2 and 3 inches of rain
have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches are
possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected
to begin shortly.HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.
SOURCE...Radar.
IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban
areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as
other poor drainage and low-lying areas.* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
Ansonville, Norwood, Oakboro, Mount Gilead, Uwharrie Haven and
Lake Tillery. -
#NWS #flood #nwsflashflood #FlashFloodWarning Flash Flood Warning for Anson, NC; Montgomery, NC; Richmond, NC; Stanly, NC #NCwx
FFWRAHThe National Weather Service in Raleigh has issued a
* Flash Flood Warning for...
Northwestern Anson County in central North Carolina...
Southwestern Montgomery County in central North Carolina...
Northwestern Richmond County in central North Carolina...
Southeastern Stanly County in central North Carolina...* Until 200 AM EDT.
* At 1056 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing
heavy rain across the warned area. Between 2 and 3 inches of rain
have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches are
possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected
to begin shortly.HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.
SOURCE...Radar.
IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban
areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as
other poor drainage and low-lying areas.* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
Ansonville, Norwood, Oakboro, Mount Gilead, Uwharrie Haven and
Lake Tillery. -
Your Sunday Dismal Dominion (757) weather outlook.
Scattered thunderstorms with isolated severe thunderstorms are possible Sunday afternoon and evening. Flash flooding is possible from slow-moving or training thunderstorms.
On the bay Sunday fair winds and following seas with scattered thunderstorms bringing small craft advisory winds and seas.
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Your Sunday Dismal Dominion (757) weather outlook.
Scattered thunderstorms with isolated severe thunderstorms are possible Sunday afternoon and evening. Flash flooding is possible from slow-moving or training thunderstorms.
On the bay Sunday fair winds and following seas with scattered thunderstorms bringing small craft advisory winds and seas.
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Your Sunday Dismal Dominion (757) weather outlook.
Scattered thunderstorms with isolated severe thunderstorms are possible Sunday afternoon and evening. Flash flooding is possible from slow-moving or training thunderstorms.
On the bay Sunday fair winds and following seas with scattered thunderstorms bringing small craft advisory winds and seas.
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Your Sunday Dismal Dominion (757) weather outlook.
Scattered thunderstorms with isolated severe thunderstorms are possible Sunday afternoon and evening. Flash flooding is possible from slow-moving or training thunderstorms.
On the bay Sunday fair winds and following seas with scattered thunderstorms bringing small craft advisory winds and seas.
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Your Sunday Dismal Dominion (757) weather outlook.
Scattered thunderstorms with isolated severe thunderstorms are possible Sunday afternoon and evening. Flash flooding is possible from slow-moving or training thunderstorms.
On the bay Sunday fair winds and following seas with scattered thunderstorms bringing small craft advisory winds and seas.
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Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
250 AM EDT Sun Jul 19 2026WHAT HAS CHANGED
Severe thunderstorm chance has increased for today.
KEY MESSAGES
1. Hot and humid conditions with heat index values ranging from 100 to 105 degrees this afternoon. Elevated heat index values continue through Wednesday. Cooler temperatures later in the week should keep heat indices below 100 degrees. 2. Increased convective coverage expected today with some severe thunderstorms. Damaging winds are likely to be the main hazard. Elevated convective coverage continues Monday with a few severe storms. Typical diurnal shower and thunderstorm chances Tuesday, before a cold front brings increased coverage and the potential for more severe weather on Wednesday.
DISCUSSION
Key message 1: Hot and humid conditions with heat index values ranging from 100 to 105 degrees this afternoon. Elevated heat index values continue through Wednesday. Cooler temperatures later in the week should keep heat indices below 100 degrees.
Despite better convective coverage and associated cloud debris, along with lower thickness values, highs will reach the low to mid 90 today. With elevated dewpoints, heat index values over 100 are expected for much of the area. A few locations may briefly reach 105, but should be isolated enough to preclude a Heat Advisory. Highs cool further on Monday but spike back up a few degrees Tuesday and Wednesday. Heat index values will mostly be 100 or less Monday, but with the increased temps and lingering elevated dewpoints Tuesday and Wednesday, heat index increases back over 100 for many locations along and south of the I-85 corridor. Spotty 105 values are possible Tuesday, but the probability of needing a Heat Advisory looks low at this time. The heat and humidity finally break by Thursday with an air mass chance behind a cold front. Until then, stay hydrated, take frequent breaks in air-conditioned or shaded areas, and never leave children or pets unattended in vehicles.
Key message 2: Increased convective coverage expected today with some severe thunderstorms. Damaging winds are likely to be the main hazard. Elevated convective coverage continues Monday with a few severe storms. Typical diurnal shower and thunderstorm chances Tuesday, before a cold front brings increased coverage and the potential for more severe weather on Wednesday…
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Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
250 AM EDT Sun Jul 19 2026WHAT HAS CHANGED
Severe thunderstorm chance has increased for today.
KEY MESSAGES
1. Hot and humid conditions with heat index values ranging from 100 to 105 degrees this afternoon. Elevated heat index values continue through Wednesday. Cooler temperatures later in the week should keep heat indices below 100 degrees. 2. Increased convective coverage expected today with some severe thunderstorms. Damaging winds are likely to be the main hazard. Elevated convective coverage continues Monday with a few severe storms. Typical diurnal shower and thunderstorm chances Tuesday, before a cold front brings increased coverage and the potential for more severe weather on Wednesday.
DISCUSSION
Key message 1: Hot and humid conditions with heat index values ranging from 100 to 105 degrees this afternoon. Elevated heat index values continue through Wednesday. Cooler temperatures later in the week should keep heat indices below 100 degrees.
Despite better convective coverage and associated cloud debris, along with lower thickness values, highs will reach the low to mid 90 today. With elevated dewpoints, heat index values over 100 are expected for much of the area. A few locations may briefly reach 105, but should be isolated enough to preclude a Heat Advisory. Highs cool further on Monday but spike back up a few degrees Tuesday and Wednesday. Heat index values will mostly be 100 or less Monday, but with the increased temps and lingering elevated dewpoints Tuesday and Wednesday, heat index increases back over 100 for many locations along and south of the I-85 corridor. Spotty 105 values are possible Tuesday, but the probability of needing a Heat Advisory looks low at this time. The heat and humidity finally break by Thursday with an air mass chance behind a cold front. Until then, stay hydrated, take frequent breaks in air-conditioned or shaded areas, and never leave children or pets unattended in vehicles.
Key message 2: Increased convective coverage expected today with some severe thunderstorms. Damaging winds are likely to be the main hazard. Elevated convective coverage continues Monday with a few severe storms. Typical diurnal shower and thunderstorm chances Tuesday, before a cold front brings increased coverage and the potential for more severe weather on Wednesday…
-
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
250 AM EDT Sun Jul 19 2026WHAT HAS CHANGED
Severe thunderstorm chance has increased for today.
KEY MESSAGES
1. Hot and humid conditions with heat index values ranging from 100 to 105 degrees this afternoon. Elevated heat index values continue through Wednesday. Cooler temperatures later in the week should keep heat indices below 100 degrees. 2. Increased convective coverage expected today with some severe thunderstorms. Damaging winds are likely to be the main hazard. Elevated convective coverage continues Monday with a few severe storms. Typical diurnal shower and thunderstorm chances Tuesday, before a cold front brings increased coverage and the potential for more severe weather on Wednesday.
DISCUSSION
Key message 1: Hot and humid conditions with heat index values ranging from 100 to 105 degrees this afternoon. Elevated heat index values continue through Wednesday. Cooler temperatures later in the week should keep heat indices below 100 degrees.
Despite better convective coverage and associated cloud debris, along with lower thickness values, highs will reach the low to mid 90 today. With elevated dewpoints, heat index values over 100 are expected for much of the area. A few locations may briefly reach 105, but should be isolated enough to preclude a Heat Advisory. Highs cool further on Monday but spike back up a few degrees Tuesday and Wednesday. Heat index values will mostly be 100 or less Monday, but with the increased temps and lingering elevated dewpoints Tuesday and Wednesday, heat index increases back over 100 for many locations along and south of the I-85 corridor. Spotty 105 values are possible Tuesday, but the probability of needing a Heat Advisory looks low at this time. The heat and humidity finally break by Thursday with an air mass chance behind a cold front. Until then, stay hydrated, take frequent breaks in air-conditioned or shaded areas, and never leave children or pets unattended in vehicles.
Key message 2: Increased convective coverage expected today with some severe thunderstorms. Damaging winds are likely to be the main hazard. Elevated convective coverage continues Monday with a few severe storms. Typical diurnal shower and thunderstorm chances Tuesday, before a cold front brings increased coverage and the potential for more severe weather on Wednesday…
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Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
229 AM EDT Sun Jul 19 2026WHAT HAS CHANGED
* A Heat Advisory has been issued for much of the region today, except for portions of the Piedmont. Timing is 11 AM through 800 PM.
* There is a slight risk of severe thunderstorms (level 2 of 5) across the state this afternoon into tonight, including all of central NC. The main threat will be damaging wind.
KEY MESSAGES
As of 229 AM Sunday...
1) A Heat Advisory has been issued for much of the region today, except portions of the Piedmont. Timing is 11 AM through 800 PM.
2) There is a slight risk of severe thunderstorms (level 2 of 5) across the state this afternoon into tonight, including all of central NC. The main threat will be damaging wind.
3) Continued periods of unsettled weather this week as a stalled front lingers across NC.
DISCUSSION
As of 229 AM Sunday...
KEY MESSAGE 1... A Heat Advisory has been issued for much of the region today, except portions of the Piedmont. Timing is 11 AM through 800 PM.
Yet another Heat Advisory has been issued for today. It is generally in the same locations that had one on Saturday. Actual highs will be a few degrees lower today; however, dew points will be higher. Actual highs will mostly be in the mid 90s, with dew points well up into the 70s. This will yield apparent temperatures in the 105-107 range for several hours. Timing of convective development may be later today, given the latest trends. This would give more time of sun and heat before we get convectively overturned later or this evening.
KEY MESSAGE 2... There is a slight risk of severe thunderstorms (level 2 of 5) across the state this afternoon into tonight, including all of central NC. The main threat will be damaging wind…
RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
Heat Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 8 PM EDT this evening for NCZ008>010-024>028-040>043-075>078-083>086-088-089.
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Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
229 AM EDT Sun Jul 19 2026WHAT HAS CHANGED
* A Heat Advisory has been issued for much of the region today, except for portions of the Piedmont. Timing is 11 AM through 800 PM.
* There is a slight risk of severe thunderstorms (level 2 of 5) across the state this afternoon into tonight, including all of central NC. The main threat will be damaging wind.
KEY MESSAGES
As of 229 AM Sunday...
1) A Heat Advisory has been issued for much of the region today, except portions of the Piedmont. Timing is 11 AM through 800 PM.
2) There is a slight risk of severe thunderstorms (level 2 of 5) across the state this afternoon into tonight, including all of central NC. The main threat will be damaging wind.
3) Continued periods of unsettled weather this week as a stalled front lingers across NC.
DISCUSSION
As of 229 AM Sunday...
KEY MESSAGE 1... A Heat Advisory has been issued for much of the region today, except portions of the Piedmont. Timing is 11 AM through 800 PM.
Yet another Heat Advisory has been issued for today. It is generally in the same locations that had one on Saturday. Actual highs will be a few degrees lower today; however, dew points will be higher. Actual highs will mostly be in the mid 90s, with dew points well up into the 70s. This will yield apparent temperatures in the 105-107 range for several hours. Timing of convective development may be later today, given the latest trends. This would give more time of sun and heat before we get convectively overturned later or this evening.
KEY MESSAGE 2... There is a slight risk of severe thunderstorms (level 2 of 5) across the state this afternoon into tonight, including all of central NC. The main threat will be damaging wind…
RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
Heat Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 8 PM EDT this evening for NCZ008>010-024>028-040>043-075>078-083>086-088-089.
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Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
229 AM EDT Sun Jul 19 2026WHAT HAS CHANGED
* A Heat Advisory has been issued for much of the region today, except for portions of the Piedmont. Timing is 11 AM through 800 PM.
* There is a slight risk of severe thunderstorms (level 2 of 5) across the state this afternoon into tonight, including all of central NC. The main threat will be damaging wind.
KEY MESSAGES
As of 229 AM Sunday...
1) A Heat Advisory has been issued for much of the region today, except portions of the Piedmont. Timing is 11 AM through 800 PM.
2) There is a slight risk of severe thunderstorms (level 2 of 5) across the state this afternoon into tonight, including all of central NC. The main threat will be damaging wind.
3) Continued periods of unsettled weather this week as a stalled front lingers across NC.
DISCUSSION
As of 229 AM Sunday...
KEY MESSAGE 1... A Heat Advisory has been issued for much of the region today, except portions of the Piedmont. Timing is 11 AM through 800 PM.
Yet another Heat Advisory has been issued for today. It is generally in the same locations that had one on Saturday. Actual highs will be a few degrees lower today; however, dew points will be higher. Actual highs will mostly be in the mid 90s, with dew points well up into the 70s. This will yield apparent temperatures in the 105-107 range for several hours. Timing of convective development may be later today, given the latest trends. This would give more time of sun and heat before we get convectively overturned later or this evening.
KEY MESSAGE 2... There is a slight risk of severe thunderstorms (level 2 of 5) across the state this afternoon into tonight, including all of central NC. The main threat will be damaging wind…
RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
Heat Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 8 PM EDT this evening for NCZ008>010-024>028-040>043-075>078-083>086-088-089.
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Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
159 AM EDT Sun Jul 19 2026WHAT HAS CHANGED
The entire forecast has been updated. Shower and thunderstorm coverage was adjusted closer towards the NC/VA border for later this afternoon.
KEY MESSAGES
1) More strong thunderstorms are possible later today, and additional storms could occur by late Tuesday into Wednesday.
2) Temperatures should turn more seasonable by the middle of the week after a frontal passage.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...More strong thunderstorms are possible later today, and additional storms could occur by late Tuesday into Wednesday.
A cold front is currently positioned along the Ohio River and entering West Virginia at this time. Notable cloud cover will keep a lid on instability across most of the mountains by this morning with some scattered showers decaying to the west. However, model soundings indicate CAPE climbing up to 1,500 J/kg across the NC/VA border by midday today, which should allow more showers and thunderstorms to develop this afternoon. The severe threat appears to be greatest across the North Carolina Piedmont towards the evening with damaging wind gusts as the primary threat.
Convection should wane after the frontal passage on Sunday night, and there may be a lull in activity by Monday morning with some patchy fog in the mountains. Showers and thunderstorms appear more isolated by Monday afternoon as they will be confined mostly to the NC/VA border with the aforementioned cold front stalling across the Outer Banks. Another cold front should sweep southeastward from the Great Lakes by late Tuesday with the potential for more storms that could bring a damaging wind gust threat. This frontal boundary seems notably stronger and should pass across the Appalachian Mountains by Wednesday.
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Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
159 AM EDT Sun Jul 19 2026WHAT HAS CHANGED
The entire forecast has been updated. Shower and thunderstorm coverage was adjusted closer towards the NC/VA border for later this afternoon.
KEY MESSAGES
1) More strong thunderstorms are possible later today, and additional storms could occur by late Tuesday into Wednesday.
2) Temperatures should turn more seasonable by the middle of the week after a frontal passage.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...More strong thunderstorms are possible later today, and additional storms could occur by late Tuesday into Wednesday.
A cold front is currently positioned along the Ohio River and entering West Virginia at this time. Notable cloud cover will keep a lid on instability across most of the mountains by this morning with some scattered showers decaying to the west. However, model soundings indicate CAPE climbing up to 1,500 J/kg across the NC/VA border by midday today, which should allow more showers and thunderstorms to develop this afternoon. The severe threat appears to be greatest across the North Carolina Piedmont towards the evening with damaging wind gusts as the primary threat.
Convection should wane after the frontal passage on Sunday night, and there may be a lull in activity by Monday morning with some patchy fog in the mountains. Showers and thunderstorms appear more isolated by Monday afternoon as they will be confined mostly to the NC/VA border with the aforementioned cold front stalling across the Outer Banks. Another cold front should sweep southeastward from the Great Lakes by late Tuesday with the potential for more storms that could bring a damaging wind gust threat. This frontal boundary seems notably stronger and should pass across the Appalachian Mountains by Wednesday.
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Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
159 AM EDT Sun Jul 19 2026WHAT HAS CHANGED
The entire forecast has been updated. Shower and thunderstorm coverage was adjusted closer towards the NC/VA border for later this afternoon.
KEY MESSAGES
1) More strong thunderstorms are possible later today, and additional storms could occur by late Tuesday into Wednesday.
2) Temperatures should turn more seasonable by the middle of the week after a frontal passage.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...More strong thunderstorms are possible later today, and additional storms could occur by late Tuesday into Wednesday.
A cold front is currently positioned along the Ohio River and entering West Virginia at this time. Notable cloud cover will keep a lid on instability across most of the mountains by this morning with some scattered showers decaying to the west. However, model soundings indicate CAPE climbing up to 1,500 J/kg across the NC/VA border by midday today, which should allow more showers and thunderstorms to develop this afternoon. The severe threat appears to be greatest across the North Carolina Piedmont towards the evening with damaging wind gusts as the primary threat.
Convection should wane after the frontal passage on Sunday night, and there may be a lull in activity by Monday morning with some patchy fog in the mountains. Showers and thunderstorms appear more isolated by Monday afternoon as they will be confined mostly to the NC/VA border with the aforementioned cold front stalling across the Outer Banks. Another cold front should sweep southeastward from the Great Lakes by late Tuesday with the potential for more storms that could bring a damaging wind gust threat. This frontal boundary seems notably stronger and should pass across the Appalachian Mountains by Wednesday.
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AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
320 AM EDT Sun Jul 19 2026MARINE
As of 300 AM EDT Sunday...
- Small Craft Advisory conditions will linger early this morning, but winds will decrease later this morning.
- A weak front pushes south across the area today.
- Strong storms are likely this afternoon and evening ahead of the front with locally hazardous winds/waves/seas.
This morning winds were generally SW at 15 to 20 kt with a few higher gusts, but winds were generally on a downward trend. Small Craft Advisories will be allowed to expire at 7 am this morning. The cold front was located over Pennsylvania early this morning and will push south across the area through the day.
Winds will decrease some through the afternoon ahead of the front. Winds along and behind the front will remain 15 kt or less. The front should reach the upper Bay and MD coastal waters later this morning, but not reach the Capes until mid to late afternoon.
Showers and storms are likely ahead and along the front today especially from Chincoteague and Windmill Point south across the lower Bay, VA/NC coastal waters and sounds. Strong winds and locally higher waves/seas can be expected to accompany the stronger convective cells along with frequent lightning and very heavy rainfall.
Winds become easterly Monday then south on Tuesday as the front washes out and lifts north. Southerly winds increase Tuesday into Wednesday with Small Craft Advisory conditions likely Tuesday afternoon and into Wednesday. Another cold front may push into the area late Wednesday.
AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MD...None.
NC...None.
VA...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EDT this morning for
ANZ630>634-639-654-656-658. -
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
320 AM EDT Sun Jul 19 2026MARINE
As of 300 AM EDT Sunday...
- Small Craft Advisory conditions will linger early this morning, but winds will decrease later this morning.
- A weak front pushes south across the area today.
- Strong storms are likely this afternoon and evening ahead of the front with locally hazardous winds/waves/seas.
This morning winds were generally SW at 15 to 20 kt with a few higher gusts, but winds were generally on a downward trend. Small Craft Advisories will be allowed to expire at 7 am this morning. The cold front was located over Pennsylvania early this morning and will push south across the area through the day.
Winds will decrease some through the afternoon ahead of the front. Winds along and behind the front will remain 15 kt or less. The front should reach the upper Bay and MD coastal waters later this morning, but not reach the Capes until mid to late afternoon.
Showers and storms are likely ahead and along the front today especially from Chincoteague and Windmill Point south across the lower Bay, VA/NC coastal waters and sounds. Strong winds and locally higher waves/seas can be expected to accompany the stronger convective cells along with frequent lightning and very heavy rainfall.
Winds become easterly Monday then south on Tuesday as the front washes out and lifts north. Southerly winds increase Tuesday into Wednesday with Small Craft Advisory conditions likely Tuesday afternoon and into Wednesday. Another cold front may push into the area late Wednesday.
AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MD...None.
NC...None.
VA...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EDT this morning for
ANZ630>634-639-654-656-658. -
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
320 AM EDT Sun Jul 19 2026MARINE
As of 300 AM EDT Sunday...
- Small Craft Advisory conditions will linger early this morning, but winds will decrease later this morning.
- A weak front pushes south across the area today.
- Strong storms are likely this afternoon and evening ahead of the front with locally hazardous winds/waves/seas.
This morning winds were generally SW at 15 to 20 kt with a few higher gusts, but winds were generally on a downward trend. Small Craft Advisories will be allowed to expire at 7 am this morning. The cold front was located over Pennsylvania early this morning and will push south across the area through the day.
Winds will decrease some through the afternoon ahead of the front. Winds along and behind the front will remain 15 kt or less. The front should reach the upper Bay and MD coastal waters later this morning, but not reach the Capes until mid to late afternoon.
Showers and storms are likely ahead and along the front today especially from Chincoteague and Windmill Point south across the lower Bay, VA/NC coastal waters and sounds. Strong winds and locally higher waves/seas can be expected to accompany the stronger convective cells along with frequent lightning and very heavy rainfall.
Winds become easterly Monday then south on Tuesday as the front washes out and lifts north. Southerly winds increase Tuesday into Wednesday with Small Craft Advisory conditions likely Tuesday afternoon and into Wednesday. Another cold front may push into the area late Wednesday.
AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MD...None.
NC...None.
VA...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EDT this morning for
ANZ630>634-639-654-656-658. -
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
320 AM EDT Sun Jul 19 2026WHAT HAS CHANGED
Updated discussions.
KEY MESSAGES
1) Thunderstorms are expected again today as hot and humid conditions continue, bringing the possibility of strong winds and locally heavy rain.
2) Slightly more seasonable temperatures return starting Monday, but humid conditions will persist until a cold front pushes through later Wednesday. Daily storm chances continue.
DISCUSSION
As of 330 AM EDT Sunday...
KEY MESSAGE 1...Thunderstorms are expected again today as hot and humid conditions continue, bringing the possibility of strong winds and locally heavy rain.
A few lingering light showers are scattered about early this morning. Some patchy ground fog may develop, but should dissipate after sunrise. Latest surface analysis shows a low pressure system in northern Maine with troughing extending down into the Mid-Atlantic. The associated cold front is expected to drop south out of the Ohio River Valley this morning and into the northern half of Virginia. First thing of note with this front will be the wind shift as winds become northwesterly behind it. This will allow for Canadian wildfire smoke to spill in once again, especially north of I-64. The good news is that current guidance does not have the surface concentration being anything close to what it was on Friday, but some haziness will likely be noticeable for northern locations after mid-day.
South of the front will be where the hottest and most humid conditions will be felt today (though everyone will still be hot and muggy). Heat indices across NE NC will top out around 100 degrees, with counties on the northern side of the Albemarle Sound potentially reaching 105 for a couple of hours. Due to the brief duration and small coverage area of marginal 105 deg heat indices, opted to not issue a Heat Advisory for today. Will monitor for any necessary updates through the morning. Regardless, take precautions if you and your pets must be outdoors as it will still be hot.
The front will stall out across our local area this afternoon, creating another round of thunderstorms. Hi-res guidance continues to have trouble pinpointing the exact coverage of these storms, but generally expect the better chances to be along and south of I-64 starting early to mid afternoon. There isn`t as much shear as we had yesterday, but with MLcape values of 2000-2500 J/kg across the southeastern portion of the CWA, any thunderstorm that does develop will be capable of producing strong, damaging winds once again. SPC has a Slight Risk (level 2 out of 5) for severe weather from Farmville to Williamsburg and south. Additionally, there is a threat of heavy downpours and training storms creating localized flash flooding into this evening.
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AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
320 AM EDT Sun Jul 19 2026WHAT HAS CHANGED
Updated discussions.
KEY MESSAGES
1) Thunderstorms are expected again today as hot and humid conditions continue, bringing the possibility of strong winds and locally heavy rain.
2) Slightly more seasonable temperatures return starting Monday, but humid conditions will persist until a cold front pushes through later Wednesday. Daily storm chances continue.
DISCUSSION
As of 330 AM EDT Sunday...
KEY MESSAGE 1...Thunderstorms are expected again today as hot and humid conditions continue, bringing the possibility of strong winds and locally heavy rain.
A few lingering light showers are scattered about early this morning. Some patchy ground fog may develop, but should dissipate after sunrise. Latest surface analysis shows a low pressure system in northern Maine with troughing extending down into the Mid-Atlantic. The associated cold front is expected to drop south out of the Ohio River Valley this morning and into the northern half of Virginia. First thing of note with this front will be the wind shift as winds become northwesterly behind it. This will allow for Canadian wildfire smoke to spill in once again, especially north of I-64. The good news is that current guidance does not have the surface concentration being anything close to what it was on Friday, but some haziness will likely be noticeable for northern locations after mid-day.
South of the front will be where the hottest and most humid conditions will be felt today (though everyone will still be hot and muggy). Heat indices across NE NC will top out around 100 degrees, with counties on the northern side of the Albemarle Sound potentially reaching 105 for a couple of hours. Due to the brief duration and small coverage area of marginal 105 deg heat indices, opted to not issue a Heat Advisory for today. Will monitor for any necessary updates through the morning. Regardless, take precautions if you and your pets must be outdoors as it will still be hot.
The front will stall out across our local area this afternoon, creating another round of thunderstorms. Hi-res guidance continues to have trouble pinpointing the exact coverage of these storms, but generally expect the better chances to be along and south of I-64 starting early to mid afternoon. There isn`t as much shear as we had yesterday, but with MLcape values of 2000-2500 J/kg across the southeastern portion of the CWA, any thunderstorm that does develop will be capable of producing strong, damaging winds once again. SPC has a Slight Risk (level 2 out of 5) for severe weather from Farmville to Williamsburg and south. Additionally, there is a threat of heavy downpours and training storms creating localized flash flooding into this evening.
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AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
320 AM EDT Sun Jul 19 2026WHAT HAS CHANGED
Updated discussions.
KEY MESSAGES
1) Thunderstorms are expected again today as hot and humid conditions continue, bringing the possibility of strong winds and locally heavy rain.
2) Slightly more seasonable temperatures return starting Monday, but humid conditions will persist until a cold front pushes through later Wednesday. Daily storm chances continue.
DISCUSSION
As of 330 AM EDT Sunday...
KEY MESSAGE 1...Thunderstorms are expected again today as hot and humid conditions continue, bringing the possibility of strong winds and locally heavy rain.
A few lingering light showers are scattered about early this morning. Some patchy ground fog may develop, but should dissipate after sunrise. Latest surface analysis shows a low pressure system in northern Maine with troughing extending down into the Mid-Atlantic. The associated cold front is expected to drop south out of the Ohio River Valley this morning and into the northern half of Virginia. First thing of note with this front will be the wind shift as winds become northwesterly behind it. This will allow for Canadian wildfire smoke to spill in once again, especially north of I-64. The good news is that current guidance does not have the surface concentration being anything close to what it was on Friday, but some haziness will likely be noticeable for northern locations after mid-day.
South of the front will be where the hottest and most humid conditions will be felt today (though everyone will still be hot and muggy). Heat indices across NE NC will top out around 100 degrees, with counties on the northern side of the Albemarle Sound potentially reaching 105 for a couple of hours. Due to the brief duration and small coverage area of marginal 105 deg heat indices, opted to not issue a Heat Advisory for today. Will monitor for any necessary updates through the morning. Regardless, take precautions if you and your pets must be outdoors as it will still be hot.
The front will stall out across our local area this afternoon, creating another round of thunderstorms. Hi-res guidance continues to have trouble pinpointing the exact coverage of these storms, but generally expect the better chances to be along and south of I-64 starting early to mid afternoon. There isn`t as much shear as we had yesterday, but with MLcape values of 2000-2500 J/kg across the southeastern portion of the CWA, any thunderstorm that does develop will be capable of producing strong, damaging winds once again. SPC has a Slight Risk (level 2 out of 5) for severe weather from Farmville to Williamsburg and south. Additionally, there is a threat of heavy downpours and training storms creating localized flash flooding into this evening.
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From NC’s Weather Authority on FB: A new day is ahead, and it'll be another hot and active one for some of the state (hot for all). Happy Sunday, North Carolina! We will have partly to mostly sunny skies today, a passing shower/storm can't be ruled out this morning, but most will stay dry. Highs will be in the 90s for most areas, with heat index values once again in the low 100s. This afternoon and evening, as a front approaches, we will see scattered showers and thunderstorms develop across the state. These could have gusty winds and heavy rainfall, and a couple could become strong to severe with damaging winds.
I'll keep you posted as normal!
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From NC’s Weather Authority on FB: A new day is ahead, and it'll be another hot and active one for some of the state (hot for all). Happy Sunday, North Carolina! We will have partly to mostly sunny skies today, a passing shower/storm can't be ruled out this morning, but most will stay dry. Highs will be in the 90s for most areas, with heat index values once again in the low 100s. This afternoon and evening, as a front approaches, we will see scattered showers and thunderstorms develop across the state. These could have gusty winds and heavy rainfall, and a couple could become strong to severe with damaging winds.
I'll keep you posted as normal!
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From NC’s Weather Authority on FB: A new day is ahead, and it'll be another hot and active one for some of the state (hot for all). Happy Sunday, North Carolina! We will have partly to mostly sunny skies today, a passing shower/storm can't be ruled out this morning, but most will stay dry. Highs will be in the 90s for most areas, with heat index values once again in the low 100s. This afternoon and evening, as a front approaches, we will see scattered showers and thunderstorms develop across the state. These could have gusty winds and heavy rainfall, and a couple could become strong to severe with damaging winds.
I'll keep you posted as normal!
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#NCwx #NWSRaleigh
Dangerous heat is expected today. A Heat Advisory is in effect for most of central NC. Highs will reach the mid 90s. Heat indices will reach as high as 107. This will be followed by strong to severe thunderstorms with damaging wind possible. Some flash flooding will be possible, mainly in urban areas. #NCwx -
#NCwx #NWSRaleigh
Dangerous heat is expected today. A Heat Advisory is in effect for most of central NC. Highs will reach the mid 90s. Heat indices will reach as high as 107. This will be followed by strong to severe thunderstorms with damaging wind possible. Some flash flooding will be possible, mainly in urban areas. #NCwx
