#vawx — Public Fediverse posts
Live and recent posts from across the Fediverse tagged #vawx, aggregated by home.social.
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WASHINGTON DULLES DC Jul 26 Climate Report: High: 84 Low: 64 Precip: 0.0" Snow: 0.0" Snow Depth: 0"
https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/p.php?pid=202607262123-KLWX-CDUS41-CLIIAD
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The Weather Prediction Center issues Day 3 Slight Risk Excessive Rainfall Outlook at Jul 26, 19:57z for portions of LWX
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excessive_rainfall_outlook_ero.php
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The Weather Prediction Center issues Day 2 Marginal Risk Excessive Rainfall Outlook at Jul 26, 19:57z for portions of LWX
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excessive_rainfall_outlook_ero.php
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The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 26, 20:04z for portions of LWX
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2026/day1otlk_20260726_2000.html
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LWX issues Hazardous Weather Outlook (HWO) at Jul 26, 4:00 PM EDT
https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/p.php?pid=202607262000-KLWX-FLUS41-HWOLWX
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The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 3 Slight Convective Risk at Jul 26, 19:19z for portions of LWX
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2026/day3otlk_20260726_1930.html
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LWX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Jul 26, 3:01 PM EDT
https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/p.php?pid=202607261901-KLWX-FXUS61-AFDLWX
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LWX issues Coastal Flood Advisory valid at Jul 27, 2:00 AM EDT for Anne Arundel [MD] till Jul 27, 8:00 AM EDT
https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/vtec/f/2026-O-NEW-KLWX-CF-Y-0027_2026-07-27T06:00Z
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The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 2 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 26, 17:13z for portions of LWX
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2026/day2otlk_20260726_1730.html
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The Weather Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Risk Excessive Rainfall Outlook at Jul 26, 15:59z for portions of LWX
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excessive_rainfall_outlook_ero.php
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The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 26, 16:10z for portions of LWX
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2026/day1otlk_20260726_1630.html
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LWX issues Hazardous Weather Outlook (HWO) at Jul 26, 11:18 AM EDT
https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/p.php?pid=202607261518-KLWX-FLUS41-HWOLWX
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LWX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Jul 26, 10:10 AM EDT
https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/p.php?pid=202607261410-KLWX-FXUS61-AFDLWX-AAA
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The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 26, 12:59z for portions of LWX
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2026/day1otlk_20260726_1300.html
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The Weather Prediction Center issues Day 3 Slight Risk Excessive Rainfall Outlook at Jul 26, 8:11z for portions of LWX
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excessive_rainfall_outlook_ero.php
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LWX issues Hazardous Weather Outlook (HWO) at Jul 26, 5:05 AM EDT
https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/p.php?pid=202607260905-KLWX-FLUS41-HWOLWX
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LWX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Jul 26, 3:32 AM EDT
https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/p.php?pid=202607260732-KLWX-FXUS61-AFDLWX
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The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 3 Slight Convective Risk at Jul 26, 7:26z for portions of LWX
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2026/day3otlk_20260726_0730.html
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WASHINGTON DULLES DC Jul 25 Climate Report: High: 79 Low: 65 Precip: Trace Snow: 0.0" Snow Depth: 0"
https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/p.php?pid=202607260621-KLWX-CDUS41-CLIIAD
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The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 26, 5:59z for portions of LWX
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2026/day1otlk_20260726_1200.html
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The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 2 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 26, 5:40z for portions of LWX
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2026/day2otlk_20260726_0600.html
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LWX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Jul 25, 8:45 PM EDT
https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/p.php?pid=202607260045-KLWX-FXUS61-AFDLWX
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LWX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Jul 25, 8:00 PM EDT
https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/p.php?pid=202607260000-KLWX-FXUS61-AFDLWX
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Sunshine returns tomorrow and along with it, temps returning to the mid/upper 80s; but we’ll stay dry until Tuesday when another cold front arrives with storms in the late afternoon and evening, some of which could be severe. That’ll be our only real rain chance this week. We’ll generally stay in the 80s through next weekend. #VAwx #MDwx
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Sunshine returns tomorrow and along with it, temps returning to the mid/upper 80s; but we’ll stay dry until Tuesday when another cold front arrives with storms in the late afternoon and evening, some of which could be severe. That’ll be our only real rain chance this week. We’ll generally stay in the 80s through next weekend. #VAwx #MDwx
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BALTIMORE INNER HARBOR Jul 25 Climate Report: High: 84 Low: 70 Precip: 0.0" Snow: Missing
https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/p.php?pid=202607252123-KLWX-CDUS41-CLIDMH
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The Weather Prediction Center issues Day 5 Marginal Risk Excessive Rainfall Outlook at Jul 25, 19:44z for portions of LWX
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excessive_rainfall_outlook_ero.php
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The Weather Prediction Center issues Day 3 Marginal Risk Excessive Rainfall Outlook at Jul 25, 19:42z for portions of LWX
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excessive_rainfall_outlook_ero.php
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LWX issues Hazardous Weather Outlook (HWO) at Jul 25, 4:00 PM EDT
https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/p.php?pid=202607252000-KLWX-FLUS41-HWOLWX
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The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 3 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 25, 19:25z for portions of LWX
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2026/day3otlk_20260725_1930.html
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LWX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Jul 25, 3:21 PM EDT
https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/p.php?pid=202607251921-KLWX-FXUS61-AFDLWX
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LWX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Jul 25, 10:26 AM EDT
https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/p.php?pid=202607251426-KLWX-FXUS61-AFDLWX-AAA
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National Weather Service, Wakefield, VA.
650 AM EDT, Saturday, July 25, 2026.
Shower/storm chances for Monday afternoon/evening have increased.
Key messages:
1) Widespread showers continue early this morning, then taper off later today. Rain lingers into this evening in the southeast.
2) Mainly dry with isolated late day showers/storms Sunday/Monday. Higher rain chances Tuesday into Wednesday. Strong to severe storms possible Tuesday.
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National Weather Service, Wakefield, VA.
650 AM EDT, Saturday, July 25, 2026.
Shower/storm chances for Monday afternoon/evening have increased.
Key messages:
1) Widespread showers continue early this morning, then taper off later today. Rain lingers into this evening in the southeast.
2) Mainly dry with isolated late day showers/storms Sunday/Monday. Higher rain chances Tuesday into Wednesday. Strong to severe storms possible Tuesday.
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National Weather Service, Wakefield, VA.
650 AM EDT, Saturday, July 25, 2026.
Shower/storm chances for Monday afternoon/evening have increased.
Key messages:
1) Widespread showers continue early this morning, then taper off later today. Rain lingers into this evening in the southeast.
2) Mainly dry with isolated late day showers/storms Sunday/Monday. Higher rain chances Tuesday into Wednesday. Strong to severe storms possible Tuesday.
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National Weather Service, Wakefield, VA.
650 AM EDT, Saturday, July 25, 2026.
Shower/storm chances for Monday afternoon/evening have increased.
Key messages:
1) Widespread showers continue early this morning, then taper off later today. Rain lingers into this evening in the southeast.
2) Mainly dry with isolated late day showers/storms Sunday/Monday. Higher rain chances Tuesday into Wednesday. Strong to severe storms possible Tuesday.
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National Weather Service, Wakefield, VA.
650 AM EDT, Saturday, July 25, 2026.
Shower/storm chances for Monday afternoon/evening have increased.
Key messages:
1) Widespread showers continue early this morning, then taper off later today. Rain lingers into this evening in the southeast.
2) Mainly dry with isolated late day showers/storms Sunday/Monday. Higher rain chances Tuesday into Wednesday. Strong to severe storms possible Tuesday.
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Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
357 AM EDT Sat Jul 25 2026WHAT HAS CHANGED
The Aviation forecast has been updated.
No major changes have been made to the forecast.
KEY MESSAGES
1) Cool high pressure will gradually diminish through the remainder of the weekend.
2) Thunderstorm activity will increase during the early half of the workweek another cold front approaches.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...Cool high pressure will gradually diminish through the remainder of the weekend.
High pressure remains situated across the lower Mid-Atlantic this morning, with northeasterly winds drawing cool maritime air from the New England area. Radar imagery indicates pockets of light rain drifting east across the region as a weak disturbance exits toward the Atlantic coast. Further to the west, a large dome of high pressure continues to build over the Four Corners region of the southwestern United States.
For today, showers will decrease through the morning, with breaks of sunshine developing during the afternoon as the flow of cool maritime air begins to weaken. Regardless, the cool air will still hold for one more day, with highs ranging from the low 70s to the low 80s. This will help to strictly limit the development of any showers or storms for today, and no hazardous weather is forecasted.
The dome of high pressure across the Four Corners region will continue to build Sunday, causing windflow aloft to switch from the northwest. Will be watching for upper level disturbances riding around the dome to pass across the lower Mid-Atlantic, potentially triggering rounds of shower and thunderstorm activity. Latest weather forecast data hints at one such disturbance as early as Sunday evening across the mountains, though confidence is currently low as to when or where any associated thunderstorm activity will develop, if at all.
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Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
357 AM EDT Sat Jul 25 2026WHAT HAS CHANGED
The Aviation forecast has been updated.
No major changes have been made to the forecast.
KEY MESSAGES
1) Cool high pressure will gradually diminish through the remainder of the weekend.
2) Thunderstorm activity will increase during the early half of the workweek another cold front approaches.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...Cool high pressure will gradually diminish through the remainder of the weekend.
High pressure remains situated across the lower Mid-Atlantic this morning, with northeasterly winds drawing cool maritime air from the New England area. Radar imagery indicates pockets of light rain drifting east across the region as a weak disturbance exits toward the Atlantic coast. Further to the west, a large dome of high pressure continues to build over the Four Corners region of the southwestern United States.
For today, showers will decrease through the morning, with breaks of sunshine developing during the afternoon as the flow of cool maritime air begins to weaken. Regardless, the cool air will still hold for one more day, with highs ranging from the low 70s to the low 80s. This will help to strictly limit the development of any showers or storms for today, and no hazardous weather is forecasted.
The dome of high pressure across the Four Corners region will continue to build Sunday, causing windflow aloft to switch from the northwest. Will be watching for upper level disturbances riding around the dome to pass across the lower Mid-Atlantic, potentially triggering rounds of shower and thunderstorm activity. Latest weather forecast data hints at one such disturbance as early as Sunday evening across the mountains, though confidence is currently low as to when or where any associated thunderstorm activity will develop, if at all.
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Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
357 AM EDT Sat Jul 25 2026WHAT HAS CHANGED
The Aviation forecast has been updated.
No major changes have been made to the forecast.
KEY MESSAGES
1) Cool high pressure will gradually diminish through the remainder of the weekend.
2) Thunderstorm activity will increase during the early half of the workweek another cold front approaches.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...Cool high pressure will gradually diminish through the remainder of the weekend.
High pressure remains situated across the lower Mid-Atlantic this morning, with northeasterly winds drawing cool maritime air from the New England area. Radar imagery indicates pockets of light rain drifting east across the region as a weak disturbance exits toward the Atlantic coast. Further to the west, a large dome of high pressure continues to build over the Four Corners region of the southwestern United States.
For today, showers will decrease through the morning, with breaks of sunshine developing during the afternoon as the flow of cool maritime air begins to weaken. Regardless, the cool air will still hold for one more day, with highs ranging from the low 70s to the low 80s. This will help to strictly limit the development of any showers or storms for today, and no hazardous weather is forecasted.
The dome of high pressure across the Four Corners region will continue to build Sunday, causing windflow aloft to switch from the northwest. Will be watching for upper level disturbances riding around the dome to pass across the lower Mid-Atlantic, potentially triggering rounds of shower and thunderstorm activity. Latest weather forecast data hints at one such disturbance as early as Sunday evening across the mountains, though confidence is currently low as to when or where any associated thunderstorm activity will develop, if at all.
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AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
310 AM EDT Sat Jul 25 2026WHAT HAS CHANGED
Shower/storm chances for Monday afternoon/evening have trended up.
KEY MESSAGES
1) Widespread showers continue early this morning then taper off later today; rain lingers into this evening in the southeast.
2) Mainly dry with just isolated late day showers/storms Sunday/Monday, with higher rain chances Tuesday into Wednesday; strong to severe storms are possible Tuesday.
DISCUSSION
As of 310 AM EDT Saturday...
KEY MESSAGE 1...Widespread showers continue early this morning then taper off later today; rain lingers into this evening in the southeast.
Overrunning moisture to the north of developing weak low pressure has brought showers to much of the area early this morning. Latest radar shows widespread rain, mostly light, along and east of the I- 95 with scattered showers elsewhere. There are some pockets of moderate rainfall which are mostly in SE VA and NE NC. Showers will continue across most of the area through the early morning hours. The UL trough over the east coast will slide offshore later this morning as sfc high pressure tries to move in from the NW. This will usher in drier air and limit most of the rain to the SE closer to the area of low pressure. Showers could potentially linger in the far southeast into the evening hours depending on when the low and the front it sits on finally get kicked offshore. Dry conditions are then expected overnight. Cooler temperatures continue today with highs around 80 along and north of I-64 and in the mid to upper 70s south.
MARINE
As of 310 AM EDT Saturday...
- Sub-advisory conditions are expected to prevail in onshore flow through the weekend.
- Another front approaches on Tuesday, which could bring a period of low-end SCAs with SW winds.
A frontal boundary remains stalled south of the area early this morning with ENE winds of 10-15 kt and 3-4 ft seas. ENE winds continue to average 10-15 kt over the SE VA/NE NC coastal waters today while decreasing to 5-10 kt north. A weak area of low pressure is forecast to form along the front and track offshore late today- tonight. Still watching the potential for a brief surge of 15-20 kt winds across the southern coastal waters from mid morning-midday. However, even if it does occur, not expecting it to last long enough for seas to reach 5 ft. Local wind probs only show a 20-40% chance of 18 kt winds over the ocean south of Cape Henry from roughly 7-11 AM. Winds diminish to 5-10 kt this evening before shifting to the NE then N and increasing back to 10-15 kt by sunrise Sunday morning as the low deepens well offshore. SCA conditions appear unlikely late tonight but will continue to monitor...
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AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
310 AM EDT Sat Jul 25 2026WHAT HAS CHANGED
Shower/storm chances for Monday afternoon/evening have trended up.
KEY MESSAGES
1) Widespread showers continue early this morning then taper off later today; rain lingers into this evening in the southeast.
2) Mainly dry with just isolated late day showers/storms Sunday/Monday, with higher rain chances Tuesday into Wednesday; strong to severe storms are possible Tuesday.
DISCUSSION
As of 310 AM EDT Saturday...
KEY MESSAGE 1...Widespread showers continue early this morning then taper off later today; rain lingers into this evening in the southeast.
Overrunning moisture to the north of developing weak low pressure has brought showers to much of the area early this morning. Latest radar shows widespread rain, mostly light, along and east of the I- 95 with scattered showers elsewhere. There are some pockets of moderate rainfall which are mostly in SE VA and NE NC. Showers will continue across most of the area through the early morning hours. The UL trough over the east coast will slide offshore later this morning as sfc high pressure tries to move in from the NW. This will usher in drier air and limit most of the rain to the SE closer to the area of low pressure. Showers could potentially linger in the far southeast into the evening hours depending on when the low and the front it sits on finally get kicked offshore. Dry conditions are then expected overnight. Cooler temperatures continue today with highs around 80 along and north of I-64 and in the mid to upper 70s south.
MARINE
As of 310 AM EDT Saturday...
- Sub-advisory conditions are expected to prevail in onshore flow through the weekend.
- Another front approaches on Tuesday, which could bring a period of low-end SCAs with SW winds.
A frontal boundary remains stalled south of the area early this morning with ENE winds of 10-15 kt and 3-4 ft seas. ENE winds continue to average 10-15 kt over the SE VA/NE NC coastal waters today while decreasing to 5-10 kt north. A weak area of low pressure is forecast to form along the front and track offshore late today- tonight. Still watching the potential for a brief surge of 15-20 kt winds across the southern coastal waters from mid morning-midday. However, even if it does occur, not expecting it to last long enough for seas to reach 5 ft. Local wind probs only show a 20-40% chance of 18 kt winds over the ocean south of Cape Henry from roughly 7-11 AM. Winds diminish to 5-10 kt this evening before shifting to the NE then N and increasing back to 10-15 kt by sunrise Sunday morning as the low deepens well offshore. SCA conditions appear unlikely late tonight but will continue to monitor...
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AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
310 AM EDT Sat Jul 25 2026WHAT HAS CHANGED
Shower/storm chances for Monday afternoon/evening have trended up.
KEY MESSAGES
1) Widespread showers continue early this morning then taper off later today; rain lingers into this evening in the southeast.
2) Mainly dry with just isolated late day showers/storms Sunday/Monday, with higher rain chances Tuesday into Wednesday; strong to severe storms are possible Tuesday.
DISCUSSION
As of 310 AM EDT Saturday...
KEY MESSAGE 1...Widespread showers continue early this morning then taper off later today; rain lingers into this evening in the southeast.
Overrunning moisture to the north of developing weak low pressure has brought showers to much of the area early this morning. Latest radar shows widespread rain, mostly light, along and east of the I- 95 with scattered showers elsewhere. There are some pockets of moderate rainfall which are mostly in SE VA and NE NC. Showers will continue across most of the area through the early morning hours. The UL trough over the east coast will slide offshore later this morning as sfc high pressure tries to move in from the NW. This will usher in drier air and limit most of the rain to the SE closer to the area of low pressure. Showers could potentially linger in the far southeast into the evening hours depending on when the low and the front it sits on finally get kicked offshore. Dry conditions are then expected overnight. Cooler temperatures continue today with highs around 80 along and north of I-64 and in the mid to upper 70s south.
MARINE
As of 310 AM EDT Saturday...
- Sub-advisory conditions are expected to prevail in onshore flow through the weekend.
- Another front approaches on Tuesday, which could bring a period of low-end SCAs with SW winds.
A frontal boundary remains stalled south of the area early this morning with ENE winds of 10-15 kt and 3-4 ft seas. ENE winds continue to average 10-15 kt over the SE VA/NE NC coastal waters today while decreasing to 5-10 kt north. A weak area of low pressure is forecast to form along the front and track offshore late today- tonight. Still watching the potential for a brief surge of 15-20 kt winds across the southern coastal waters from mid morning-midday. However, even if it does occur, not expecting it to last long enough for seas to reach 5 ft. Local wind probs only show a 20-40% chance of 18 kt winds over the ocean south of Cape Henry from roughly 7-11 AM. Winds diminish to 5-10 kt this evening before shifting to the NE then N and increasing back to 10-15 kt by sunrise Sunday morning as the low deepens well offshore. SCA conditions appear unlikely late tonight but will continue to monitor...
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LWX issues Hazardous Weather Outlook (HWO) at Jul 25, 5:19 AM EDT
https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/p.php?pid=202607250919-KLWX-FLUS41-HWOLWX
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The Weather Prediction Center issues Day 3 Marginal Risk Excessive Rainfall Outlook at Jul 25, 8:08z for portions of LWX
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excessive_rainfall_outlook_ero.php
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The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 4 15% Any Severe Convective Risk at Jul 25, 8:45z for portions of LWX
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/exper/day4-8/archive/2026/day4-8_20260725.html
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The Weather Prediction Center issues Day 4 Marginal Risk Excessive Rainfall Outlook at Jul 25, 8:10z for portions of LWX
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excessive_rainfall_outlook_ero.php
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LWX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Jul 25, 3:43 AM EDT
https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/p.php?pid=202607250743-KLWX-FXUS61-AFDLWX