#338canada — Public Fediverse posts
Live and recent posts from across the Fediverse tagged #338canada, aggregated by home.social.
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@RuthODay2 Looking at the chart of vote projection from #338canada, the lines for the #CPC and the #LPC from 2023 to start of 2025 are roughly mirror images, so I conclude that most of the rise in CPC support came from people who had supported Liberals. But sure, there were people who switched their support in other directions in that period too.
My read on the collapse of the NDP and Bloc vote is that their voters couldn't imagine how Mr. Singh or Mr. Blanchet would stand up to Pres. Trump.
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Interesting to look at recent polls: the #Liberals are trending down (39%), the #CPC down a bit (38%), the #NDP and #BQ are up (10% and 7%). Those are very plausible trends given that PM #MarkCarney has moved his party rightwards, and that threats from the White House seem less urgent.
The result is that #338Canada no longer predicts a Liberal majority if an election were held today; they still give a 58% chance the Liberals would win the most seats.
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CW: #cdnPoli election projections
So, #338canada is down, but here you go:
at a glance, how things *may* stand, based on projections.
En Français. #cdnPolitics #elxn45
From: https://qc125.com/canada/And on this page are riding-by-riding projections. Also in French, but it's coulour-coded and, I mean, all the numbers are Arabic, right? 😁
Rising-level projections: https://qc125.com/canada/districts.htm -
The Tyee: BC’s New Political Map: The Right Starkly Split https://thetyee.ca/News/2023/10/20/BC-New-Political-Map-Right-Split-Kevin-Falcon-Conservative-Surge/ #bcnews #TheTyee - via @[email protected] #BCConservativeleaderJohnCummins #BCConservativeLeaderJohnRustad #AbbotsfordSouthMLABruceBanman #BCUnitedLeaderKevinFalcon #PremierBillVanderZalm #AngusReidInstitute #MainstreetResearch #BCPremierDavidEby #BCLiberalParty #BCReformParty #BCGreenParty #ResearchCo. #338Canada #SOGI123 #Léger