#elxn45 — Public Fediverse posts

Liberals crush it on Monday: Easy sweep of all three byelections, including a steal of a CPC riding in Chicoutimi-Le Fjord. #cdnpoli #elxn45

PM Carney announces 3 by-elections. https://www.pm.gc.ca/en/news/news-releases/2026/07/26/prime-minister-carney-announces-elections Why these three? Cuz the LPC is gaming the table to sweep all three. I explained this last Sunday: https://davidakin.substack.com/p/david-akins-roundup-by-election-breakdown #cdnpoli #elxn45

@RuthODay2 (Apologies if I've had this discussion with you before...)

The #CPC only lost around 4% of their support (from historic highs) to the Liberals in the #elxn45. The reason the Liberals won was because of the collapse of the vote for the NDP and the Bloc. I don't think it's fair to blame #PierrePoilievre or the #CPC campaign for that.

You can look at the polling from 2023-2026 from https://338canada.com/federal.htm .

#CanPol #cdnpoli

@ChrisCorrigan As for Mr. Poilievre, 41% of votes is the highest proportion of votes Conservatives have won federally since 1988, so he clearly has some popular appeal. Though the #CPC shed some votes to the Liberals, the key story of #elxn45 was the collapse of the NDP and Bloc votes, driven by Pres. Trump.

2/2

#CanPol #cdnpoli

Congrats to Elections Canada. They're processing Terrebonne ballots -- with 50+ candidates thanks to long-ballot committee -- at least as fast as the 2 Toronto ridings. #elxn45

Top 10 Best 2nd place finishes by vote total in #Elxn45 #cdnpoli

Looking at the 2025 #Canadian federal #election: 120 of 343 MPs were elected with less than 50% support. 20 of them received less than 40%.

Of those 20 seats:
1 Green Party
3 Bloc Québécois
4 Liberal
4 NDP
8 Conservative

As a percentage of the respective party's total seats:
Green 100% 1/1
Bloc Québécois 14% 3/22
Liberal 2% 4/169
NDP 57% 4/7
Conservative 6% 8/144

#elxn45 #cdnpoli #vote

With 63.5% of the vote, University—Rosedale was the #LPC’s 16th best showing in #elxn45. With 61.2% of vote share, Scarborough Southwest wa 35th best for LPC

Numbers from #elexn45: #LPC's highest vote share was in the NL riding of Cape Spear (67.6%). Beaches--East York (where Erskine-Smith intends to quit) was 2nd best LPC result with 67.4% of the vote. #elxn45 #cdnpoli

Ontario NDP(!!) MPP Doly Begum has been named the #LPC candidate in the by-election to come to replace Bill Blair as the MP for Scarborough Southwest. #cdnpoli #elxn45

Elections Canada’s report found several shortcomings during the last election in ᓄᓇᕕᒃ (Nunavik)

https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/north/protocol-not-followed-in-nunavik-during-federal-election-9.6995406
- - -
Le rapport de Elections Canada a trouvé plusieurs lacunes lors de la dernière élection dans le ᓄᓇᕕᒃ (Nunavik)

https://ici.radio-canada.ca/espaces-autochtones/2210280/elections-canada-protocole-nunavik

#Canada #Nunavik #CANelxn2025 #CanadaVotes #CanadaVote #CANelxn45 #elxn45

@zazzoo
1. I listened to a podcast with David Coletto last week in which he discussed Pierre Poilievre's popularity. He pointed out that, while many Canadians have a strong negative view of Mr. Poilievre, there is a significant number who strongly support him. Let us not forget that the #CPC won 41% of the votes in #elxn45, the highest for the Right since 1984. Why has he had such high support?

@chris @rainer @Em0nM4stodon

#CanPol #cdnpoli

1/n

Lots of people around here are saying that the #CPC should want to avoid an election this Fall. Let me explain the case for an election as a #Conservative sees it.

https://338canada.com/federal.htm

The Liberals did remarkably well in #elxn45, with high seat numbers in Québec and BC in particular. They did that by offering #MarkCarney as serious and competent, but also as a blank screen upon which voters could project what they wanted to see:

1/2

#CanPol #cdnpoli

For instance, I just finished listening to the #PaikinPodcast discussion with @justinling.ca . Mr. Ling consistently refers to "America".

A good discussion, by the way: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TmrReXrrBec . It wasn't entirely fair to the #CPC strategy in #elxn45, but it did have some fair criticisms of #MarkCarney.

#CanPol #cdnpoli

Elections Canada says an estimated 14.5K people cast a ballot in advance polls in Battle River--Crowfoot by-election. To compare, in the 2021 general elxn, 17.4K voted in advance polls in BR-C. So the turnout for this by-elxn seems very strong. #cdnpoli #elxn45

The #CPC was silent when Longest Ballot Committee went to work in by-elections in Miss-Lakeshore (2022) , Wpg S Centre (2023) Tor St Paul's (2024) LaSalle—Émard—Verdun (2024) - LPC lost the last two - but now that its leader is facing LBC initiative for a 2nd time, all of a suddent CPC is calling for new laws to outlaw LBC initiatives. #cdnpoli #elxn45

🚨 With lots of post-#elxn45 fallout, stay ahead of the curve with David Akin's Roundup! The latest #cdnpoli #media and tech news delivered to your inbox every day. 🗞️ Join 2,200 readers and subscribe free now! 👉 https://david-akins-roundup.ongoodbits.com/

By-election is called in Battle River-Crowfoot for Aug 18. CPC is (famously) running the party leader defeated in his Ottawa riding, Pierre Poilievre. LPC not conceding: will run Darcy Spady. Mind you: LPC got 12% of popular vote in #elxn45. Normally gets under 5-8% in general elections. https://liberal.ca/liberal-party-of-canada-announces-darcy-spady-as-liberal-candidate-for-battle-river-crowfoot/ #cdnpoli

The #NDP pushed this. 👍

right before they were decimated because:
"only two choices"

derp.

Multi-party systems are good.

#cdnpoli #canpoli #elxn45 https://mastodon.social/@rabbleca/114718755172804445

Jagmeet Singh deserved a lot better than he got from Canada considering what he endured.

"Singh told reporters in April that police had advised him in the winter of 2023 that his life could be in danger. They did not tell him who was behind the threat but he said the implication was that it was a foreign government.

He said he stayed in his basement, avoided windows and considered quitting politics over fears about his family’s safety. He decided to carry on but was forced to lead the NDP for a period under police protection.”

I hope Carney brings this up with Modi next week, but now with the tragedy of the air crash…

#canPoli #CdnPoli #elxn45 #NDP #India #Modi #G7

https://globalnews.ca/news/11229198/jagmeet-singh-indian-agent-surveillance/

🆕 #cdnpoli poll: NANOS Jun 6 v #elxn45 Apr 28: LPC 43% v 44% | CPC 33% v 41% | BQ 6.5% v 6.3% | NDP 12% v 6.3% | Nanos n=1,000 4-week rolling average ending June 6. Telephone.

The Honorable MP for Carlton, ON, Bruce Fanjoy rose in Parliament today for the first time.

If you didn't watch 🇨🇦 #Elxn45 this year... Fanjoy beat and took the riding from Poilievre.

"I will never take the honour of representing them [Carlton] for granted... Now it's time to embrace every moment in this House and in all of our ridings to build a future in which all Canadians can thrive -- in True North Strong and Free!"

via CPAC (18:11 min. mark)
https://www.cpac.ca/question-period/episode/may-28-2025?id=cbc6e14a-46c0-4f6d-8acf-5a8290381277

#CdnPoli

@ned

#CdnPoli Important read 👆🏻👆🏻👆🏻

⚠️ "At a moment when the premier has been accused of stoking separatist sentiment, loosening these requirements represents a concession to radical elements that seek to destabilize Canadian federalism"

🔎 Intro of the bill and controversial reforms during #Elxn45 "would have drawn national attention and hurt Pierre Poilievre's federal Conservatives by reinforcing narratives about Trumpism within the conservative movement."

CPC fundraising email claims the CPC needs donations to stop the media & Liberals from “tipping the scales” on recounts. 👀
Pretty sure anyone over the age of 10 could explain the fault in their logic to them here. #cdnpoli #Elxn45

🤔
"Chrystia Freeland, Minister of Transport and Internal Trade"

What I see there is:
"Minister of anti-tariff resiliency."

I love it. She's tough, and smart.

Together with "Mélanie Joly, Minister of Industry" and "Anita Anand, Minister of Foreign Affairs" …

What a team!

CW: flashing gif below.

official announcement, via @Cassandra:
https://ottawa.place/@Cassandra/114501222394546831
#cdnPoli #elxn45 #womanPower

Terrebonne, Quebec riding flipped to the Liberals today. This brings a total of 170 seats, so far, for the Liberals in the House of Commons #Elxn45 (two seats shy of a majority).

A recount was automatically triggered when the Bloc Québécois candidate won by less than 0.1% of the overall vote in April.

Three more recounts coming in May.
https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/terrebone-recount-liberal-1.7532136

So, a good reminder that the vote tally isn't over until the vote tally is over.

The riding of #Terrebonne flips back to the #LPC by one single vote after flipping to the #BQ after flipping to the #LPC after being called for the #BQ.

https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/terrebone-recount-liberal-1.7532136

#cdnpoli #elxn45 #jszym_elxn45 #canada #quebec

A note for the #MapleMaga conspiracy theorists out there: the judge presiding over this was Quebec Superior Court Justice Danielle Turcotte, who was appointed to the Bench by Rob Nicholson - then AG / Justice MInister in Stephen Harper's govt.

#elxn45 #elxn2025 #cdnpoli

The riding of Terrebonne in Québec :flagqc: was won by the Liberals by 1 vote!

Position: Yes, your vote always counts.

https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/terrebone-recount-liberal-1.7532136
- - -
La circonscription de Terrebonne au Québec :flagqc: a été gagnée par les Libéraux par 1 voix!

Position: Oui, votre vote compte toujours!

https://ici.radio-canada.ca/nouvelle/2164290/elections-federales-terrebonne-repasse-aux-mains-des-liberaux

#Canada #CANpoli #CANelxn #CANelxn2025 #elxn45