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  1. CW: #auspol Psephology rather than polical issues, about vote counting in SA election

    Antony Green has a very informative post on the long awaited outcome of the South Australia Legislative Council election. antonygreen.com.au/sa2026-legi
    There's a lot of exhausted votes, but on the other hand a return to Group Voting tickets is not a good idea, so I think that is something we are stuck with.
    Meanwhile I can see that while personally I filled in every box below the line, my vote never progressed beyond my number 1 and failed to elect anyone! I do appreciate that this is how it works though, at the end of the count there are always going to be votes left with an unelected candidate.
    I do wonder how many exhausted votes included the requested 6 choices above the line and just didn't include either Labor or Greens, or if they voted for fewer than 6 (perhaps only 1) party. #Adelaide #SAVotes #auspol

  2. Independent candidate Lou Nicholson has won the South Australian seat of Finnis. She finished in fourth place in the primary vote with 18%. However, preference flows enabled her to win ahead of the Liberal candidate in the final count.

    Antony Green has all the details:

    antonygreen.com.au/sa2026-finn

    #SAvotes #auspol #election #politics

  3. #SAvotes Every election someone reads into preferences as if they are tea leaves and discerns some sort of scam that isn't there. I was bracing for the conspiracy theories from One Nation supporters (and I'm sure they're still coming), but in the meantime a bunch of people are making a big fuss over the ONP how to vote and the SA savings provisions.

    It's not that complicated. The ONP how to vote is an open ticket. It tells people to number 1 for ONP and then number the others (some people are saying it directs voters to only number 1 - you can see them here to see that this isn't true ecsa.sa.gov.au/component/conte )
    Anyone who has paid attention to any election ever before knows about open tickets, and those pretending ONP are doing something uniquely nefarious are being completely disingenuous.

    There is a simple reason for open tickets - sometimes candidates hope to draw voters from multiple other parties, particularly both majors, and don't want to alienate some by showing a high preference for the one they don't like.

    There is a conspiracy theory that they wanted voters to vote just 1 so that the savings provisions let them control their preferences. This is beyond stupid. They don't care about preferences they want your number 1 so that they win. This is true of all parties, nobody uses how to votes because they desperately care about who your lower preferences go to, they just want undecided voters who might only consider HTVs to choose them, or to make it easier for undecided voters who have already decided to cast a vote for them.

    There are plenty of reasons to dislike and object to One Nation, I understand this, I even went to the trouble of numbering every box below the line in the Leg Co to put Cory last, but this is a pointless and stupid distraction which is trying to delegitimise a perfectly fine feature of our voting system.

  4. Antony Green's analysis of the SA election result:

    It was a disaster for the Liberal Party, but the rising vote for One Nation was also a warning for Labor

    antonygreen.com.au/sa2026-some

    #SAvotes #auspol #election #politics

  5. CW: Auspol, SAvotes

    I went through the mugshots of the two-party-preferred candidates in the South Australia election, and without exception they are white.

    South Australia’s not that white, is it? What’s going on here? I mean yes, One Nation, but even the Labor candidates.

    abc.net.au/news/elections/sa/2

    #auspol #savotes

  6. CW: Auspol - SA Votes

    Another example of this propaganda from Seven News Australia:
    #Auspol #SAPol #SAVotes

    Labor won over 45 seats (24 needed to win) and they absolutely demolished the Liberals who have won fewer than 10.

    One Nation (Australian MAGA) might be in with a chance for one, maybe two seats.

    Seven News ran this story promoting One Nation as some incredible accomplishment from Pauline Hanson with a banner throughout celebrating that an “ORANGE TSUNAMI STRIKES”

    America has taught them well.

    One Nation surges in South Australian election landslide | 7NEWS
    ~ 7NEWS Australia
    [5:24min propaganda video disguised as news]
    youtu.be/8YCZD3DZI34

  7. CW: Auspol - SA Votes

    #auspol #SAPol #SAVotes
    Murdoch media have their eyes on the next federal election. This is what continuous campaigning looks like. Murdoch is destroying the LNP and will pour more money into promoting One Nation than any other party in Australia could possibly afford. This is how fascism takes hold in Australia.

  8. #SAvotes there's a lot of people trying to mock ONP for having zero seats due to the current ABC count. This feels like the same mistake that has been made numerous times in judging the Greens results on election night, when they have gone on to win more seats.
    ONP have 2 seats in the upper house and maybe a third. They are looking increasingly solid in Mackillop, and have two other firm possibilities. So it looks like they will get 3-6 seats. Still not a lot overall, but certainly way better than any other third party is SA for as long as I can remember (and probably a fair bit longer than that).
    In many seats they will be in the 2 party count. They have gone a long way to replacing the Liberals.
    RIght now Labor are very popular, history tells us that won't last, so what happens when people turn against Labor? Who will get the votes?
    Dismissing ONP as irrelevant in light of this result doesn't seem like a good strategy to me.

  9. CW: PHON are revolting

    Fascists hate democracy. #savotes

  10. CW: Election ponderings and realistic political spectrum

    I'd love to be able to sneak a #political #policy questionnaire into the next #Australian #Census to get a real gauge on where people fall on the political spectrum. I suspect it would look a lot different to how people vote at #elections.

    #Auspol #Auspol2026 #SAVotes #SAVotes2026

  11. @luciedigitalni Lots of people who would usually have voted Liberal seem to have voted PHON instead. I don't think it's unreasonable to call that a "shift to the right".

    #AusPol
    #SAElection
    #SAVotes

  12. CW: splitters

    There will have been Liberal voters grossed-out by PHON who would have preferenced ALP. Perhaps a marginal aeat or two was decided by that too. #savotes

  13. CW: splitters

    Libs preferenced PHON, but PHON didn’t preference anybody. So anyone who voted first preference for PHON was subtracting from Lib. No flow-back. #savotes

  14. CW: splitters

    Primary votes:
    ALP 37.4%
    Lib 19.8%
    PHON 20.1%

    Fascinating to see how the conservative primary vote has split. Would Liberals have won the election if PHON didn’t show up? #savotes

  15. Malinauskas telling people "to celebrate capital as well as labour" is everything you need to know about what the ALP has become.

    #LaborValues #SAvotes #AusPol

  16. This poetry session from Malinauskas is one of the best things I've seen in politics.
    #auspol #savotes

  17. Kyan Maher: “People do not make jokes about South Australia anymore…”

    Oh, Kyan, my sweet innocent child…

    #savotes

  18. CW: Auspol - SA Votes

    #Auspol #SAPol #SAVotes

    It’s difficult to articulate the devastation of the Liberal Party in South Australia tonight.

    I mean, how do they think they’re going to form a shadow cabinet with 4-5 seats?

    LMFAO

    #Shadenfruede