#awdal — Public Fediverse posts
Live and recent posts from across the Fediverse tagged #awdal, aggregated by home.social.
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A former #HargeisaWaterAgency chief, @MohamedDarod, is demanding #Transparency over #Somaliland’s recognition deal with #Israel, warning of hidden #security clauses & rising unrest in #Awdal & #Salal. “There is no such thing as a free lunch,” he says.
https://saxafimedia.com/hargeisa-water-chief-israel-recognition-security/
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The site of said base/station would also be contentious, as a similar Ethiopian plan revived Gadabuursi-Issa tensions in the #Awdal (West) region of #Somaliland, and ignited a proxy war with former Somaliland ally #Djibouti. #FRUD now openly supports Somaliland, while Djibouti has been claimed to train Awdal militias on its soil. Awdal has very recently known its own Las Anod moment with non-Issa protests in capital Borama leading to security forces firing on the crowd (19 dead).
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The site of said base/station would also be contentious, as a similar Ethiopian plan revived Gadabuursi-Issa tensions in the #Awdal (West) region of #Somaliland, and ignited a proxy war with former Somaliland ally #Djibouti. #FRUD now openly supports Somaliland, while Djibouti has been claimed to train Awdal militias on its soil. Awdal has very recently known its own Las Anod moment with non-Issa protests in capital Borama leading to security forces firing on the crowd (19 dead).
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- Insurgencies in #Awdal and #SSCKhatumo are expected to find continued support in #Puntland, #Somalia and #Djibouti.
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This has already led to the rekindling of the #SSCKhatumo conflict and the birth of an #Awdal insurgency in #Somaliland, a proxy war between Somaliland and #Djibouti, and the looming threat of an Ethiopian-Egyptian proxy war in #Somalia. Al #Shabaab (AS) has already largely benefitted from the spat and seems to have formed close ties with the #Houthis.
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This has already led to the rekindling of the #SSCKhatumo conflict and the birth of an #Awdal insurgency in #Somaliland, a proxy war between Somaliland and #Djibouti, and the looming threat of an Ethiopian-Egyptian proxy war in #Somalia. Al #Shabaab (AS) has already largely benefitted from the spat and seems to have formed close ties with the #Houthis.
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So far, it can be said to have failed on all accounts. #Ethiopia still exercizes caution as to military support and official recognition. A new secessionist movement appeared in the West, in relation with the project of an Ethiopian naval base. The MoU triggered a proxy war with former ally #Djibouti, which now supports both #SSCKhatumo and #Awdal secessionists. Khatumo forces recently launched a raid on Erigavo, in #Sanaag, contesting Somaliland’s continued control of its coastline.
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So far, it can be said to have failed on all accounts. #Ethiopia still exercizes caution as to military support and official recognition. A new secessionist movement appeared in the West, in relation with the project of an Ethiopian naval base. The MoU triggered a proxy war with former ally #Djibouti, which now supports both #SSCKhatumo and #Awdal secessionists. Khatumo forces recently launched a raid on Erigavo, in #Sanaag, contesting Somaliland’s continued control of its coastline.
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An immediate consequence has been for former #Somaliland ally #Djibouti to support #Awdal’s #Gadabuursi clan against Hargeisa. The site of the Ethiopian naval base, on Gadabuursi territory, is located at barely 25 km from Djibouti’s border.
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The setting up of an Ethiopian naval base in Zeila, #Awdal, has been the main focus of Somali outcry against #Ethiopia’s encroachment of her sovereignty. It has also brought into question whether #Turkey would be obliged to intervene against it, after the naval MoU signed with #Somalia over the training of a Somali maritime force, the protection and exploitation of the Somali EEZ.
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The Somali response had initially been exceptionally firm and her position strong on all accounts. #Somaliland was uniquely weakened to begin with, including on account of #SSCKhatumo’s secession last August. The MoU also weakened #Awdal’s loyalty. All of #Somalia’s partners and major international organizations sided with Mogadiscio, including #Ethiopia’s all-weather partner #China. Ethiopia seemed to hesitate.
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Meanwhile, the Ethiopian MoU has triggered the demission of the minister for Defence, the arrest of the minister for Agriculture as well as several journalists. It has also greatly strengthened resistance in #Awdal, with the #Gadabuursi lobbying Mogadiscio for support.