#aidoomsterism — Public Fediverse posts

I mostly agree with this stance but, ultimately, intellectual property theft is an oximoron. Arguing for a more draconian enforcement of intellectual property rights is a reactionary position that only leads to more wealth concentration and monopoly formation.

"The LLMs (large language models) that power current AI are specifically trained to mimic human linguistic behavior, so it’s easy for gullible folks who don’t understand how LLMs work to think the system might be conscious, sentient, capable of suffering, or deserving of “a reward” (which humans, in the same situation, would appreciate, but which means literally nothing to AI).

What I find most appalling is the utter hypocrisy of the people who claim to care about “model welfare.” Not once have I seen MacAskill, for example, say anything about the actual harms that Anthropic has caused to real, living, breathing people — beings we know for a fact can actually suffer. He is, to my knowledge, completely silent about worker exploitation, intellectual property theft, and the fact that Anthropic is literally seeking investments from autocratic states like the UAE and Qatar."

https://www.realtimetechpocalypse.com/p/the-utter-hypocrisy-of-anthropic

#AI #GenerativeAI #Anthropic #AGI #AIDoomsters #AIDoomsterism

I mostly agree with this stance but, ultimately, intellectual property theft is an oximoron. Arguing for a more draconian enforcement of intellectual property rights is a reactionary position that only leads to more wealth concentration and monopoly formation.

"The LLMs (large language models) that power current AI are specifically trained to mimic human linguistic behavior, so it’s easy for gullible folks who don’t understand how LLMs work to think the system might be conscious, sentient, capable of suffering, or deserving of “a reward” (which humans, in the same situation, would appreciate, but which means literally nothing to AI).

What I find most appalling is the utter hypocrisy of the people who claim to care about “model welfare.” Not once have I seen MacAskill, for example, say anything about the actual harms that Anthropic has caused to real, living, breathing people — beings we know for a fact can actually suffer. He is, to my knowledge, completely silent about worker exploitation, intellectual property theft, and the fact that Anthropic is literally seeking investments from autocratic states like the UAE and Qatar."

https://www.realtimetechpocalypse.com/p/the-utter-hypocrisy-of-anthropic

#AI #GenerativeAI #Anthropic #AGI #AIDoomsters #AIDoomsterism

I mostly agree with this stance but, ultimately, intellectual property theft is an oximoron. Arguing for a more draconian enforcement of intellectual property rights is a reactionary position that only leads to more wealth concentration and monopoly formation.

"The LLMs (large language models) that power current AI are specifically trained to mimic human linguistic behavior, so it’s easy for gullible folks who don’t understand how LLMs work to think the system might be conscious, sentient, capable of suffering, or deserving of “a reward” (which humans, in the same situation, would appreciate, but which means literally nothing to AI).

What I find most appalling is the utter hypocrisy of the people who claim to care about “model welfare.” Not once have I seen MacAskill, for example, say anything about the actual harms that Anthropic has caused to real, living, breathing people — beings we know for a fact can actually suffer. He is, to my knowledge, completely silent about worker exploitation, intellectual property theft, and the fact that Anthropic is literally seeking investments from autocratic states like the UAE and Qatar."

https://www.realtimetechpocalypse.com/p/the-utter-hypocrisy-of-anthropic

#AI #GenerativeAI #Anthropic #AGI #AIDoomsters #AIDoomsterism

I mostly agree with this stance but, ultimately, intellectual property theft is an oximoron. Arguing for a more draconian enforcement of intellectual property rights is a reactionary position that only leads to more wealth concentration and monopoly formation.

"The LLMs (large language models) that power current AI are specifically trained to mimic human linguistic behavior, so it’s easy for gullible folks who don’t understand how LLMs work to think the system might be conscious, sentient, capable of suffering, or deserving of “a reward” (which humans, in the same situation, would appreciate, but which means literally nothing to AI).

What I find most appalling is the utter hypocrisy of the people who claim to care about “model welfare.” Not once have I seen MacAskill, for example, say anything about the actual harms that Anthropic has caused to real, living, breathing people — beings we know for a fact can actually suffer. He is, to my knowledge, completely silent about worker exploitation, intellectual property theft, and the fact that Anthropic is literally seeking investments from autocratic states like the UAE and Qatar."

https://www.realtimetechpocalypse.com/p/the-utter-hypocrisy-of-anthropic

#AI #GenerativeAI #Anthropic #AGI #AIDoomsters #AIDoomsterism

I mostly agree with this stance but, ultimately, intellectual property theft is an oximoron. Arguing for a more draconian enforcement of intellectual property rights is a reactionary position that only leads to more wealth concentration and monopoly formation.

"The LLMs (large language models) that power current AI are specifically trained to mimic human linguistic behavior, so it’s easy for gullible folks who don’t understand how LLMs work to think the system might be conscious, sentient, capable of suffering, or deserving of “a reward” (which humans, in the same situation, would appreciate, but which means literally nothing to AI).

What I find most appalling is the utter hypocrisy of the people who claim to care about “model welfare.” Not once have I seen MacAskill, for example, say anything about the actual harms that Anthropic has caused to real, living, breathing people — beings we know for a fact can actually suffer. He is, to my knowledge, completely silent about worker exploitation, intellectual property theft, and the fact that Anthropic is literally seeking investments from autocratic states like the UAE and Qatar."

https://www.realtimetechpocalypse.com/p/the-utter-hypocrisy-of-anthropic

#AI #GenerativeAI #Anthropic #AGI #AIDoomsters #AIDoomsterism

#UK #AI #AISummit #AISafety #AIDoomsterism: "In its current form, AI powers policing and surveillance tools that have been used to disproportionately target and, at times, misidentify Black and brown people. AI hiring tools have been found to make discriminatory decisions that have implications for who is considered for jobs. The algorithms social platforms are built on have fueled the spread of election misinformation. And there’s little transparency about how these programs work or the data they are trained on.

Frontier AI is still in the “idea phase”, said Janet Haven, a member of the US National Artificial Intelligence Advisory Committee (Naiac) and the executive director of the non-profit tech research organization Data & Society, “but there are many AI systems in use which empirical evidence has shown us are already causing harms that are not being addressed by regulation, industry practices or by law”. The summit’s focus on international collaboration is “a missed opportunity”, Haven argued, one that could have been spent discussing new legislation or how the UK could use existing law to address AI.

“I think international collaboration of any sort without a national framework of laws and regulations in place is extremely difficult,” she said. “You don’t have a baseline to work from.”

In its approach, experts say, the UK has taken some cues from the US, where lawmakers have repeatedly quizzed AI leaders in Congress, the White House has set out voluntary AI safety commitments and Joe Biden on Monday issued an executive order setting up guardrails for the use of advanced AI systems by federal agencies, but meaningful regulation so far has remained elusive."
https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2023/oct/31/uk-ai-summit-tech-regulation?CMP=share_btn_tw

#UK #AI #AISummit #AISafety #AIDoomsterism: "In its current form, AI powers policing and surveillance tools that have been used to disproportionately target and, at times, misidentify Black and brown people. AI hiring tools have been found to make discriminatory decisions that have implications for who is considered for jobs. The algorithms social platforms are built on have fueled the spread of election misinformation. And there’s little transparency about how these programs work or the data they are trained on.

Frontier AI is still in the “idea phase”, said Janet Haven, a member of the US National Artificial Intelligence Advisory Committee (Naiac) and the executive director of the non-profit tech research organization Data & Society, “but there are many AI systems in use which empirical evidence has shown us are already causing harms that are not being addressed by regulation, industry practices or by law”. The summit’s focus on international collaboration is “a missed opportunity”, Haven argued, one that could have been spent discussing new legislation or how the UK could use existing law to address AI.

“I think international collaboration of any sort without a national framework of laws and regulations in place is extremely difficult,” she said. “You don’t have a baseline to work from.”

In its approach, experts say, the UK has taken some cues from the US, where lawmakers have repeatedly quizzed AI leaders in Congress, the White House has set out voluntary AI safety commitments and Joe Biden on Monday issued an executive order setting up guardrails for the use of advanced AI systems by federal agencies, but meaningful regulation so far has remained elusive."
https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2023/oct/31/uk-ai-summit-tech-regulation?CMP=share_btn_tw

#UK #AI #AISummit #AISafety #AIDoomsterism: "In its current form, AI powers policing and surveillance tools that have been used to disproportionately target and, at times, misidentify Black and brown people. AI hiring tools have been found to make discriminatory decisions that have implications for who is considered for jobs. The algorithms social platforms are built on have fueled the spread of election misinformation. And there’s little transparency about how these programs work or the data they are trained on.

Frontier AI is still in the “idea phase”, said Janet Haven, a member of the US National Artificial Intelligence Advisory Committee (Naiac) and the executive director of the non-profit tech research organization Data & Society, “but there are many AI systems in use which empirical evidence has shown us are already causing harms that are not being addressed by regulation, industry practices or by law”. The summit’s focus on international collaboration is “a missed opportunity”, Haven argued, one that could have been spent discussing new legislation or how the UK could use existing law to address AI.

“I think international collaboration of any sort without a national framework of laws and regulations in place is extremely difficult,” she said. “You don’t have a baseline to work from.”

In its approach, experts say, the UK has taken some cues from the US, where lawmakers have repeatedly quizzed AI leaders in Congress, the White House has set out voluntary AI safety commitments and Joe Biden on Monday issued an executive order setting up guardrails for the use of advanced AI systems by federal agencies, but meaningful regulation so far has remained elusive."
https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2023/oct/31/uk-ai-summit-tech-regulation?CMP=share_btn_tw

#UK #AI #AISummit #AISafety #AIDoomsterism: "In its current form, AI powers policing and surveillance tools that have been used to disproportionately target and, at times, misidentify Black and brown people. AI hiring tools have been found to make discriminatory decisions that have implications for who is considered for jobs. The algorithms social platforms are built on have fueled the spread of election misinformation. And there’s little transparency about how these programs work or the data they are trained on.

Frontier AI is still in the “idea phase”, said Janet Haven, a member of the US National Artificial Intelligence Advisory Committee (Naiac) and the executive director of the non-profit tech research organization Data & Society, “but there are many AI systems in use which empirical evidence has shown us are already causing harms that are not being addressed by regulation, industry practices or by law”. The summit’s focus on international collaboration is “a missed opportunity”, Haven argued, one that could have been spent discussing new legislation or how the UK could use existing law to address AI.

“I think international collaboration of any sort without a national framework of laws and regulations in place is extremely difficult,” she said. “You don’t have a baseline to work from.”

In its approach, experts say, the UK has taken some cues from the US, where lawmakers have repeatedly quizzed AI leaders in Congress, the White House has set out voluntary AI safety commitments and Joe Biden on Monday issued an executive order setting up guardrails for the use of advanced AI systems by federal agencies, but meaningful regulation so far has remained elusive."
https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2023/oct/31/uk-ai-summit-tech-regulation?CMP=share_btn_tw

#UK #AI #AISummit #AISafety #AIDoomsterism: "In its current form, AI powers policing and surveillance tools that have been used to disproportionately target and, at times, misidentify Black and brown people. AI hiring tools have been found to make discriminatory decisions that have implications for who is considered for jobs. The algorithms social platforms are built on have fueled the spread of election misinformation. And there’s little transparency about how these programs work or the data they are trained on.

Frontier AI is still in the “idea phase”, said Janet Haven, a member of the US National Artificial Intelligence Advisory Committee (Naiac) and the executive director of the non-profit tech research organization Data & Society, “but there are many AI systems in use which empirical evidence has shown us are already causing harms that are not being addressed by regulation, industry practices or by law”. The summit’s focus on international collaboration is “a missed opportunity”, Haven argued, one that could have been spent discussing new legislation or how the UK could use existing law to address AI.

“I think international collaboration of any sort without a national framework of laws and regulations in place is extremely difficult,” she said. “You don’t have a baseline to work from.”

In its approach, experts say, the UK has taken some cues from the US, where lawmakers have repeatedly quizzed AI leaders in Congress, the White House has set out voluntary AI safety commitments and Joe Biden on Monday issued an executive order setting up guardrails for the use of advanced AI systems by federal agencies, but meaningful regulation so far has remained elusive."
https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2023/oct/31/uk-ai-summit-tech-regulation?CMP=share_btn_tw

#AI #AISafety #AIDoomsterism #NuclearEnergy: "If AI labs are to consistently invoke exaggerated fears through comparisons to nuclear hazards, then they must be willing to take the analogy to completion. Ironically, if they were to explore the readily available safety mechanisms for nuclear components, they would be pressed to find inflammatory language supporting the use of terminology such as “extinction” and “existential risks”. Indeed, nuclear catastrophe is supported by known scientific and geo-political capabilities that have been theoretically and meticulously studied even during the Manhattan Project. The risks identified are tethered to tractable and compounding risks. Meanwhile, there exists no scientific basis or evidence for how or when AGI will emerge (if ever), leaving us with only a hypothetical risk that has capitulated many of our regulatory efforts today."

https://time.com/6327635/ai-needs-to-be-regulated-like-nuclear-weapons/

#AI #AISafety #AIDoomsterism #NuclearEnergy: "If AI labs are to consistently invoke exaggerated fears through comparisons to nuclear hazards, then they must be willing to take the analogy to completion. Ironically, if they were to explore the readily available safety mechanisms for nuclear components, they would be pressed to find inflammatory language supporting the use of terminology such as “extinction” and “existential risks”. Indeed, nuclear catastrophe is supported by known scientific and geo-political capabilities that have been theoretically and meticulously studied even during the Manhattan Project. The risks identified are tethered to tractable and compounding risks. Meanwhile, there exists no scientific basis or evidence for how or when AGI will emerge (if ever), leaving us with only a hypothetical risk that has capitulated many of our regulatory efforts today."

https://time.com/6327635/ai-needs-to-be-regulated-like-nuclear-weapons/

#AI #AISafety #AIDoomsterism #NuclearEnergy: "If AI labs are to consistently invoke exaggerated fears through comparisons to nuclear hazards, then they must be willing to take the analogy to completion. Ironically, if they were to explore the readily available safety mechanisms for nuclear components, they would be pressed to find inflammatory language supporting the use of terminology such as “extinction” and “existential risks”. Indeed, nuclear catastrophe is supported by known scientific and geo-political capabilities that have been theoretically and meticulously studied even during the Manhattan Project. The risks identified are tethered to tractable and compounding risks. Meanwhile, there exists no scientific basis or evidence for how or when AGI will emerge (if ever), leaving us with only a hypothetical risk that has capitulated many of our regulatory efforts today."

https://time.com/6327635/ai-needs-to-be-regulated-like-nuclear-weapons/

#AI #AISafety #AIDoomsterism #NuclearEnergy: "If AI labs are to consistently invoke exaggerated fears through comparisons to nuclear hazards, then they must be willing to take the analogy to completion. Ironically, if they were to explore the readily available safety mechanisms for nuclear components, they would be pressed to find inflammatory language supporting the use of terminology such as “extinction” and “existential risks”. Indeed, nuclear catastrophe is supported by known scientific and geo-political capabilities that have been theoretically and meticulously studied even during the Manhattan Project. The risks identified are tethered to tractable and compounding risks. Meanwhile, there exists no scientific basis or evidence for how or when AGI will emerge (if ever), leaving us with only a hypothetical risk that has capitulated many of our regulatory efforts today."

https://time.com/6327635/ai-needs-to-be-regulated-like-nuclear-weapons/

#AI #AISafety #AIDoomsterism #NuclearEnergy: "If AI labs are to consistently invoke exaggerated fears through comparisons to nuclear hazards, then they must be willing to take the analogy to completion. Ironically, if they were to explore the readily available safety mechanisms for nuclear components, they would be pressed to find inflammatory language supporting the use of terminology such as “extinction” and “existential risks”. Indeed, nuclear catastrophe is supported by known scientific and geo-political capabilities that have been theoretically and meticulously studied even during the Manhattan Project. The risks identified are tethered to tractable and compounding risks. Meanwhile, there exists no scientific basis or evidence for how or when AGI will emerge (if ever), leaving us with only a hypothetical risk that has capitulated many of our regulatory efforts today."

https://time.com/6327635/ai-needs-to-be-regulated-like-nuclear-weapons/

#AI #AGI #AIApocalypse #AIDoomsterism #Stanford #SiliconValley: "At Stanford, Open Philanthropy awarded Luby and Edwards more than $1.5 million in grants to launch the Stanford Existential Risk Initiative, which supports student research in the growing field known as “AI safety” or “AI alignment.” It also hosts an annual conference and sponsors a student group, one of dozens of AI safety clubs that Open Philanthropy has helped support in the past year at universities around the country.

Critics call the AI safety movement unscientific. They say its claims about existential risk can sound closer to a religion than research. And while the sci-fi narrative resonates with public fears about runaway AI, critics say it obsesses over one kind of catastrophe to the exclusion of many others"

https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2023/07/05/ai-apocalypse-college-students/

#AI #AGI #AIApocalypse #AIDoomsterism #Stanford #SiliconValley: "At Stanford, Open Philanthropy awarded Luby and Edwards more than $1.5 million in grants to launch the Stanford Existential Risk Initiative, which supports student research in the growing field known as “AI safety” or “AI alignment.” It also hosts an annual conference and sponsors a student group, one of dozens of AI safety clubs that Open Philanthropy has helped support in the past year at universities around the country.

Critics call the AI safety movement unscientific. They say its claims about existential risk can sound closer to a religion than research. And while the sci-fi narrative resonates with public fears about runaway AI, critics say it obsesses over one kind of catastrophe to the exclusion of many others"

https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2023/07/05/ai-apocalypse-college-students/

#AI #AGI #AIApocalypse #AIDoomsterism #Stanford #SiliconValley: "At Stanford, Open Philanthropy awarded Luby and Edwards more than $1.5 million in grants to launch the Stanford Existential Risk Initiative, which supports student research in the growing field known as “AI safety” or “AI alignment.” It also hosts an annual conference and sponsors a student group, one of dozens of AI safety clubs that Open Philanthropy has helped support in the past year at universities around the country.

Critics call the AI safety movement unscientific. They say its claims about existential risk can sound closer to a religion than research. And while the sci-fi narrative resonates with public fears about runaway AI, critics say it obsesses over one kind of catastrophe to the exclusion of many others"

https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2023/07/05/ai-apocalypse-college-students/

#AI #AGI #AIApocalypse #AIDoomsterism #Stanford #SiliconValley: "At Stanford, Open Philanthropy awarded Luby and Edwards more than $1.5 million in grants to launch the Stanford Existential Risk Initiative, which supports student research in the growing field known as “AI safety” or “AI alignment.” It also hosts an annual conference and sponsors a student group, one of dozens of AI safety clubs that Open Philanthropy has helped support in the past year at universities around the country.

Critics call the AI safety movement unscientific. They say its claims about existential risk can sound closer to a religion than research. And while the sci-fi narrative resonates with public fears about runaway AI, critics say it obsesses over one kind of catastrophe to the exclusion of many others"

https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2023/07/05/ai-apocalypse-college-students/

#AI #AGI #AIApocalypse #AIDoomsterism #Stanford #SiliconValley: "At Stanford, Open Philanthropy awarded Luby and Edwards more than $1.5 million in grants to launch the Stanford Existential Risk Initiative, which supports student research in the growing field known as “AI safety” or “AI alignment.” It also hosts an annual conference and sponsors a student group, one of dozens of AI safety clubs that Open Philanthropy has helped support in the past year at universities around the country.

Critics call the AI safety movement unscientific. They say its claims about existential risk can sound closer to a religion than research. And while the sci-fi narrative resonates with public fears about runaway AI, critics say it obsesses over one kind of catastrophe to the exclusion of many others"

https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2023/07/05/ai-apocalypse-college-students/

#AI #AGI #AIDoomsterism #Tescreal #ExistentialRisk: "The problem, though, is that there’s no plausible account of how an AGI could realistically accomplish this, and claiming that it would employ “magic” that we just can’t understand essentially renders the whole conversation vacuous, since once we’ve entered the world of magic, anything goes. To repurpose a famous line from Ludwig Wittgenstein: “What we cannot speak about we must pass over in silence.”

This is why I’ve become very critical of the whole “AGI existential risk” debate, and why I find it unfortunate that computer scientists like Geoffrey Hinton and Yoshua Bengio have jumped on the “AI doomer” bandwagon. We should be very skeptical of the public conversation surrounding AGI “existential risks.” Even more, we should be critical of how these warnings have been picked up and propagated by the news, as they distract from the very real harms that AI companies are causing right now, especially to marginalized communities.

If anything poses a direct and immediate threat to humanity, it’s the TESCREAL bundle of ideologies that’s driving the race to build AGI, while simultaneously inspiring the backlash of AI doomers who, like Yudkowsky, claim that AGI must be stopped at all costs — even at the risk of triggering a thermonuclear war."

https://www.truthdig.com/articles/does-agi-really-threaten-the-survival-of-the-species/

#AI #AGI #AIDoomsterism #Tescreal #ExistentialRisk: "The problem, though, is that there’s no plausible account of how an AGI could realistically accomplish this, and claiming that it would employ “magic” that we just can’t understand essentially renders the whole conversation vacuous, since once we’ve entered the world of magic, anything goes. To repurpose a famous line from Ludwig Wittgenstein: “What we cannot speak about we must pass over in silence.”

This is why I’ve become very critical of the whole “AGI existential risk” debate, and why I find it unfortunate that computer scientists like Geoffrey Hinton and Yoshua Bengio have jumped on the “AI doomer” bandwagon. We should be very skeptical of the public conversation surrounding AGI “existential risks.” Even more, we should be critical of how these warnings have been picked up and propagated by the news, as they distract from the very real harms that AI companies are causing right now, especially to marginalized communities.

If anything poses a direct and immediate threat to humanity, it’s the TESCREAL bundle of ideologies that’s driving the race to build AGI, while simultaneously inspiring the backlash of AI doomers who, like Yudkowsky, claim that AGI must be stopped at all costs — even at the risk of triggering a thermonuclear war."

https://www.truthdig.com/articles/does-agi-really-threaten-the-survival-of-the-species/

#AI #AGI #AIDoomsterism #Tescreal #ExistentialRisk: "The problem, though, is that there’s no plausible account of how an AGI could realistically accomplish this, and claiming that it would employ “magic” that we just can’t understand essentially renders the whole conversation vacuous, since once we’ve entered the world of magic, anything goes. To repurpose a famous line from Ludwig Wittgenstein: “What we cannot speak about we must pass over in silence.”

This is why I’ve become very critical of the whole “AGI existential risk” debate, and why I find it unfortunate that computer scientists like Geoffrey Hinton and Yoshua Bengio have jumped on the “AI doomer” bandwagon. We should be very skeptical of the public conversation surrounding AGI “existential risks.” Even more, we should be critical of how these warnings have been picked up and propagated by the news, as they distract from the very real harms that AI companies are causing right now, especially to marginalized communities.

If anything poses a direct and immediate threat to humanity, it’s the TESCREAL bundle of ideologies that’s driving the race to build AGI, while simultaneously inspiring the backlash of AI doomers who, like Yudkowsky, claim that AGI must be stopped at all costs — even at the risk of triggering a thermonuclear war."

https://www.truthdig.com/articles/does-agi-really-threaten-the-survival-of-the-species/

#AI #AGI #AIDoomsterism #Tescreal #ExistentialRisk: "The problem, though, is that there’s no plausible account of how an AGI could realistically accomplish this, and claiming that it would employ “magic” that we just can’t understand essentially renders the whole conversation vacuous, since once we’ve entered the world of magic, anything goes. To repurpose a famous line from Ludwig Wittgenstein: “What we cannot speak about we must pass over in silence.”

This is why I’ve become very critical of the whole “AGI existential risk” debate, and why I find it unfortunate that computer scientists like Geoffrey Hinton and Yoshua Bengio have jumped on the “AI doomer” bandwagon. We should be very skeptical of the public conversation surrounding AGI “existential risks.” Even more, we should be critical of how these warnings have been picked up and propagated by the news, as they distract from the very real harms that AI companies are causing right now, especially to marginalized communities.

If anything poses a direct and immediate threat to humanity, it’s the TESCREAL bundle of ideologies that’s driving the race to build AGI, while simultaneously inspiring the backlash of AI doomers who, like Yudkowsky, claim that AGI must be stopped at all costs — even at the risk of triggering a thermonuclear war."

https://www.truthdig.com/articles/does-agi-really-threaten-the-survival-of-the-species/

#AI #AGI #AIDoomsterism #Tescreal #ExistentialRisk: "The problem, though, is that there’s no plausible account of how an AGI could realistically accomplish this, and claiming that it would employ “magic” that we just can’t understand essentially renders the whole conversation vacuous, since once we’ve entered the world of magic, anything goes. To repurpose a famous line from Ludwig Wittgenstein: “What we cannot speak about we must pass over in silence.”

This is why I’ve become very critical of the whole “AGI existential risk” debate, and why I find it unfortunate that computer scientists like Geoffrey Hinton and Yoshua Bengio have jumped on the “AI doomer” bandwagon. We should be very skeptical of the public conversation surrounding AGI “existential risks.” Even more, we should be critical of how these warnings have been picked up and propagated by the news, as they distract from the very real harms that AI companies are causing right now, especially to marginalized communities.

If anything poses a direct and immediate threat to humanity, it’s the TESCREAL bundle of ideologies that’s driving the race to build AGI, while simultaneously inspiring the backlash of AI doomers who, like Yudkowsky, claim that AGI must be stopped at all costs — even at the risk of triggering a thermonuclear war."

https://www.truthdig.com/articles/does-agi-really-threaten-the-survival-of-the-species/

#AI #AGI #AGIsm #Neoliberalism #AIDoomsterism #Capitalism: "Fascinated with privatization, competition and free trade, the architects of neoliberalism wanted to dynamize and transform a stagnant and labor-friendly economy through markets and deregulation.

Some of these transformations worked, but they came at an immense cost. Over the years, neoliberalism drew many, many critics, who blamed it for the Great Recession and financial crisis, Trumpism, Brexit and much else.

It is not surprising, then, that the Biden administration has distanced itself from the ideology, acknowledging that markets sometimes get it wrong. Foundations, think tanks and academics have even dared to imagine a post-neoliberal future.

Yet neoliberalism is far from dead. Worse, it has found an ally in A.G.I.-ism, which stands to reinforce and replicate its main biases: that private actors outperform public ones (the market bias), that adapting to reality beats transforming it (the adaptation bias) and that efficiency trumps social concerns (the efficiency bias).

These biases turn the alluring promise behind A.G.I. on its head: Instead of saving the world, the quest to build it will make things only worse. Here is how."

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/06/30/opinion/artificial-intelligence-danger.html

#AI #AGI #AGIsm #Neoliberalism #AIDoomsterism #Capitalism: "Fascinated with privatization, competition and free trade, the architects of neoliberalism wanted to dynamize and transform a stagnant and labor-friendly economy through markets and deregulation.

Some of these transformations worked, but they came at an immense cost. Over the years, neoliberalism drew many, many critics, who blamed it for the Great Recession and financial crisis, Trumpism, Brexit and much else.

It is not surprising, then, that the Biden administration has distanced itself from the ideology, acknowledging that markets sometimes get it wrong. Foundations, think tanks and academics have even dared to imagine a post-neoliberal future.

Yet neoliberalism is far from dead. Worse, it has found an ally in A.G.I.-ism, which stands to reinforce and replicate its main biases: that private actors outperform public ones (the market bias), that adapting to reality beats transforming it (the adaptation bias) and that efficiency trumps social concerns (the efficiency bias).

These biases turn the alluring promise behind A.G.I. on its head: Instead of saving the world, the quest to build it will make things only worse. Here is how."

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/06/30/opinion/artificial-intelligence-danger.html

#AI #AGI #AGIsm #Neoliberalism #AIDoomsterism #Capitalism: "Fascinated with privatization, competition and free trade, the architects of neoliberalism wanted to dynamize and transform a stagnant and labor-friendly economy through markets and deregulation.

Some of these transformations worked, but they came at an immense cost. Over the years, neoliberalism drew many, many critics, who blamed it for the Great Recession and financial crisis, Trumpism, Brexit and much else.

It is not surprising, then, that the Biden administration has distanced itself from the ideology, acknowledging that markets sometimes get it wrong. Foundations, think tanks and academics have even dared to imagine a post-neoliberal future.

Yet neoliberalism is far from dead. Worse, it has found an ally in A.G.I.-ism, which stands to reinforce and replicate its main biases: that private actors outperform public ones (the market bias), that adapting to reality beats transforming it (the adaptation bias) and that efficiency trumps social concerns (the efficiency bias).

These biases turn the alluring promise behind A.G.I. on its head: Instead of saving the world, the quest to build it will make things only worse. Here is how."

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/06/30/opinion/artificial-intelligence-danger.html

#AI #AGI #AGIsm #Neoliberalism #AIDoomsterism #Capitalism: "Fascinated with privatization, competition and free trade, the architects of neoliberalism wanted to dynamize and transform a stagnant and labor-friendly economy through markets and deregulation.

Some of these transformations worked, but they came at an immense cost. Over the years, neoliberalism drew many, many critics, who blamed it for the Great Recession and financial crisis, Trumpism, Brexit and much else.

It is not surprising, then, that the Biden administration has distanced itself from the ideology, acknowledging that markets sometimes get it wrong. Foundations, think tanks and academics have even dared to imagine a post-neoliberal future.

Yet neoliberalism is far from dead. Worse, it has found an ally in A.G.I.-ism, which stands to reinforce and replicate its main biases: that private actors outperform public ones (the market bias), that adapting to reality beats transforming it (the adaptation bias) and that efficiency trumps social concerns (the efficiency bias).

These biases turn the alluring promise behind A.G.I. on its head: Instead of saving the world, the quest to build it will make things only worse. Here is how."

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/06/30/opinion/artificial-intelligence-danger.html

#AI #AGI #AGIsm #Neoliberalism #AIDoomsterism #Capitalism: "Fascinated with privatization, competition and free trade, the architects of neoliberalism wanted to dynamize and transform a stagnant and labor-friendly economy through markets and deregulation.

Some of these transformations worked, but they came at an immense cost. Over the years, neoliberalism drew many, many critics, who blamed it for the Great Recession and financial crisis, Trumpism, Brexit and much else.

It is not surprising, then, that the Biden administration has distanced itself from the ideology, acknowledging that markets sometimes get it wrong. Foundations, think tanks and academics have even dared to imagine a post-neoliberal future.

Yet neoliberalism is far from dead. Worse, it has found an ally in A.G.I.-ism, which stands to reinforce and replicate its main biases: that private actors outperform public ones (the market bias), that adapting to reality beats transforming it (the adaptation bias) and that efficiency trumps social concerns (the efficiency bias).

These biases turn the alluring promise behind A.G.I. on its head: Instead of saving the world, the quest to build it will make things only worse. Here is how."

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/06/30/opinion/artificial-intelligence-danger.html

#AI #GenerativeAI #BigTech #Regulation #AIDoomsterism: "Tech firms must formulate industry standards for responsible development of AI systems and tools, and undertake rigorous safety testing before products are released. They should submit data in full to independent regulatory bodies that are able to verify them, much as drug companies must submit clinical-trial data to medical authorities before drugs can go on sale.

For that to happen, governments must establish appropriate legal and regulatory frameworks, as well as applying laws that already exist. Earlier this month, the European Parliament approved the AI Act, which would regulate AI applications in the European Union according to their potential risk — banning police use of live facial-recognition technology in public spaces, for example. There are further hurdles for the bill to clear before it becomes law in EU member states and there are questions about the lack of detail on how it will be enforced, but it could help to set global standards on AI systems.

Further consultations about AI risks and regulations, such as the forthcoming UK summit, must invite a diverse list of attendees that includes researchers who study the harms of AI and representatives from communities that have been or are at particular risk of being harmed by the technology."

https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-023-02094-7

#AI #GenerativeAI #BigTech #Regulation #AIDoomsterism: "Tech firms must formulate industry standards for responsible development of AI systems and tools, and undertake rigorous safety testing before products are released. They should submit data in full to independent regulatory bodies that are able to verify them, much as drug companies must submit clinical-trial data to medical authorities before drugs can go on sale.

For that to happen, governments must establish appropriate legal and regulatory frameworks, as well as applying laws that already exist. Earlier this month, the European Parliament approved the AI Act, which would regulate AI applications in the European Union according to their potential risk — banning police use of live facial-recognition technology in public spaces, for example. There are further hurdles for the bill to clear before it becomes law in EU member states and there are questions about the lack of detail on how it will be enforced, but it could help to set global standards on AI systems.

Further consultations about AI risks and regulations, such as the forthcoming UK summit, must invite a diverse list of attendees that includes researchers who study the harms of AI and representatives from communities that have been or are at particular risk of being harmed by the technology."

https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-023-02094-7

#AI #GenerativeAI #BigTech #Regulation #AIDoomsterism: "Tech firms must formulate industry standards for responsible development of AI systems and tools, and undertake rigorous safety testing before products are released. They should submit data in full to independent regulatory bodies that are able to verify them, much as drug companies must submit clinical-trial data to medical authorities before drugs can go on sale.

For that to happen, governments must establish appropriate legal and regulatory frameworks, as well as applying laws that already exist. Earlier this month, the European Parliament approved the AI Act, which would regulate AI applications in the European Union according to their potential risk — banning police use of live facial-recognition technology in public spaces, for example. There are further hurdles for the bill to clear before it becomes law in EU member states and there are questions about the lack of detail on how it will be enforced, but it could help to set global standards on AI systems.

Further consultations about AI risks and regulations, such as the forthcoming UK summit, must invite a diverse list of attendees that includes researchers who study the harms of AI and representatives from communities that have been or are at particular risk of being harmed by the technology."

https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-023-02094-7

#AI #GenerativeAI #BigTech #Regulation #AIDoomsterism: "Tech firms must formulate industry standards for responsible development of AI systems and tools, and undertake rigorous safety testing before products are released. They should submit data in full to independent regulatory bodies that are able to verify them, much as drug companies must submit clinical-trial data to medical authorities before drugs can go on sale.

For that to happen, governments must establish appropriate legal and regulatory frameworks, as well as applying laws that already exist. Earlier this month, the European Parliament approved the AI Act, which would regulate AI applications in the European Union according to their potential risk — banning police use of live facial-recognition technology in public spaces, for example. There are further hurdles for the bill to clear before it becomes law in EU member states and there are questions about the lack of detail on how it will be enforced, but it could help to set global standards on AI systems.

Further consultations about AI risks and regulations, such as the forthcoming UK summit, must invite a diverse list of attendees that includes researchers who study the harms of AI and representatives from communities that have been or are at particular risk of being harmed by the technology."

https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-023-02094-7

#AI #GenerativeAI #BigTech #Regulation #AIDoomsterism: "Tech firms must formulate industry standards for responsible development of AI systems and tools, and undertake rigorous safety testing before products are released. They should submit data in full to independent regulatory bodies that are able to verify them, much as drug companies must submit clinical-trial data to medical authorities before drugs can go on sale.

For that to happen, governments must establish appropriate legal and regulatory frameworks, as well as applying laws that already exist. Earlier this month, the European Parliament approved the AI Act, which would regulate AI applications in the European Union according to their potential risk — banning police use of live facial-recognition technology in public spaces, for example. There are further hurdles for the bill to clear before it becomes law in EU member states and there are questions about the lack of detail on how it will be enforced, but it could help to set global standards on AI systems.

Further consultations about AI risks and regulations, such as the forthcoming UK summit, must invite a diverse list of attendees that includes researchers who study the harms of AI and representatives from communities that have been or are at particular risk of being harmed by the technology."

https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-023-02094-7

#AI #AGI #AIDoomsterism: "Below, we’ve put together a kind of scorecard. IEEE Spectrum has distilled the published thoughts and pronouncements of 22 AI luminaries on large language models, the likelihood of an AGI, and the risk of civilizational havoc. We scoured news articles, social media feeds, and books to find public statements by these experts, then used our best judgment to summarize their beliefs and to assign them yes/no/maybe positions below. If you’re one of the luminaries and you’re annoyed because we got something wrong about your perspective, please let us know. We’ll fix it.

And if we’ve left out your favorite AI pundit, our apologies. Let us know in the comments section below whom we should have included, and why. And feel free to add your own pronouncements, too."
https://spectrum.ieee.org/artificial-general-intelligence

#AI #AGI #AIDoomsterism: "Below, we’ve put together a kind of scorecard. IEEE Spectrum has distilled the published thoughts and pronouncements of 22 AI luminaries on large language models, the likelihood of an AGI, and the risk of civilizational havoc. We scoured news articles, social media feeds, and books to find public statements by these experts, then used our best judgment to summarize their beliefs and to assign them yes/no/maybe positions below. If you’re one of the luminaries and you’re annoyed because we got something wrong about your perspective, please let us know. We’ll fix it.

And if we’ve left out your favorite AI pundit, our apologies. Let us know in the comments section below whom we should have included, and why. And feel free to add your own pronouncements, too."
https://spectrum.ieee.org/artificial-general-intelligence

#AI #AGI #AIDoomsterism: "Below, we’ve put together a kind of scorecard. IEEE Spectrum has distilled the published thoughts and pronouncements of 22 AI luminaries on large language models, the likelihood of an AGI, and the risk of civilizational havoc. We scoured news articles, social media feeds, and books to find public statements by these experts, then used our best judgment to summarize their beliefs and to assign them yes/no/maybe positions below. If you’re one of the luminaries and you’re annoyed because we got something wrong about your perspective, please let us know. We’ll fix it.

And if we’ve left out your favorite AI pundit, our apologies. Let us know in the comments section below whom we should have included, and why. And feel free to add your own pronouncements, too."
https://spectrum.ieee.org/artificial-general-intelligence

#AI #AGI #AIDoomsterism: "Below, we’ve put together a kind of scorecard. IEEE Spectrum has distilled the published thoughts and pronouncements of 22 AI luminaries on large language models, the likelihood of an AGI, and the risk of civilizational havoc. We scoured news articles, social media feeds, and books to find public statements by these experts, then used our best judgment to summarize their beliefs and to assign them yes/no/maybe positions below. If you’re one of the luminaries and you’re annoyed because we got something wrong about your perspective, please let us know. We’ll fix it.

And if we’ve left out your favorite AI pundit, our apologies. Let us know in the comments section below whom we should have included, and why. And feel free to add your own pronouncements, too."
https://spectrum.ieee.org/artificial-general-intelligence

#AI #AGI #AIDoomsterism: "Below, we’ve put together a kind of scorecard. IEEE Spectrum has distilled the published thoughts and pronouncements of 22 AI luminaries on large language models, the likelihood of an AGI, and the risk of civilizational havoc. We scoured news articles, social media feeds, and books to find public statements by these experts, then used our best judgment to summarize their beliefs and to assign them yes/no/maybe positions below. If you’re one of the luminaries and you’re annoyed because we got something wrong about your perspective, please let us know. We’ll fix it.

And if we’ve left out your favorite AI pundit, our apologies. Let us know in the comments section below whom we should have included, and why. And feel free to add your own pronouncements, too."
https://spectrum.ieee.org/artificial-general-intelligence

#AI #GenerativeAI #Hype #AIDoomsterism: "The week before, Altman told the US Senate that his worst fears were that the AI industry would cause significant harm to the world. Altman’s testimony helped spark calls for a new kind of agency to address such unprecedented harm.

With the Overton window shifted, is the damage done? “If we're talking about the far future, if we're talking about mythological risks, then we are completely reframing the problem to be a problem that exists in a fantasy world and its solutions can exist in a fantasy world too,” says Whittaker.

But Whittaker points out that policy discussions around AI have been going on for years, longer than this recent buzz of fear. “I don't believe in inevitability,” she says. “We will see a beating back of this hype, it will subside.”"

https://www.technologyreview.com/2023/06/19/1075140/how-existential-risk-became-biggest-meme-in-ai/

#AI #GenerativeAI #Hype #AIDoomsterism: "The week before, Altman told the US Senate that his worst fears were that the AI industry would cause significant harm to the world. Altman’s testimony helped spark calls for a new kind of agency to address such unprecedented harm.

With the Overton window shifted, is the damage done? “If we're talking about the far future, if we're talking about mythological risks, then we are completely reframing the problem to be a problem that exists in a fantasy world and its solutions can exist in a fantasy world too,” says Whittaker.

But Whittaker points out that policy discussions around AI have been going on for years, longer than this recent buzz of fear. “I don't believe in inevitability,” she says. “We will see a beating back of this hype, it will subside.”"

https://www.technologyreview.com/2023/06/19/1075140/how-existential-risk-became-biggest-meme-in-ai/

#AI #GenerativeAI #Hype #AIDoomsterism: "The week before, Altman told the US Senate that his worst fears were that the AI industry would cause significant harm to the world. Altman’s testimony helped spark calls for a new kind of agency to address such unprecedented harm.

With the Overton window shifted, is the damage done? “If we're talking about the far future, if we're talking about mythological risks, then we are completely reframing the problem to be a problem that exists in a fantasy world and its solutions can exist in a fantasy world too,” says Whittaker.

But Whittaker points out that policy discussions around AI have been going on for years, longer than this recent buzz of fear. “I don't believe in inevitability,” she says. “We will see a beating back of this hype, it will subside.”"

https://www.technologyreview.com/2023/06/19/1075140/how-existential-risk-became-biggest-meme-in-ai/

#AI #GenerativeAI #Hype #AIDoomsterism: "The week before, Altman told the US Senate that his worst fears were that the AI industry would cause significant harm to the world. Altman’s testimony helped spark calls for a new kind of agency to address such unprecedented harm.

With the Overton window shifted, is the damage done? “If we're talking about the far future, if we're talking about mythological risks, then we are completely reframing the problem to be a problem that exists in a fantasy world and its solutions can exist in a fantasy world too,” says Whittaker.

But Whittaker points out that policy discussions around AI have been going on for years, longer than this recent buzz of fear. “I don't believe in inevitability,” she says. “We will see a beating back of this hype, it will subside.”"

https://www.technologyreview.com/2023/06/19/1075140/how-existential-risk-became-biggest-meme-in-ai/

#AI #GenerativeAI #Hype #AIDoomsterism: "The week before, Altman told the US Senate that his worst fears were that the AI industry would cause significant harm to the world. Altman’s testimony helped spark calls for a new kind of agency to address such unprecedented harm.

With the Overton window shifted, is the damage done? “If we're talking about the far future, if we're talking about mythological risks, then we are completely reframing the problem to be a problem that exists in a fantasy world and its solutions can exist in a fantasy world too,” says Whittaker.

But Whittaker points out that policy discussions around AI have been going on for years, longer than this recent buzz of fear. “I don't believe in inevitability,” she says. “We will see a beating back of this hype, it will subside.”"

https://www.technologyreview.com/2023/06/19/1075140/how-existential-risk-became-biggest-meme-in-ai/

#AI #GenerativeAI #AIDoomsterism #Regulation: "We think that, in fact, most signatories to the statement believe that runaway AI is a way off yet, and that it will take a significant scientific advance to get there—one that we cannot anticipate, even if we are confident that it will someday occur. If this is so, then at least two things follow.

First, we should give more weight to serious risks from AI that are more urgent. Even if existing AI systems and their plausible extensions won’t wipe us out, they are already causing much more concentrated harm, they are sure to exacerbate inequality and, in the hands of power-hungry governments and unscrupulous corporations, will undermine individual and collective freedom. We can mitigate these risks now—we don’t have to wait for some unpredictable scientific advance to make progress. They should be our priority. After all, why would we have any confidence in our ability to address risks from future AI, if we won’t do the hard work of addressing those that are already with us?"

https://aisnakeoil.substack.com/p/is-avoiding-extinction-from-ai-really

#AI #GenerativeAI #AIDoomsterism #Regulation: "We think that, in fact, most signatories to the statement believe that runaway AI is a way off yet, and that it will take a significant scientific advance to get there—one that we cannot anticipate, even if we are confident that it will someday occur. If this is so, then at least two things follow.

First, we should give more weight to serious risks from AI that are more urgent. Even if existing AI systems and their plausible extensions won’t wipe us out, they are already causing much more concentrated harm, they are sure to exacerbate inequality and, in the hands of power-hungry governments and unscrupulous corporations, will undermine individual and collective freedom. We can mitigate these risks now—we don’t have to wait for some unpredictable scientific advance to make progress. They should be our priority. After all, why would we have any confidence in our ability to address risks from future AI, if we won’t do the hard work of addressing those that are already with us?"

https://aisnakeoil.substack.com/p/is-avoiding-extinction-from-ai-really

#AI #GenerativeAI #AIDoomsterism #Regulation: "We think that, in fact, most signatories to the statement believe that runaway AI is a way off yet, and that it will take a significant scientific advance to get there—one that we cannot anticipate, even if we are confident that it will someday occur. If this is so, then at least two things follow.

First, we should give more weight to serious risks from AI that are more urgent. Even if existing AI systems and their plausible extensions won’t wipe us out, they are already causing much more concentrated harm, they are sure to exacerbate inequality and, in the hands of power-hungry governments and unscrupulous corporations, will undermine individual and collective freedom. We can mitigate these risks now—we don’t have to wait for some unpredictable scientific advance to make progress. They should be our priority. After all, why would we have any confidence in our ability to address risks from future AI, if we won’t do the hard work of addressing those that are already with us?"

https://aisnakeoil.substack.com/p/is-avoiding-extinction-from-ai-really

#AI #GenerativeAI #AIDoomsterism #Regulation: "We think that, in fact, most signatories to the statement believe that runaway AI is a way off yet, and that it will take a significant scientific advance to get there—one that we cannot anticipate, even if we are confident that it will someday occur. If this is so, then at least two things follow.

First, we should give more weight to serious risks from AI that are more urgent. Even if existing AI systems and their plausible extensions won’t wipe us out, they are already causing much more concentrated harm, they are sure to exacerbate inequality and, in the hands of power-hungry governments and unscrupulous corporations, will undermine individual and collective freedom. We can mitigate these risks now—we don’t have to wait for some unpredictable scientific advance to make progress. They should be our priority. After all, why would we have any confidence in our ability to address risks from future AI, if we won’t do the hard work of addressing those that are already with us?"

https://aisnakeoil.substack.com/p/is-avoiding-extinction-from-ai-really

#AI #GenerativeAI #AIDoomsterism #Regulation: "We think that, in fact, most signatories to the statement believe that runaway AI is a way off yet, and that it will take a significant scientific advance to get there—one that we cannot anticipate, even if we are confident that it will someday occur. If this is so, then at least two things follow.

First, we should give more weight to serious risks from AI that are more urgent. Even if existing AI systems and their plausible extensions won’t wipe us out, they are already causing much more concentrated harm, they are sure to exacerbate inequality and, in the hands of power-hungry governments and unscrupulous corporations, will undermine individual and collective freedom. We can mitigate these risks now—we don’t have to wait for some unpredictable scientific advance to make progress. They should be our priority. After all, why would we have any confidence in our ability to address risks from future AI, if we won’t do the hard work of addressing those that are already with us?"

https://aisnakeoil.substack.com/p/is-avoiding-extinction-from-ai-really