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#existentialrisk — Public Fediverse posts

Live and recent posts from across the Fediverse tagged #existentialrisk, aggregated by home.social.

  1. New documentary asks if we are doomed by AI
    A deep cinematic look into the existential timeline. Featuring intense interviews with top global researchers and safety advocates, the project investigates whether accelerating corporate competition will irrevocably shatter safety alignment protocols before governance models can adapt.
    #AIEthics #Documentary #TechPolicy #ExistentialRisk #AISafety #CinematicNews
    technology-news-channel.com/ne

  2. Everything You’ve Been Told About Pre-History is Wrong

    It’s the question that will come to define our lives: is our society going to collapse? But the field of collapse research is fragmented, chaotic, and often just plain deranged. Who can you trust?

    Luke Kemp is the author of Goliath’s Curse and a Research Affiliate at the Cambridge University Centre for the Study of Existential Risk. And he’s also a political radical

    youtube.com/watch?v=SMrXbRuovY8

    #prehistory #LukeKemp #research #ExistentialRisk

  3. Everything You’ve Been Told About Pre-History is Wrong

    It’s the question that will come to define our lives: is our society going to collapse? But the field of collapse research is fragmented, chaotic, and often just plain deranged. Who can you trust?

    Luke Kemp is the author of Goliath’s Curse and a Research Affiliate at the Cambridge University Centre for the Study of Existential Risk. And he’s also a political radical

    youtube.com/watch?v=SMrXbRuovY8

    #prehistory #LukeKemp #research #ExistentialRisk

  4. Everything You’ve Been Told About Pre-History is Wrong

    It’s the question that will come to define our lives: is our society going to collapse? But the field of collapse research is fragmented, chaotic, and often just plain deranged. Who can you trust?

    Luke Kemp is the author of Goliath’s Curse and a Research Affiliate at the Cambridge University Centre for the Study of Existential Risk. And he’s also a political radical

    youtube.com/watch?v=SMrXbRuovY8

    #prehistory #LukeKemp #research #ExistentialRisk

  5. Everything You’ve Been Told About Pre-History is Wrong

    It’s the question that will come to define our lives: is our society going to collapse? But the field of collapse research is fragmented, chaotic, and often just plain deranged. Who can you trust?

    Luke Kemp is the author of Goliath’s Curse and a Research Affiliate at the Cambridge University Centre for the Study of Existential Risk. And he’s also a political radical

    youtube.com/watch?v=SMrXbRuovY8

    #prehistory #LukeKemp #research #ExistentialRisk

  6. Everything You’ve Been Told About Pre-History is Wrong

    It’s the question that will come to define our lives: is our society going to collapse? But the field of collapse research is fragmented, chaotic, and often just plain deranged. Who can you trust?

    Luke Kemp is the author of Goliath’s Curse and a Research Affiliate at the Cambridge University Centre for the Study of Existential Risk. And he’s also a political radical

    youtube.com/watch?v=SMrXbRuovY8

    #prehistory #LukeKemp #research #ExistentialRisk

  7. Watch the OER Foundation's urgent take on AI's existential risks at UNESCO's 3rd World OER Congress. Must-see scenarios & a companion paper — essential for educators, policy makers, and open ed advocates. #OER #AI #AIethics #UNESCO #OpenEducation #Education #EdTech #ExistentialRisk #English
    vid.fossdle.org/videos/watch/c

  8. Who actually shapes global risk?

    One common answer is to focus on individual apocalyptic actors, like terrorists aiming to end the world. But are these groups really what we should be on the lookout for most? Or should we not also consider institutional actors, like states, large militaries, or companies, who actually have the power and resources to meaningfully tip the global balance?

    Find out more in post: existentialcrunch.substack.com

    #GlobalCatastrophicRisk #ExistentialRisk #Terrorism #Military

  9. Who actually shapes global risk?

    One common answer is to focus on individual apocalyptic actors, like terrorists aiming to end the world. But are these groups really what we should be on the lookout for most? Or should we not also consider institutional actors, like states, large militaries, or companies, who actually have the power and resources to meaningfully tip the global balance?

    Find out more in post: existentialcrunch.substack.com

    #GlobalCatastrophicRisk #ExistentialRisk #Terrorism #Military

  10. Who actually shapes global risk?

    One common answer is to focus on individual apocalyptic actors, like terrorists aiming to end the world. But are these groups really what we should be on the lookout for most? Or should we not also consider institutional actors, like states, large militaries, or companies, who actually have the power and resources to meaningfully tip the global balance?

    Find out more in post: existentialcrunch.substack.com

    #GlobalCatastrophicRisk #ExistentialRisk #Terrorism #Military

  11. Who actually shapes global risk?

    One common answer is to focus on individual apocalyptic actors, like terrorists aiming to end the world. But are these groups really what we should be on the lookout for most? Or should we not also consider institutional actors, like states, large militaries, or companies, who actually have the power and resources to meaningfully tip the global balance?

    Find out more in post: existentialcrunch.substack.com

    #GlobalCatastrophicRisk #ExistentialRisk #Terrorism #Military

  12. Who actually shapes global risk?

    One common answer is to focus on individual apocalyptic actors, like terrorists aiming to end the world. But are these groups really what we should be on the lookout for most? Or should we not also consider institutional actors, like states, large militaries, or companies, who actually have the power and resources to meaningfully tip the global balance?

    Find out more in post: existentialcrunch.substack.com

    #GlobalCatastrophicRisk #ExistentialRisk #Terrorism #Military

  13. "Manufactured risks are the product of human activity." Ulrich Beck

    " A "risk society"
    is a sociological concept describing a stage of modernity where society is increasingly defined by and organized around managing the hazards and insecurities it has produced itself through modernization and industrialization.

    Self-produced risks: The primary source of risk is not nature, but human actions and the unintended consequences of modernization itself.

    Individualization: Individuals are increasingly forced to confront these risks personally, with a greater emphasis on individual choice and responsibility in the face of larger, systemic problems

    Ulrich Beck defines it as "a systematic way of dealing with hazards and insecurities induced and introduced by modernisation itself". "
    >>
    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Risk_soc

    " The Study of Existential Risk
    frames the rises and falls of civilisation around the idea of the “Goliath”, a hierarchy that dominates labour and energy through coercion and violence."

    "Our research shows how there are nascent attempts to embed citizens into decision making by re-plumbing democracy, flattening hierarchies and constructing more dynamic feedback loops that have real consequence."
    >>
    theguardian.com/australia-news
    #risks #diy #FossilFuels #energy #extinctions #climate #PlanetaryBoundaries #SafeLimits #guardrails #pollution #waste #catastrophe #ExistentialRisk #ManufacturedRisks #uncertainty #insecurity #individualisation #modernity #crisis #austerity #democracy #indifference

  14. 🚨 Experts warn accelerating AI advancements could trigger an existential threat to humanity, outpacing our control and moral understanding. The global call to pause AI development grows louder amid fears of irreversible consequences. 🌐🤖 Read more: apnews.com/article/artificial- #AI #ExistentialRisk #TechEthics
    #newz

  15. A powerful read in the Guardian on the history of societal collapse. A Cambridge researcher's 5,000-year analysis concludes that extreme inequality driven by elites is the primary driver.

    The warning: "self-termination is most likely" for our interconnected global system.
    The solution: genuine democracy & ending elite capture.

    This is exactly the challenge our #10BillionFuture project aims to address.

    #History #Politics #Inequality #ExistentialRisk

    theguardian.com/environment/20

  16. New paper is out: The State of Global Catastrophic Risk Research: A Bibliometric Review.

    I am quite happy with this one. I think the paper gives a nice overview of what people in the global catastrophic risk community think about and what their research focuses on. So, if you are even remotely interested in global catastrophic risk research, this paper is worth checking out. I don't think you will a more exhaustive overview anywhere else.

    You can find the whole paper here: esd.copernicus.org/articles/16

    If you want to just get a quick overview, I also wrote a summary: existentialcrunch.substack.com

    And for a super quick overview, just take a look at the visual abstract attached to this post.

    #GlobalCatastrophicRisk #GCR #ExistentialRisk #Review #bibliometrics

    And thanks to @OpenAlex for their great database, which made this project possible!

  17. The AI control problem is paramount: ensuring future advanced AI remains beneficial and aligned with human values, avoiding potential existential risks. #AIControl #ExistentialRisk

  18. Good news!

    National, bipartisan #policy plans like the U.S. "Combating Antibiotic-Resistant Bacteria" were linked to desired decreases in #antibioticResistance across 73 countries (pre v. post 2008)!

    Cheers to those reducing #existentialRisk!

    doi.org/10.1371/journal.pgph.0

    #medicine

  19. We have god-like technology yet struggle with the global cooperation needed for survival (climate, pandemics, WMDs). We argue for focusing on common ground NOW. Future generations depend on our choices today.

    Read on why this moment is critical:

    open.substack.com/pub/10billio

    #FutureOfHumanity #ExistentialRisk #ClimateCrisis #GlobalCooperation #Ethics #10Billion #Legacy #Sustainability

  20. The two most recent episodes of #BioUnethical with David Thorstad, Emily Largent, and @GovindPersad were very (very!) good.

    Hosts Leah Pierson and Sophie Gibert may be doing reflective discussion better than anyone — outstanding stage setting, questioning, improvising, etc.

    biounethical.com

    #bioethics #appliedEthics #Philosophy #medicine #health #biology #economics #law #psychology #epistemology #science #longtermerism #effectiveAltruism #xRisk #existentialRisk

  21. If we believe them, #OpenAI has been unable to prevent #DeepSeek from unwanted #access to train their models 🤭
    How on earth to day want to contain #AGI upon its arrival? ☠️ #ineptitude #aisafety #existentialrisk

  22. Happy to share our new #preprint—the first-ever #SystematicReview on global catastrophic risk. 🌍

    We explores the growing field of #GlobalCatastrophicRisk and #ExistentialRisk, which focus on global threats like #NuclearWar. This bibliometric analysis shows how the field has expanded and diversified over the past 20 years and has made substantial contributions to understanding and preparing for #humanity's biggest risks.

    eartharxiv.org/repository/view

  23. At-home medical examination devices seemed to increase use of antibiotics compared to people using the same #telemedicine platform without the at-home device: doi.org/10.1016/j.jhealeco.202

    It's not clear whether the additional antibiotic prescriptions were appropriate or counter-guideline (e.g., for non-bacterial infections).

    #medicine #antibioticResistance? #pharmacy #tech #ethics #existentialRisk

  24. This essay from @JuliusGoat is worth reading. My favorite quote: "This means that every 2 years or so the main choice we're making is whether or not we ever get to make choices again, which doesn't seem sustainable, probably because it isn't sustainable." That, exactly.
    I sometimes find A.R. Moxon's writing a bit too loquatious, but this essay calls out to me from start to finish. Perhaps it will for you as well.
    #politics #USPol #democracy #existentialRisk
    the-reframe.com/the-rot-goes-t

  25. AI researcher, Sayash Kapoor, interviewed on [Machine Learning Street Talk] doesn't buy into the #AIhype, is wary of applying a pure utilitarianism Pascal's wager approach to #ExistentialRisk, dismisses exponential growth arguments, and explains different ways how AI agent capabilitiy metrics can be misleading
    youtu.be/BGvQmHd4QPE
    #LargeLanguageModels #ChatGPT #LLM #GenerativeAI #Llama3 #AIagents

  26. #AI #AGI #ExistentialRisk #HumanExtinction: "How seriously should governments take the threat of existential risk from AI, given the lack of consensus among researchers? On the one hand, existential risks (x-risks) are necessarily somewhat speculative: by the time there is concrete evidence, it may be too late. On the other hand, governments must prioritize — after all, they don’t worry too much about x-risk from alien invasions.

    This is the first in a series of essays laying out an evidence-based approach for policymakers concerned about AI x-risk, an approach that stays grounded in reality while acknowledging that there are “unknown unknowns”.

    In this first essay, we look at one type of evidence: probability estimates. The AI safety community relies heavily on forecasting the probability of human extinction due to AI (in a given timeframe) in order to inform decision making and policy. An estimate of 10% over a few decades, for example, would obviously be high enough for the issue to be a top priority for society.

    Our central claim is that AI x-risk forecasts are far too unreliable to be useful for policy, and in fact highly misleading."

    aisnakeoil.com/p/ai-existentia

  27. Sure, better terminology is needed for #AI, as it is with any other novel phenomenon, yet I can't help but think #ExistentialRisk (and lashing out at #DEI instead of improving it) is there to extinguish meaningful efforts to ensure that AI is safe and equitable for everyone in AI-based decisions that matter to them, *right now*.

    semafor.com/article/03/08/2024

  28. Great day at the #STEM icon #BellLabs (now #BellWorks) for the #NewJersey Undergrad. #Research Symposium!

    Olivia Parlow presented our latest experiment on reducing people’s intentions to overuse #antibiotics — fantastic work and encouraging results!

    More students from #StevensTech, #Caldwell #University, #FairleighDicksinson, and more presented interesting and actionable #science!

    Thanks to NJcolleges.org for organizing!

    #publicHealth #medicine #existentialRisk #bioethics #xPhi #philSci

  29. @johnwehrle I'm defending the notion of effective and fact-based criticism here, not longtermism ...

    ... but note that the term "existential risk" LONG predates the emergence of "longtermism", and through 2000 is also far more prevalent. See screenshot, and note that "longtermism" is multiplied 3x to scale equivalently to "existential risk".

    I've strong concerns with any argument which leans heavily on such readily-refuted claims. The viewpoint may well be justified, but a bit less hyperventilating hyperbole and poor scholarship would greatly help the case.

    The notion of "existential risk" was originally applied in a religious context (by Paul Tillich) and to nuclear weapons.

    See:

    #longtermism #ExistentialRisk #GoogleNgramViewer #Ngrams #WeakArguments #EmilePTorres

  30. 📢#OutNow in #OA: 'The Era of #GlobalRisk: An Introduction to #ExistentialRisk Studies', by SJ Beard, Martin Rees, Catherine Richards and Clarissa Rios Rojas (eds).

    This innovative and comprehensive collection of essays explores the biggest threats facing #humanity in the 21st century; #threats that cannot be contained or controlled and that have the potential to bring about human extinction and civilization collapse.

    Bringing together experts from many disciplines, it provides an accessible survey of what we know about these threats, how we can understand them better, and most importantly what can be done to manage them effectively. These essays pair insights from decades of #research and #activism around #globalrisk with the latest #academic findings from the emerging field of #ExistentialRisk Studies.

    Access at openbookpublishers.com/books/1

  31. ‘Before It’s Too Late, Buddy’

    This is what happens when you spend two years unmasking a well-funded Silicon Valley “apocalypse cult.”

    by @xriskology

    "This scenario is eerily similar to what Yudkowsky is advocating: military actions that could cause a genocidal nuclear catastrophe, if necessary to keep the techno-utopian dream alive."

    #TESCREAL #Longtermism #EA #EffectiveAltruism #Yudkowsky #AGI #AGIPanic #ExistentialRisk #Bostrom #Häggström #Musk #SiliconValley

    truthdig.com/articles/before-i

  32. ‘Before It’s Too Late, Buddy’

    This is what happens when you spend two years unmasking a well-funded Silicon Valley “apocalypse cult.”

    by @xriskology

    "This scenario is eerily similar to what Yudkowsky is advocating: military actions that could cause a genocidal nuclear catastrophe, if necessary to keep the techno-utopian dream alive."

    truthdig.com/articles/before-i

  33. ‘Before It’s Too Late, Buddy’

    This is what happens when you spend two years unmasking a well-funded Silicon Valley “apocalypse cult.”

    by @xriskology

    "This scenario is eerily similar to what Yudkowsky is advocating: military actions that could cause a genocidal nuclear catastrophe, if necessary to keep the techno-utopian dream alive."

    #TESCREAL #Longtermism #EA #EffectiveAltruism #Yudkowsky #AGI #AGIPanic #ExistentialRisk #Bostrom #Häggström #Musk #SiliconValley

    truthdig.com/articles/before-i

  34. ‘Before It’s Too Late, Buddy’

    This is what happens when you spend two years unmasking a well-funded Silicon Valley “apocalypse cult.”

    by @xriskology

    "This scenario is eerily similar to what Yudkowsky is advocating: military actions that could cause a genocidal nuclear catastrophe, if necessary to keep the techno-utopian dream alive."

    #TESCREAL #Longtermism #EA #EffectiveAltruism #Yudkowsky #AGI #AGIPanic #ExistentialRisk #Bostrom #Häggström #Musk #SiliconValley

    truthdig.com/articles/before-i