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#2024yr4 — Public Fediverse posts

Live and recent posts from across the Fediverse tagged #2024yr4, aggregated by home.social.

  1. There are several more presentations at #EPSCDPS2025 on the case of #2024YR4: meetingorganizer.copernicus.or.

    For those unaware:

    2024 YR4 will not impact Earth, but has a chance of impacting the Moon in 2032.

    The next data expected will be by @asrivkin et al. in 2026.

  2. There are several more presentations at #EPSCDPS2025 on the case of #2024YR4: meetingorganizer.copernicus.or.

    For those unaware:

    2024 YR4 will not impact Earth, but has a chance of impacting the Moon in 2032.

    The next data expected will be by @asrivkin et al. in 2026.

  3. There are several more presentations at #EPSCDPS2025 on the case of #2024YR4: meetingorganizer.copernicus.or.

    For those unaware:

    2024 YR4 will not impact Earth, but has a chance of impacting the Moon in 2032.

    The next data expected will be by @asrivkin et al. in 2026.

  4. There are several more presentations at #EPSCDPS2025 on the case of #2024YR4: meetingorganizer.copernicus.or.

    For those unaware:

    2024 YR4 will not impact Earth, but has a chance of impacting the Moon in 2032.

    The next data expected will be by @asrivkin et al. in 2026.

  5. There are several more presentations at #EPSCDPS2025 on the case of #2024YR4: meetingorganizer.copernicus.or.

    For those unaware:

    2024 YR4 will not impact Earth, but has a chance of impacting the Moon in 2032.

    The next data expected will be by @asrivkin et al. in 2026.

  6. . @asrivkin et al. at #PDC2025 : "JWST As a Tool for Early Characterization of Potential Impactors" - iaa.4hdt.ro/event/1/contributi

    Considering #2024YR4 and other objects.

  7. Davide Farnocchia reviews #2024YR4:

    63 observatories, >500 observations.

    3.8% chance of lunar impact in 2032 December, with the last observations for this year still pending.

    It will likely require waiting until 2028 to resolve the lunar impact possibility. But it cannot impact Earth.

    #PDC2025

  8. International efforts to address the impact hazard are coordinated by the International Asteroid Warning Network (iawn.net/) and the Space Mission Planning Advisory Group (cosmos.esa.int/web/smpag).

    IAWN was recently activated for the case of asteroid #2024YR4: iawn.net/obscamp/2024YR4/index
    #PDC2025

  9. CW: 99.9973% chance the 2024 YR4 Asteroid will miss the Earth in 2032

    “Impact Probability = 2.7e-5
    0.0027% chance of Earth impact
    1 in 37,000 odds of impact
    99.9973% chance the asteroid will miss the Earth”
    #2024YR4 #CityKiller #Asteroid #NEO #NASA
    cneos.jpl.nasa.gov/sentry/deta