#2024yr4 — Public Fediverse posts

2024YR4 will NOT hit the moon.
Finlay is skeptical.
.
#2024yr4 #spacenews #spacenewsdaily #hwatweeklypodcast #hwatweekly

2024YR4 will NOT hit the moon.
Finlay is skeptical.
.
#2024yr4 #spacenews #spacenewsdaily #hwatweeklypodcast #hwatweekly

2024YR4 will NOT hit the moon.
Finlay is skeptical.
.
#2024yr4 #spacenews #spacenewsdaily #hwatweeklypodcast #hwatweekly

2024YR4 will NOT hit the moon.
Finlay is skeptical.
.
#2024yr4 #spacenews #spacenewsdaily #hwatweeklypodcast #hwatweekly

https://www.europesays.com/es/440761/ Alguna vez considerado «el asteroide de mayor riesgo», la trayectoria del asteroide 2024 YR4 ya está más clara #2024YR4 #asteroide #Ciencia #CienciaYTecnología #CienciaYtecnología #ES #España #NASA #Science #ScienceAndTechnology #ScienceAndTechnology #Spain #Technology #Tecnología

☄️La probabilité d’un impact de l’astéroïde #2024YR4 avec la Lune est désormais nulle.
Détails : https://reves-d-espace.com/la-probabilite-impact-de-asteroide-2024-yr4-avec-la-lune-est-desormais-nulle
📷 NASA, ESA, CSA, A. Rivkin (JHUAPL) et J. de Wit (MIT), position et incertitudes associées pour l'astéroïde 2024 YR4 le 26 février 2026 et de la Lune (cercle rouge).

☄️La probabilité d’un impact de l’astéroïde #2024YR4 avec la Lune est désormais nulle.
Détails : https://reves-d-espace.com/la-probabilite-impact-de-asteroide-2024-yr4-avec-la-lune-est-desormais-nulle
📷 NASA, ESA, CSA, A. Rivkin (JHUAPL) et J. de Wit (MIT), position et incertitudes associées pour l'astéroïde 2024 YR4 le 26 février 2026 et de la Lune (cercle rouge).

☄️La probabilité d’un impact de l’astéroïde #2024YR4 avec la Lune est désormais nulle.
Détails : https://reves-d-espace.com/la-probabilite-impact-de-asteroide-2024-yr4-avec-la-lune-est-desormais-nulle
📷 NASA, ESA, CSA, A. Rivkin (JHUAPL) et J. de Wit (MIT), position et incertitudes associées pour l'astéroïde 2024 YR4 le 26 février 2026 et de la Lune (cercle rouge).

☄️La probabilité d’un impact de l’astéroïde #2024YR4 avec la Lune est désormais nulle.
Détails : https://reves-d-espace.com/la-probabilite-impact-de-asteroide-2024-yr4-avec-la-lune-est-desormais-nulle
📷 NASA, ESA, CSA, A. Rivkin (JHUAPL) et J. de Wit (MIT), position et incertitudes associées pour l'astéroïde 2024 YR4 le 26 février 2026 et de la Lune (cercle rouge).

☄️La probabilité d’un impact de l’astéroïde #2024YR4 avec la Lune est désormais nulle.
Détails : https://reves-d-espace.com/la-probabilite-impact-de-asteroide-2024-yr4-avec-la-lune-est-desormais-nulle
📷 NASA, ESA, CSA, A. Rivkin (JHUAPL) et J. de Wit (MIT), position et incertitudes associées pour l'astéroïde 2024 YR4 le 26 février 2026 et de la Lune (cercle rouge).

I am hoping your thirst for #2024YR4 is not yet slaked! Here’s the #JWST blog’s take on things, plus we look forward to a more technical note coming our next week!

How NASA’s Webb Helped Rule Ou...

So there is an upcoming novel about #asteroid #2024YR4 which has just sold its movie rights: https://gizmodo.com/the-author-behind-the-social-network-has-an-asteroid-movie-coming-out-2000730674 - wonder what will happen when the producers of #TheLastOrbit eventually figure out that it's not only no risk for Earth anymore (as has been known for a year now, of course) but also not for the Moon. Talk about bad timing ... ;-)

So there is an upcoming novel about #asteroid #2024YR4 which has just sold its movie rights: https://gizmodo.com/the-author-behind-the-social-network-has-an-asteroid-movie-coming-out-2000730674 - wonder what will happen when the producers of #TheLastOrbit eventually figure out that it's not only no risk for Earth anymore (as has been known for a year now, of course) but also not for the Moon. Talk about bad timing ... ;-)

So there is an upcoming novel about #asteroid #2024YR4 which has just sold its movie rights: https://gizmodo.com/the-author-behind-the-social-network-has-an-asteroid-movie-coming-out-2000730674 - wonder what will happen when the producers of #TheLastOrbit eventually figure out that it's not only no risk for Earth anymore (as has been known for a year now, of course) but also not for the Moon. Talk about bad timing ... ;-)

So there is an upcoming novel about #asteroid #2024YR4 which has just sold its movie rights: https://gizmodo.com/the-author-behind-the-social-network-has-an-asteroid-movie-coming-out-2000730674 - wonder what will happen when the producers of #TheLastOrbit eventually figure out that it's not only no risk for Earth anymore (as has been known for a year now, of course) but also not for the Moon. Talk about bad timing ... ;-)

So there is an upcoming novel about #asteroid #2024YR4 which has just sold its movie rights: https://gizmodo.com/the-author-behind-the-social-network-has-an-asteroid-movie-coming-out-2000730674 - wonder what will happen when the producers of #TheLastOrbit eventually figure out that it's not only no risk for Earth anymore (as has been known for a year now, of course) but also not for the Moon. Talk about bad timing ... ;-)

Thanks to the Bard of Planetary Defense (@[email protected]) for a quick summary of yesterday's #2024YR4 news and the role our #JWST data played in the tale.

Notorious asteroid 2024 YR4 wo...

"Phew! NASA Rules Out Asteroid Smashup on the Moon in 2032" by @universetoday / @alanboyle - Astronomical observations of #asteroid #2024YR4, including from #NASA #WebbSpaceTelescope🔭 #JWST, refined its orbit estimate to rule out impact with the #Moon on its Dec 22, 2032 flyby. Possibility of Earth impact on that pass was already ruled out in April 2025. The 60m diameter rock would be a serious threat. https://www.universetoday.com/articles/phew-nasa-rules-out-asteroid-smashup-on-the-moon-in-2032 #astronomy #PlanetaryDefense #PlanetaryDefence #LowFlyingRocks #space

"Phew! NASA Rules Out Asteroid Smashup on the Moon in 2032" by @universetoday / @alanboyle - Astronomical observations of #asteroid #2024YR4, including from #NASA #WebbSpaceTelescope🔭 #JWST, refined its orbit estimate to rule out impact with the #Moon on its Dec 22, 2032 flyby. Possibility of Earth impact on that pass was already ruled out in April 2025. The 60m diameter rock would be a serious threat. https://www.universetoday.com/articles/phew-nasa-rules-out-asteroid-smashup-on-the-moon-in-2032 #astronomy #PlanetaryDefense #PlanetaryDefence #LowFlyingRocks #space

"Phew! NASA Rules Out Asteroid Smashup on the Moon in 2032" by @universetoday / @alanboyle - Astronomical observations of #asteroid #2024YR4, including from #NASA #WebbSpaceTelescope🔭 #JWST, refined its orbit estimate to rule out impact with the #Moon on its Dec 22, 2032 flyby. Possibility of Earth impact on that pass was already ruled out in April 2025. The 60m diameter rock would be a serious threat. https://www.universetoday.com/articles/phew-nasa-rules-out-asteroid-smashup-on-the-moon-in-2032 #astronomy #PlanetaryDefense #PlanetaryDefence #LowFlyingRocks #space

"Phew! NASA Rules Out Asteroid Smashup on the Moon in 2032" by @universetoday / @alanboyle - Astronomical observations of #asteroid #2024YR4, including from #NASA #WebbSpaceTelescope🔭 #JWST, refined its orbit estimate to rule out impact with the #Moon on its Dec 22, 2032 flyby. Possibility of Earth impact on that pass was already ruled out in April 2025. The 60m diameter rock would be a serious threat. https://www.universetoday.com/articles/phew-nasa-rules-out-asteroid-smashup-on-the-moon-in-2032 #astronomy #PlanetaryDefense #PlanetaryDefence #LowFlyingRocks #space

"Phew! NASA Rules Out Asteroid Smashup on the Moon in 2032" by @universetoday / @alanboyle - Astronomical observations of #asteroid #2024YR4, including from #NASA #WebbSpaceTelescope🔭 #JWST, refined its orbit estimate to rule out impact with the #Moon on its Dec 22, 2032 flyby. Possibility of Earth impact on that pass was already ruled out in April 2025. The 60m diameter rock would be a serious threat. https://www.universetoday.com/articles/phew-nasa-rules-out-asteroid-smashup-on-the-moon-in-2032 #astronomy #PlanetaryDefense #PlanetaryDefence #LowFlyingRocks #space

Erst jetzt gefundene alte Bilder und ganz neue Aufnahmen von Webb haben unabhängig voneinander die Bahn des Asteroiden #2024YR4 erheblich genauer gemacht - und ein Impakt auf dem Mond im Jahr 2032, der zuvor noch eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 4% hatte, ist nun definitiv ausgeschlossen: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.00449 bzw. https://science.nasa.gov/blogs/planetary-defense/2026/03/05/new-nasa-asteroid-observations-eliminate-chance-of-2032-lunar-impact/ und https://www.esa.int/Space_Safety/Planetary_Defence/Asteroid_2024_YR4_will_not_impact_the_Moon

Erst jetzt gefundene alte Bilder und ganz neue Aufnahmen von Webb haben unabhängig voneinander die Bahn des Asteroiden #2024YR4 erheblich genauer gemacht - und ein Impakt auf dem Mond im Jahr 2032, der zuvor noch eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 4% hatte, ist nun definitiv ausgeschlossen: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.00449 bzw. https://science.nasa.gov/blogs/planetary-defense/2026/03/05/new-nasa-asteroid-observations-eliminate-chance-of-2032-lunar-impact/ und https://www.esa.int/Space_Safety/Planetary_Defence/Asteroid_2024_YR4_will_not_impact_the_Moon

Erst jetzt gefundene alte Bilder und ganz neue Aufnahmen von Webb haben unabhängig voneinander die Bahn des Asteroiden #2024YR4 erheblich genauer gemacht - und ein Impakt auf dem Mond im Jahr 2032, der zuvor noch eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 4% hatte, ist nun definitiv ausgeschlossen: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.00449 bzw. https://science.nasa.gov/blogs/planetary-defense/2026/03/05/new-nasa-asteroid-observations-eliminate-chance-of-2032-lunar-impact/ und https://www.esa.int/Space_Safety/Planetary_Defence/Asteroid_2024_YR4_will_not_impact_the_Moon

Erst jetzt gefundene alte Bilder und ganz neue Aufnahmen von Webb haben unabhängig voneinander die Bahn des Asteroiden #2024YR4 erheblich genauer gemacht - und ein Impakt auf dem Mond im Jahr 2032, der zuvor noch eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 4% hatte, ist nun definitiv ausgeschlossen: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.00449 bzw. https://science.nasa.gov/blogs/planetary-defense/2026/03/05/new-nasa-asteroid-observations-eliminate-chance-of-2032-lunar-impact/ und https://www.esa.int/Space_Safety/Planetary_Defence/Asteroid_2024_YR4_will_not_impact_the_Moon

Erst jetzt gefundene alte Bilder und ganz neue Aufnahmen von Webb haben unabhängig voneinander die Bahn des Asteroiden #2024YR4 erheblich genauer gemacht - und ein Impakt auf dem Mond im Jahr 2032, der zuvor noch eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 4% hatte, ist nun definitiv ausgeschlossen: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.00449 bzw. https://science.nasa.gov/blogs/planetary-defense/2026/03/05/new-nasa-asteroid-observations-eliminate-chance-of-2032-lunar-impact/ und https://www.esa.int/Space_Safety/Planetary_Defence/Asteroid_2024_YR4_will_not_impact_the_Moon

New observations of the #NearEarthAsteroid #2024YR4 with the #Webb Telescope are now also, like the recently discovered precovery positions, firmly excluding a crash into the Moon: https://science.nasa.gov/blogs/planetary-defense/2026/03/05/new-nasa-asteroid-observations-eliminate-chance-of-2032-lunar-impact/ - all the studies (and speculations) about consequences for Earth of such a lunar impact are now merely an exercise. But one day ... ;-)

New observations of the #NearEarthAsteroid #2024YR4 with the #Webb Telescope are now also, like the recently discovered precovery positions, firmly excluding a crash into the Moon: https://science.nasa.gov/blogs/planetary-defense/2026/03/05/new-nasa-asteroid-observations-eliminate-chance-of-2032-lunar-impact/ - all the studies (and speculations) about consequences for Earth of such a lunar impact are now merely an exercise. But one day ... ;-)

New observations of the #NearEarthAsteroid #2024YR4 with the #Webb Telescope are now also, like the recently discovered precovery positions, firmly excluding a crash into the Moon: https://science.nasa.gov/blogs/planetary-defense/2026/03/05/new-nasa-asteroid-observations-eliminate-chance-of-2032-lunar-impact/ - all the studies (and speculations) about consequences for Earth of such a lunar impact are now merely an exercise. But one day ... ;-)

New observations of the #NearEarthAsteroid #2024YR4 with the #Webb Telescope are now also, like the recently discovered precovery positions, firmly excluding a crash into the Moon: https://science.nasa.gov/blogs/planetary-defense/2026/03/05/new-nasa-asteroid-observations-eliminate-chance-of-2032-lunar-impact/ - all the studies (and speculations) about consequences for Earth of such a lunar impact are now merely an exercise. But one day ... ;-)

New observations of the #NearEarthAsteroid #2024YR4 with the #Webb Telescope are now also, like the recently discovered precovery positions, firmly excluding a crash into the Moon: https://science.nasa.gov/blogs/planetary-defense/2026/03/05/new-nasa-asteroid-observations-eliminate-chance-of-2032-lunar-impact/ - all the studies (and speculations) about consequences for Earth of such a lunar impact are now merely an exercise. But one day ... ;-)

JWST confirms that #2024YR4 will miss the Moon in 2032.

And apparently also confirming that the potential precovery observation was indeed in the right spot.

https://science.nasa.gov/blogs/planetary-defense/2026/03/05/new-nasa-asteroid-observations-eliminate-chance-of-2032-lunar-impact/

2024 YR4 will not come so close to Earth and Moon again until at least the mid-2050s.

But its orbit will still have a very low minimum distance from Earth's.

For a longer-term trajectory prediction; wait until after the 2032 flyby.

JWST confirms that #2024YR4 will miss the Moon in 2032.

And apparently also confirming that the potential precovery observation was indeed in the right spot.

https://science.nasa.gov/blogs/planetary-defense/2026/03/05/new-nasa-asteroid-observations-eliminate-chance-of-2032-lunar-impact/

2024 YR4 will not come so close to Earth and Moon again until at least the mid-2050s.

But its orbit will still have a very low minimum distance from Earth's.

For a longer-term trajectory prediction; wait until after the 2032 flyby.

JWST confirms that #2024YR4 will miss the Moon in 2032.

And apparently also confirming that the potential precovery observation was indeed in the right spot.

https://science.nasa.gov/blogs/planetary-defense/2026/03/05/new-nasa-asteroid-observations-eliminate-chance-of-2032-lunar-impact/

2024 YR4 will not come so close to Earth and Moon again until at least the mid-2050s.

But its orbit will still have a very low minimum distance from Earth's.

For a longer-term trajectory prediction; wait until after the 2032 flyby.

JWST confirms that #2024YR4 will miss the Moon in 2032.

And apparently also confirming that the potential precovery observation was indeed in the right spot.

https://science.nasa.gov/blogs/planetary-defense/2026/03/05/new-nasa-asteroid-observations-eliminate-chance-of-2032-lunar-impact/

2024 YR4 will not come so close to Earth and Moon again until at least the mid-2050s.

But its orbit will still have a very low minimum distance from Earth's.

For a longer-term trajectory prediction; wait until after the 2032 flyby.

JWST confirms that #2024YR4 will miss the Moon in 2032.

And apparently also confirming that the potential precovery observation was indeed in the right spot.

https://science.nasa.gov/blogs/planetary-defense/2026/03/05/new-nasa-asteroid-observations-eliminate-chance-of-2032-lunar-impact/

2024 YR4 will not come so close to Earth and Moon again until at least the mid-2050s.

But its orbit will still have a very low minimum distance from Earth's.

For a longer-term trajectory prediction; wait until after the 2032 flyby.

Today on the #arXiv :

Deen & Lam 2026, "2024 YR4: Identification of Possible Precoveries in 2016 IPTF Data" - https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.00449

This paper presents an archival search of old telescope images of #2024YR4 . It just happened to fall in gaps of several surveys.

But Deen & Lam identify one marginal potential detection from Palomar in 2016. If real, it would exclude the potential lunar impact in 2032.

I await the results of the latest JWST observations, which should be far clearer.

Today on the #arXiv :

Deen & Lam 2026, "2024 YR4: Identification of Possible Precoveries in 2016 IPTF Data" - https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.00449

This paper presents an archival search of old telescope images of #2024YR4 . It just happened to fall in gaps of several surveys.

But Deen & Lam identify one marginal potential detection from Palomar in 2016. If real, it would exclude the potential lunar impact in 2032.

I await the results of the latest JWST observations, which should be far clearer.

Today on the #arXiv :

Deen & Lam 2026, "2024 YR4: Identification of Possible Precoveries in 2016 IPTF Data" - https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.00449

This paper presents an archival search of old telescope images of #2024YR4 . It just happened to fall in gaps of several surveys.

But Deen & Lam identify one marginal potential detection from Palomar in 2016. If real, it would exclude the potential lunar impact in 2032.

I await the results of the latest JWST observations, which should be far clearer.

Today on the #arXiv :

Deen & Lam 2026, "2024 YR4: Identification of Possible Precoveries in 2016 IPTF Data" - https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.00449

This paper presents an archival search of old telescope images of #2024YR4 . It just happened to fall in gaps of several surveys.

But Deen & Lam identify one marginal potential detection from Palomar in 2016. If real, it would exclude the potential lunar impact in 2032.

I await the results of the latest JWST observations, which should be far clearer.

Today on the #arXiv :

Deen & Lam 2026, "2024 YR4: Identification of Possible Precoveries in 2016 IPTF Data" - https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.00449

This paper presents an archival search of old telescope images of #2024YR4 . It just happened to fall in gaps of several surveys.

But Deen & Lam identify one marginal potential detection from Palomar in 2016. If real, it would exclude the potential lunar impact in 2032.

I await the results of the latest JWST observations, which should be far clearer.

#2024YR4 - Identification of Possible Precoveries in 2016 IPTF Data: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.00449 -> "These candidate detections, not accounting for any currently-undetected Yarkovsky forces, predict a perilune of 22001 +/- 49 km and a perigee of 277534 +/- 46 km (relative to the center of each respective body) representing an improvement of > 300 times in the approach distance uncertainty above the existing orbit solution and, if confirmed, decisively ruling out a lunar impact in 2032" -> https://groups.io/g/mpml/message/41437

#2024YR4 - Identification of Possible Precoveries in 2016 IPTF Data: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.00449 -> "These candidate detections, not accounting for any currently-undetected Yarkovsky forces, predict a perilune of 22001 +/- 49 km and a perigee of 277534 +/- 46 km (relative to the center of each respective body) representing an improvement of > 300 times in the approach distance uncertainty above the existing orbit solution and, if confirmed, decisively ruling out a lunar impact in 2032" -> https://groups.io/g/mpml/message/41437

#2024YR4 - Identification of Possible Precoveries in 2016 IPTF Data: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.00449 -> "These candidate detections, not accounting for any currently-undetected Yarkovsky forces, predict a perilune of 22001 +/- 49 km and a perigee of 277534 +/- 46 km (relative to the center of each respective body) representing an improvement of > 300 times in the approach distance uncertainty above the existing orbit solution and, if confirmed, decisively ruling out a lunar impact in 2032" -> https://groups.io/g/mpml/message/41437

#2024YR4 - Identification of Possible Precoveries in 2016 IPTF Data: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.00449 -> "These candidate detections, not accounting for any currently-undetected Yarkovsky forces, predict a perilune of 22001 +/- 49 km and a perigee of 277534 +/- 46 km (relative to the center of each respective body) representing an improvement of > 300 times in the approach distance uncertainty above the existing orbit solution and, if confirmed, decisively ruling out a lunar impact in 2032" -> https://groups.io/g/mpml/message/41437

#2024YR4 - Identification of Possible Precoveries in 2016 IPTF Data: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.00449 -> "These candidate detections, not accounting for any currently-undetected Yarkovsky forces, predict a perilune of 22001 +/- 49 km and a perigee of 277534 +/- 46 km (relative to the center of each respective body) representing an improvement of > 300 times in the approach distance uncertainty above the existing orbit solution and, if confirmed, decisively ruling out a lunar impact in 2032" -> https://groups.io/g/mpml/message/41437

Dieser Artikel hat besonders viele Abonnent:innen interessiert. (+)

#Asteroiden #2024YR4 #Astronomie

https://t3n.de/news/asteroiden-abwehr-alle-100-jahre-trifft-statistisch-ein-50-meter-brocken-die-erde-1691154/

Dieser Artikel hat besonders viele Abonnent:innen interessiert. (+)

#Asteroiden #2024YR4 #Astronomie

https://t3n.de/news/asteroiden-abwehr-alle-100-jahre-trifft-statistisch-ein-50-meter-brocken-die-erde-1691154/

Dieser Artikel hat besonders viele Abonnent:innen interessiert. (+)

#Asteroiden #2024YR4 #Astronomie

https://t3n.de/news/asteroiden-abwehr-alle-100-jahre-trifft-statistisch-ein-50-meter-brocken-die-erde-1691154/