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#xbc_1_6 — Public Fediverse posts

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  1. CW: SARS-CoV-2 variants for South Australia

    Here's the latest variant picture for South Australia.

    The "Deltacron" XBC.1.6 variant (35%) has been dominant since early April - a unique scenario globally.

    95% of the XBC.* samples shared recently have come from Australia, and South Australia and Western Australia are the only states where it is anywhere near dominant.

    The South Australians being infected with XBC.1.6 have a raised immediate re-infection risk should they rely on natural immunity when encountering all the other variants circulating in Australia and globally.

    XBB.1.16 "Arcturus" (14%) looks like the next challenger, although it is only making slow progress so far. Be alert for conjunctivitis symptoms, which seem more common with that variant.

    The sample volumes seem representative up to June 5.

    #COVID19 #Australia #SA #Adelaide #XBC_1_6 #XBB_1_5 #Kraken @auscovid19

    Interactive genomic sequencing dataviz, code, acknowledgements and more info here:
    github.com/Mike-Honey/covid-19

  2. CW: SARS-CoV-2 variants for South Australia

    Here's the latest variant picture for South Australia.

    The "Deltacron" XBC.1.6 variant (35%) has been dominant since early April - a unique scenario globally.

    95% of the XBC.* samples shared recently have come from Australia, and South Australia and Western Australia are the only states where it is anywhere near dominant.

    The South Australians being infected with XBC.1.6 have a raised immediate re-infection risk should they rely on natural immunity when encountering all the other variants circulating in Australia and globally.

    XBB.1.16 "Arcturus" (14%) looks like the next challenger, although it is only making slow progress so far. Be alert for conjunctivitis symptoms, which seem more common with that variant.

    The sample volumes seem representative up to June 5.

    #COVID19 #Australia #SA #Adelaide #XBC_1_6 #XBB_1_5 #Kraken @auscovid19

    Interactive genomic sequencing dataviz, code, acknowledgements and more info here:
    github.com/Mike-Honey/covid-19

  3. CW: SARS-CoV-2 variants for South Australia

    Here's the latest variant picture for South Australia.

    The "Deltacron" XBC.1.6 variant (35%) has been dominant since early April - a unique scenario globally.

    95% of the XBC.* samples shared recently have come from Australia, and South Australia seems the only state where it is anywhere near dominant.

    XBB.1.16 "Arcturus" (14%) looks like the next challenger. Be alert for conjunctivitis symptoms, which seem more common with that variant.

    The sample volumes seem representative up to May 14.

    #COVID19 #Australia #SA #Adelaide #XBC_1_6 #XBB_1_5 #Kraken @auscovid19
    🧵

  4. CW: SARS-CoV-2 variants for South Australia

    Here's the latest variant picture for South Australia.

    The "Deltacron" XBC.1.6 variant (35%) has been dominant since early April - a unique scenario globally.

    95% of the XBC.* samples shared recently have come from Australia, and South Australia seems the only state where it is anywhere near dominant.

    XBB.1.16 "Arcturus" (14%) looks like the next challenger. Be alert for conjunctivitis symptoms, which seem more common with that variant.

    The sample volumes seem representative up to May 14.

    #COVID19 #Australia #SA #Adelaide #XBC_1_6 #XBB_1_5 #Kraken @auscovid19
    🧵

  5. CW: SARS-CoV-2 variants for South Australia

    Here's the latest variant picture for South Australia.

    The "Deltacron" XBC.1.6 variant (35%) has been dominant since early April - globally unique.

    95% of the XBC.* samples shared since April have come from Australia, and South Australia seems the only state where it is anyware near dominant.

    XBB.1.16 "Arcturus" (12%) looks a possible challenger, but only growing slowly. Be alert for conjunctivitis symptoms, which seem more common with that variant.

    The sample volumes seem representative up to May 9.

    #COVID19 #Australia #SA #Adelaide #XBC_1_6 #XBB_1_5 #Kraken @auscovid19
    🧵

  6. CW: SARS-CoV-2 variants for South Australia

    Here's the latest variant picture for South Australia.

    The "Deltacron" XBC.1.6 variant (35%) has been dominant since early April - globally unique.

    95% of the XBC.* samples shared since April have come from Australia, and South Australia seems the only state where it is anyware near dominant.

    XBB.1.16 "Arcturus" (12%) looks a possible challenger, but only growing slowly. Be alert for conjunctivitis symptoms, which seem more common with that variant.

    The sample volumes seem representative up to May 9.

    #COVID19 #Australia #SA #Adelaide #XBC_1_6 #XBB_1_5 #Kraken @auscovid19
    🧵

  7. CW: SARS-CoV-2 variants for South Australia

    Here's the latest variant picture for South Australia.

    Recently classified "Deltacron" XBC.1.6 (32%) is continuing to extend it's dominance.

    XBB.1.5 "Kraken" (13%) continues to decline.

    XBB.1.9.1 "Hyperion" (11%) and XBB.1.16 "Arcturus" (10%) are both continuing to rise.

    XBB.1.16 looks a bit more rapid lately, so it might be the next challenger. Be alert for conjunctivitis symptoms, which seem more common with that variant.

    The sample volumes seem representative up to April 25.

    #COVID19 #Australia #SA #Adelaide #XBC_1_6 #XBB_1_5 #Kraken @auscovid19
    🧵

  8. CW: SARS-CoV-2 variants for South Australia

    Here's the latest variant picture for South Australia.

    Recently classified "Deltacron" XBC.1.6 (32%) is continuing to extend it's dominance.

    XBB.1.5 "Kraken" (13%) continues to decline.

    XBB.1.9.1 "Hyperion" (11%) and XBB.1.16 "Arcturus" (10%) are both continuing to rise.

    XBB.1.16 looks a bit more rapid lately, so it might be the next challenger. Be alert for conjunctivitis symptoms, which seem more common with that variant.

    The sample volumes seem representative up to April 25.

    #COVID19 #Australia #SA #Adelaide #XBC_1_6 #XBB_1_5 #Kraken @auscovid19
    🧵

  9. CW: SARS-CoV-2 variants for South Australia

    Here's the latest variant picture for South Australia.

    Recently classified "Deltacron" XBC.1.6 (24%) is holding on to dominance. These are mostly being called as XBC.1 by Nextclade in the first chart, but the second chart is a bit more precise using mutation matching.

    XBB.1.5 "Kraken" (20%) continues to decline.

    XBB.1.9.1 "Hyperion" (9%) and XBB.1.16 "Arcturus" (4%) are both rising.

    The sample volumes seem representative up to April 2.

    Interactive genomic sequencing dataviz, code, acknowledgements and more info here:
    github.com/Mike-Honey/covid-19

    Interactive mutation matching dataviz, code, acknowledgements and more info here:
    github.com/Mike-Honey/sars-cov

    #COVID19 #Australia #SA #Adelaide #XBC_1_6 #XBB_1_5 #Kraken @auscovid19

  10. CW: SARS-CoV-2 variants for South Australia

    Here's the latest variant picture for South Australia.

    Recently classified "Deltacron" XBC.1.6 (24%) is holding on to dominance. These are mostly being called as XBC.1 by Nextclade in the first chart, but the second chart is a bit more precise using mutation matching.

    XBB.1.5 "Kraken" (20%) continues to decline.

    XBB.1.9.1 "Hyperion" (9%) and XBB.1.16 "Arcturus" (4%) are both rising.

    The sample volumes seem representative up to April 2.

    Interactive genomic sequencing dataviz, code, acknowledgements and more info here:
    github.com/Mike-Honey/covid-19

    Interactive mutation matching dataviz, code, acknowledgements and more info here:
    github.com/Mike-Honey/sars-cov

    #COVID19 #Australia #SA #Adelaide #XBC_1_6 #XBB_1_5 #Kraken @auscovid19

  11. CW: SARS-CoV-2 variants for Victoria, Australia

    Here's the latest variant picture for Victoria, Australia. XBB.1.5 "Kraken" (26%) has resumed dominance - it seems to have fended off the challenge from XBB.1.9.1 "Hyperion" (16%).

    XBB.1.16 "Arcturus" (9%) has been rising steadily, and will likely be the next challenger

    The sample volumes seem representative up to March 30.

    #COVID19 #Australia #VIC #Melbourne #XBB_1_5 #Kraken #XBC_1_6 #Deltacron @auscovid19
    🧵

  12. CW: SARS-CoV-2 variants for Victoria, Australia

    Here's the latest variant picture for Victoria, Australia. XBB.1.5 "Kraken" (26%) has resumed dominance - it seems to have fended off the challenge from XBB.1.9.1 "Hyperion" (16%).

    XBB.1.16 "Arcturus" (9%) has been rising steadily, and will likely be the next challenger

    The sample volumes seem representative up to March 30.

    #COVID19 #Australia #VIC #Melbourne #XBB_1_5 #Kraken #XBC_1_6 #Deltacron @auscovid19
    🧵

  13. CW: SARS-CoV-2 variants for South Australia

    Here's the latest variant picture for South Australia.

    Recently classified sub-variant XBC.1.6 (30%) has rapidly surged to dominance.

    Unusually, only a handful of samples of XBC.1.6 have been detected outside South Australia - none in any other countries.

    XBB.1.5 "Kraken" (26%) was dominant, but seems to be in decline.

    The sample volumes seem representative up to March 27, with notably increased volume recently.

    Interactive genomic sequencing dataviz, code, acknowledgements and more info here:
    github.com/Mike-Honey/covid-19

    Interactive mutation matching dataviz, code, acknowledgements and more info here:
    github.com/Mike-Honey/sars-cov

    #COVID19 #Australia #SA #Adelaide #XBC_1_6 #XBB_1_5 #Kraken @auscovid19

  14. CW: SARS-CoV-2 variants for South Australia

    Here's the latest variant picture for South Australia.

    Recently classified sub-variant XBC.1.6 (30%) has rapidly surged to dominance.

    Unusually, only a handful of samples of XBC.1.6 have been detected outside South Australia - none in any other countries.

    XBB.1.5 "Kraken" (26%) was dominant, but seems to be in decline.

    The sample volumes seem representative up to March 27, with notably increased volume recently.

    Interactive genomic sequencing dataviz, code, acknowledgements and more info here:
    github.com/Mike-Honey/covid-19

    Interactive mutation matching dataviz, code, acknowledgements and more info here:
    github.com/Mike-Honey/sars-cov

    #COVID19 #Australia #SA #Adelaide #XBC_1_6 #XBB_1_5 #Kraken @auscovid19

  15. CW: SARS-CoV-2 variants for South Australia

    Here's the latest variant picture for South Australia.

    Growth of the new "Deltacron" XBC.1.6 variant has continued, reaching 30% frequency. It seems likely this is driving the surge in cases and the reported impacts on hospital emergency rooms and the ambulance service.

    The XBC.1.6 lineage categorisation has yet to roll out to GISAID or Nextclade, so I'm approximating it here by searching for samples with the characteristic mutations - Spike R346S, L452R and F486P. There are 110 reported from Australia so far, almost all from South Australia.

    It looks like most of these samples are currently being classified as XBC.1 in GISAID, but many are not getting a classificationat all from the current Nextclade algorithm.

    #COVID19 #Australia #SA #Adelaide #XBC_1_6 #XBB_1_5 #Kraken @auscovid19

    🧵

  16. CW: SARS-CoV-2 variants for South Australia

    Here's the latest variant picture for South Australia.

    Growth of the new "Deltacron" XBC.1.6 variant has continued, reaching 30% frequency. It seems likely this is driving the surge in cases and the reported impacts on hospital emergency rooms and the ambulance service.

    The XBC.1.6 lineage categorisation has yet to roll out to GISAID or Nextclade, so I'm approximating it here by searching for samples with the characteristic mutations - Spike R346S, L452R and F486P. There are 110 reported from Australia so far, almost all from South Australia.

    It looks like most of these samples are currently being classified as XBC.1 in GISAID, but many are not getting a classificationat all from the current Nextclade algorithm.

    #COVID19 #Australia #SA #Adelaide #XBC_1_6 #XBB_1_5 #Kraken @auscovid19

    🧵

  17. CW: SARS-CoV-2 variants - new sub-variant XBC.1.6 in South Australia

    Last week a new sub-variant of the XBC “deltacron” (recombinant of Delta with BA.2) was proposed by Son Nguyen and quickly designated as XBC.1.6. The earliest sample reported was from South Australia, in January. Most of the samples detected so far have been found in South Australia, reporting rapid growth to 14% frequency in mid-February. It hasn't spread internationally yet.

    The XBC.1.6 lineage categorisation has yet to roll out to GISAID or Nextclade, so I'm approximating it here by searching for samples with the characteristic mutations - Spike R346S, L452R and F486P. There are 62 reported from Australia so far.

    It looks like most of these samples are currently being classified as XBC.1 in GISAID, but most are not getting a classification from the current Nextclade algorithm.

    #COVID19 #Australia #XBC_1_6 @auscovid19
    🧵

  18. CW: SARS-CoV-2 variants - new sub-variant XBC.1.6 in South Australia

    Last week a new sub-variant of the XBC “deltacron” (recombinant of Delta with BA.2) was proposed by Son Nguyen and quickly designated as XBC.1.6. The earliest sample reported was from South Australia, in January. Most of the samples detected so far have been found in South Australia, reporting rapid growth to 14% frequency in mid-February. It hasn't spread internationally yet.

    The XBC.1.6 lineage categorisation has yet to roll out to GISAID or Nextclade, so I'm approximating it here by searching for samples with the characteristic mutations - Spike R346S, L452R and F486P. There are 62 reported from Australia so far.

    It looks like most of these samples are currently being classified as XBC.1 in GISAID, but most are not getting a classification from the current Nextclade algorithm.

    #COVID19 #Australia #XBC_1_6 @auscovid19
    🧵