#harnad — Public Fediverse posts

Okay, here it is. This is the unofficial official timeline of #AI. I'm going to tell you what to expect, and it's definitely not: this all goes away and we return to before.

Are you ready for this? Are you sure? Well, read on.

Before I continue, I'm going to lay out some AI #benchmarks that we'll use to define "how good / scary is this AI?" This is in rough order of difficulty.

#Lovelace #Test for #Emergence: "Can a system produce surprising and useful outputes that weren't explicitely programmed via weak emergence?"

#Loebner Test: "Can a computer fool casual human judges in text conversations?" ( #Modern #LLM AIs are close to this )

#Turing Test (Original Imitation Game): "A man or a computer and a woman are both answering text interrogations trying to convince them that they are the woman. Can the computer perform as well as the man?" (This was the actual orginial #TuringTest.)

Strengthened #Imitation Game: "A man or a #computer and a woman are both answering text interrogations. Can the computer perform as well as the woman?"

#Coffee Test: "Can a #system enter a strangers house with no prior infor and using #perception, imitation, and #reasoning figure out how to make a cup of coffee?"

#College #Student Test: "Can a robot enroll in college, attend classes like an actual student, learn from the instructions things it didn't know before, and graduate?"

#VoightKampff Test: "Can a machine withstand adversarial exper interrogation and still pass as #human?"

#Harnad's Total Turing Test: "Is the system indistinguishible from humans in every aspect?" (This is a #DuckTest.)

Non #Duck Test: "Even with full access to internals, can experts find no evidence that it isn't a genuine human mind?"