#akleg — Public Fediverse posts

Sen. Elvi Gray-Jackson’s bill just cleared the Alaska Senate, but what happens next could matter more than the vote itself.
SB 41 now heads to the House, where key details about how mental health education would actually work in schools are still undecided.
What should Alaska schools be required to teach kids? 👀
👉🏿 https://tinyurl.com/3dx96s9j
#AlaskaNews #AKLeg #ElviGrayJackson #MentalHealth #Education #YouthWellbeing #Alaska #Students #StudentSuccess

Self-claimed "PFD supporters" who also claim to be "No Taxers" (eg, Bernadette!) aren't either. The deficits are too big. It's one form of taxation or another. Prioritizing #NoTaxes just means they accept cont'd regressive taxes thru PFD cuts. #akleg https://alaskalandmine.com/landmines/brad-keithleys-chart-of-the-week-putting-all-alaska-families-first/

As we head toward the end, our view of the Dunleavy Years. The good? Likely restrained spending better than replacement. The bad? Wayyy too late on proposing substitute revs, never addressed #OilTaxes & relatively useless APFC app'ts. #akleg

Using PFD cuts - the "most regressive tax ever proposed" - to fill deficits is not "fiscally conservative"; it's plutocratic. By targeting #WorkingAge and #WorkingAKfams, it contributes to #Outmigration compared to lower-impact revenue alts. #akleg https://alaskalandmine.com/landmines/brad-keithleys-chart-of-the-week-alaskas-outmigration-death-spiral/

This Wk's Top 3| The way both sides talk about #OilTaxes is a big part of the problem, Persily understands the effect but is AWOL on the cause & the "there's no there, there" campaign for #AKgov. #akleg T'row, 6:05a on The Michael Dukes Show at https://www.facebook.com/share/1CyDUWSDQy/

Some support #Begich4Gov b/c he proposes raising #OilTaxes & closing the S-Corp loophole. Both are good, but he also would con't DEEP PFDcuts ("most regressive tax ever proposed"), raising more from middle- & lower-income #AKfams than from #OilCos. #akleg https://www.juneauindependent.com/post/tom-begich-lone-democratic-candidate-for-governor-says-state-is-missing-opportunities-during-tough

This Wk's Top 3| Ex A for why some #akleg don't seem to understand how Alaska's #oiltaxes work, will Shelley Hughes use her ready-made fiscal platform & almost a perfect op-ed on K-12. T'row 6:05a on The Michael Dukes Show at https://www.facebook.com/share/1LuGX5sCTS/

The 8:30a Chart| To provide context to current $$oil, we publish daily (ex-Su) a running avg of FY26-32 $$ANS, Brent & WTI actual+futures. Projected ANS v. SPRING25 F'cast:

> FY26 ⬆️ $6 (+$285mil UGF)
> FY27 ⬆️ $2 ($70mil)
> FY28-32 ⬆️ $2 (avg annual +$70mil)
#akleg

It's ironic to see some Alaskans upset about the disregard for the rule of law by others, as they themselves support a continuing disregard for the PFD statute that's #StillOnTheBooks. #akleg #SelectiveOutrage https://buff.ly/G9gRGuq

Even if the PFC had just started investing in an S&P 500 ETF at the end of FY20, by FY26, it would already be generating $700mil more in POMV than it is. That's more than expected from an increase in #OilTaxes. #akleg #akrevenues #LeavingMoneyOnTheTable

The most insidious #akleg position of the past decade -spread mainly by the Top20%- has been that PFDs are spending and PFDcuts are spending cuts. In fact, under current law, PFDs are income designated for #AKfams, and, by w/holding & diverting that income to govt, PFDcuts are taxes on that income.

ICYMI. This Wk's Alaska Landmine column| Despite being elected twice on a platform of protecting the PFD for all Alaskans, Gov. Dunleavy instead has been a major contributor to its demise. We explain how and who he has protected instead. #akleg https://buff.ly/JXU2wgG

At its core, Rep. Zack Fields' proposal to means-test the PFD is just another proposal to protect the Top20%, #NonRez & #OilCos from paying a proportionate share of the costs of increased spending by taxing middle and, by reducing the level, even lower-income #AKfams instead. #akleg https://buff.ly/hh5OTJg

🤦 #AKSen -

* Monday: Vote to permanently increase K-12 spending by $185mil/yr. Theme: "We can afford it!"

* Tuesday: Announce a further tax on middle & lower-income #AKfams of $1300/avg household, by reducing the PFD from POMV 25/75 to 17/83. Theme: "We need more revenue!" #akleg

https://buff.ly/Oe8NgKI

Anyone know the story behind the last button? #AKLeg

Let's be clear. These Reps are making a choice to reduce the income of middle & lower-income #AKfams even further (thru PFDcuts) rather than reform #OilTaxes to match the original intent of SB21: more production = more state revenue. #OilCos over #AKfams. #akleg #disappointing https://buff.ly/G2aYdIF

Alaskans: Monday, 3/10, at 3:30PM, Senate Resources is taking invited and public testimony on SB108, Finfish Farms and Products. Stop by your local LIO to testify or call 844-586-9085 outside Juneau. #akleg #Alaska

#PFDcuts and a flat rate income tax both raise the same amount of rev. #PFDcuts do it by taking most from middle & lower-income #AKfams, while the Top20% & #NonRez dodge. A #FlatTax does it by taking the same broadly from ALL #AKfams + #NonRez. Why is #akleg SenFin using the first? https://buff.ly/3XufH58

This Wk's Top 3| The #AKSen Maj & Sen Yundt start the discussion, Peter Pan's only the tip of the Permanent Fund iceberg & the AGDC Bd must have had their fingers crossed. T'row, 6:05am on The Michael Dukes Show. #akleg https://buff.ly/3QoO4HC

Why isn't the House Maj also looking at #OilTaxes? One reason: it's the deal they cut to bring Reps Kott & Stutes on board. They sold out #Working (middle & lower-income) #AKfams (by limiting revenues to PFDcuts) to have the votes to pass K-12 & defined benefits. #akleg

🤔 Doing the math. Why isn't there a Fiscal Note yet for HB69 (Rep. Himschoot's BSA increase)? #WhatsTheProjectedCost #akleg

ALASKANS! AKLEG PSA: Wed, Jan. 29th, the House Education Committee is taking public testimony on HB69, raising the BSA, at 8:00AM and 5:00PM. Senate Education is taking testimony at 3:30 on the education funding crisis. Please go to your local LIO to testify or call 844-586-9085 outside Juneau/ANC. #akleg #Alaska

🙄 Persily with his periodic misdirect on behalf of the Top20%, #NonRez & #OilCos. As much as he repeats it, the problem 𝙞𝙨𝙣'𝙩 the PFD. It's the state's failure to develop equitable & low-impact revs. That's the #AKgov's failure. It's also Persily's. #akleg https://buff.ly/3Po1WBB

This from Americans for Prosperity - AK reminds of their view of #AKfiscal policy. While #FlatTax is their goal at a fed level, they oppose here, pushing #akleg PFDcuts - the "most regressive tax EVER" - instead. Why? Because those favor the Top20%, #NonRez & #OilCos more. https://buff.ly/3BVYWZX

Yet, in Alaska, the #akleg is targeting that very group (60% of #AKfams)to bear the burden of paying for growing govt costs while the Top20%, #NonRez & #OilCos largely skate. And some wonder why we have net #outmigration. 🤦‍♂️ https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2024/12/22/inflation-holidays-gifts-christmas/

Not prioritized? #WorkingAKfams. #akleg

By failing to propose a more equitable revenue approach, Dunleavy continues the policy of using PFD cuts to fund growing govt spending from the pockets of middle & lower-income #AKfams, while letting the Top20%, #NonRez & #OilCos go scot-free. https://www.adn.com/opinions/2024/12/13/opinion-here-are-my-priorities-for-alaska-in-the-proposed-state-budget/

🙄 The "simple answer" is for govt to spend more ... funded by the #akleg disproportionately taking MUCH more out of the pockets (by using PFDcuts) of the very #WorkingAKfams that we are trying to retain/attract. So the theory is making them poorer will make them happier?? https://www.adn.com/opinions/2024/12/06/opinion-the-simple-answer-to-alaskas-outmigration-problem/

𝙁𝙖𝙘𝙩: Cutting PFDs to fund govt takes 𝙢𝙤𝙧𝙚 $$ from mid & lower-income #AKfams than would taxes. The 𝙤𝙣𝙡𝙮 beneficiaries are the Top20%. https://bit.ly/3zoomJt

Those claiming to rep #WorkingAKfams but who knee-jerk "no taxes?" Puppets of Top20% plutocrats. #akleg

Some #akleg: PFDcuts are needed to "help" #WorkingAKfams.

But that's a smokescreen. What PFDcuts 𝙧𝙚𝙖𝙡𝙡𝙮 do is take $$ from #WorkingAKfams and use them instead to shield the Top20% from paying their share.

They're a #𝙍𝙚𝙫𝙚𝙧𝙨𝙚RobinHood. https://alaskalandmine.com/landmines/brad-keithleys-chart-of-the-week-the-100000-dividend/

Oil: SB21 is working!! Don't touch #OilTaxes. #akleg

Reality: "Despite the significant increase in production levels, projected revenues from SB 21 production taxes go 𝙙𝙤𝙬𝙣 dramatically over [the next 10 years], plunging by 30%, from $940 million at the start to only $658 million by the end. Driven by that, overall unrestricted petroleum revenues also fall over the period, dropping from $2.43 billion at the beginning to $2.27 at the end."

https://alaskabeacon.com/2024/11/05/the-defense-of-alaska-oil-tax-law-is-seriously-misleading/

Oil: SB21 is working!! Don't touch #OilTaxes. #akleg

Reality: "Despite the significant increase in production levels, projected revenues from SB 21 production taxes go 𝙙𝙤𝙬𝙣 dramatically over [the next 10 years], plunging by 30%, from $940 million at the start to only $658 million by the end. Driven by that, overall unrestricted petroleum revenues also fall over the period, dropping from $2.43 billion at the beginning to $2.27 at the end."

https://alaskabeacon.com/2024/11/05/the-defense-of-alaska-oil-tax-law-is-seriously-misleading/

Oil: SB21 is working!! Don't touch #OilTaxes. #akleg

Reality: "Despite the significant increase in production levels, projected revenues from SB 21 production taxes go 𝙙𝙤𝙬𝙣 dramatically over [the next 10 years], plunging by 30%, from $940 million at the start to only $658 million by the end. Driven by that, overall unrestricted petroleum revenues also fall over the period, dropping from $2.43 billion at the beginning to $2.27 at the end."

https://alaskabeacon.com/2024/11/05/the-defense-of-alaska-oil-tax-law-is-seriously-misleading/

Oil: SB21 is working!! Don't touch #OilTaxes. #akleg

Reality: "Despite the significant increase in production levels, projected revenues from SB 21 production taxes go 𝙙𝙤𝙬𝙣 dramatically over [the next 10 years], plunging by 30%, from $940 million at the start to only $658 million by the end. Driven by that, overall unrestricted petroleum revenues also fall over the period, dropping from $2.43 billion at the beginning to $2.27 at the end."

https://alaskabeacon.com/2024/11/05/the-defense-of-alaska-oil-tax-law-is-seriously-misleading/

Oil: SB21 is working!! Don't touch #OilTaxes. #akleg

Reality: "Despite the significant increase in production levels, projected revenues from SB 21 production taxes go 𝙙𝙤𝙬𝙣 dramatically over [the next 10 years], plunging by 30%, from $940 million at the start to only $658 million by the end. Driven by that, overall unrestricted petroleum revenues also fall over the period, dropping from $2.43 billion at the beginning to $2.27 at the end."

https://alaskabeacon.com/2024/11/05/the-defense-of-alaska-oil-tax-law-is-seriously-misleading/

Wait, what? The "principles [of the new #akleg House Coalition] include not raising oil taxes ...." https://buff.ly/4fDsc5X

Meanwhile, "despite the significant increase in production levels, projected revenues from SB 21 production taxes go down dramatically over the [next ten years], plunging by 30%, from $940 million at the start to only $658 million by the end." https://buff.ly/4fxgCJv

Alaska Education Commissioner Deena Bishop got caught cheating on her homework. #akleg

https://www.adn.com/alaska-news/education/2024/10/28/false-citations-show-alaska-education-official-relied-on-generative-ai-raising-broader-questions/

HelloAlaska! #akleg

https://helloalaska.pizza/podcast/089-november-elections/

🔁#Election2024 -Nov-5 Alaska At Large
Help Re-Elect MARY PELTOLA AK-AL

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#HarrisWalz2024 #KeepItBlue #WinBlue
#AKpol #AKpolitics #AKleg #AKdems #AK #AKAL
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🔁#Election2024 -Nov-5 Alaska At Large
Help Re-Elect MARY PELTOLA AK-AL

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#HarrisWalz2024 #KeepItBlue #WinBlue
#AKpol #AKpolitics #AKleg #AKdems #AK #AKAL
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🔁#Election2024 -Nov-5 Alaska At Large
Help Re-Elect MARY PELTOLA AK-AL

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#HarrisWalz2024 #KeepItBlue #WinBlue
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🔁#Election2024 -Nov-5 Alaska At Large
Help Re-Elect MARY PELTOLA AK-AL

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#HarrisWalz2024 #KeepItBlue #WinBlue
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🔁#Election2024 -Nov-5 Alaska At Large
Help Re-Elect MARY PELTOLA AK-AL

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#HarrisWalz2024 #KeepItBlue #WinBlue
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🔁#Election2024 -Nov-5 #Alaska State Senate
Help Elect JANICE PARK AK-SD-F

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Dunleavy's Alaska: "If a commercial project is worth doing, the private sector will do it."

Also Dunleavy's Alaska: Since the private sector isn't, "AIDEA approves up to $20 million for potential Arctic refuge oil lease bids." 🤦 #akleg https://www.adn.com/business-economy/energy/2024/10/24/aidea-approves-up-to-20-million-for-potential-arctic-refuge-oil-lease-bids/

A live music event with performances by the candidates sounds like one of the more creative campaign events this fall. #akleg

🙄 The huge friggin' irony of this column? Persily promises exactly the same thing at the state level when he urges further #akleg spending (because it's only at the expense of deeper PFDcuts, which, from his perspective as a Top20%'er, aren't "taxes"). #wilfulblindness https://buff.ly/4dXkdzs

Some #akleg: "#NoTaxes! Use PFDcuts instead."

𝙇𝙤𝙨𝙚𝙧𝙨? 80% of #AKfam from whom #PFDcuts take 𝙢𝙤𝙧𝙚 than taxes. https://bit.ly/3zoomJt

𝙒𝙞𝙣𝙣𝙚𝙧𝙨? The Top20% who pay less & non-rez who pay 𝙯𝙚𝙧𝙤.

So, 𝙬𝙝𝙤 do #NoTax'ers really rep?

Just #LookAtWhoBenefits ...

With Georgia planning a partial hand count of its November election, I asked what a similar count would look like here in Alaska: https://alaskabeacon.com/2024/09/23/what-would-a-statewide-hand-count-election-look-like-in-alaska/ #akleg #Alaska

🔁#Election2024 -Nov-5 Alaska-At-Large

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Some #akleg: "#NoTaxes! Use PFDcuts instead."

𝙇𝙤𝙨𝙚𝙧𝙨? 80% of #AKfam from whom #PFDcuts take 𝙢𝙤𝙧𝙚 than taxes. https://bit.ly/3zoomJt

𝙒𝙞𝙣𝙣𝙚𝙧𝙨? The Top20% who pay less & non-rez who pay 𝙯𝙚𝙧𝙤.

So, 𝙬𝙝𝙤 do #NoTax'ers really rep?

Just #LookAtTheirDonors ...