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#xfc — Public Fediverse posts

Live and recent posts from across the Fediverse tagged #xfc, aggregated by home.social.

  1. Title: Postprocessing of Ensemble Weather Forecasts Using Permutation-invariant Neural Networks.

    Statistical postprocessing is used to translate ensembles of raw numerical
    weather forecasts into reliable probabilistic forecast distributions. In this
    study, we examine the use of permutation-invariant neural networks for this
    task. In contrast to previous approache [...]

    Authors: Kevin Höhlein, Benedikt Schulz, Rüdiger Westermann, Sebastian Lerch

    Link: arxiv.org/abs/2309.04452

  2. Title: Towards replacing precipitation ensemble predictions systems using machine learning.

    Precipitation forecasts are less accurate compared to other meteorological
    fields because several key processes affecting precipitation distribution and
    intensity occur below the resolved scale of global weather prediction models.
    This requires to use higher resolution simulations. To generate an uncertainty
    predictio [...]

    Authors: Rüdiger Brecht, Alex Bihlo

    Link: arxiv.org/abs/2304.10251

  3. Title: M-ENIAC: A machine learning recreation of the first successful numerical weather forecasts.

    In 1950 the first successful numerical weather forecast was obtained by
    solving the barotropic vorticity equation using the Electronic Numerical
    Integrator and Computer (ENIAC), which marked the beginning of the age of
    numerical weather prediction. Here, we ask the question of how these numerical
    forecasts woul [...]

    Authors: Rüdiger Brecht, Alex Bihlo

    Link: arxiv.org/abs/2304.09070

  4. Title: Potential quantum advantage for simulation of fluid dynamics.

    Numerical simulation of turbulent fluid dynamics needs to either parameterize
    turbulence-which introduces large uncertainties-or explicitly resolve the
    smallest scales-which is prohibitively expensive. Here we provide evidence
    through analytic bound [...]

    Authors: Xiangyu Li, Xiaolong Yin, Nathan Wiebe, Jaehun Chun, Gregory K. Schenter, Margaret S. Cheung, Johannes Mülmenstädt

    Link: arxiv.org/abs/2303.16550

  5. Title: Computing the ensemble spread from deterministic weather predictions using conditional generative adversarial networks.

    Ensemble prediction systems are an invaluable tool for weather forecasting.
    Practically, ensemble predictions are obtained by running several perturbations
    of the deterministic control forecast. However, ensemble prediction is
    associated with a high computational cost and often invol [...]

    Authors: Rüdiger Brecht, Alex Bihlo

    Link: arxiv.org/abs/2205.09182

  6. Title: Transitions of zonal flows in a two-layer quasi-geostrophic ocean model.

    We consider a 2-layer quasi-geostrophic ocean model where the upper layer is
    forced by a steady Kolmogorov wind stress in a periodic channel domain, which
    allows to mathematically study the nonlinear development of the resulting flow.
    The model supports a steady parallel shear flow as a [...]

    Authors: Mickael D. Chekroun, Henk Dijkstra, Taylan Şengül, Shouhong Wang

    Link: arxiv.org/abs/2110.05195

  7. Title: Visualization of Model Parameter Sensitivity along Trajectories in Numerical Weather Predictions.

    Numerical weather prediction models rely on parameterizations for
    subgrid-scale processes, e.g., for cloud microphysics. These parameterizations
    are a well-known source of uncertainty in weather forecasts that can be
    quantified [...]

    Authors: Christoph Neuhauser, Maicon Hieronymus, Michael Kern, Marc Rautenhaus, Annika Oertel, Rüdiger Westermann

    Link: arxiv.org/abs/2205.02268

  8. Title: Perspectives on the importance of complex systems in understanding ourclimate and climate change -- The Nobel Prize in Physics 2021.

    The Nobel Prize in Physics 2021 was awarded to Syukuro Manabe, Klaus
    Hasselmann, and Giorgio Parisi for their 'groundbreaking contributions to our
    understanding of complex systems' including major advances in the understanding [...]

    Authors: Shraddha Gupta, Nikolaos Mastrantonas, Cristina Masoller, Jürgen Kurths

    Link: arxiv.org/abs/2203.03331

  9. Title: ClimART: A Benchmark Dataset for Emulating Atmospheric Radiative Transfer in Weather and Climate Models.

    Numerical simulations of Earth's weather and climate require substantial
    amounts of computation. This has led to a growing interest in replacing
    subroutines that explicitly compute physical processes with approximate machine
    learning (ML) [...]

    Authors: Salva Rühling Cachay, Venkatesh Ramesh, Jason N. S. Cole, Howard Barker, David Rolnick

    Link: arxiv.org/abs/2111.14671

  10. Title: Definition, detection, and tracking of persistent structures in atmospheric flows.

    Long-lived flow patterns in the atmosphere such as weather fronts,
    mid-latitude blockings or tropical cyclones often induce extreme weather
    conditions. As [...]

    Authors: Johannes von Lindheim, Abhishek Harikrishnan, Tom Dörffel, Rupert Klein, Péter Koltai, Natalia Mikula, Annette Müller, Peter Névir, George Pacey, Robert Polzin, Nikki Vercauteren

    Link: arxiv.org/abs/2111.13645

  11. Title: Identifying the atmospheric drivers of drought and heat using a smoothed deep learning approach.

    Europe was hit by several, disastrous heat and drought events in recent
    summers. Besides thermodynamic influences, such hot and dry extremes are driven
    by certain atmospheric situations including anticyclonic conditions. Effects of
    climate change on atmospheric circulations ar [...]

    Authors: Magdalena Mittermeier, Maximilian Weigert, David Rügamer

    Link: arxiv.org/abs/2111.05303

  12. Title: The climatic interdependence of extreme-rainfall events around the globe.

    The identification of regions of similar climatological behavior can be
    utilized for the discovery of spatial relationships over long-range scales,
    including teleconnections. In this regard, the global picture of the
    interdependence patterns of extreme rainfall events (EREs) still needs to be
    further explored. To [...]

    Authors: Zhen Su, Henning Meyerhenke, Jürgen Kurths

    Link: arxiv.org/abs/2111.03471