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  1. Three legs are needed for deductive causal inference:
    "Without assumptions regarding construct validity, one cannot accurately label the cause or outcome. Without assumptions regarding external validity, one cannot label the conditions enabling the cause to have an effect. If any of the assumptions regarding internal, construct, and external validity are missing, the claim is not deductively supported. The critical role of theoretical and substantive knowledge in deductive causal inference is illuminated by making such assumptions explicit. This article critically reviews approaches to identification in causal inference while developing a framework called causal specification. Causal specification augments existing identification strategies to enable and justify deductive, generalized claims about causes and effects. In the process, we review a variety of developments in the philosophy of science and causality and interdisciplinary social science methodology."

    Esterling, K., Brady, D. & Schwitzgebel, E. (2025). "The necessity of construct and external validity for deductive causal inference" doi.org/10.1515/jci-2024-0002

    #logics #validity #deduction #generalization #identification #causality #correlations #ProofTheory #PhilSci #truth #causalInference #socialScience

  2. Three legs are needed for deductive causal inference:
    "Without assumptions regarding construct validity, one cannot accurately label the cause or outcome. Without assumptions regarding external validity, one cannot label the conditions enabling the cause to have an effect. If any of the assumptions regarding internal, construct, and external validity are missing, the claim is not deductively supported. The critical role of theoretical and substantive knowledge in deductive causal inference is illuminated by making such assumptions explicit. This article critically reviews approaches to identification in causal inference while developing a framework called causal specification. Causal specification augments existing identification strategies to enable and justify deductive, generalized claims about causes and effects. In the process, we review a variety of developments in the philosophy of science and causality and interdisciplinary social science methodology."

    Esterling, K., Brady, D. & Schwitzgebel, E. (2025). "The necessity of construct and external validity for deductive causal inference" doi.org/10.1515/jci-2024-0002

  3. youtu.be/VtrcKTkhDHU?...
    This is so good. Down Eden way @ Twofold Bay Orcas were the cattle dogs (of the sea) They all had names & would work with the whalers to round up food. Old Tom might have been Tam given matriarchs are their leaders. #menopause #sentience #philsci #science #marine

    Why The Ocean's Deadliest Pred...

  4. youtu.be/VtrcKTkhDHU?...
    This is so good. Down Eden way @ Twofold Bay Orcas were the cattle dogs (of the sea) They all had names & would work with the whalers to round up food. Old Tom might have been Tam given matriarchs are their leaders. #menopause #sentience #philsci #science #marine

    Why The Ocean's Deadliest Pred...

  5. *sniff* [wipes tear] a proud moment, Australia

    See arachnid in USA can't top that, no matter what they do. Sure they could start dumping 'roids & cheat but they still wouldn't beat Aussie times youtu.be/kRQMOF5c2Z8?...

    We have the most var. of smartest spider on the planet too.
    #science #philsci

    RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:fvtccvoqk46ufoqb5x46p4il/post/3mqar763bs22m


    Jumping Spiders Shouldn’t Be T...

  6. *sniff* [wipes tear] a proud moment, Australia

    See arachnid in USA can't top that, no matter what they do. Sure they could start dumping 'roids & cheat but they still wouldn't beat Aussie times youtu.be/kRQMOF5c2Z8?...

    We have the most var. of smartest spider on the planet too.
    #science #philsci

    RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:fvtccvoqk46ufoqb5x46p4il/post/3mqar763bs22m


    Jumping Spiders Shouldn’t Be T...

  7. #animals #science #philsci #Auspol
    As a wildlife carer, I'm donating to this educational, fun and necessary initiative because we rock. If it wasn't for us, Australia would have less wildlife due to greedy, ignorant developers who're allergic to cohabitation within our South Pacific environment.

    RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:dlsswsojmwbwsidpbcblzoiv/post/3mq4rj3g2fk2z


    Caras Dressed Australian Anima...

  8. #animals #science #philsci #Auspol
    As a wildlife carer, I'm donating to this educational, fun and necessary initiative because we rock. If it wasn't for us, Australia would have less wildlife due to greedy, ignorant developers who're allergic to cohabitation within our South Pacific environment.

    RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:dlsswsojmwbwsidpbcblzoiv/post/3mq4rj3g2fk2z


    Caras Dressed Australian Anima...

  9. Franz Kafka was born OTD in 1883.

    "[T]he right perception of any matter and a misunderstanding of the same matter do not wholly exclude each other." The Trial

    #PhilSky #PhilSci #BookSky

  10. Franz Kafka was born OTD in 1883.

    "[T]he right perception of any matter and a misunderstanding of the same matter do not wholly exclude each other." The Trial

    #PhilSky #PhilSci #BookSky

  11. I thought you said CHOPPERS, Heather, so I flew here as fast as I could to listen to you on the new podcast called Animal Culture @[email protected]
    #animal #sentience #philsci #zoology

    RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:yw3i66nubofjfqcsafk33x5t/post/3mpqga4jhl22m

  12. I thought you said CHOPPERS, Heather, so I flew here as fast as I could to listen to you on the new podcast called Animal Culture @[email protected]
    #animal #sentience #philsci #zoology

    RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:yw3i66nubofjfqcsafk33x5t/post/3mpqga4jhl22m

  13. Robert Sapolsky, nice guy baboons & the elite solution #philsci #neuro #psych #animals Why do poorer people <3 period dramas like Downton Abbey, and adore the very privileged elite that kept their great-grandparents in abject poverty? Barry Ferns: #Science of obedience. youtu.be/ApSH0fCIjTY?...

    The Psychological Trick That K...

  14. Robert Sapolsky, nice guy baboons & the elite solution #philsci #neuro #psych #animals Why do poorer people <3 period dramas like Downton Abbey, and adore the very privileged elite that kept their great-grandparents in abject poverty? Barry Ferns: #Science of obedience. youtu.be/ApSH0fCIjTY?...

    The Psychological Trick That K...

  15. youtu.be/Lh_0v3nuczE?...
    Only 4 states in the entire US have a law that even mentions neural data. There's no FED protection. Your thoughts have fewer legal protections than your thumb print.
    Musk knows that, and he's moving fast. OH & Neuralink is Thiel funded #sentience #animal #cruelty #philsci

    Elon Musk's secret surgery cen...

  16. baby ducks doot doo doo doot doot n doo doo baby ducks doot doo doo doot doot n doo doo baby ducks baby sharks doot doo doo doot doot n doo doo baby sharks no baby catsharknducks doot doo doo doot doot n doo doo baby catsharknducks #sentience #philsci #science

    Dog in Shark Costume Rides Rob...

    RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:uyh5huzxtthtkg6htsgt56lh/post/3motophke5k2x

  17. baby ducks doot doo doo doot doot n doo doo baby ducks doot doo doo doot doot n doo doo baby ducks baby sharks doot doo doo doot doot n doo doo baby sharks no baby catsharknducks doot doo doo doot doot n doo doo baby catsharknducks #sentience #philsci #science

    Dog in Shark Costume Rides Rob...

    RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:uyh5huzxtthtkg6htsgt56lh/post/3motophke5k2x

  18. I read some papers on 'automating science' (I prefer 'automation in science') and (worse) 'AI scientists'.
    Someone should write a paper on their implicit assumptions regarding the nature of science!
    Some observations:
    - there is no awareness of fallibility or how to deal errors, which is an ongoing process essential to science;
    - I fear that the 'loop' in science they're trying to close is 'the scientific method', which is a myth;
    - they sure like to use the term 'alien' for new things.
    #PhilSci

  19. @zoophilosophy.bsky.social largest farm bust of exotic illegals being bred for big bucks w/out consideration for all the indigenous spp. they could compromise. It's a call for tougher penalties & better education. #philsci #bugs #entomology youtu.be/9sQUQtb2weQ?...

    100,000 exotic cockroaches sei...

  20. @zoophilosophy.bsky.social largest farm bust of exotic illegals being bred for big bucks w/out consideration for all the indigenous spp. they could compromise. It's a call for tougher penalties & better education. #philsci #bugs #entomology youtu.be/9sQUQtb2weQ?...

    100,000 exotic cockroaches sei...

  21. But Lorenz was not the first with the intuition. In The Phantom Tollbooth, the Princess of Pure Reason says: "...whatever we do affects everything and everyone else, if even in the tiniest way. Why, when a housefly flaps his wings, a breeze goes round the world." 🧪🦋🦫🧠🗃 #PhilSci #HistSTM #Booksky

    RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:6eqjufcnopmdmucccde5aeob/post/3mmjprcip4d26

  22. But Lorenz was not the first with the intuition. In The Phantom Tollbooth, the Princess of Pure Reason says: "...whatever we do affects everything and everyone else, if even in the tiniest way. Why, when a housefly flaps his wings, a breeze goes round the world." 🧪🦋🦫🧠🗃 #PhilSci #HistSTM #Booksky

    RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:6eqjufcnopmdmucccde5aeob/post/3mmjprcip4d26

  23. Edward Lorenz, of “butterfly effect” fame, was born OTD in 1917. "Chaos: When the present determines the future, but the approximate present does not approximately determine the future.” 🧪🦋🦫🧠🗃 #PhilSci #HistSTM

  24. Edward Lorenz, of “butterfly effect” fame, was born OTD in 1917. "Chaos: When the present determines the future, but the approximate present does not approximately determine the future.” 🧪🦋🦫🧠🗃 #PhilSci #HistSTM

  25. Delighted to receive a signed copy of this new book by Cheryl Misak, who is off to #HayFestival to argue philosophy. #philsci

  26. Crowd mind: is there some history about why within subjects designs were the obvious design in 19th century psychology, in particular psychophysics? #histsci #philsci

  27. Crowd mind: is there some history about why within subjects designs were the obvious design in 19th century psychology, in particular psychophysics? #histsci #philsci

  28. Are you a friend or alumnus of the Cohn Institute for the History and Philosophy of Science and Ideas? Join us 13/5 for our first ever alumni meetup! בוגר של מכון כהן באוניברסיטת תל אביב או שייך לקהילת המכון? כנס בוגרים ראשון מאד ומעולם, ב 13/5. להתראות בגילמן! #hps #sts #philsci #histsci

  29. Are you a friend or alumnus of the Cohn Institute for the History and Philosophy of Science and Ideas? Join us 13/5 for our first ever alumni meetup! בוגר של מכון כהן באוניברסיטת תל אביב או שייך לקהילת המכון? כנס בוגרים ראשון מאד ומעולם, ב 13/5. להתראות בגילמן! #hps #sts #philsci #histsci

  30. F*CK ORANGE MAN VOTERS! They hate possessing the very skills necessary to improve their lives and the lives of those around them. "MAGA couldn't navigate their way out of a paper bag. And don't get me started on Bessant" - Thomas the Tank Engine #caturday #science #philsci #philsky 8% #tax

    RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:wwjlmc7go2zhugeav7ngryee/post/3mks4abedys2f

  31. F*CK ORANGE MAN VOTERS! They hate possessing the very skills necessary to improve their lives and the lives of those around them. "MAGA couldn't navigate their way out of a paper bag. And don't get me started on Bessant" - Thomas the Tank Engine #caturday #science #philsci #philsky 8% #tax

    RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:wwjlmc7go2zhugeav7ngryee/post/3mks4abedys2f

  32. New Blog Post: Two Ways of Making True I discuss a distinction made by Martin Thomson-Jones between making true as interpreting vs as fitting a description, in the context of the semantic conception of theories. personal.us.es/qruyant/blog... #philosophyofscience #philsci #philsky

    Two Ways of Making True

  33. New Blog Post: Two Ways of Making True I discuss a distinction made by Martin Thomson-Jones between making true as interpreting vs as fitting a description, in the context of the semantic conception of theories. personal.us.es/qruyant/blog... #philosophyofscience #philsci #philsky

    Two Ways of Making True

  34. Exam time could be a lot more fun, if kids were given the option of using vine as part of their assessments (in lieu of AI) diVine could help teachers and students more than both realise Check out @[email protected] awesome solution, Uni Professori #Science #philsky #philsci #psych #sentience #creativity

    RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:fw2b7rsgjafq4pv2ktu57pku/post/3mkqczqaaj22y

  35. Exam time could be a lot more fun, if kids were given the option of using vine as part of their assessments (in lieu of AI) diVine could help teachers and students more than both realise Check out @[email protected] awesome solution, Uni Professori #Science #philsky #philsci #psych #sentience #creativity

    RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:fw2b7rsgjafq4pv2ktu57pku/post/3mkqczqaaj22y

  36. Kurt Gödel was born OTD in 1906. “If a 'religion' is defined to be a system of ideas that contains unprovable statements, then Gödel taught us that mathematics is not only a religion, it is the only religion that can prove itself to be one.” John Barrow, The Artful Universe 🧪🦫🦋 #HistSTM #PhilSci

  37. Kurt Gödel was born OTD in 1906. “If a 'religion' is defined to be a system of ideas that contains unprovable statements, then Gödel taught us that mathematics is not only a religion, it is the only religion that can prove itself to be one.” John Barrow, The Artful Universe 🧪🦫🦋 #HistSTM #PhilSci

  38. I very much enjoyed reading Melinda Bonnie Fagan‘s recent book _ Explanatory Particularism in Scientific Practice_ and writing a review of it. Check it out! rdcu.be/fdagG #philsci #philbio

    Breaking new ground in the und...

  39. This beautiful little sentient being was kept, hunted, and farmed for meat and fat going back to Roman times. other spp. of dormouse weren't favoured, thus the horrible name which needs changing PRONTO! Latin root: dormīre = “to sleep” as in hibernating habits #science #philsky #sentience #philsci

    RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:yw3i66nubofjfqcsafk33x5t/post/3mje7cg4bvs23

  40. This beautiful little sentient being was kept, hunted, and farmed for meat and fat going back to Roman times. other spp. of dormouse weren't favoured, thus the horrible name which needs changing PRONTO! Latin root: dormīre = “to sleep” as in hibernating habits #science #philsky #sentience #philsci

    RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:yw3i66nubofjfqcsafk33x5t/post/3mje7cg4bvs23