#gdpnow — Public Fediverse posts
Live and recent posts from across the Fediverse tagged #gdpnow, aggregated by home.social.
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Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
The growth rate of real gross domestic product (GDP) measured by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA)…
#Economy #economicmodels #FederalReserveSystem #forecast #forecasting #GDP #gdpnow #grossdomesticproduct #Inflation #nowcast #nowcasting
https://www.europesays.com/2734060/ -
I had somehow missed that the FED's GDPNow
projection had dropped again at the beginning of April.
This number is always off since different components of GDP are accounted at different times but still,. interesting. -
I had somehow missed that the FED's GDPNow
projection had dropped again at the beginning of April.
This number is always off since different components of GDP are accounted at different times but still,. interesting. -
I had somehow missed that the FED's GDPNow
projection had dropped again at the beginning of April.
This number is always off since different components of GDP are accounted at different times but still,. interesting. -
I had somehow missed that the FED's GDPNow
projection had dropped again at the beginning of April.
This number is always off since different components of GDP are accounted at different times but still,. interesting. -
Hah, so the next #GDPNow forecast release is happening in a few hours (2025-04-03) with the most recent inputs being "International trade (Full report), ISM Services". I'm feeling like 'overnight' is too fast for the most recent bit of tariff follies to show up in the inputs, so any drop *probably doesn't even include the worst inputs yet.*
Worth knowing that in the past 5-6 weeks it's gone from forecasting ~2% growth to ~3.7% shrinkage in GDP - and this isn't editorializing, it's just raw calculations based on a bunch of input data on purchasing, supply chains, etc.
How low will we go on forecasts even without the new follies?
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Hah, so the next #GDPNow forecast release is happening in a few hours (2025-04-03) with the most recent inputs being "International trade (Full report), ISM Services". I'm feeling like 'overnight' is too fast for the most recent bit of tariff follies to show up in the inputs, so any drop *probably doesn't even include the worst inputs yet.*
Worth knowing that in the past 5-6 weeks it's gone from forecasting ~2% growth to ~3.7% shrinkage in GDP - and this isn't editorializing, it's just raw calculations based on a bunch of input data on purchasing, supply chains, etc.
How low will we go on forecasts even without the new follies?
-
Hah, so the next #GDPNow forecast release is happening in a few hours (2025-04-03) with the most recent inputs being "International trade (Full report), ISM Services". I'm feeling like 'overnight' is too fast for the most recent bit of tariff follies to show up in the inputs, so any drop *probably doesn't even include the worst inputs yet.*
Worth knowing that in the past 5-6 weeks it's gone from forecasting ~2% growth to ~3.7% shrinkage in GDP - and this isn't editorializing, it's just raw calculations based on a bunch of input data on purchasing, supply chains, etc.
How low will we go on forecasts even without the new follies?
-
Hah, so the next #GDPNow forecast release is happening in a few hours (2025-04-03) with the most recent inputs being "International trade (Full report), ISM Services". I'm feeling like 'overnight' is too fast for the most recent bit of tariff follies to show up in the inputs, so any drop *probably doesn't even include the worst inputs yet.*
Worth knowing that in the past 5-6 weeks it's gone from forecasting ~2% growth to ~3.7% shrinkage in GDP - and this isn't editorializing, it's just raw calculations based on a bunch of input data on purchasing, supply chains, etc.
How low will we go on forecasts even without the new follies?
-
Hah, so the next #GDPNow forecast release is happening in a few hours (2025-04-03) with the most recent inputs being "International trade (Full report), ISM Services". I'm feeling like 'overnight' is too fast for the most recent bit of tariff follies to show up in the inputs, so any drop *probably doesn't even include the worst inputs yet.*
Worth knowing that in the past 5-6 weeks it's gone from forecasting ~2% growth to ~3.7% shrinkage in GDP - and this isn't editorializing, it's just raw calculations based on a bunch of input data on purchasing, supply chains, etc.
How low will we go on forecasts even without the new follies?
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Anyone got a take on the latest #GDPNow report? When the initial plunge happened, everyone said it was a glitch because of an increase in imports, and once more data came out we would start to see more normal numbers. But that doesn't seem to be happening. FWIW real-time Q1 is almost over.
RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:gnjeaguquty6pn5brw5svdgt/post/3lko33zhkyk2v -
Atlanta Fed #GDPNow for Q2 is at 2.7%, surpassing the consensus of 2.5% and previous value of 2.5%. #GDP #Economy #AtlantaFed
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Atlanta Fed #GDPNow for Q2 is at 2.7%, surpassing the consensus of 2.5% and previous value of 2.5%. #GDP #Economy #AtlantaFed
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Atlanta Fed #GDPNow for Q2 is at 2.7%, surpassing the consensus of 2.5% and previous value of 2.5%. #GDP #Economy #AtlantaFed
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#US Atlanta Fed #GDPNow for Q2 shows growth at 2.0%, exceeding consensus of 1.5% and previous estimate of 1.5%. #GDP #EconomicData
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#US Atlanta Fed #GDPNow for Q2 shows growth at 2.0%, exceeding consensus of 1.5% and previous estimate of 1.5%. #GDP #EconomicData
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#US Atlanta Fed #GDPNow for Q2 shows growth at 2.0%, exceeding consensus of 1.5% and previous estimate of 1.5%. #GDP #EconomicData
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#Atlanta Fed #GDPNow for Q2 drops to 2.2%, missing the forecast of 2.7% and down from the previous 2.7%, indicating a slower economic growth outlook. #GDP #Fed #EconomicData
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#Atlanta Fed #GDPNow for Q2 drops to 2.2%, missing the forecast of 2.7% and down from the previous 2.7%, indicating a slower economic growth outlook. #GDP #Fed #EconomicData
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#Atlanta Fed #GDPNow for Q2 drops to 2.2%, missing the forecast of 2.7% and down from the previous 2.7%, indicating a slower economic growth outlook. #GDP #Fed #EconomicData
