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#chenowethstephan — Public Fediverse posts

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  1. Boud @[email protected] ·

    @markusreuter

    Based on the 2022 population estimate of non-occupied Georgia of about 3.7 million [1], the #ChenowethStephan statistical threshold of 3.5% of the population of a country in sustained #CivilDisobedience / #NonViolentProtest as the threshold for success is about 130 thousand. 100k is clearly a round number estimate, but would still give 2.7%.

    We'll soon know if this case is consistent with the #ChenowethStephanThreshold .

    [1] en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Georgia_

    [2] en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Erica_Ch

    #chenowethstephan #civildisobedience #nonviolentprotest #chenowethstephanthreshold