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#ausweather — Public Fediverse posts

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  1. "Perth shivers through coldest day in 50 years as spring approaches.

    Amid the wettest winter in Perth in more than two decades, the city's temperature reached a top of just 11.4C on Monday, its coldest day since 1975."
    abc.net.au/news/2025-08-26/per

    Now look at Jucker et al 2024, the modelling result for year 3 to 7 after HungaTonga's explosion in January 2022.
    For the months June to August, Australia is one of the most pronounced changes in temperature due to the water vapour injection into the stratosphere.
    Precipitation is also up considerably for these months.

    I bring this paper up every once in a while as an illustration for why I can't agree with Global Mean thinkers, as in, Hunga Tonga's contribution to GM temperature is only 0.03°C or somesuch.
    The regional impact can be devastating nonetheless, even if Global Mean Anything is unremarkable!
    Recall drowning UK and Northern Germany in winter 2023 and again 2024?
    So much rain fell that winter crops got destroyed and sowing season delayed.
    Global Mean Anything is really a useless metric.

    Read more about the study in the pub-sci article written by the authors themselves:
    theconversation.com/tongas-vol read the paper journals.ametsoc.org/view/jour

    #HungaTonga #AusWeather #ExtremeWeather #ClimateChange

  2. New band name dropped: High Cloud through the Bight #AusWeather

  3. From @phannam in the Guardian. on the attempt for an Australian longterm #weather #forecast . With #ElNino on its way out, #LaNina might knock at the door which would be a first since observations. But the IOD #IndianOceanDipole also plays a big role in #Ausweather, as do the spiking ocean surface temperatures, and the global weirding as background music. In the Black Summer 2019/2020, #ENSO was neutral-ish but a dry IOD caused the enormous bushfires. What the already now evolving dry IOD does to a normally wet LaNina that might or might not evolve, is unknown as yet. theguardian.com/australia-news

  4. #AusWeather
    A fascinating and useful interactive weather prediction/observation website. Hit the play button to start a 3 day or 7 day-long animation.

    bom.gov.au/australia/charts/vi