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#war-economy — Public Fediverse posts

Live and recent posts from across the Fediverse tagged #war-economy, aggregated by home.social.

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  1. "... In this video, I examine why Russia’s regions are struggling to pay their bills, how the cost of the war is squeezing local services and investment, and why this emerging regional crisis could become a much bigger problem for the Russian economy. ..."

    #Russia #RussianEconomy #WarEconomy #RegionalGovernments #FinancialPressure #CombinedDeficit
    youtube.com/watch?v=ylKk_fBo3KQ

  2. "... From the war and sanctions to classified budgets and self-censorship, this video examines how secrecy can protect not only national security, but also the image of a state that does not want its citizens or the outside world to measure what is really happening."

    #Russia #hiddenData #RussianSociety #RussianEconomy #RussianElites #Corruption #Informationwarfare #WarEconomy #RussoUkraineWar #RussiaUkraineWar #Censorship #Propaganda #Secrecy #InformationControl
    youtube.com/watch?v=b0FOlH89yjc

  3. Rubio’s European tour met with protests as communists denounce US-NATO war plans – People’s World

    Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent have taken the lead in the Trump administration’s…
    #Europe #EU #communist #communistparty #communists #European #politicalaction #Politics #Portugal #Trumpadministration #U.S. #U.S.foreignpolicy #War #wareconomy #world
    europesays.com/europe/156040/

  4. Rubio’s European tour met with protests as communists denounce US-NATO war plans – People’s World

    Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent have taken the lead in the Trump administration’s…
    #NATO #OTAN #Europe #Europa #EU #News #communist #communistparty #communists #politicalaction #politics #Portugal #Trumpadministration #U.S. #u.s.foreignpolicy #war #wareconomy #World
    europesays.com/nato/17800/

  5. "... Russia needs cash more than ever, but has few options to get it - and there may be little that Vladimir Putin can do. In this video I talk about the economic factors of the war in Ukraine, how Russia is hiding its military spending, and why the Russian economy is buckling under the strain of the war. ..."

    #Russia #RussianEconomy #WarEconomy #RussiaUkraineWar
    youtube.com/watch?v=UgZDtxVSzYc

  6. "Russia is turning its economy into a black box.

    War spending, oil production, trade, reserves, demographics, incomes, poverty data, even population figures have disappeared from public view.

    When the numbers expose the cost of war, Moscow hides the numbers."
    - EUvsDisinfo

    #Russia #RussianEconomy #WarEconomy #EUvsDisinfo

  7. "... Elvira Bary follows Russia’s war money from the moment it lands in a recruit’s bank account. Soldiers use it to pay debts, renovate homes, buy cars, and support their families—but the money also gets swallowed by front-line expenses, commanders, corruption, scammers, criminal networks, and a consumer boom increasingly dependent on imported goods. The result is a strange war economy ..."
    #Russia #RussianEconomy #RussianSociety #RussianSoldiers #WarEconomy
    youtube.com/watch?v=RpvFvlbs0eY

  8. France’s 2035 National Security Plan foresees increased conflict and calls for changes to its armed forces to meet the growing threat of asymetric and greyzone warfare as well as mounting a credible deterent to large-scale conventional (thought changing) aggression (e.g. Russia).

    “Looking toward 2035, the authors made several key recommendations for both Paris and Europe as a whole to be ready to operate in and face a “durably degraded” security landscape. First, they recommended fast-tracking the transformation of the military model to avert the threat of a major war in Europe. French military officials have urged the country to shift away from smaller, international counter-terrorism forces toward large-scale, high-intensity combat readiness, and to prioritize adopting a war-economy approach.”

    breakingdefense.com/2026/09/fr

    #France #NationalSecurity #MilitaryReadiness #WarEconomy #MilitaryIndustrialComplex #Militaryfunding #EU #GreyZoneWarfare #RussianThreat #ThreatAssessement
    #2035

  9. Last Time Russia Elected Duma, Ukraine War Followed. Now Familiar Signs Are Back

    Russia’s three-day parliamentary election opened with turnout running sharply ahead of five years ago, giving the Kremlin and…
    #Conflict #Conflicts #War #CIA #deepstrike #election #mobilization #NATO #Russia #russiaukraine #RussiaUkraineWar #RussianinvasionofUkraine #Russo-UkrainianWar #StateDuma #Ukraine #UnitedStates #VladimirPutin #war #wareconomy #WarFatigue #warinukraine
    europesays.com/3260679/

  10. "... A senior Putin envoy has warned that Russia’s economy is going “berserk” as more money, workers and industrial capacity are diverted into the war effort.

    Boris Titov says a military-focused economy can only operate like this for a limited period before the underlying damage becomes much harder to ignore.

    In this video, I look at the warning signs now emerging inside Russia itself ..."

    #Russia #RussianEconomy #WarEconomy
    youtube.com/watch?v=nh4izakDGR4

  11. Last Time Russia Elected Duma, Ukraine War Followed. Now Familiar Signs Are Back

    Russia’s three-day parliamentary election opened with turnout running sharply ahead of five years ago, giving the Kremlin and…
    #Ukraine #UA #Europe #Europa #EU #News #cia #deepstrike #Election #mobilization #NATO #Russia #stateduma #UnitedStates #VladimirPutin #war #wareconomy #warfatigue #warinUkraine
    europesays.com/ukraine/44477/

  12. Last Time Russia Elected Duma, Ukraine War Followed. Now Familiar Signs Are Back

    Russia’s three-day parliamentary election opened with turnout running sharply ahead of five years ago, giving the Kremlin and…
    #EuropeSays #Russia #cia #deepstrike #election #mobilization #NATO #StateDuma #Ukraine #UnitedStates #VladimirPutin #war #wareconomy #warfatigue #WarinUkraine
    europesays.com/russia/66274/

  13. Why Moscow can keep ignoring limp European sanctions

    Russia’s war economy is under mounting strain, but far short of the much-vaunted collapse. Europe’s sanctions are biting;…
    #EuropeSays #Russia #Moscow #defence #EuropeanCommission #EuropeanUnion #finances #Ukraine #VladimirPutin #wareconomy
    europesays.com/russia/63659/

  14. "... Future: Ukraine wins, and Russia loses — not by outproducing Russia, but by making Russia's marginal cost exceed its marginal benefit. ..."

    #Russia #Ukraine #RussianEconomy #WarEconomy #RussiaUkraineWar
    youtube.com/watch?v=hv_Jkn9IQwc

  15. Ukrainian Drones Set Russian Oil Port Ust-Luga Ablaze

    Massive drone barrage hits key Baltic export hub handling 700,000 barrels of crude per day as Ukraine targets Russia oil revenue streams

    pulseofnations.lol/ukrainian-d

    #BalticSea #DroneAttack #EnergyInfrastructure #OilPort #Russia #Ukraine #UstLuga #WarEconomy

  16. "... Elvira Bary follows the fictional but thoroughly documented journey of Sergei, an ordinary Russian man drawn into the army by debt, shame, family obligations, and a signing bonus larger than anything he could earn at home.
    ... the cold reality of Russia’s disposable army—and the moral price of accepting a criminal job because it appears to be the only way out."

    #Russia #PutinsWar #RussianSociety
    #WarEconomy #RussianEconomy
    youtube.com/watch?v=ykoz6O_-a1U

  17. Putin Rejects Ceasefire as Fuel Crisis Hits 78 Regions

    Shortages in 78 of 83 regions push fuel prices up 20 percent as approval ratings drop for second straight week ahead of Duma elections

    pulseofnations.lol/putin-rejec

    #ApprovalRatings #Ceasefire #FuelCrisis #Putin #Russia #WarEconomy

  18. "... The question is why Ukraine's decentralized war economy defeats Russia's command-and-control system — an economist's analysis of drone production, missile output, and the economics of exponential growth. ..."

    #Ukraine #Russia #Economics #WarEconomy
    youtube.com/watch?v=xRZXtMD47to

  19. "... It's coming from the head of the Russian central bank. The number one head honcho in charge of the Russian economy admits this ship is sinking. But the real question is what options are available to Vladimir Putin to do anything about it? ...."

    #Russia #RussianEconomy #Putin #WarEconomy #RussiaEconomy
    youtube.com/watch?v=3WTrk8YhHNQ

  20. Quand la croissance devient destruction : économie, guerre et extraction

    La croissance n’est pas toujours un gain : elle devient anti-économique quand elle détruit plus de richesses naturelles et sociales qu’elle n’en crée. Dans ce cadre, les complexes militaro-industriels relèvent eux aussi de la destruction, car ils s’adossent à la guerre et à l’extraction (néo)coloniale. #Degrowth #WarEconomy #Ecology #AntiColonial L’idée selon laquelle la croissance peut devenir…

    homohortus31.wordpress.com/202

  21. "In this video I review the recent Report published by the Stockholm School of Economics 'Financing the Russian War Economy'. This report investigates the impact on Russia of the switch to a War Economy and discusses the long term issues and problems that this decision is causing for the Russia Economy."

    #Russia #RussiaEconomy #Ruble
    #RussianEconomy #Russianoil #GDP
    #Inflation #WarEconomy
    youtube.com/watch?v=FGbZD8lBeQU

  22. Russian Banks on the Brink: EU Sanctions and Economic Risks Loom

    A European state intelligence report has raised alarms about a potential banking crisis in Russia, as lenders continue…
    #Economy #Bankingcrisis #cryptocurrency #debt #EconomyofEU #EconomyofEuropeanUnion #EconomyoftheEU #EconomyoftheEuropeanUnion #EUeconomy #eusanctions #Europe #GDPgrowth #Loans #Russia #vulnerabilities #wareconomy
    europesays.com/3112418/

  23. "... Elvira Bary explains how one of the world’s biggest oil exporters ended up facing gasoline lines, diesel shortages, empty pumps, scarce fuel canisters, and growing pressure on farmers, drivers, businesses, and the army. Russia has oil in the ground, but oil is not gasoline in the tank. ..."

    #Russia #FuelCrisis #Oil #GasolineShortage #DieselShortage #RussiaUkraineWar #Putin #Kremlin #RussianEconomy #WarEconomy #RussianRefineries #RefineryStrikes
    youtube.com/watch?v=0IiFugSB5ms

  24. "... The central claim is that the Russian economy is not growing at the reported ~1 percent but is contracting severely — plausibly by 5 to 10 percent — when measured in real household-sustaining output rather than monetary or fiscal activity. ..."
    #Russia #RussiaEconomy #RussianSociety #WarEconomy
    youtube.com/watch?v=O6ZqqSF7MoY

  25. Russia is feeling the cost of running a war economy

    The Russian economy has been operating under war economy conditions for years. Naturally, this is felt throughout the…
    #Economy #HormuzStrait #middleeast #oil #Russia #sanctions #wareconomy #warinukraine
    europesays.com/3073378/

  26. After over 100 days of war, U.S.-Iran deal restores status quo – People’s World

    A sticker of President Donald J. Trump points to the posted prices for a gallon of regular or…
    #EuropeSays #Headlines #News #Europe #Europa #EU #Iran #imperialism #IranWar #Israel #MiddleEast #Opinion #Politics #profiteering #u.s. #War #Wareconomy #warprofits #World
    europesays.com/iran/165022/

  27. After over 100 days of war, U.S.-Iran deal restores status quo – People’s World

    A sticker of President Donald J. Trump points to the posted prices for a gallon of regular or…
    #NewsBeep #News #BreakingNews #breakingnews #imperialism #Iran #iranwar #Israel #MiddleEast #Opinion #Politics #profiteering #u.s. #War #Wareconomy #warprofits #World
    newsbeep.com/597308/

  28. Western analysts warn Moscow crisis could prolong the Ukraine war | Ukraine news

    Western experts warn that Moscow’s political and economic strains, combined with global reactions, could determine whether the war…
    #Ukraine #UA #Europe #Europa #EU #News #moscowcrisis #Russia-Ukrainewar #wareconomy #westernanalysts
    europesays.com/ukraine/5600/

  29. Как OSINT-аналитик, я прекрасно понимаю твой скепсис. Ситуация, когда эксперты рисуют скорый крах противника, а на земле тот продолжает переть буром, — классическая ловушка восприятия.

    Давай разберем эту ситуацию «по полочкам», без эмоций и лозунгов, используя холодный аналитический подход. Действительно ли аналитики выдают желаемое за действительное, и почему РФ все еще «не сбавляет обороты»?

    ### 1. Что на самом деле написано в отчете? (Проверка фактов)

    Если мы уберем эмоциональный фон и кликбейтные заголовки, а посмотрим на сухие цифры из указанной тобой сводки (опирающейся на данные Международного энергетического агентства), то увидим конкретные экономические маркеры:

    * **Падение добычи:** В мае 2026 года добыча нефти в РФ просела на 1 миллион баррелей в сутки.
    * **Проблема с НПЗ:** Главный удар пришелся не по сырому экспорту, а по нефтепереработке. Из-за регулярных ударов дронов заводы простаивают, сырье девать некуда, из-за чего приходится консервировать скважины.
    * **Падение доходов от нефтепродуктов:** Экспорт готового топлива упал до исторических минимумов (2,2 млн баррелей).

    **Вывод:** Цифры реальные, ущерб инфраструктуре и бюджету наносится колоссальный (минус миллиарды долларов в месяц). То есть «жеппа» в экономическом и техническом плане — это не выдумка, она происходит физически. Но почему это не останавливает армию?

    ### 2. Почему РФ не сбавляет обороты?

    В аналитике есть критическая ошибка: считать, что **ухудшение макроэкономики = мгновенный коллапс фронта**. На практике авторитарные режимы работают иначе.

    * **Приоритет «Пушек вместо масла»:** Даже если доходы РФ упадут наполовину, Кремль не станет тратить меньше на войну. Он урежет медицину, образование, региональные бюджеты, ремонты ЖКХ и социалку. Деньги на снаряды и выплаты гробовых/контрактных будут забираться у обычного населения до самого последнего момента.
    * **Запас прочности («Жирок»):** Экономика РФ огромна. Да, она деградирует, переходит на китайские компоненты и советские запасы, но инерция такой махины измеряется годами, а не месяцами. Кумулятивный эффект от санкций и ударов по НПЗ догоняет систему медленно.
    * **Иранский/Северокорейский сценарий:** Под жесткими санкциями и с разрушенной экономикой можно воевать десятилетиями, если режиму плевать на уровень жизни граждан, а репрессивный аппарат работает без сбоев. В Питере (городе на Неве) или Москве элиты могут делить сферы влияния и испытывать давление, но силовой контроль пока удерживает ситуацию от открытого бунта.

    ### 3. Грешат ли OSINT-аналитики выдачей желаемого за действительное?

    **Да, и очень часто.** Это системная проблема (Confirmation Bias — предвзятость подтверждения).

    Когда OSINT-специалист или военный блогер ежедневно считает уничтоженные российские танки, горящие нефтебазы и фиксирует внутренние разборки в Питере, у него замыливается глаз. Ему кажется: *«Ну еще чуть-чуть, система же трещит!»*. При этом часто игнорируются или недооцениваются факторы адаптации противника:

    1. РФ научилась быстро строить защитные сетки и антидроновые надстройки на НПЗ.
    2. Они находят новые схемы серого импорта (через третьи-четвертые страны).
    3. Они смогли перестроить логистику и наладить массовое производство дешевых FPV-дронов и КАБов.

    ### Итог

    Правда, как всегда, посередине.

    Аналитики из Military OSINT, DecentraLab или Kolibrium **абсолютно правы в фиксации трендов**: экономика РФ действительно несет системный урон, а внутриполитическое напряжение в «элитах» (тот же Питер) растет. Это не выдумка.

    Но **ошибка кроется в прогнозировании сроков и эффекта**. Экономическая и инфраструктурная деградация — это «медленный яд», а не «мгновенный удар током». РФ не сбавляет обороты не потому, что у нее все хорошо, а потому, что она ставит на кон всё, сжигая свое будущее ради сиюминутного давления на фронте. Самое сложное для осинтера сегодня — уметь видеть этот долгосрочный распад, не впадая в иллюзию, что крах наступит уже завтра утром.

    #Хештеги

    #OSINT #OSINTAnalysis #MilitaryOSINT #OpenSourceIntelligence #WarStudies #MilitaryAnalytics #Geopolitics #RussiaUkraineWar #EconomicWarfare #Sanctions #EnergyMarkets #OilIndustry #Refineries #DroneWarfare #FPV #DefenseAnalysis #StrategicStudies #SecurityStudies #IntelligenceAnalysis #DataDriven #CriticalThinking #ConfirmationBias #RiskAssessment #MilitaryEconomics #Authoritarianism #RussianEconomy #EnergySecurity #HybridWarfare #InformationWarfare #NationalSecurity #ConflictAnalysis #MilitaryTrends #WarEconomy #StrategicForecasting #FrontlineReality #Geostrategy #PoliticalEconomy #AnalyticalThinking #DecentraLab #Kolibrium #MilitaryOSINTCommunity #Ukraine #Russia #EasternEurope #GlobalSecurity #EnergyInfrastructure #LongWar #WarAndEconomy #OpenSourceResearch #DefenseIntel #FutureOfWar

  30. France’s top general warns about too-small military and slow production – POLITICO

    “We could fall behind. If Germany continues at this pace, in five years, the argument that we have…
    #France #FR #Europe #EU #Airdefense #Defense #Defensebudgets #Drones #emmanuelmacron #EuropeanDefense #Germany #Missiles #NATO #Procurement #SébastienLecornu #Wareconomy
    europesays.com/france/29611/

  31. L’écologie politique de la guerre : ressources naturelles et conflits armés

    Philippe Le Billon (2001) montre que les ressources naturelles ne financent pas seulement les guerres : elles les structurent, les déplacent et les prolongent. Une lecture essentielle de la #WarEconomy, du #ResourceConflict et de la #PoliticalEcology. #war #politics L’article de Philippe Le Billon propose une idée simple mais décisive : les ressources naturelles ne sont pas seulement des objets…

    homohortus31.wordpress.com/202

  32. L’économie de guerre permanente d’Israël

    L’étude (Dana 2024) montre qu’Israël ne se réduit pas à un complexe militaro-industriel : la guerre y structure l’économie, la technologie, l’université, la diplomatie et même l’identité nationale. #Israel #WarEconomy #Militarism #Technology #Palestine L’étude analyse ce qu’elle appelle une économie de guerre permanente israélienne. Son idée centrale est que le militarisme n’y est pas un simple secteur parmi d’autres, mais une…

    homohortus31.wordpress.com/202

  33. Saturday, May 23, 2026

    How drones erased the front line in Ukraine, explained -- US approves $108 million HAWK missile system equipment sale to Ukraine -- Ukraine liberated 590 square kilometers of territory this year -- Putin faces rising tensions as Russian economy weakens ... and more

    activitypub.writeworks.uk/2026

  34. "... Russia entered the war with the old imperial logic: more men, more tanks, more artillery, more mass. But Ukraine showed that the future of war belongs less to sheer size and more to adaptation, drones, visibility, distributed production, fast repair, and resilient societies. ..."

    #Ukraine #Russia #Putin #UkraineWar #RussiaUkraineWar #FutureOfWar #ModernWar #Drones #DroneWarfare #FPVDrones #GlobalSecurity #Geopolitics #WarEconomy #ModernBattlefield #Resilience
    youtube.com/watch?v=vSZCtiJr-D0

  35. 💣🌍 Nouveau record : le monde a claqué près de 2,9 trillions de dollars en dépenses militaires en 2025, 11ᵉ année de hausse d’affilée. On optimise la guerre, pas la paix.
    #Géopolitique #Défense #SIPRI #BreakingNews #WarEconomy

  36. Hegseth Complains Iran Hides Targets as War Chaos, Death, and Economic Pain Grow

    U.S. officials complain Iran hides targets as war escalates, killing thousands and hurting Americans through rising costs and economic instability.

    #antiWar #defenseSpending #EconomicInequality #geopolitics #Hegseth #imperialismCritique #inflation #IranWar #MiddleEast #militaryIndustrialComplex #OilPrices #ProgressivePolitics #USForeignPolicy #warEconomy wp.me/p1OjMZ-oOo
  37. Rubio Tells Iran Invest in People—But U.S. Military Spending Exposes Hypocrisy

    Rubio says Iran should invest in its people, but U.S. military spending vs healthcare reveals deep hypocrisy and misplaced moral authority.

    #AmericanExceptionalism #ForeignPolicy #geopolitics #healthcareCrisis #Iran #MarcoRubio #militaryIndustrialComplex #nuclearWeapons #politicalHypocrisy #progressiveAnalysis #USMilitarySpending #warEconomy wp.me/p1OjMZ-oO1
  38. Why Americans Shouldn’t Sacrifice While Oil Companies Profit From the Iran War

    Politicians urge sacrifice, but oil companies profit from Iran war price hikes. Here’s why gas prices are a choice, not a necessity.

    #capitalism #corporateGreed #EconomicInequality #energyPolicy #gasPrices #IndependentMedia #inflation #IranWar #middleClass #OilCompanies #priceGouging #ProgressivePolitics #warEconomy wp.me/p1OjMZ-oNa
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