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#unpredictable — Public Fediverse posts

Live and recent posts from across the Fediverse tagged #unpredictable, aggregated by home.social.

  1. AI: Not Conscious, but UNPREDICTABLE!


    AI: Not Conscious, but UNPREDICTABLE makes for a dangerous cocktail!

    AI is obviously NOT conscious. To be con-scious one needs something ELSE to go with the science... At least etymologically speaking. But the science of AI fully explains AI, there is no need for anything else to go with the knowledge. Present AI, Large Language Models, LLM, all about finding gradients in extremely high dimensional spaces

    Another type of AI is possible: WMs: World Models, where the AI basically learns physics. WMs will be superior to LLMs for most applications beyond Internet searches.

    Consciousness requires the feeling of existing: present day AI do not have this capability, all the more because we do not know what it consists of.

    The smallest known structures in the brain are Dendritic Nano Tubes, DNTs, and they are of the order of 100 nanometers across… 1000 atoms wide (molecules causing Alzheimer squeeze through them). At a scale ten times smaller, Quantum effects will appear. It is likely that they will play a crucial role in consciousness. Why? Because at this sort of scale, Quantum effects are going to appear, first of all (there are libraries of geometries and the Casimir Effect they bring… At the ten nano scale, so not only will there be Quantum effects, but Quantum Field Theory effects, and the dynamics of vacuum… Turns out the soul’s material is vacuum energy… Something like that is looming… It’s curious that QFT is not vibrating more in the collective consciousness… Obviously a problem with the High Energy physicists’ lack of elocution or imagination…)

    Present day AI rests on electronics which work like canal systems (canals carrying electrons, not water molecules)… Quantum effects caused by said electrons are deliberately obliterated so that “semiconductors” can behave like classical canal systems.

    The Quantum Computer, QC, is the exact opposite: far from avoiding Quantum effects, they are maximally exploited to compute with. The QC rests on entanglement, nonlocality and a new property called “magic” (basically what classical entanglement can’t duplicate)..

    If Twenty-first Century technology can do it, it would be naive to believe that evolution did not get there first, especially since Quantum effects have been shown to play a direct role in neurology already (for example in birds seeing the Earth magnetic field).

    Thus, if we want consciousness, we need the QC.

    QC will enable us to create AC, Artificial Consciousness.

    ***

    A different question is whether present AI can SIMULATE consciousness. The answer is obviously yes. Confusing this simulation with a creature with (Quantum) consciousness is the AI DELUSION. Dawkins who wrote a book called the God Delusion is himself suffering from an arguably worse condition, the AI Delusion. It’s worse because AI as we have it, is just classical canal engineering and smart high dimension calculus… There is no mystery whatsoever. .

    ***

    Even though the AI we have now are not conscious, and can’t be conscious, they are still unpredictable. I actually have a mathematical PROOF of this (using mathematics and logics from the 1870-1940 period…).

    That makes uncontrolled AI a potential master of humanity.

    Lest we be very smart and careful…

    Patrice Ayme

    Coming soon to a neighborhood near you… Robot contemplates Valles Marineris on the equator of Mars, 10 kilometers deep… The colonization of Mars will be initially driven by AI… Next NASA Mars mission will be propelled by a nuclear engine, and three AI helicopters will fly away with supersonic blades before hitting the ground… And communicate with Earth through overhead satellites…

    #AI #ArtificialConsciousness #ArtificialIntelligence #Consciousness #llm #Philosophy #QuantumComputer #RichardDawkins #spirituality #Unpredictable #WorldModel
  2. AI: Not Conscious, but UNPREDICTABLE!


    AI: Not Conscious, but UNPREDICTABLE makes for a dangerous cocktail!

    AI is obviously NOT conscious. To be con-scious one needs something ELSE to go with the science... At least etymologically speaking. But the science of AI fully explains AI, there is no need for anything else to go with the knowledge. Present AI, Large Language Models, LLM, all about finding gradients in extremely high dimensional spaces

    Another type of AI is possible: WMs: World Models, where the AI basically learns physics. WMs will be superior to LLMs for most applications beyond Internet searches.

    Consciousness requires the feeling of existing: present day AI do not have this capability, all the more because we do not know what it consists of.

    The smallest known structures in the brain are Dendritic Nano Tubes, DNTs, and they are of the order of 100 nanometers across… 1000 atoms wide (molecules causing Alzheimer squeeze through them). At a scale ten times smaller, Quantum effects will appear. It is likely that they will play a crucial role in consciousness. Why? Because at this sort of scale, Quantum effects are going to appear, first of all (there are libraries of geometries and the Casimir Effect they bring… At the ten nano scale, so not only will there be Quantum effects, but Quantum Field Theory effects, and the dynamics of vacuum… Turns out the soul’s material is vacuum energy… Something like that is looming… It’s curious that QFT is not vibrating more in the collective consciousness… Obviously a problem with the High Energy physicists’ lack of elocution or imagination…)

    Present day AI rests on electronics which work like canal systems (canals carrying electrons, not water molecules)… Quantum effects caused by said electrons are deliberately obliterated so that “semiconductors” can behave like classical canal systems.

    The Quantum Computer, QC, is the exact opposite: far from avoiding Quantum effects, they are maximally exploited to compute with. The QC rests on entanglement, nonlocality and a new property called “magic” (basically what classical entanglement can’t duplicate)..

    If Twenty-first Century technology can do it, it would be naive to believe that evolution did not get there first, especially since Quantum effects have been shown to play a direct role in neurology already (for example in birds seeing the Earth magnetic field).

    Thus, if we want consciousness, we need the QC.

    QC will enable us to create AC, Artificial Consciousness.

    ***

    A different question is whether present AI can SIMULATE consciousness. The answer is obviously yes. Confusing this simulation with a creature with (Quantum) consciousness is the AI DELUSION. Dawkins who wrote a book called the God Delusion is himself suffering from an arguably worse condition, the AI Delusion. It’s worse because AI as we have it, is just classical canal engineering and smart high dimension calculus… There is no mystery whatsoever. .

    ***

    Even though the AI we have now are not conscious, and can’t be conscious, they are still unpredictable. I actually have a mathematical PROOF of this (using mathematics and logics from the 1870-1940 period…).

    That makes uncontrolled AI a potential master of humanity.

    Lest we be very smart and careful…

    Patrice Ayme

    Coming soon to a neighborhood near you… Robot contemplates Valles Marineris on the equator of Mars, 10 kilometers deep… The colonization of Mars will be initially driven by AI… Next NASA Mars mission will be propelled by a nuclear engine, and three AI helicopters will fly away with supersonic blades before hitting the ground… And communicate with Earth through overhead satellites…

    #AI #ArtificialConsciousness #ArtificialIntelligence #Consciousness #llm #Philosophy #QuantumComputer #RichardDawkins #spirituality #Unpredictable #WorldModel
  3. AI: Not Conscious, but UNPREDICTABLE!


    AI: Not Conscious, but UNPREDICTABLE makes for a dangerous cocktail!

    AI is obviously NOT conscious. To be con-scious one needs something ELSE to go with the science... At least etymologically speaking. But the science of AI fully explains AI, there is no need for anything else to go with the knowledge. Present AI, Large Language Models, LLM, all about finding gradients in extremely high dimensional spaces

    Another type of AI is possible: WMs: World Models, where the AI basically learns physics. WMs will be superior to LLMs for most applications beyond Internet searches.

    Consciousness requires the feeling of existing: present day AI do not have this capability, all the more because we do not know what it consists of.

    The smallest known structures in the brain are Dendritic Nano Tubes, DNTs, and they are of the order of 100 nanometers across… 1000 atoms wide (molecules causing Alzheimer squeeze through them). At a scale ten times smaller, Quantum effects will appear. It is likely that they will play a crucial role in consciousness. Why? Because at this sort of scale, Quantum effects are going to appear, first of all (there are libraries of geometries and the Casimir Effect they bring… At the ten nano scale, so not only will there be Quantum effects, but Quantum Field Theory effects, and the dynamics of vacuum… Turns out the soul’s material is vacuum energy… Something like that is looming… It’s curious that QFT is not vibrating more in the collective consciousness… Obviously a problem with the High Energy physicists’ lack of elocution or imagination…)

    Present day AI rests on electronics which work like canal systems (canals carrying electrons, not water molecules)… Quantum effects caused by said electrons are deliberately obliterated so that “semiconductors” can behave like classical canal systems.

    The Quantum Computer, QC, is the exact opposite: far from avoiding Quantum effects, they are maximally exploited to compute with. The QC rests on entanglement, nonlocality and a new property called “magic” (basically what classical entanglement can’t duplicate)..

    If Twenty-first Century technology can do it, it would be naive to believe that evolution did not get there first, especially since Quantum effects have been shown to play a direct role in neurology already (for example in birds seeing the Earth magnetic field).

    Thus, if we want consciousness, we need the QC.

    QC will enable us to create AC, Artificial Consciousness.

    ***

    A different question is whether present AI can SIMULATE consciousness. The answer is obviously yes. Confusing this simulation with a creature with (Quantum) consciousness is the AI DELUSION. Dawkins who wrote a book called the God Delusion is himself suffering from an arguably worse condition, the AI Delusion. It’s worse because AI as we have it, is just classical canal engineering and smart high dimension calculus… There is no mystery whatsoever. .

    ***

    Even though the AI we have now are not conscious, and can’t be conscious, they are still unpredictable. I actually have a mathematical PROOF of this (using mathematics and logics from the 1870-1940 period…).

    That makes uncontrolled AI a potential master of humanity.

    Lest we be very smart and careful…

    Patrice Ayme

    Coming soon to a neighborhood near you… Robot contemplates Valles Marineris on the equator of Mars, 10 kilometers deep… The colonization of Mars will be initially driven by AI… Next NASA Mars mission will be propelled by a nuclear engine, and three AI helicopters will fly away with supersonic blades before hitting the ground… And communicate with Earth through overhead satellites…

    #AI #ArtificialConsciousness #ArtificialIntelligence #Consciousness #llm #Philosophy #QuantumComputer #RichardDawkins #spirituality #Unpredictable #WorldModel
  4. AI: Not Conscious, but UNPREDICTABLE!


    AI: Not Conscious, but UNPREDICTABLE makes for a dangerous cocktail!

    AI is obviously NOT conscious. To be con-scious one needs something ELSE to go with the science... At least etymologically speaking. But the science of AI fully explains AI, there is no need for anything else to go with the knowledge. Present AI, Large Language Models, LLM, all about finding gradients in extremely high dimensional spaces

    Another type of AI is possible: WMs: World Models, where the AI basically learns physics. WMs will be superior to LLMs for most applications beyond Internet searches.

    Consciousness requires the feeling of existing: present day AI do not have this capability, all the more because we do not know what it consists of.

    The smallest known structures in the brain are Dendritic Nano Tubes, DNTs, and they are of the order of 100 nanometers across… 1000 atoms wide (molecules causing Alzheimer squeeze through them). At a scale ten times smaller, Quantum effects will appear. It is likely that they will play a crucial role in consciousness. Why? Because at this sort of scale, Quantum effects are going to appear, first of all (there are libraries of geometries and the Casimir Effect they bring… At the ten nano scale, so not only will there be Quantum effects, but Quantum Field Theory effects, and the dynamics of vacuum… Turns out the soul’s material is vacuum energy… Something like that is looming… It’s curious that QFT is not vibrating more in the collective consciousness… Obviously a problem with the High Energy physicists’ lack of elocution or imagination…)

    Present day AI rests on electronics which work like canal systems (canals carrying electrons, not water molecules)… Quantum effects caused by said electrons are deliberately obliterated so that “semiconductors” can behave like classical canal systems.

    The Quantum Computer, QC, is the exact opposite: far from avoiding Quantum effects, they are maximally exploited to compute with. The QC rests on entanglement, nonlocality and a new property called “magic” (basically what classical entanglement can’t duplicate)..

    If Twenty-first Century technology can do it, it would be naive to believe that evolution did not get there first, especially since Quantum effects have been shown to play a direct role in neurology already (for example in birds seeing the Earth magnetic field).

    Thus, if we want consciousness, we need the QC.

    QC will enable us to create AC, Artificial Consciousness.

    ***

    A different question is whether present AI can SIMULATE consciousness. The answer is obviously yes. Confusing this simulation with a creature with (Quantum) consciousness is the AI DELUSION. Dawkins who wrote a book called the God Delusion is himself suffering from an arguably worse condition, the AI Delusion. It’s worse because AI as we have it, is just classical canal engineering and smart high dimension calculus… There is no mystery whatsoever. .

    ***

    Even though the AI we have now are not conscious, and can’t be conscious, they are still unpredictable. I actually have a mathematical PROOF of this (using mathematics and logics from the 1870-1940 period…).

    That makes uncontrolled AI a potential master of humanity.

    Lest we be very smart and careful…

    Patrice Ayme

    Coming soon to a neighborhood near you… Robot contemplates Valles Marineris on the equator of Mars, 10 kilometers deep… The colonization of Mars will be initially driven by AI… Next NASA Mars mission will be propelled by a nuclear engine, and three AI helicopters will fly away with supersonic blades before hitting the ground… And communicate with Earth through overhead satellites…

    #AI #ArtificialConsciousness #ArtificialIntelligence #Consciousness #llm #Philosophy #QuantumComputer #RichardDawkins #spirituality #Unpredictable #WorldModel
  5. 🤖 Bloomberg's latest revelation: #AI mastered #chess only for #humans to ruin it with their #unpredictable whims. 🤦‍♂️ The #irony of a site demanding proof of humanity while discussing machines outsmarting us is almost palpable. 🌐💼
    bloomberg.com/news/articles/20 #Bloomberg #News #HackerNews #ngated

  6. @JugglingWithEggs
    We got back to #Norfolk from our trip to #Cheshire last night, to find the remnants of #snow in a #plantpot beside the door.

    This morning we woke to find two plant troughs blown over. The third blew over in the other direction later this morning.

    Confirms that the #wind blows round our #yard in very #unpredictable ways.

  7. "Better a known rival than an unpredictable friend." - Futurist Jim Carroll

    There's a lot of talk online about what happens when partnerships become unstable.

    When one side of a partnership slides over the abyss of rationality, into a mindset of madness.

    When what was once reliable becomes volatile, when the predictable becomes uncertain, and the rational, irrational.

    And the lesson is that you have to pick your partners carefully.

    Strategically.

    Wisely.

    With caution.

    With due diligence.

    With both eyes wide open and elbows up.

    You'll never move forward if you keep trying to rely on a relationship that has become untenable.

    Partnership involves predictable, rational action.

    And when that disappears, so should the reliance on the partnership - because it becomes time to form new ones.

    Those partnerships might involve choices that, in an old world, might not have made sense but, in a new world, demand attention.

    That's simply reality!

    ----

    Futurist Jim Carroll often speaks about the importance of organizations to develop the capability for 'fast partnerships.' He realizes it now applies to nations, too.

    **#Partnership** **#Strategy** **#Alliances** **#Trust** **#Reliability** **#Choices** **#Change** **#Wisdom** **#Caution** **#Reality** **#Relationships** **#Stability** **#Leadership** **#Adaptation** **#NewWorld** **#DueDiligence** **#Rationality** **#Forward** **#Decisions** **#Resilience** **#Unpredictable** **#Strategic** **#Eyes** **#Elbows** **#Onwards**

    Original post: jimcarroll.com/2026/01/daily-i

  8. "Better a known rival than an unpredictable friend." - Futurist Jim Carroll

    There's a lot of talk online about what happens when partnerships become unstable.

    When one side of a partnership slides over the abyss of rationality, into a mindset of madness.

    When what was once reliable becomes volatile, when the predictable becomes uncertain, and the rational, irrational.

    And the lesson is that you have to pick your partners carefully.

    Strategically.

    Wisely.

    With caution.

    With due diligence.

    With both eyes wide open and elbows up.

    You'll never move forward if you keep trying to rely on a relationship that has become untenable.

    Partnership involves predictable, rational action.

    And when that disappears, so should the reliance on the partnership - because it becomes time to form new ones.

    Those partnerships might involve choices that, in an old world, might not have made sense but, in a new world, demand attention.

    That's simply reality!

    ----

    Futurist Jim Carroll often speaks about the importance of organizations to develop the capability for 'fast partnerships.' He realizes it now applies to nations, too.

    **#Partnership** **#Strategy** **#Alliances** **#Trust** **#Reliability** **#Choices** **#Change** **#Wisdom** **#Caution** **#Reality** **#Relationships** **#Stability** **#Leadership** **#Adaptation** **#NewWorld** **#DueDiligence** **#Rationality** **#Forward** **#Decisions** **#Resilience** **#Unpredictable** **#Strategic** **#Eyes** **#Elbows** **#Onwards**

    Original post: jimcarroll.com/2026/01/daily-i

  9. ~ Baba Yaga ~

    This sorceress-goddess is intrinsically linked with her woodland and its wildlife. Known as both a "swamp witch" and a "forest mother," she can be a child-eating kidnapper or a helpful matronly figure.

    inkedgoddesscreations.com
    #DivineFeminine #Goddess #BabaYaga #Slavic #Crone #Cthonic #Underworld #Nature #Unpredictable #Magick

  10. ~ Baba Yaga ~

    This sorceress-goddess is intrinsically linked with her woodland and its wildlife. Known as both a "swamp witch" and a "forest mother," she can be a child-eating kidnapper or a helpful matronly figure.

    inkedgoddesscreations.com
    #DivineFeminine #Goddess #BabaYaga #Slavic #Crone #Cthonic #Underworld #Nature #Unpredictable #Magick

  11. ~ Baba Yaga ~

    This sorceress-goddess is intrinsically linked with her woodland and its wildlife. Known as both a "swamp witch" and a "forest mother," she can be a child-eating kidnapper or a helpful matronly figure.

    inkedgoddesscreations.com
    #DivineFeminine #Goddess #BabaYaga #Slavic #Crone #Cthonic #Underworld #Nature #Unpredictable #Magick

  12. "It feels as if the whole world has been transformed into images of the world and has thus been drawn into the human realm, which now encompasses everything. There is no place, no thing, no person or phenomenon that I cannot obtain as image or #information. One might think this adds substance to the world, since one knows more about it, not less, but the opposite is true: it empties the world; it becomes thinner. That’s because knowledge of the world and the experience of the world are two fundamentally different things. While knowledge has no particular time or place and can be transmitted, experience is tied to a specific time and place and can never be repeated. For the same reason, it also can’t be predicted. Exactly those two dimensions—the #unrepeatable and the #unpredictable—are what #technology abolishes."

    harpers.org/archive/2025/06/th

  13. Share

    Saturday, May 17The Kyiv Independent [unofficial]

    Before you start reading, a minute of your attention. The Kyiv Independent’s journalism is backed by our readers. Right now, we need 2,000 more people to back us. Can we count you in?

    SUPPORT US

    Russia’s war against Ukraine

    Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan chairs Turkiye-Russia-Ukraine Trilateral Meeting at Dolmabahce Presidential Office in Istanbul, Turkiye on May 16, 2025. (Arda Kucukkaya / Anadolu via Getty Images)

    Ukraine-Russia talks in Istanbul end, Moscow demands Kyiv withdraw from 4 regions, no ceasefire agreement. Some of Russia’s demands include the withdrawal of Ukrainian troops from their own territory as a condition for a ceasefire, an unnamed Ukrainian source told Sky News.

    Ukraine, Russia agree to hold follow-up meeting after Istanbul peace talks. “Parties have agreed in principle to come together again,” Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan said.

    ‘Time to increase the pressure‘ — Zelensky, European leaders speak with Trump following Istanbul peace talks. The conversation took place shortly after the conclusion of the Russia-Ukraine peace talks in Istanbul, which ended with little progress beyond an agreement on prisoner exchange.

    Russia, Ukraine agree on 1,000-for-1,000 POW exchange in Istanbul, Umerov says. “We know the date, but we’re not going to say it yet,” Defense Minister Rustem Umerov said.

    Your contribution helps keep the Kyiv Independent going. Become a member today.

    Trump says he’s returning to US, expects to meet Putin ‘as soon as we can set it up.’ “I think it’s time for us to just do it,” U.S. Presidnet Donald Trump said in Abu Dhabi, adding that the meeting between the two would happen “as soon as we can set it up.”

    Up to 640,000 Russian troops fighting against Ukraine, Syrskyi says. Vadym Skibitskyi, the deputy head of Ukraine’s military intelligence agency (HUR), reported in March that Russia had deployed 620,000 soldiers to fight in Ukraine, a rise from his previous estimate of nearly 580,000 in November 2024.

    Putin appoints general who led Mariupol assault as new Russian Ground Forces Commander. Under Andrey Mordvichev’s command, Russian troops carried out the destruction of civilian infrastructure and committed atrocities against both civilians and the Ukrainian military, Ukraine has said.

    Explosions rock occupied Crimea as drone attack reportedly sets Russian ammo depot on fire. A fire broke out at an ammunition depot in the village of Perevalne in Russian-occupied Crimea following a series of explosions during a drone attack on the morning of May 16, the Crimean Wind Telegram channel reported, citing local residents.

    Read our exclusives

    Ukraine war latest: Moscow demands Kyiv withdraw from 4 regions following the talks, no ceasefire agreement

    Ukrainian and Russian delegations concluded their talks in Istanbul on May 16 after speaking for less than two hours, with no agreement reached on a full, 30-day ceasefire, and Moscow demanding Kyiv withdraw completely from Ukraine’s four oblasts that President Vladimir Putin claims to have annexed.

    Photo: Arif Yaman / Anadolu via Getty Images

    Learn more

    ‘Putin is laughing at Trump’ — Ukraine in disbelief as Russia makes a mockery of US-led ceasefire attempts

    Russian President Vladimir Putin had rebuffed President Volodymyr Zelensky, his European allies, and the U.S., and in response, Donald Trump simply went along with it, excusing his Russian counterpart for not attending the peace talks in Istanbul that Putin himself proposed.

    Photo: Brendan Smialowski / AFP via Getty Images

    Learn more

    ‘It’s all a farce’ — Ukrainian soldiers on Russia’s ‘smokescreen’ peace talks in Istanbul

    Ukraine continues to insist on a ceasefire, supported by the U.S. and Europe, saying that a halt to active warfare must come before any real peace talks are possible. Russia has so far rejected a truce four times — on March 11, March 25, May 11 and the most recent one on May 16 in Istanbul.

    Photo: Contributor / Getty Images

    Learn more

    Who is Vladimir Medinsky? The Putin aide leading Russia’s delegation at Ukraine peace talks

    Despite an invitation from Volodymyr Zelensky to meet in Istanbul, Vladimir Putin was a no-show in Turkey, sending instead an aide, Vladimir Medinsky, to head the Russian delegation in peace talks. Medinsky headed the only other direct talks between the two sides in March–April 2022.

    Photo: Yasin Akgul / AFP via Getty Images

    Learn more

    Human cost of Russia’s war

    Ukraine brings back bodies of 909 fallen soldiers. The bodies of soldiers were recovered from Donetsk, Luhansk, Zaporizhzhia, Sumy and Kharkiv oblasts as well as from morgues in Russia.

    With Ukraine’s Peaky Blinders chasing Russian soldiers near Pokrovsk

    International response

    ‘This is turkey time’ — Trump vows sanctions on Moscow if peace talks fail, says Putin is ‘tired’ of war. “Honestly, I will (impose sanctions), if we’re not gonna make a deal,” Trump told Fox News’ Bret Baier in an interview published on May 16. “This would be crushing for Russia because they’re having a hard time now with the economy.”

    ‘We have to increase the pressure‘ — Von der Leyen vows new Russia sanctions after Putin skips peace talks. Ursula von der Leyen announced that the European Commission is preparing a new sanctions package, which would include sanctions on the Nord Stream 1 and 2 pipelines, additional listings of vessels from Russia’s shadow fleet, a lower oil price cap, and sanctions on Russia’s financial sector.

    As Russia sticks to hardline demands during peace talks, Europe frustrated with Trump’s swerves, Bloomberg reports. European officials, speaking on condition of anonymity, said they remain unsure of U.S. President Donald Trump’s next move and fear that his unpredictable stance could undercut momentum toward a unified Western response.

    ‘It was my duty to step down‘ — Former US Ambassador to Ukraine confirms resignation over Trump’s policy. Former U.S. Ambassador to Ukraine Bridget Brink, who held the role since 2022, accused the Trump administration of prioritizing pressure on Ukraine, the victim of Russia’s full-scale invasion, rather than confronting the Kremlin.

    This issue was powered by the Kyiv Independent’s community of 18,000 paid members. We wouldn’t be here without them.

    In other news

    Russian economic growth slowing down, Rosstat reports. Russia’s economy is experiencing a sharp slowdown in growth, according to a report released by the governmental statistics agency Rosstat on May 16. GDP only grew by 1.4% in the first quarter of 2025 – a notable decline from 4.5% growth in the previous quarter and 5.4% in the same period last year.

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    Today’s Ukraine Daily was brought to you by Martin Fornusek, Kateryna Denisova, Francis Farrell, Tymur Zadorozhnyy, Olena Goncharova, and Lucy Pakhnyuk.

    If you’re enjoying this newsletter, consider joining our membership program. Start supporting independent journalism today.

    Share
  14. Share

    Saturday, May 17The Kyiv Independent [unofficial]

    Before you start reading, a minute of your attention. The Kyiv Independent’s journalism is backed by our readers. Right now, we need 2,000 more people to back us. Can we count you in?

    SUPPORT US

    Russia’s war against Ukraine

    Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan chairs Turkiye-Russia-Ukraine Trilateral Meeting at Dolmabahce Presidential Office in Istanbul, Turkiye on May 16, 2025. (Arda Kucukkaya / Anadolu via Getty Images)

    Ukraine-Russia talks in Istanbul end, Moscow demands Kyiv withdraw from 4 regions, no ceasefire agreement. Some of Russia’s demands include the withdrawal of Ukrainian troops from their own territory as a condition for a ceasefire, an unnamed Ukrainian source told Sky News.

    Ukraine, Russia agree to hold follow-up meeting after Istanbul peace talks. “Parties have agreed in principle to come together again,” Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan said.

    ‘Time to increase the pressure‘ — Zelensky, European leaders speak with Trump following Istanbul peace talks. The conversation took place shortly after the conclusion of the Russia-Ukraine peace talks in Istanbul, which ended with little progress beyond an agreement on prisoner exchange.

    Russia, Ukraine agree on 1,000-for-1,000 POW exchange in Istanbul, Umerov says. “We know the date, but we’re not going to say it yet,” Defense Minister Rustem Umerov said.

    Your contribution helps keep the Kyiv Independent going. Become a member today.

    Trump says he’s returning to US, expects to meet Putin ‘as soon as we can set it up.’ “I think it’s time for us to just do it,” U.S. Presidnet Donald Trump said in Abu Dhabi, adding that the meeting between the two would happen “as soon as we can set it up.”

    Up to 640,000 Russian troops fighting against Ukraine, Syrskyi says. Vadym Skibitskyi, the deputy head of Ukraine’s military intelligence agency (HUR), reported in March that Russia had deployed 620,000 soldiers to fight in Ukraine, a rise from his previous estimate of nearly 580,000 in November 2024.

    Putin appoints general who led Mariupol assault as new Russian Ground Forces Commander. Under Andrey Mordvichev’s command, Russian troops carried out the destruction of civilian infrastructure and committed atrocities against both civilians and the Ukrainian military, Ukraine has said.

    Explosions rock occupied Crimea as drone attack reportedly sets Russian ammo depot on fire. A fire broke out at an ammunition depot in the village of Perevalne in Russian-occupied Crimea following a series of explosions during a drone attack on the morning of May 16, the Crimean Wind Telegram channel reported, citing local residents.

    Read our exclusives

    Ukraine war latest: Moscow demands Kyiv withdraw from 4 regions following the talks, no ceasefire agreement

    Ukrainian and Russian delegations concluded their talks in Istanbul on May 16 after speaking for less than two hours, with no agreement reached on a full, 30-day ceasefire, and Moscow demanding Kyiv withdraw completely from Ukraine’s four oblasts that President Vladimir Putin claims to have annexed.

    Photo: Arif Yaman / Anadolu via Getty Images

    Learn more

    ‘Putin is laughing at Trump’ — Ukraine in disbelief as Russia makes a mockery of US-led ceasefire attempts

    Russian President Vladimir Putin had rebuffed President Volodymyr Zelensky, his European allies, and the U.S., and in response, Donald Trump simply went along with it, excusing his Russian counterpart for not attending the peace talks in Istanbul that Putin himself proposed.

    Photo: Brendan Smialowski / AFP via Getty Images

    Learn more

    ‘It’s all a farce’ — Ukrainian soldiers on Russia’s ‘smokescreen’ peace talks in Istanbul

    Ukraine continues to insist on a ceasefire, supported by the U.S. and Europe, saying that a halt to active warfare must come before any real peace talks are possible. Russia has so far rejected a truce four times — on March 11, March 25, May 11 and the most recent one on May 16 in Istanbul.

    Photo: Contributor / Getty Images

    Learn more

    Who is Vladimir Medinsky? The Putin aide leading Russia’s delegation at Ukraine peace talks

    Despite an invitation from Volodymyr Zelensky to meet in Istanbul, Vladimir Putin was a no-show in Turkey, sending instead an aide, Vladimir Medinsky, to head the Russian delegation in peace talks. Medinsky headed the only other direct talks between the two sides in March–April 2022.

    Photo: Yasin Akgul / AFP via Getty Images

    Learn more

    Human cost of Russia’s war

    Ukraine brings back bodies of 909 fallen soldiers. The bodies of soldiers were recovered from Donetsk, Luhansk, Zaporizhzhia, Sumy and Kharkiv oblasts as well as from morgues in Russia.

    With Ukraine’s Peaky Blinders chasing Russian soldiers near Pokrovsk

    International response

    ‘This is turkey time’ — Trump vows sanctions on Moscow if peace talks fail, says Putin is ‘tired’ of war. “Honestly, I will (impose sanctions), if we’re not gonna make a deal,” Trump told Fox News’ Bret Baier in an interview published on May 16. “This would be crushing for Russia because they’re having a hard time now with the economy.”

    ‘We have to increase the pressure‘ — Von der Leyen vows new Russia sanctions after Putin skips peace talks. Ursula von der Leyen announced that the European Commission is preparing a new sanctions package, which would include sanctions on the Nord Stream 1 and 2 pipelines, additional listings of vessels from Russia’s shadow fleet, a lower oil price cap, and sanctions on Russia’s financial sector.

    As Russia sticks to hardline demands during peace talks, Europe frustrated with Trump’s swerves, Bloomberg reports. European officials, speaking on condition of anonymity, said they remain unsure of U.S. President Donald Trump’s next move and fear that his unpredictable stance could undercut momentum toward a unified Western response.

    ‘It was my duty to step down‘ — Former US Ambassador to Ukraine confirms resignation over Trump’s policy. Former U.S. Ambassador to Ukraine Bridget Brink, who held the role since 2022, accused the Trump administration of prioritizing pressure on Ukraine, the victim of Russia’s full-scale invasion, rather than confronting the Kremlin.

    This issue was powered by the Kyiv Independent’s community of 18,000 paid members. We wouldn’t be here without them.

    In other news

    Russian economic growth slowing down, Rosstat reports. Russia’s economy is experiencing a sharp slowdown in growth, according to a report released by the governmental statistics agency Rosstat on May 16. GDP only grew by 1.4% in the first quarter of 2025 – a notable decline from 4.5% growth in the previous quarter and 5.4% in the same period last year.

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    Today’s Ukraine Daily was brought to you by Martin Fornusek, Kateryna Denisova, Francis Farrell, Tymur Zadorozhnyy, Olena Goncharova, and Lucy Pakhnyuk.

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    Share
  15. Share

    Saturday, May 17The Kyiv Independent [unofficial]

    Before you start reading, a minute of your attention. The Kyiv Independent’s journalism is backed by our readers. Right now, we need 2,000 more people to back us. Can we count you in?

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    Russia’s war against Ukraine

    Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan chairs Turkiye-Russia-Ukraine Trilateral Meeting at Dolmabahce Presidential Office in Istanbul, Turkiye on May 16, 2025. (Arda Kucukkaya / Anadolu via Getty Images)

    Ukraine-Russia talks in Istanbul end, Moscow demands Kyiv withdraw from 4 regions, no ceasefire agreement. Some of Russia’s demands include the withdrawal of Ukrainian troops from their own territory as a condition for a ceasefire, an unnamed Ukrainian source told Sky News.

    Ukraine, Russia agree to hold follow-up meeting after Istanbul peace talks. “Parties have agreed in principle to come together again,” Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan said.

    ‘Time to increase the pressure‘ — Zelensky, European leaders speak with Trump following Istanbul peace talks. The conversation took place shortly after the conclusion of the Russia-Ukraine peace talks in Istanbul, which ended with little progress beyond an agreement on prisoner exchange.

    Russia, Ukraine agree on 1,000-for-1,000 POW exchange in Istanbul, Umerov says. “We know the date, but we’re not going to say it yet,” Defense Minister Rustem Umerov said.

    Your contribution helps keep the Kyiv Independent going. Become a member today.

    Trump says he’s returning to US, expects to meet Putin ‘as soon as we can set it up.’ “I think it’s time for us to just do it,” U.S. Presidnet Donald Trump said in Abu Dhabi, adding that the meeting between the two would happen “as soon as we can set it up.”

    Up to 640,000 Russian troops fighting against Ukraine, Syrskyi says. Vadym Skibitskyi, the deputy head of Ukraine’s military intelligence agency (HUR), reported in March that Russia had deployed 620,000 soldiers to fight in Ukraine, a rise from his previous estimate of nearly 580,000 in November 2024.

    Putin appoints general who led Mariupol assault as new Russian Ground Forces Commander. Under Andrey Mordvichev’s command, Russian troops carried out the destruction of civilian infrastructure and committed atrocities against both civilians and the Ukrainian military, Ukraine has said.

    Explosions rock occupied Crimea as drone attack reportedly sets Russian ammo depot on fire. A fire broke out at an ammunition depot in the village of Perevalne in Russian-occupied Crimea following a series of explosions during a drone attack on the morning of May 16, the Crimean Wind Telegram channel reported, citing local residents.

    Read our exclusives

    Ukraine war latest: Moscow demands Kyiv withdraw from 4 regions following the talks, no ceasefire agreement

    Ukrainian and Russian delegations concluded their talks in Istanbul on May 16 after speaking for less than two hours, with no agreement reached on a full, 30-day ceasefire, and Moscow demanding Kyiv withdraw completely from Ukraine’s four oblasts that President Vladimir Putin claims to have annexed.

    Photo: Arif Yaman / Anadolu via Getty Images

    Learn more

    ‘Putin is laughing at Trump’ — Ukraine in disbelief as Russia makes a mockery of US-led ceasefire attempts

    Russian President Vladimir Putin had rebuffed President Volodymyr Zelensky, his European allies, and the U.S., and in response, Donald Trump simply went along with it, excusing his Russian counterpart for not attending the peace talks in Istanbul that Putin himself proposed.

    Photo: Brendan Smialowski / AFP via Getty Images

    Learn more

    ‘It’s all a farce’ — Ukrainian soldiers on Russia’s ‘smokescreen’ peace talks in Istanbul

    Ukraine continues to insist on a ceasefire, supported by the U.S. and Europe, saying that a halt to active warfare must come before any real peace talks are possible. Russia has so far rejected a truce four times — on March 11, March 25, May 11 and the most recent one on May 16 in Istanbul.

    Photo: Contributor / Getty Images

    Learn more

    Who is Vladimir Medinsky? The Putin aide leading Russia’s delegation at Ukraine peace talks

    Despite an invitation from Volodymyr Zelensky to meet in Istanbul, Vladimir Putin was a no-show in Turkey, sending instead an aide, Vladimir Medinsky, to head the Russian delegation in peace talks. Medinsky headed the only other direct talks between the two sides in March–April 2022.

    Photo: Yasin Akgul / AFP via Getty Images

    Learn more

    Human cost of Russia’s war

    Ukraine brings back bodies of 909 fallen soldiers. The bodies of soldiers were recovered from Donetsk, Luhansk, Zaporizhzhia, Sumy and Kharkiv oblasts as well as from morgues in Russia.

    With Ukraine’s Peaky Blinders chasing Russian soldiers near Pokrovsk

    International response

    ‘This is turkey time’ — Trump vows sanctions on Moscow if peace talks fail, says Putin is ‘tired’ of war. “Honestly, I will (impose sanctions), if we’re not gonna make a deal,” Trump told Fox News’ Bret Baier in an interview published on May 16. “This would be crushing for Russia because they’re having a hard time now with the economy.”

    ‘We have to increase the pressure‘ — Von der Leyen vows new Russia sanctions after Putin skips peace talks. Ursula von der Leyen announced that the European Commission is preparing a new sanctions package, which would include sanctions on the Nord Stream 1 and 2 pipelines, additional listings of vessels from Russia’s shadow fleet, a lower oil price cap, and sanctions on Russia’s financial sector.

    As Russia sticks to hardline demands during peace talks, Europe frustrated with Trump’s swerves, Bloomberg reports. European officials, speaking on condition of anonymity, said they remain unsure of U.S. President Donald Trump’s next move and fear that his unpredictable stance could undercut momentum toward a unified Western response.

    ‘It was my duty to step down‘ — Former US Ambassador to Ukraine confirms resignation over Trump’s policy. Former U.S. Ambassador to Ukraine Bridget Brink, who held the role since 2022, accused the Trump administration of prioritizing pressure on Ukraine, the victim of Russia’s full-scale invasion, rather than confronting the Kremlin.

    This issue was powered by the Kyiv Independent’s community of 18,000 paid members. We wouldn’t be here without them.

    In other news

    Russian economic growth slowing down, Rosstat reports. Russia’s economy is experiencing a sharp slowdown in growth, according to a report released by the governmental statistics agency Rosstat on May 16. GDP only grew by 1.4% in the first quarter of 2025 – a notable decline from 4.5% growth in the previous quarter and 5.4% in the same period last year.

    This newsletter is open for sponsorship. Boost your brand’s visibility by reaching thousands of engaged subscribers. Click here for more details.

    Today’s Ukraine Daily was brought to you by Martin Fornusek, Kateryna Denisova, Francis Farrell, Tymur Zadorozhnyy, Olena Goncharova, and Lucy Pakhnyuk.

    If you’re enjoying this newsletter, consider joining our membership program. Start supporting independent journalism today.

    Share
  16. The #FBI has shut down its #ForeignInfluence task force. #CISA has ended its efforts to expose #disinformation. And this week the #State Dept put employees who tracked global disinformation on leave, shutting down the effort that had publicized the spread of #Chinese & #Russian #propaganda.

    Almost 3 months into #Trump’s 2nd term, the guardrails intended to prevent #NationalSecurity missteps have come down as the new team races to anticipate & amplify the wishes of an #unpredictable president.

  17. 🌴🤪 Oh, Hawaii's "freakosystem" is here to teach us all a lesson from the future! 🚀 Because clearly, a mashup of random #buzzwords is the only way to convey the profound message that #nature is #unpredictable and sometimes #wild, just like a BBC homepage full of irrelevant global headlines. 🌍📚
    bbc.com/future/article/2025040 #Hawaii #Freakosystem #HackerNews #ngated

  18. 🌴🤪 Oh, Hawaii's "freakosystem" is here to teach us all a lesson from the future! 🚀 Because clearly, a mashup of random #buzzwords is the only way to convey the profound message that #nature is #unpredictable and sometimes #wild, just like a BBC homepage full of irrelevant global headlines. 🌍📚
    bbc.com/future/article/2025040 #Hawaii #Freakosystem #HackerNews #ngated

  19. 🌴🤪 Oh, Hawaii's "freakosystem" is here to teach us all a lesson from the future! 🚀 Because clearly, a mashup of random #buzzwords is the only way to convey the profound message that #nature is #unpredictable and sometimes #wild, just like a BBC homepage full of irrelevant global headlines. 🌍📚
    bbc.com/future/article/2025040 #Hawaii #Freakosystem #HackerNews #ngated

  20. 🌴🤪 Oh, Hawaii's "freakosystem" is here to teach us all a lesson from the future! 🚀 Because clearly, a mashup of random #buzzwords is the only way to convey the profound message that #nature is #unpredictable and sometimes #wild, just like a BBC homepage full of irrelevant global headlines. 🌍📚
    bbc.com/future/article/2025040 #Hawaii #Freakosystem #HackerNews #ngated

  21. Tariffs
    Start with Trump being a #Genius and the amounts and the way those amounts were arrived at don't surprise or even look unusual.

    From here that's a dominance display - Trump showing all the other players that their expectations that he'll be bound by norms, treaties, tradition, reason and logic are useless fantasies.

    "I can do whatever the fuck I want, and you can't know what I'll do next. I'm #Unpredictable and you're all piss-weak."

    #Tariffs #TrumpGenius #Spectacle #DominanceDisplay

  22. Look, as we all know, he's going to keep doing this, he's a person of self-absorption & whim not of law or reliability. The best possible thing other countries can do right now is to find alternate trading partners for the same goods, so that they have a secure reliable supply that isn't at the whim of a madman/conman, and then drop the U.S. as a trading partner all together.

    theguardian.com/us-news/2025/m

    #Tariffs #Unpredictable #Unreliable #US #News #CurrentEvents

  23. These days, Demarais said, big #corporations may do their best to stay under the radar & wait out #Trump’s term. Opening a major production facility takes billions of dollars & a lot of time.

    And #business leaders may be wary of investing in the #UnitedStates when #policy is so #unpredictable. Last week, for instance, Trump unexpectedly raised the possibility of doubling #taxes on foreign nationals & companies.

    #tariffs #economy #inflation #prices #USpol #geopolitics

  24. …This week’s pause is fueled at least partly by uncertainty over the way #Trump could enact new policies, such as a return to an #aggressive & #unpredictable global #trade overhaul w/ #threats to impose significant #tariffs on US trading partners. Though it’s unclear exactly how those policies will affect the #economy, some #Fed ofcls have already begun to factor these policies into their economic projections.

    #FederalReserve #TheFed #inflation

  25. ~ Baba Yaga ~

    This sorceress-goddess is intrinsically linked with her woodland and its wildlife. Known as both a "swamp witch" and a "forest mother," she can be a child-eating kidnapper or a helpful matronly figure.

    inkedgoddesscreations.com
    #DivineFeminine #Goddess #BabaYaga #Slavic #Crone #Cthonic #Underworld #Nature #Unpredictable #Magick

  26. ~ Baba Yaga ~

    This sorceress-goddess is intrinsically linked with her woodland and its wildlife. Known as both a "swamp witch" and a "forest mother," she can be a child-eating kidnapper or a helpful matronly figure.

    inkedgoddesscreations.com
    #DivineFeminine #Goddess #BabaYaga #Slavic #Crone #Cthonic #Underworld #Nature #Unpredictable #Magick

  27. ~ Baba Yaga ~

    This sorceress-goddess is intrinsically linked with her woodland and its wildlife. Known as both a "swamp witch" and a "forest mother," she can be a child-eating kidnapper or a helpful matronly figure.

    inkedgoddesscreations.com
    #DivineFeminine #Goddess #BabaYaga #Slavic #Crone #Cthonic #Underworld #Nature #Unpredictable #Magick

  28. ~ Baba Yaga ~

    This sorceress-goddess is intrinsically linked with her woodland and its wildlife. Known as both a "swamp witch" and a "forest mother," she can be a child-eating kidnapper or a helpful matronly figure.

    inkedgoddesscreations.com
    #DivineFeminine #Goddess #BabaYaga #Slavic #Crone #Cthonic #Underworld #Nature #Unpredictable #Magick

  29. 💡 "Our world runs on randomly generated numbers and without them a surprising proportion of modern life would break down. So, why are they so hard to find?"

    👉 bbc.com/future/article/2024070

    #random #unpredictable

  30. Dear Whinging Friends, ​:ablobcatbongokeyboard:​
    As we in the UK (allegedly) know, 'musn't grumble'. Maybe we should a little more?
    - Brexit? Bet you can't eat three? Eh wait that is wheatabix, readybrex, shredded wheat/wit? Something tasteless with added sugar rush?
    ​:ablobcatpopcorn:​
    - The
    #weather is now so #unpredictable we can talk about it and whinge even more. Result!
    - We are now
    #bank ruptured. Oh the #humanity

    Easy to be a whinge bag.
    #Fortunately we have some of the #brightest minds in the IMPerial Empire of little In-gland:
    - Pubic [sic] transport run by runner haz beans...
    - Schools making way for Pink Floyd, 'We don't need no education, Teacher leave them kids alone'.
    #Sum mishtake surely.
    -
    #Food #grown in #inns and out of hunger #allotments 🥬

    Expect more surprises. As they happen, mostly by accident...
    ​:ablobcatmaracasevil:​

  31. Today I unpredictably came across this t-shirt 🤔😯😳🤯😵‍💫🌬️🌪️

    #disorderly #unpredictable #life #philosophy #tshirt

  32. @[email protected] around 20 years ago I had to implement a "central repo + peripheral repos" for multiple unrelated projects (with two-way sync scheduled overnight) with #Subversion #CVS to overcome the "remote repos" being hosted #by "glorified PCs" hosted basically inside closets, with unreliable and unpredictable Internet and power connections #Subversion #CVS #to #overcome #the #"remote #repos" #being #hosted #by #"glorified #PCs" #hosted #basically #inside #closets, #with #unreliable #and #unpredictable #Internet #and #power #xonnections