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#tradebarriers — Public Fediverse posts

Live and recent posts from across the Fediverse tagged #tradebarriers, aggregated by home.social.

  1. "A large literature anticipated substantial long‑run costs of leaving the EU Single Market and Customs Union (HM Treasury 2016, IMF 2016, Van Reenen et al 2016). Early ex‑post work using macro data also pointed to a sizeable hit to UK GDP and trade (Born et al. 2019, Dhingra and Sampson 2022, Springford 2022, Haskel and Martin 2023, Freeman et al. 2025). VoxEU has been an important forum for this research and debate. Our contribution is to revisit the question now that almost a decade has passed since the referendum, bringing together macro and micro evidence in a single framework and comparing actual outcomes to the profession’s pre‑referendum forecasts.

    In a new paper (Bloom et al. 2025), we combine micro data collected through the Decision Maker Panel (DMP), a survey of UK firms, with publicly available macro data to estimate the impact of Brexit. Our three main findings are:

    - Brexit has had a large and persistent effect on the UK economy. By 2025, we estimate that UK GDP per capita was 6–8% lower than it would have been without Brexit. Investment was 12–18% lower, employment 3–4% lower, and productivity 3–4% lower.

    - These losses emerged gradually. The impact was hard to see in 2017–18, but accumulated steadily over the subsequent decade as uncertainty persisted, trade barriers rose, and firms diverted resources away from productive activity.

    - Economists were roughly right on the magnitude of the impact, but wrong on the timing. The consensus pre‑referendum forecast of a 4% long‑run GDP loss turned out to be close to the actual loss after five years, but too optimistic about the longer run."

    cepr.org/voxeu/columns/brexits

    #UK #Brexit #EU #Protectionism #Tariffs #TradeBarriers

  2. #Cloudflare submitted a #complaint to the #US Trade Representative, arguing that foreign #siteblocking efforts, particularly in Italy, Spain, and France, are becoming significant #tradebarriers for #USbusinesses. Cloudflare claims these measures, intended to combat #piracy, often result in the #overblocking, causing #collateraldamage. torrentfreak.com/cloudflare-te #tech #media #news

  3. #USpol

    👉 #MAGA is the economic perversion of #Reagonomics👈

    *#Reagan's 1987 Radio Address to the Nation on Free and Fair Trade*

    (7/n)

    ...and higher #TradeBarriers, and less and less competition. 👈 So, soon, because of the prices made artificially high by tariffs that subsidize inefficiency and poor management, people stop buying.

    👉 Then the worst happens: Markets shrink and collapse; businesses and industries shut down; and millions of people lose their jobs.👈 ..."

    Contrast...

  4. Labour is creating links with #EU. An ever closer relationship between the EU & UK is urgent. The majority of UK people, BofE Governor, Bloomberg Economics, IFS & virtually all economic forcasts say move closer to EU. The spectre of Trump & #tradebarriers make closer links imperative. #rejoinEU #ForeverEuropean

  5. Like 'trickle-down', the phrase 'trade barriers' - or 'barriers to free trade" to give it's full title - is a doublethink phrase beloved of neoliberals.

    Take subsidies on locally produced goods, intended to reduce carbon emissions from transport. Or levies on imported goods that lift the prices to those of local producers, who are held to minimum wage and environmental protection standards. These sorts of things are slammed as 'trade barriers'.

    #neoliberalism #propaganda
    #TradeBarriers

  6. "By 2039, wars were raging simultaneously across Africa, South America, and Asia. In each conflict, the major powers were supporting opposing sides, while ramming into place draconian trade barriers."

    #JohnRoche, '2115: The World Social Order, Two Months of Chaos', 2021

    All the best #SciFi epics open with draconian trade barriers...

    #TradeBarriers

  7. Continuing my post from last week in which I made a case for #TradeBarriers against the #Chinese government, I have now explored specific ways Canada can respond to the #Xi government's interference in our #elections, as well as in our other core institutions.

    But we also need to *respectfully* let our elected representatives at *all* levels of government know how we feel, so I provide some links to official contact information.

    #China #HumanRights #TikTok

    wallsandbridges.substack.com/p

  8. Continuing my post from last week in which I made a case for #TradeBarriers against the #Chinese government, I have now explored specific ways Canada can respond to the #Xi government's interference in our #elections, as well as in our other core institutions.

    But we also need to *respectfully* let our elected representatives at *all* levels of government know how we feel, so I provide some links to official contact information.

    #China #HumanRights #TikTok

    wallsandbridges.substack.com/p

  9. I have long been skeptical of the value of strategic #TradeBarriers and #sanctions, and I still am. But with respect to #China's Xi government and its abuses in terms of #HumanRights, interference in our #elections, and bullying of foreign governments, I believe it is necessary for the Canadian government and its allies to fight back. I make my case here, and I begin by thoroughly arguing this is *not* about people of Chinese descent who deserve no blame for this mess.

    wallsandbridges.substack.com/p

  10. I was prepared to publish a post today in which I argued in favour of trade barriers (maybe even economic sanctions) against China, which is unusual for me because I have long been a strong supporter of free trade. But with everything that has come out on the issue lately, I feel like it is incomplete. So I just published a short preview of what is to come next week, which is here.

    #China #sanctions #TradeBarriers #economics #policy #Canada #elections #NationalSecurity

    wallsandbridges.substack.com/p

  11. I love the subject of #InternationalTrade! It makes me feel all tingly inside, so in the coming weeks I will be writing about issues such as #China and #NationalSecurity, foreign #competition in the #airline industry, #dumping, and senile industry protection.

    But first, I think it will be useful to provide an overview of the pros and cons of #TradeBarriers. So that is what I have done, and you can read it here.

    #International #Economics #Policy #Trade #Borders

    wallsandbridges.substack.com/p

  12. This guy was told by the government to look for new customers in “emerging markets” — I live in Canada where British and European cheese is very expensive, presumably because of the cost of transporting it across the Atlantic. So there can’t be a very big market in far-away places for a perishable item.

    #Brexit #TradeBarriers #ToryScum