#systemicrisk — Public Fediverse posts
Live and recent posts from across the Fediverse tagged #systemicrisk, aggregated by home.social.
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ICYMI #DigitalServicesAct news:
The Austrian #DSC #RTR #KommAustria has published a quantitative study that shows how "fraudulent and problematic #advertising on #Meta’s platforms is not a marginal phenomenon, but constitutes a #SystemicRisk within the meaning of Art 34 #DSA as it spans 8 thematically distinct #fraud schemes involving large numbers of ads."
This should be enough ammunition for the @EUCommission to start investigating Meta for breach of DSA (again!).
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ICYMI #DigitalServicesAct news:
The Austrian #DSC #RTR #KommAustria has published a quantitative study that shows how "fraudulent and problematic #advertising on #Meta’s platforms is not a marginal phenomenon, but constitutes a #SystemicRisk within the meaning of Art 34 #DSA as it spans 8 thematically distinct #fraud schemes involving large numbers of ads."
This should be enough ammunition for the @EUCommission to start investigating Meta for breach of DSA (again!).
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3/3
The framework is the right shape for individual firm risk. It is the wrong shape for systemic risk that propagates across institutions simultaneously. $22--27 billion in forced buying. Funded by sell-downs across existing holdings. Nobody watching. Full piece: https://haunted.lighthouse.co.im/articles/the-loop-that-never-opens/ #SystemicRisk #CapitalMarkets #IsleOfMan -
The Animal Collaboration Guide is a practical resource for exploring systemic risk through the perspectives of non-human species. It’s a fieldwork method for decentring human bias, so participants can give an “animal testimony” as part of the project. Speaking as their non-human kin, participants noticed the pressures their species lives with and put into words how risk shows up in its daily life.
https://zenodo.org/records/20624201/files/ACG_1.0.0_Digital_LQ.pdf?download=1
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The Animal Collaboration Guide is a practical resource for exploring systemic risk through the perspectives of non-human species. It’s a fieldwork method for decentring human bias, so participants can give an “animal testimony” as part of the project. Speaking as their non-human kin, participants noticed the pressures their species lives with and put into words how risk shows up in its daily life.
https://zenodo.org/records/20624201/files/ACG_1.0.0_Digital_LQ.pdf?download=1
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Dépassement de capacité et correction démographique
Plusieurs études convergent vers l’idée d’un monde déjà en #Overshoot : limites planétaires franchies, capacité de charge dépassée, risque de #Collapse au milieu du XXIe siècle. Certaines modélisations évoquent même une forte contraction démographique si aucune transformation majeure n’intervient. #PlanetaryBoundaries #SystemicRisk #ClimateCrisis Un ensemble d’études récentes dessine une même toile de fond :…
https://homohortus31.wordpress.com/2026/06/08/depassement-de-capacite-et-correction-demographique/
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Dépassement de capacité et correction démographique
Plusieurs études convergent vers l’idée d’un monde déjà en #Overshoot : limites planétaires franchies, capacité de charge dépassée, risque de #Collapse au milieu du XXIe siècle. Certaines modélisations évoquent même une forte contraction démographique si aucune transformation majeure n’intervient. #PlanetaryBoundaries #SystemicRisk #ClimateCrisis Un ensemble d’études récentes dessine une même toile de fond :…
https://homohortus31.wordpress.com/2026/06/08/depassement-de-capacite-et-correction-demographique/
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2/3 When trillion-dollar AI flotations get fast-tracked into the Nasdaq 100, passive index trackers must rebalance within 15 days. That pressure travels through the IoM's £88.1bn international life wrapper sector without tripping a single local regulatory warning light. The IOMFSA stress-tests 1-in-200-year market crashes. It doesn't model this.
#Anthropic #SpaceX #IPO #Nasdaq #PassiveInvesting #SystemicRisk
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The urgency of building systemic risk capacity in a polycrisis world
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590332226000564?dgcid=author -
The urgency of building systemic risk capacity in a polycrisis world
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590332226000564?dgcid=author -
Artifacts:
Status: TARGET_ACQUIRED
Market Logic: $95,978,110,976.00 USD (72.628% of Sector Mean)
Normalization: Sector Std Dev $151,556,473,393.12 USD -
Artifacts:
Status: TARGET_ACQUIRED
Market Logic: $95,978,110,976.00 USD (72.628% of Sector Mean)
Normalization: Sector Std Dev $151,556,473,393.12 USD -
New update post for my living literature review on societal collapse: https://existentialcrunch.substack.com/p/april-2026-updates
This means I go back to the old posts and add new papers I found, to make sure that everything stays as up to date as possible. Posts which got updated this time:* What could go wrong? (https://existentialcrunch.substack.com/p/what-could-go-wrong): Added a summary of the future forecast by the United Kingdom Ministry of Defence and a paper by Jessica Graham et al. which discusses how the Swiss national risk assessment can inspire other countries like Australia.
* End time economics (https://existentialcrunch.substack.com/p/end-time-economics): Added a paper by Simon Blouin et al. that estimates how destruction of infrastructure leads to decreased industrial output, to better understand the potential effects of a nuclear war.
* Systemic risk and the polycrisis (https://existentialcrunch.substack.com/p/systemic-risk-and-the-polycrisis): Added a paper by Nicholas Studzinski et al. which discusses how systemic risk might be governed at an international level.
* Economic inequality and societal collapse (https://existentialcrunch.substack.com/p/economic-inequality-and-societal): Added a paper by Guido Alfani et al. which compares inequality in the Roman and Han Chinese empires.
* Trade collapse (https://existentialcrunch.substack.com/p/trade-collapse): Added a paper by Jasper Verschuur et al. that models the economic importance of all major global ports.
#Trade #Collapse #SystemicRisk #LivingLiteratureReview #Inequality
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New update post for my living literature review on societal collapse: https://existentialcrunch.substack.com/p/april-2026-updates
This means I go back to the old posts and add new papers I found, to make sure that everything stays as up to date as possible. Posts which got updated this time:* What could go wrong? (https://existentialcrunch.substack.com/p/what-could-go-wrong): Added a summary of the future forecast by the United Kingdom Ministry of Defence and a paper by Jessica Graham et al. which discusses how the Swiss national risk assessment can inspire other countries like Australia.
* End time economics (https://existentialcrunch.substack.com/p/end-time-economics): Added a paper by Simon Blouin et al. that estimates how destruction of infrastructure leads to decreased industrial output, to better understand the potential effects of a nuclear war.
* Systemic risk and the polycrisis (https://existentialcrunch.substack.com/p/systemic-risk-and-the-polycrisis): Added a paper by Nicholas Studzinski et al. which discusses how systemic risk might be governed at an international level.
* Economic inequality and societal collapse (https://existentialcrunch.substack.com/p/economic-inequality-and-societal): Added a paper by Guido Alfani et al. which compares inequality in the Roman and Han Chinese empires.
* Trade collapse (https://existentialcrunch.substack.com/p/trade-collapse): Added a paper by Jasper Verschuur et al. that models the economic importance of all major global ports.
#Trade #Collapse #SystemicRisk #LivingLiteratureReview #Inequality
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The 60/40 Portfolio is Dead: Why Your Retirement is Mathematically Programmed to Fail
#Investing #WealthManagement #MarketCrash #6040Portfolio #EconomicCrisis #FinanceNews #DeepPressAnalysis #SystemicRisk
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Pentagon to Seize AI? The "Halo Trade" & Imminent Geopolitical Risk Explored
#SystemicRisk #Geopolitics #StockMarketCrash #ArtificialIntelligence #Pentagon #HaloTrade #Economy #SOTU
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Pentagon to Seize AI? The "Halo Trade" & Imminent Geopolitical Risk Explored
#SystemicRisk #Geopolitics #StockMarketCrash #ArtificialIntelligence #Pentagon #HaloTrade #Economy #SOTU
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Rule 14a-8; AlanPalmeter's proposal would entrench managers and weaken the only scalable tool most investors have to hold boards accountable https://www.corpgov.net/2026/02/rule-14a-8-a-failed-experiment-in-merit-regulation-still/ #NoActionProcess, #PoliticalSpending, #ProxyRules, #ProxySeason, #proxyvoting, #PublicPensions, #RaceToTheBottom, #Reincorporation, #RetailInvestors, #Rule14a8, #Rule14a9, #SecuritiesLaw, #ShareholderRights, #ShareholderVoice, #StateCompetition, #SystemicRisk, #UniversalOwners, #Accountability, #CorpGov, #ESG, #SEC, #stewardship
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We’re often told financial crises are unforeseeable.
They aren’t.
The UK has a long pattern: crisis → reform → forgetting.
Short-term gains feel good. Long-term risk quietly builds.Part 2 of Rethink Financial Markets looks at who benefited, who paid, and why the same arguments keep coming back.
🧵👇
#Rethink
#FinancialRegulation
#UKPolitics
#Economics
#SystemicRisk -
We’re often told financial crises are unforeseeable.
They aren’t.
The UK has a long pattern: crisis → reform → forgetting.
Short-term gains feel good. Long-term risk quietly builds.Part 2 of Rethink Financial Markets looks at who benefited, who paid, and why the same arguments keep coming back.
🧵👇
#Rethink
#FinancialRegulation
#UKPolitics
#Economics
#SystemicRisk -
“Apple Disables Encryption in the UK: The Precedent that could go Global“
by Thomas Karat in Thomas Karat‘s Substack on Substack
“And yet, as 2026 begins, governments now have proof that platforms will bend under regulatory pressure. The argument that ‘technical architecture is fixed’ has been replaced by a softer doctrine: technical architecture is negotiable”
https://open.substack.com/pub/karat/p/apple-disables-encryption-in-the
#Press #UK #Apple #StrongEncryption #ADP #Disable #Privacy #DigitalRegulation #SystemicRisk
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“Apple Disables Encryption in the UK: The Precedent that could go Global“
by Thomas Karat in Thomas Karat‘s Substack on Substack
“And yet, as 2026 begins, governments now have proof that platforms will bend under regulatory pressure. The argument that ‘technical architecture is fixed’ has been replaced by a softer doctrine: technical architecture is negotiable”
https://open.substack.com/pub/karat/p/apple-disables-encryption-in-the
#Press #UK #Apple #StrongEncryption #ADP #Disable #Privacy #DigitalRegulation #SystemicRisk
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Andrew Ross Sorkin on The New Yorker Radio Hour: lessons from 1929 remind us that today’s AI-driven borrowing may echo past leverage-fueled crises. History shows debt, not innovation, often magnifies systemic risk.
#Economics #EconomicHistory #Finance #Markets #History #AndrewRossSorkin #Podcast #SystemicRisk
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Andrew Ross Sorkin on The New Yorker Radio Hour: lessons from 1929 remind us that today’s AI-driven borrowing may echo past leverage-fueled crises. History shows debt, not innovation, often magnifies systemic risk.
#Economics #EconomicHistory #Finance #Markets #History #AndrewRossSorkin #Podcast #SystemicRisk
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Insurers balk at paying out huge settlements for claims against AI firms - Ars Technica https://www.ft.com/content/0211e603-7da6-45a7-909a-96ec28bf6c5a https://arstechnica.com/ai/2025/10/insurers-balk-at-paying-out-huge-settlements-for-claims-against-ai-firms/ #AI #OpenAI #Anthropic #lawsuits #insurance #systemicrisk #riskmanagment
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"Crisis and Risk Psychology in Norway" https://www.psychologytoday.com/us/blog/disaster-by-choice/202510/crisis-and-risk-psychology-in-norway
#Norway #Norge #DRR #CrisisPreparedness #SystemicRisk #LocalGovernance #Governance #DisasterRisk #RiskGovernance #DisasterRiskGovernance #DisasterRiskReduction #Psychology #PsychologyToday #CrisisPsychology -
New free-to-download paper:
"Crisis Preparedness and Systemic Risk: The Role of Municipal Leaders in Disaster Risk Governance in Norway"
https://doi.org/10.1111/sjop.70015
With Sofie Steinsund, Gianluca Pescaroli, Jarle Eid
#Norway #Norge #DRR #CrisisPreparedness #SystemicRisk #LocalGovernance #Governance #DisasterRisk #RiskGovernance #DisasterRiskGovernance #DisasterRiskReduction -
"As artificial intelligence (AI) becomes increasingly embedded in digital, social, and institutional infrastructures, and AI and platforms are merged into hybrid structures, systemic risk has emerged as a critical but undertheorized challenge. In this paper, we develop a rigorous framework for understanding systemic risk in AI, platform, and hybrid system governance, drawing on insights from finance, complex systems theory, climate change, and cybersecurity - domains where systemic risk has already shaped regulatory responses. We argue that recent legislation, including the EU's AI Act and Digital Services Act (DSA), invokes systemic risk but relies on narrow or ambiguous characterizations of this notion, sometimes reducing this risk to specific capabilities present in frontier AI models, or to harms occurring in economic market settings. The DSA, we show, actually does a better job at identifying systemic risk than the more recent AI Act. Our framework highlights novel risk pathways, including the possibility of systemic failures arising from the interaction of multiple AI agents. We identify four levels of AI-related systemic risk and emphasize that discrimination at scale and systematic hallucinations, despite their capacity to destabilize institutions and fundamental rights, may not fall under current legal definitions, given the AI Act's focus on frontier model capabilities. We then test the DSA, the AI Act, and our own framework on five key examples, and propose reforms that broaden systemic risk assessments, strengthen coordination between regulatory regimes, and explicitly incorporate collective harms."
https://arxiv.org/abs/2509.17878
#AI #GenerativeAI #EU #SystemicRisk #AISafety #CyberSecurity #DSA #AIAct
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"As artificial intelligence (AI) becomes increasingly embedded in digital, social, and institutional infrastructures, and AI and platforms are merged into hybrid structures, systemic risk has emerged as a critical but undertheorized challenge. In this paper, we develop a rigorous framework for understanding systemic risk in AI, platform, and hybrid system governance, drawing on insights from finance, complex systems theory, climate change, and cybersecurity - domains where systemic risk has already shaped regulatory responses. We argue that recent legislation, including the EU's AI Act and Digital Services Act (DSA), invokes systemic risk but relies on narrow or ambiguous characterizations of this notion, sometimes reducing this risk to specific capabilities present in frontier AI models, or to harms occurring in economic market settings. The DSA, we show, actually does a better job at identifying systemic risk than the more recent AI Act. Our framework highlights novel risk pathways, including the possibility of systemic failures arising from the interaction of multiple AI agents. We identify four levels of AI-related systemic risk and emphasize that discrimination at scale and systematic hallucinations, despite their capacity to destabilize institutions and fundamental rights, may not fall under current legal definitions, given the AI Act's focus on frontier model capabilities. We then test the DSA, the AI Act, and our own framework on five key examples, and propose reforms that broaden systemic risk assessments, strengthen coordination between regulatory regimes, and explicitly incorporate collective harms."
https://arxiv.org/abs/2509.17878
#AI #GenerativeAI #EU #SystemicRisk #AISafety #CyberSecurity #DSA #AIAct
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Why India Won’t Legalise Full Crypto Laws Yet - TLDR:
India keeps crypto rules limited, warning full regulation could boost adoption and... - https://blockonomi.com/why-india-wont-legalise-full-crypto-laws-yet/ #systemicrisk #stablecoins #regulation #crypto #india #rbi
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Why India Won’t Legalise Full Crypto Laws Yet - TLDR:
India keeps crypto rules limited, warning full regulation could boost adoption and... - https://blockonomi.com/why-india-wont-legalise-full-crypto-laws-yet/ #systemicrisk #stablecoins #regulation #crypto #india #rbi
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The current #AI #datacentre #buildingboom, driven by the increasing demand for #computingpower, has led to substantial #capitalexpenditure by tech companies. The involvement of private #creditfunds, which borrow from #banks, adds to the risk, as a bust in private credit could impact bank balance sheets and pose a #systemicrisk to the #financialsystem. https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/will-data-centers-crash-the-economy?eicker.news #tech #media #news
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The current #AI #datacentre #buildingboom, driven by the increasing demand for #computingpower, has led to substantial #capitalexpenditure by tech companies. The involvement of private #creditfunds, which borrow from #banks, adds to the risk, as a bust in private credit could impact bank balance sheets and pose a #systemicrisk to the #financialsystem. https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/will-data-centers-crash-the-economy?eicker.news #tech #media #news
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"In 2024, social media #VLOPs submitted their first risk assessments under the #DigitalServicesAct. None of the VLOPs identified #monetization systems as a #systemicrisk."
"Decisions over who is eligible for payment, & what actors & content get financially rewarded, can substantially shape the content that gets created, amplified, and consumed."
Crucial report by @whattofix.tech on how #bigtech's monetization schemes create systemic risks under the #DSA:
https://www.whattofix.tech/publications/systemic-risks-annual-report/
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"In 2024, social media #VLOPs submitted their first risk assessments under the #DigitalServicesAct. None of the VLOPs identified #monetization systems as a #systemicrisk."
"Decisions over who is eligible for payment, & what actors & content get financially rewarded, can substantially shape the content that gets created, amplified, and consumed."
Crucial report by @whattofix.tech on how #bigtech's monetization schemes create systemic risks under the #DSA:
https://www.whattofix.tech/publications/systemic-risks-annual-report/
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✅ The report lays the groundwork for future independent monitoring of malign influence campaigns targeting climate policies and provides critical evidence for (EU) regulators to hold platforms to account today: https://www.disinfo.eu/heat-harmful-environmental-agendas-and-tactics/ #DSA #dataaccess #systemicrisk
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✅ The report lays the groundwork for future independent monitoring of malign influence campaigns targeting climate policies and provides critical evidence for (EU) regulators to hold platforms to account today: https://www.disinfo.eu/heat-harmful-environmental-agendas-and-tactics/ #DSA #dataaccess #systemicrisk
