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#supervolcano — Public Fediverse posts

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  1. What places on Earth are most resilient to global catastrophic risk? Our new review in Global Challenges is the first study to look at this across nuclear war, near-Earth objects, large volcanic eruptions, cyberattacks, high altitude electromagnetic pulse, geomagnetic storms and pandemics.

    Australia is plausibly the most resilient place, but even it is reliant on trade for fuel, medicine and fertiliser. There is no place on Earth which is a complete refuge.

    Four factors appeared most consistently: geographic isolation, self-sufficiency in food production, governance quality (democratic institutions, low inequality, low corruption, social cohesion) and decentralisation. The first two are largely fixed. The last two are modifiable through policy, improve resilience against every category of catastrophe we examined, and also make societies better places to live. All of them are currently trending the wrong way, which is bad, but also means we can work towards a more resilient and more livable society at the same time.

    Open access in Global Challenges: doi.org/10.1002/gch2.70146
    Longer summary on my blog: existentialcrunch.substack.com
    Data and code: github.com/allfed/gcr-resilien

    #GlobalCatastrophicRisk #NuclearWar #NuclearWinter #Supervolcano #Food #Resilience #Inequality

  2. 🌋🌍 A major eruption of the #Yellowstone #supervolcano is statistically unlikely to happen for thousands of years despite frequent media speculation.

    An analysis details how geological monitoring works and what would occur if the #volcano became active. The primary global concern involves the massive volume of ash released into the #atmosphere which could temporarily cool the #climate and impact global #food systems.

    👉 popsci.com/environment/what-if

    #geology #earthscience #science #environment #nature #education #safety #research

  3. NZ's Out There Learning YouTube channel has an excellent new video on NZ's Taupo supervolcano.

    That's in case you needed a reminder of how colossally violent past eruptions of this volcano have been, and a reminder that it's still active and magma is gradually building under the lake.

    youtube.com/watch?v=Fiq9TSKiWaw

    #nz #volcano #SuperVolcano

  4. (2/4) Even when two catastrophes cause similar global yield losses, their effects on trade are dramatically different.

    Abrupt sunlight reduction (#NuclearWar, #supervolcano) concentrates damage in high-latitude major exporters → severe trade disruption

    Global infrastructure loss spreads damage more evenly → less trade chaos

    Why? Because the countries that get hit hardest in nuclear winter scenarios (#US, #Canada, #Russia, #Ukraine) are the same ones that feed the world.
    In a 37 Tg nuclear war scenario, most countries lose 50-100% of food imports. Australia becomes essentially the only major wheat exporter left standing.

  5. These insights can also be used for other instances of abrupt sunlight reduction scenarios, such as by #supervolcano or #asteroid impact.

    This enhanced #resilience of our #FoodSystem after catastrophes is just one of the reasons we should use more seaweed. It can also be used to sequester carbon from the atmosphere and the #FAO regularly writes reports which advice us to grow more seaweed now to enhance our global #FoodSecurity.

  6. @PatrickoftheG

    I imagine this to be a sarcastic remark?
    #ICBM|s with #NuclearWarheads striking anywhere do not compare to anything else, other than the explosion of a #SuperVolcano.

  7. Dunno if this is click bait, must go find the Italian coverage. "Italy plans for mass evacuation as quakes continue around supervolcano" #Supervolcano #Italy #volcanoes theguardian.com/world/2023/oct