#straitofhormus — Public Fediverse posts
Live and recent posts from across the Fediverse tagged #straitofhormus, aggregated by home.social.
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"All nations that depend on energy from the Gulf will have to work out their own arrangements with Iran. What choice will they have? If the United States with its mighty Navy can’t or won’t open the strait, no coalition of forces with just a fraction of the Americans’ capability will be able to, either. The Anglo-French initiative to police the strait after a cease-fire is a bit of a joke. French President Emmanuel Macron has made it clear that this “coalition” will operate only under peaceful conditions in the strait: It will escort ships, but only if they don’t need an escort. Yet with Iran in control, the strait is not going to be safe again for a long time. China presumably has some influence over Tehran, but even China cannot force open the strait by itself.
One effect of this transformation may be an expanding great-power naval race. In the past, most of the world’s nations, including China, counted on the United States to both prevent and address such emergencies. Now the nations in Europe and Asia that depend on access to the Persian Gulf’s resources are helpless against the loss of energy supplies that are vital to their economic and political stability. How long can they tolerate this before they start building their own fleets, as a means of wielding influence in an every-nation-for-itself world where order and predictability have broken down?
The American defeat in the Gulf will have broader global ramifications as well. The whole world can see that just a few weeks of war with a second-rank power have reduced American weapons stocks to perilously low levels (...) The questions this raises about America’s readiness for another major conflict may or may not prompt Xi Jinping to launch an attack on Taiwan, or Vladimir Putin to step up his aggression against Europe. But at the very least America’s allies (...) must wonder about American staying power..."
#Iran #USA #Trump #Israel #StraitOfHormus #MiddleEast #Militarism #War
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"All nations that depend on energy from the Gulf will have to work out their own arrangements with Iran. What choice will they have? If the United States with its mighty Navy can’t or won’t open the strait, no coalition of forces with just a fraction of the Americans’ capability will be able to, either. The Anglo-French initiative to police the strait after a cease-fire is a bit of a joke. French President Emmanuel Macron has made it clear that this “coalition” will operate only under peaceful conditions in the strait: It will escort ships, but only if they don’t need an escort. Yet with Iran in control, the strait is not going to be safe again for a long time. China presumably has some influence over Tehran, but even China cannot force open the strait by itself.
One effect of this transformation may be an expanding great-power naval race. In the past, most of the world’s nations, including China, counted on the United States to both prevent and address such emergencies. Now the nations in Europe and Asia that depend on access to the Persian Gulf’s resources are helpless against the loss of energy supplies that are vital to their economic and political stability. How long can they tolerate this before they start building their own fleets, as a means of wielding influence in an every-nation-for-itself world where order and predictability have broken down?
The American defeat in the Gulf will have broader global ramifications as well. The whole world can see that just a few weeks of war with a second-rank power have reduced American weapons stocks to perilously low levels (...) The questions this raises about America’s readiness for another major conflict may or may not prompt Xi Jinping to launch an attack on Taiwan, or Vladimir Putin to step up his aggression against Europe. But at the very least America’s allies (...) must wonder about American staying power..."
#Iran #USA #Trump #Israel #StraitOfHormus #MiddleEast #Militarism #War
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"Why it matters: The briefing signals that Trump is seriously considering resuming major combat operations either to try to break the logjam in negotiations or to deliver a final blow before ending the war."
#Trump #Hegseth #Iran #war #StraitofHormus #oil #gas #economy #BrentCrude
/7 -
"Why it matters: The briefing signals that Trump is seriously considering resuming major combat operations either to try to break the logjam in negotiations or to deliver a final blow before ending the war."
#Trump #Hegseth #Iran #war #StraitofHormus #oil #gas #economy #BrentCrude
/7 -
This morning, he says,
“President Trump is slated to receive a briefing on new plans for potential military action in Iran on Thursday from CENTCOM Commander Adm. Brad Cooper, two sources with knowledge tell Axios."
#Trump #Hegseth #Iran #war #StraitofHormus #oil #gas #economy #BrentCrude
/6https://luciantruscott.substack.com/p/the-fears-i-expressed-in-tonights
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This morning, he says,
“President Trump is slated to receive a briefing on new plans for potential military action in Iran on Thursday from CENTCOM Commander Adm. Brad Cooper, two sources with knowledge tell Axios."
#Trump #Hegseth #Iran #war #StraitofHormus #oil #gas #economy #BrentCrude
/6https://luciantruscott.substack.com/p/the-fears-i-expressed-in-tonights
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Last evening, Lucian K. Truscott wrote,
"I think he’s going to order some more bombing, this time taking out some bridges that had not been hit, and some Iranian oil facilities."
#Trump #Hegseth #Iran #war #StraitofHormus #oil #gas #economy #BrentCrude
/5https://luciantruscott.substack.com/p/trump-has-ideas-about-how-to-end
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Last evening, Lucian K. Truscott wrote,
"I think he’s going to order some more bombing, this time taking out some bridges that had not been hit, and some Iranian oil facilities."
#Trump #Hegseth #Iran #war #StraitofHormus #oil #gas #economy #BrentCrude
/5https://luciantruscott.substack.com/p/trump-has-ideas-about-how-to-end
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"Trump’s ego, his ignorance, and the Iranians’ unfortunately justified belief that any agreement they reach with America would be effectively worthless. ...
The question now is: how much destruction will the world, and America, have to bear before Trump is willing to accept reality?"
#Trump #Hegseth #Iran #war #StraitofHormus #oil #gas #economy #BrentCrude
/4 -
"Trump’s ego, his ignorance, and the Iranians’ unfortunately justified belief that any agreement they reach with America would be effectively worthless. ...
The question now is: how much destruction will the world, and America, have to bear before Trump is willing to accept reality?"
#Trump #Hegseth #Iran #war #StraitofHormus #oil #gas #economy #BrentCrude
/4 -
"On Wall Street, TACO — Trump Always Chickens Out — has abruptly been replaced as a favorite meme by NACHO — Not a Chance Hormuz Opens. As a result, oil futures have soared. ...
So what is preventing the reopening of the Strait? Three factors:"
~ Paul Krugman
#Trump #Hegseth #Iran #war #StraitofHormus #oil #gas #economy #BrentCrude
/3 -
"On Wall Street, TACO — Trump Always Chickens Out — has abruptly been replaced as a favorite meme by NACHO — Not a Chance Hormuz Opens. As a result, oil futures have soared. ...
So what is preventing the reopening of the Strait? Three factors:"
~ Paul Krugman
#Trump #Hegseth #Iran #war #StraitofHormus #oil #gas #economy #BrentCrude
/3 -
"Gas is $4.23 today. It was $2.98 sixty-one days ago. The blockade that is driving this price is now explicitly indefinite."
#Trump #Hegseth #Iran #war #StraitofHormus #oil #gas #economy #BrentCrude
/2 -
"Gas is $4.23 today. It was $2.98 sixty-one days ago. The blockade that is driving this price is now explicitly indefinite."
#Trump #Hegseth #Iran #war #StraitofHormus #oil #gas #economy #BrentCrude
/2 -
"Brent crude surged above $126 per barrel overnight — a new wartime high, the highest level since Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022 — after President Trump formally rejected Iran’s diplomatic proposal and confirmed the US naval blockade of Iranian ports will remain in effect until Iran agrees to dismantle its nuclear program."
~ Rudy Martinez
#Trump #Hegseth #Iran #war #StraitofHormus #oil #gas #economy #BrentCrude
/1https://www.restoftheworldreport.com/p/the-rest-of-the-world-report-april-1c0
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"Brent crude surged above $126 per barrel overnight — a new wartime high, the highest level since Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022 — after President Trump formally rejected Iran’s diplomatic proposal and confirmed the US naval blockade of Iranian ports will remain in effect until Iran agrees to dismantle its nuclear program."
~ Rudy Martinez
#Trump #Hegseth #Iran #war #StraitofHormus #oil #gas #economy #BrentCrude
/1https://www.restoftheworldreport.com/p/the-rest-of-the-world-report-april-1c0
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#StraitOfHormus #StraßeVonHormus #Iran
I"ran fires on 3 ships in the Strait of Hormuz..."
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#StraitOfHormus #StraßeVonHormus #Iran
"Iran fires on 3 ships in the Strait of Hormuz..."
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#usa #israel #iran : #war / #energy / #oil / #straitofhormus / #supplychain / #asia / #oilprice / #speculations
„Oil has surged by the most in four years. Tankers are fleeing the Gulf and up to 10 million barrels a day may be stripped from global supply.“
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#usa #israel #iran : #war / #energy / #oil / #straitofhormus / #economy / #supplychain / #asia / #oilprice / #speculations
„Oil has surged by the most in four years. Tankers are fleeing the Gulf and up to 10 million barrels a day may be stripped from global supply.“