#stochastic — Public Fediverse posts

Unraveling The Drivers Of Water Shortage Across Spatial Scales And Sectors In Colorado's West Slope River Basins
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https://doi.org/10.1029/2026EF008137 <-- shared paper
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['sorry' about your Kentucky Bluegrass, almonds, etc... /s]
H/T Sai Veena Sunkara | Postdoctoral Associate
“…Colorado’s West Slope basins provide nearly 70% of the inflows to Lake Powell and are also essential to communities, agriculture, industry, hydropower, and downstream Colorado River users.
To examine the wide range of possible futures, [they] simulated 2.1 million years, defining 20,000 plausible scenarios applying changes to streamflow, snowmelt timing, drought persistence, and agricultural, municipal, and industrial water demand.
A key finding is that there is 𝗻𝗼 𝘀𝗶𝗻𝗴𝗹𝗲 𝗰𝗮𝘂𝘀𝗲 𝗼𝗳 𝗳𝘂𝘁𝘂𝗿𝗲 𝘄𝗮𝘁𝗲𝗿 𝘀𝗵𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗮𝗴𝗲𝘀. The most influential drivers vary by basin, sector, and water user. In some areas, shortages are driven primarily by persistent low-flow conditions or changing snowmelt timing. In others, increasing municipal, industrial, or irrigation demand plays a larger role. This suggests that adaptation strategies must be tailored to specific basins and users rather than relying on a single, system-wide solution. Other major findings are
• West Slope deliveries to Lake Powell could fall more than 50% below the current median baseline
• Storage in major West Slope reservoirs could decline 40–55% below historical medians
These results underscore the need for water-planning approaches that account for deep uncertainty, persistent drought, shifting snowmelt patterns, and sector-specific demand…”
#Colorado #waterallocation #StateMod #USWest #USA #WesternSlope #waterresources #watersecurity #watershortage #drought #snowmelt #rainfall #precipitation #riverbasin #water #hydrography #hydrology #reasons #agriculture #industry #hydropower #streamflow #surfacewater #municipal #irrigation #adaptationstrategies #planning #policy #mitigation #ColoradoRiver #basins #climatechange #extremeweather #populationpressure #waterdemand #waterrights #model #modeling #HiddenMarkovModel #stochastic #projecteddemand #ColoradoRiverBasin #wateruse #spatial #mapping #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #strategy

Emily Bender Sets the Record Straight on "Stochastic Parrots"

https://spectrum.ieee.org/stochastic-parrot

Comments: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48805401

#HackerNews #Emily #Bender #Stochastic #Parrots #AI #Ethics #LanguageModel

https://arstechnica.com/science/2026/05/preprint-server-arxiv-will-ban-submitters-of-ai-generated-hallucinations/
#arxiv #llm #stochastic #parrots #science #research

#python #technology #algorithmictrading #code #programming
#datascience #simulation #statistics #stochastic
#volatility #trading #realtime
#stockmarket
Volatility Clustering in an Intraday Multi-Asset Universe Using Merton–Hawkes Jump-Diffusion Simulations in Python

Combining return bootstrapping with self-exciting jump dynamics across stocks, ETFs, indices, and BTC for market microstructure analysis and Monte Carlo scenario testing

#exploremore 👇

https://medium.com/@alexzap922/volatility-clustering-in-an-intraday-multi-asset-universe-using-merton-hawkes-jump-diffusion-475926069191?sk=076aec351e9c1f950ff950f36d52ff6c

Geologically-Driven Migration of Landmines and Explosive Remnants of War - A Feature Focusing on the Western Balkans
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https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences13060178 <-- shared 2023 paper
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https://www.kpbs.org/news/2014/05/20/balkan-floods-expose-deadly-mines-from-1990s <-- shared 2014 media example
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[mechanics/process I know I (fortunately) don’t consider - but fascinating!]
#landmine #unexplodedordnance #explosiveordnance #abandonedexplosiveordnance #IED #improvisedexplosivedevice #military #minefield #war #publicsafety #flood #flooding #landslide #WesternBalkans #balkans #Bosnia #Herzegovina #Serbia #Croatia #stochastic #deterministic #model #modeling #war #battlefield #ordanance #injury #fatality #massmovement #landsurface #processes #engineeringgeology #geology #geology #soil #debrisflow #water #hydrology #risk #hazard #hydromorphology #morphology #geomorphometry #spatialanalysis #GIS #spatial #mapping #riskmapping #fieldsurvey #spatiotemporal #research #hazardmap #planning #polict #landuse #emergency #publichealth #riskmanagement

we may have just #witnessed the #worlds first #stochastic #suicide

`His initial intended uses were for linguistic analysis and other mathematical subjects like card shuffling, but both Markov chains and matrices rapidly found use in other fields.`

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stochastic_matrix#History

#AndreyMarkov #Markov #MarkovChain #MarkovModel #statistics #stochastic #stochasticProcess #randomWalk #statisticalPhysics #physics #inference #distribution #equilibrium #transitionRate #transitionMatrix #MarkovMatrix #stochasticMatrix #linearAlgebra #differentialEquation #equation

Another #Random #Stochastic #Walk added to my #R #Package #RandomWalker dev version, this time it is random_multinomial_walk() As of now you can only generate a single trial but I'll work on it in the future, for now, let's just get it and move down the list. #RStats #Code #tidydata #ggplot2

Added a the random_poisson_walk() to the #dev version of #RandomWalker #Random #ggplot2 #tidydata #RandomWalks #Stochastic

I added another random walk to the dev version of my #R #Package #RandomWalker for the Wilcoxon Signed Rank using the #BaseR function rsignrank. Take a look :) #R #ggplot2 #tidydata #Random #stochastic #discrete

'On Adaptive Stochastic Optimization for Streaming Data: A Newton's Method with O(dN) Operations', by Antoine Godichon-Baggioni, Nicklas Werge.

http://jmlr.org/papers/v26/23-1565.html

#streaming #stochastic #optimization

Reading Material With Lunch, Etc – Getting Back To My Roots
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https://doi.org/10.4324/9780429270284 | Thornes, J. B., Brunsden, D. (1977). Geomorphology and time. London: Methuen
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I saw this book on another post - and so went and found a copy at a 2nd hand book shop…
Looking forward to lunches at work with a cup of tea and maybe a couple of rainy Sundays at home…
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#geomorphology #text #book #landforms #learning #refamiliarisation #readingforpleasure #framework #model #processes #geology #water #hydrology #weather #climate #erosion #time #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #temporal #qualitative #quantitative #change #stochastic #evolution

Nabeel et al. present a method to derive models of theoretical ecology from stochastic time series data. This data-driven method may help empirical tests of ecological theories and to discover unknown principles. Read now ahead of print!
https://www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/734083

#theoreticalEcology #ecology #stochastic #theory

@kevinrns

Ah, right. I suspect the Felon-in-Chief's stochastic terrorism is responsible for that. Public figures don't want the abuse-and-threats firehose turned on them.

#FelonInChief #stochastic #terrorism #StochasticTerrorism #abuse #threat

📸 PORTRAIT / Stochastic Analysis in the Sciences — Mathematiker Benjamin Gess erforscht an der TU Berlin, wie zufällige Schwankungen komplexe Systeme beeinflussen und dabei Klima, Technik oder Wirtschaft verändern können. #Assignment #Portrait #Mathematics #DataScience #AI #Stochastic #TU_Berlin

'The ODE Method for Stochastic Approximation and Reinforcement Learning with Markovian Noise', by Shuze Daniel Liu, Shuhang Chen, Shangtong Zhang.

http://jmlr.org/papers/v26/24-0100.html

#stochastic #stochastically #martingale

MAGA Musk Matrix https://freedomnews.org.uk/2025/02/28/the-matrix-re-edited/

Farcebooked
https://www.inc.com/jeff-haden/research-reveals-how-many-likes-it-takes-for-facebook-to-know-you-better-than-your-spouse.html

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inverted_totalitarianism

#ai
#algorithm #Capitalism #dystopia #enshittification #Meta #Panopticon #Stochastic #Totalitarianism

Introduction to Stochastic Calculus — https://jiha-kim.github.io/posts/introduction-to-stochastic-calculus/
#HackerNews #Introduction #to #Stochastic #Calculus #StochasticCalculus #MathFinance #DataScience #Learning

'Random ReLU Neural Networks as Non-Gaussian Processes', by Rahul Parhi, Pakshal Bohra, Ayoub El Biari, Mehrsa Pourya, Michael Unser.

http://jmlr.org/papers/v26/24-0737.html

#stochastic #autocovariance #gaussian

'Deep Backward and Galerkin Methods for the Finite State Master Equation', by Asaf Cohen, Mathieu Laurière, Ethan Zell.

http://jmlr.org/papers/v25/24-0215.html

#galerkin #stochastic #games

shit got serious.

https://ubuweb.com/

#ubuweb #poetry #aleatoric #transgressive #stochastic #queer #futureinthepast

odd person – ▲▲▲▲▲
#Electronic #dub #electroacoustic #exotica #experimental #hiphop #improvisation #microtonal #newage #psychedelic #stochastic #systemsmusic #techno #StAugustine
CC BY-NC-SA (#CreativeCommons Attribution Non Commercial Share Alike) #ccmusic
https://povertyelectronics.bandcamp.com/album/-

'Fisher information dissipation for time-inhomogeneous stochastic differential equations', by Qi Feng, Xinzhe Zuo, Wuchen Li.

http://jmlr.org/papers/v25/24-0206.html

#langevin #stochastic #lyapunov

'Optimizing Noise for f-Differential Privacy via Anti-Concentration and Stochastic Dominance', by Jordan Awan, Aishwarya Ramasethu.

http://jmlr.org/papers/v25/23-1624.html

#privacy #stochastically #stochastic

#Coalescence

#Stochastic concept #album based on the #overtone series.

I hope you will enjoy!

https://elijax.bandcamp.com/album/coalescence

@electronicmusic

#Sunday #electronic #music #synth #original #fedimusic #mastomusic #producer #composer #Italy #contemporary #experimentalmusic

Stochastic thermodynamics:
#stochastic #thermodynamics #computing #energy #informationprocessing
♨️

https://phys.org/news/2024-10-stochastic-thermodynamics-key-energy.html