#space-weather — Public Fediverse posts
Live and recent posts from across the Fediverse tagged #space-weather, aggregated by home.social.
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Space Weather
The proton storm level is reducing. The 100MeV protons are now below S1 level.
The electron flux is also reducing.
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Space Weather
Proton storm update: High energy 100MeV protons reached the S1 warning levels at 15h45 UT. Levels are slowly falling but low energy 10MeV protons remains high.
Electron flux also peaked at the same time and is now reducing slowly in level.
People who are super-sensitive to proton radiation storms are currently having a bad time.
HF propagation is degraded in polar regions., due to polar cap absorption.
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In case anybody needs something else to worry over...
"Space weather poses an important but under-quantified threat to society. While severe geomagnetic storms are recognized as potential global catastrophes, their socio-economic impacts remain poorly quantified. We present a novel physics-engineering-economic framework that links geophysical drivers to power grid geoelectric fields, transformer vulnerability, and macroeconomic consequences. Using the United States as an example, we estimate daily economic losses for a 250-year geomagnetic storm from transformer thermal heating of 1.81 billion USD (95 percent confidence interval: 1.65 to 1.96 billion USD), disrupting power for approximately 5.1 million people and 135,000 businesses. These estimates are conservative lower bounds, reflecting only transformer thermal heating effects and excluding voltage collapse, cascading failures, and restoration costs. The true societal risk could be substantially higher. Nonetheless, this contribution provides the first nationwide end-to-end coupling from space physics to potential macroeconomic loss, with quantified uncertainties. Our results demonstrate that coupled socio-economic modeling of space weather is feasible and essential, and the framework is scalable and transferable, offering a template for assessing space weather risk to critical infrastructure in other countries."
#SpaceWeather
#GeomagneticStorm
#GridFailurehttps://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2026AV002367?af=R
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Starting on 9/4/26, a major volcanic eruption hit Krakatoa Volcano in Indonesia, sending an ash plume at least 15 km above sea level into the stratosphere. If this volcanic eruption scales up to be even bigger, Indonesia and even the world could be in some big trouble.
#SpaceWeather
#Geophysics
One of the World's Deadliest V... -
2026-09-05 00:00:00 UTC
HOW IS SPACE WEATHER NOW?
CURRENT CONDITIONS:
🟢 Solar Wind: 346.9 km/s (1 h avg)FORECAST FOR TODAY:
🟢 Radio Blackout: R0
- No effects🟢 Solar Radiation Storm: S0
- No effects🟢 Geomagnetic Storm: G0
- No effects -
New telescope images show the Sun in the sharpest detail yet, revealing activity scientists could not see before and opening a clearer view of how our star behaves.
Read more: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c36d4376nd2o -
2026-09-04 00:00:00 UTC
HOW IS SPACE WEATHER NOW?
CURRENT CONDITIONS:
🟢 Solar Wind: 388.9 km/s (1 h avg)FORECAST FOR TODAY:
🟢 Radio Blackout: R0
- No effects🟢 Solar Radiation Storm: S0
- No effects🟢 Geomagnetic Storm: G0
- No effects -
2026-09-03 00:00:00 UTC
HOW IS SPACE WEATHER NOW?
CURRENT CONDITIONS:
🟢 Solar Wind: 382.3 km/s (1 h avg)FORECAST FOR TODAY:
🟢 Radio Blackout: R0
- No effects🟢 Solar Radiation Storm: S0
- No effects🟢 Geomagnetic Storm: G0
- No effects -
🟡 CME update: WSA-ENLIL model confirms Earth arrival
Fast CME from filament eruption (1323 km/s)
Estimated arrival: 2026-09-06 04:00 AEST (~66h from now) (glancing blow).Watch for Bz turning southward at impact — that's the aurora trigger. Track live → https://lumina.observer/events
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Fundido, pero contento. Maneje ida y vuelta hasta Rocha a la feria e-Motiva donde pudimos mostrar manchas solares, hablar de la actividad del Sol y de paso algo de la ionósfera y como el Sol regula las comunicaciones intercontinentales por radiofrecuencia. Sistema Tierra Sol, clima espacial (spaceweather) y viento solar. Ademas de observaciones telescópicas y con cámara CCD de manchas solares, los escolares pudieron sintonizar estaciones en onda corta de China, Japón, Brasil y Reino Unido y registrar sus escuchar manejando una radio con antena en la banda de 31m y 25m con un Yaesu FT-840 #enseñanza #divulgación #ciencias #básicas #astronomía #telecomunicaciones #radio #ondacorta #climaespacial #spaceweather #sol
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Space Weather
An M3.0 flare peaked at 19h21 UT 02 Sep. Type II and IV radio emissions were observed, with a CME being observed in imagery.
The flare originated on the east limb so the CME will not be Earth-directed.
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The Amazing #Mathematical #Mind of #JohannSebastianBach : Medium
#Researchers make air-stable, #Ultrathin #Superconductors, for more scalable #QuantumDevices : MIT
A New #Solar 'Switch-Off' #Signal Could Help #Predict #Future #SpaceWeather : Disc Mag
Latest #KnowledgeLinks
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2026-09-02 00:00:00 UTC
HOW IS SPACE WEATHER NOW?
CURRENT CONDITIONS:
🟢 Solar Wind: 395.4 km/s (1 h avg)FORECAST FOR TODAY:
🟢 Radio Blackout: R0
- No effects🟢 Solar Radiation Storm: S0
- No effects🟢 Geomagnetic Storm: G0
- No effects -
Geostationary Eclipse Season
As we head towards the autumn equinox, the angle between the plane of the ecliptic and the Earth's equatorial plane causes the Sun, Earth, and geostationary satellites to align.
During this period - which occurs for about 45 days around both the spring and autumn equinoxes - geostationary satellites pass directly through the Earth's shadow once every 24 hours. These eclipses can last up to 72 minutes around the exact date of the equinox, temporarily blocking the solar panels that power the spacecraft and forcing them to rely entirely on onboard batteries to maintain operations.
The GOES 18 and 19 sun sensors become periodically blocked by the Earth during eclipses, preventing data collection. For this reason, you'll be seeing breaks in the data on the charts in the Space Weather Ops dashboard like these for about the next six to seven weeks.
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#SpaceWeather #Solar #sflorg
Geophysical Alert MessageSolar-terrestrial indices for 31 August follow.
Solar flux 107 and estimated planetary A-index 12.
The estimated planetary K-index at 1200 UTC on 01 September was 2.67.No space weather storms were observed for the past 24 hours.
No space weather storms are predicted for the next 24 hours.
https://www.sflorg.com/p/space-weather.html -
2026-09-01 00:00:00 UTC
HOW IS SPACE WEATHER NOW?
CURRENT CONDITIONS:
🟡 Solar Wind: 408.7 km/s (1 h avg)FORECAST FOR TODAY:
🟢 Radio Blackout: R0
- No effects🟢 Solar Radiation Storm: S0
- No effects🟢 Geomagnetic Storm: G0
- No effects -
#SpaceWeather #Solar #sflorg
Geophysical Alert MessageSolar-terrestrial indices for 30 August follow.
Solar flux 107 and estimated planetary A-index 15.
The estimated planetary K-index at 1200 UTC on 31 August was 3.33.No space weather storms were observed for the past 24 hours.
No space weather storms are predicted for the next 24 hours.
https://www.sflorg.com/p/space-weather.html -
2026-08-31 00:00:00 UTC
HOW IS SPACE WEATHER NOW?
CURRENT CONDITIONS:
🟡 Solar Wind: 463.8 km/s (1 h avg)FORECAST FOR TODAY:
🟢 Radio Blackout: R0
- No effects🟢 Solar Radiation Storm: S0
- No effects🟢 Geomagnetic Storm: G0
- No effects -
Space Weather
Minor geomagnetic storming is continuing today with substorms occasionally affecting high and polar latitudes.
Conditions should be calming soon.
HF radio propagation will be affected nearer high latitudes.
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2026-08-30 00:00:00 UTC
HOW IS SPACE WEATHER NOW?
CURRENT CONDITIONS:
🟡 Solar Wind: 439.3 km/s (1 h avg)FORECAST FOR TODAY:
🟢 Radio Blackout: R0
- No effects🟢 Solar Radiation Storm: S0
- No effects🟢 Geomagnetic Storm: G0
- No effects -
#SpaceWeather #Solar #sflorg
EXTENDED WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5408
Valid From: 2026 Aug 28 1409 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2026 Aug 30 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: PersistencePotential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.
https://www.sflorg.com/p/space-weather.html -
2026-08-29 00:00:00 UTC
HOW IS SPACE WEATHER NOW?
CURRENT CONDITIONS:
🟢 Solar Wind: 377.8 km/s (1 h avg)FORECAST FOR TODAY:
🟢 Radio Blackout: R0
- No effects🟢 Solar Radiation Storm: S0
- No effects🟡 Geomagnetic Storm: G2
- Long storms may cook a few transformers
- Aurora is visible down to 55° GML -
Space Weather
A G2 geomagnetic storm is expected today.
Several incoming solar storms may give glancing blows to the Earth, and we'll also be under the influence of a southern-hemisphere coronal hole.
The DST ring current (Disturbance Storm Time Index) has just spiked positively but has now started falling rapidly. Bz (magnetic polarity) is falling and is strongly negative at -9nT. Bt (total magnetic field) is rising. suggesting an approaching storm.
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2026-08-28 00:00:00 UTC
HOW IS SPACE WEATHER NOW?
CURRENT CONDITIONS:
🟢 Solar Wind: 262.8 km/s (1 h avg)FORECAST FOR TODAY:
🟢 Radio Blackout: R0
- No effects🟡 Solar Radiation Storm: S1
- The HF radio signal in polar regions is meh🟡 Geomagnetic Storm: G2
- Long storms may cook a few transformers
- Aurora is visible down to 55° GML -
2026-08-27 00:00:00 UTC
HOW IS SPACE WEATHER NOW?
CURRENT CONDITIONS:
🟢 Solar Wind: 276.8 km/s (1 h avg)FORECAST FOR TODAY:
🟡 Radio Blackout: R1-R2
- Occasional radio static on the sunlit side
- GPS is dizzy🟡 Solar Radiation Storm: S1
- The HF radio signal in polar regions is meh🟡 Geomagnetic Storm: G1
- Weak power grid fluctuations
- Aurora is visible at high latitudes -
Well, its an #AmateurRadio contest weekend and as it has been most of the U.S. summer, another #Solarstorm is headed toward Earth. #SpaceWeather #SpaceWX may play havoc with the #HamRadio #hfbands for the World Wide DIgi #DX Contest
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#SpaceWeather #Solar #sflorg
Geophysical Alert MessageThe estimated planetary K-index at 1500 UTC on 26 August was 1.00.
Space weather for the past 24 hours has been minor.
Radio blackouts reaching the R1 level occurred.Space weather for the next 24 hours is predicted to be minor.
Geomagnetic storms reaching the G1 level are likely.
Radio blackouts reaching the R1 level are likely.
https://www.sflorg.com/p/space-weather.html -
2026-08-26 00:00:00 UTC
HOW IS SPACE WEATHER NOW?
CURRENT CONDITIONS:
🟢 Solar Wind: 332.9 km/s (1 h avg)FORECAST FOR TODAY:
🟡 Radio Blackout: R1-R2
- Occasional radio static on the sunlit side
- GPS is dizzy🟡 Solar Radiation Storm: S1
- The HF radio signal in polar regions is meh🟢 Geomagnetic Storm: G0
- No effects -
Space Weather
Incoming solar storm: NOAA has issued a G1 storm watch for 27 Aug and a G2 watch on 28 Aug.
The M6.9 flare at 10h02 UT yesterday (25 Aug) launched a CME that was substantially Earth-directed.