#recessions — Public Fediverse posts
Live and recent posts from across the Fediverse tagged #recessions, aggregated by home.social.
-
EUR/USD tops 1.1600 mark on firm economic cues, holds at two-month high | Capital Market News
Last Updated : Aug 17 2026 | 12:31 PM IST Euro continued to edge higher against the US…
#Europe #EU #EuroZone #economyoftheeuropeanunion #euro #EuroArea #Euro/IndianRupeeFXCrossRate #Euro/USDollarFXSpotRate #EuropeanUnion #Eurozone #eurozonecrisis #FXCrossRate #FXSpotRate #Grossdomesticproduct #recessions #THOMSONREUTERS
https://www.europesays.com/europe/117460/ -
Making #Recessions Great Again.
The US war on Iran is spinning... -
China and Iran's economy is resilient and they can withstand recessions (2008 and COVID). Countries in North American and Europe can't handle recessions.
The US underestimated Iran.
-
China and Iran's economy is resilient and they can withstand recessions (2008 and COVID). Countries in North American and Europe can't handle recessions.
The US underestimated Iran.
-
China and Iran's economy is resilient and they can withstand recessions (2008 and COVID). Countries in North American and Europe can't handle recessions.
The US underestimated Iran.
-
The report said #Finland & the other Northern European countries’ steady ranking on top is related to a combination of wealth, its #equal distribution, having a #welfare state that protects people from the risks of #recessions, & a healthy life expectancy.
Finnish President Alexander Stubb reacted Thursday to his country being in first place again, saying: “I do not think there is a magic potion, but it helps to have a society which strives towards #freedom, #equality & #justice.”
-
The report said #Finland & the other Northern European countries’ steady ranking on top is related to a combination of wealth, its #equal distribution, having a #welfare state that protects people from the risks of #recessions, & a healthy life expectancy.
Finnish President Alexander Stubb reacted Thursday to his country being in first place again, saying: “I do not think there is a magic potion, but it helps to have a society which strives towards #freedom, #equality & #justice.”
-
The report said #Finland & the other Northern European countries’ steady ranking on top is related to a combination of wealth, its #equal distribution, having a #welfare state that protects people from the risks of #recessions, & a healthy life expectancy.
Finnish President Alexander Stubb reacted Thursday to his country being in first place again, saying: “I do not think there is a magic potion, but it helps to have a society which strives towards #freedom, #equality & #justice.”
-
The report said #Finland & the other Northern European countries’ steady ranking on top is related to a combination of wealth, its #equal distribution, having a #welfare state that protects people from the risks of #recessions, & a healthy life expectancy.
Finnish President Alexander Stubb reacted Thursday to his country being in first place again, saying: “I do not think there is a magic potion, but it helps to have a society which strives towards #freedom, #equality & #justice.”
-
“Even so, premature to predict a #global economic crisis. ( #OilPrices) now are roughly at Russia shock levels … That shock was ugly but didn’t cause #recessions in either the #US or #Europe.”
RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:5zca2ola2zxpkw37w4f3wxtu/post/3mgmvtvkl7c2o -
“Even so, premature to predict a #global economic crisis. ( #OilPrices) now are roughly at Russia shock levels … That shock was ugly but didn’t cause #recessions in either the #US or #Europe.”
RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:5zca2ola2zxpkw37w4f3wxtu/post/3mgmvtvkl7c2o -
Should investors be worried about the U.S. labor market? https://www.byteseu.com/1526909/ #Americas #apac #Article #Economics #EMEA #Luxembourg #MonthlyMarketPlaybook #MultiAsset #OUSInstitutional #OUSIntermediaries #OUSPublic #Recessions
-
https://www.europesays.com/uk/546333/ Should investors be worried about the U.S. labor market? #Americas #APAC #article #economics #EMEA #MonthlyMarketPlaybook #MultiAsset #OUSInstitutional #OUSIntermediaries #OUSPublic #Recessions #UnitedStates #us #USA
-
What Could Burst The AI Bubble? #What #Burst #Bubble? #Inflation #Currency #US #Dollar #Exchange #Recessions (MENAFN - T... #news https://menafn.com/1110175379/What-Could-Burst-The-AI-Bubble?Social=on
-
#lipstick 💄 effect in #recessions #research: In 2020, a research team explored whether lipstick purchasers in recessions might be trying to “increase their attractiveness in order to find a mate” or boost their employment prospects, but concluded that they really just wanted a cheaper treat than clothes. https://buff.ly/S5bN2ii
-
#lipstick 💄 effect in #recessions #research: In 2020, a research team explored whether lipstick purchasers in recessions might be trying to “increase their attractiveness in order to find a mate” or boost their employment prospects, but concluded that they really just wanted a cheaper treat than clothes. https://buff.ly/S5bN2ii
-
#lipstick 💄 effect in #recessions #research: In 2020, a research team explored whether lipstick purchasers in recessions might be trying to “increase their attractiveness in order to find a mate” or boost their employment prospects, but concluded that they really just wanted a cheaper treat than clothes. https://buff.ly/S5bN2ii
-
What Does Vibecession Mean?
The term “vibecession” is a relatively new word in the world of economics and personal finance, capturing the feeling of a downturn even when traditional economic indicators suggest otherwise.
Coined by financial analyst and content creator Kyla Scanlon, “vibecession” describes a situation where people feel financially strained or pessimistic despite the economy appearing stable or growing on paper.
The Meaning of Vibecession
Unlike a traditional recession, which is marked by a decline in GDP, rising unemployment, and shrinking consumer spending, a vibecession is more about sentiment. It reflects how individuals perceive the economy rather than the actual economic data. If people feel like they’re struggling financially—even if economic reports show growth—it can lead to behaviors similar to those seen in a real recession, such as cutting back on spending, avoiding large purchases, or increasing savings out of fear.
Buy In This Economy? on Amazon
The Origin of Vibecession
https://youtu.be/T6WxitWk2NU?si=JpV0obEytRFe8m3m
Kyla Scanlon, an economist and financial content creator, introduced the term “vibecession” in 2022 as she observed a disconnect between economic data and public sentiment. While job numbers and stock markets were showing resilience, people were expressing anxiety about inflation, rising interest rates, and general economic uncertainty. This mismatch created a financial landscape where, despite strong employment rates, many Americans felt like they were experiencing a recession in their daily lives.
Scanlon’s term quickly gained traction on social media, as many found it to be an accurate description of what they were experiencing. The viral nature of “vibecession” demonstrates how important consumer sentiment is in shaping economic behavior. If enough people believe the economy is bad, their spending habits change, which can, in turn, influence actual economic performance.
How Vibecession Affects Personal Finance
Whether the economy is in an official recession or a vibecession, the impact on personal finance can be real. People experiencing financial anxiety may:
- Cut back on discretionary spending
- Delay major purchases like homes or cars
- Increase savings in high-yield accounts
- Pay down credit card debt to avoid rising interest charges
- Seek financial advice to improve budgeting and investment strategies
For those pursuing financial independence, it’s crucial to distinguish between economic reality and perception. Staying the course with sound financial principles—such as investing in the S&P 500, maintaining a high-yield savings account, and keeping a budget—can provide stability even during uncertain times.
Buy In This Economy? on Amazon
The concept of “vibecession” highlights the importance of consumer sentiment in shaping economic outcomes. While traditional financial indicators may suggest stability, how people feel about their finances plays a major role in their spending and saving habits. Understanding this psychological side of economics can help individuals make better financial decisions, ensuring they stay on track toward their long-term goals, regardless of whether the economy is truly struggling or just going through a shift in perception.
#BehavioralEconomics #Economics #KylaScanlon #Psychology #Recessions #Vibecession -
Mashable: TikTok creators are sharing their ‘recession hacks’. “The last recession in the U.S. lasted from December 2007 to June 2009, right about when many millennials were leaving college and entering the job market. That economic downturn hit at a pivotal life stage and left a lasting impact. … But because of those challenges, millennials have picked up some smart, practical strategies […]
https://rbfirehose.com/2025/04/21/mashable-tiktok-creators-are-sharing-their-recession-hacks/
-
Mashable: TikTok creators are sharing their ‘recession hacks’. “The last recession in the U.S. lasted from December 2007 to June 2009, right about when many millennials were leaving college and entering the job market. That economic downturn hit at a pivotal life stage and left a lasting impact. … But because of those challenges, millennials have picked up some smart, practical strategies […]
https://rbfirehose.com/2025/04/21/mashable-tiktok-creators-are-sharing-their-recession-hacks/
-
#Oil has yo-yoed both on supply-&-demand issues but also the #MiddleEast ceasefires between #Israel & #Hamas & #Hezbollah that already look under threat.
Q2 doesn't look like it is going to get any easier on the whole.
#Trump will be detailing his grand #global #tariff plan he has dubbed ‘liberation day' on Wednesday. For investors, the big question is whether it will end up triggering #recessions.
-
#Oil has yo-yoed both on supply-&-demand issues but also the #MiddleEast ceasefires between #Israel & #Hamas & #Hezbollah that already look under threat.
Q2 doesn't look like it is going to get any easier on the whole.
#Trump will be detailing his grand #global #tariff plan he has dubbed ‘liberation day' on Wednesday. For investors, the big question is whether it will end up triggering #recessions.
-
#Oil has yo-yoed both on supply-&-demand issues but also the #MiddleEast ceasefires between #Israel & #Hamas & #Hezbollah that already look under threat.
Q2 doesn't look like it is going to get any easier on the whole.
#Trump will be detailing his grand #global #tariff plan he has dubbed ‘liberation day' on Wednesday. For investors, the big question is whether it will end up triggering #recessions.
-
#Oil has yo-yoed both on supply-&-demand issues but also the #MiddleEast ceasefires between #Israel & #Hamas & #Hezbollah that already look under threat.
Q2 doesn't look like it is going to get any easier on the whole.
#Trump will be detailing his grand #global #tariff plan he has dubbed ‘liberation day' on Wednesday. For investors, the big question is whether it will end up triggering #recessions.
-
What is the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)?
The National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) is a leading nonprofit research organization dedicated to understanding the economy and providing insights that affect individuals, businesses, and policymakers. Established in 1920, NBER’s work has shaped economic thought and influenced financial decisions across the United States.
What Does the NBER Do?
The NBER conducts rigorous economic research on various topics, including unemployment, inflation, market trends, and fiscal policies. Its primary mission is to analyze data and deliver findings that help explain economic behavior and predict future trends.
One of NBER’s most well-known roles is determining the official dates of recessions and economic expansions in the U.S. economy. This information is critical for guiding policymakers and providing clarity to businesses and consumers.
How the NBER decides a recession has started
The NBER does not use the popular rule of two straight quarters of falling GDP. A small group called the Business Cycle Dating Committee studies the economy month by month and picks the peaks and troughs. The committee looks at six monthly measures: real personal income excluding government transfers, nonfarm payroll employment, employment measured by the household survey, real personal consumption spending, wholesale and retail sales adjusted for price changes, and industrial production. A recession, in its definition, is a significant decline in economic activity that spreads across the economy and lasts more than a few months.
The committee meets and decides after the fact, so the dates come with a long delay. The Great Recession’s December 2007 peak was not announced until December 2008. The February 2020 peak was announced in June 2020, and the April 2020 trough was not confirmed until July 2021. By the time the official word comes out, the economy has often already turned.
Why NBER announcements arrive too late to trade on
An NBER recession announcement feels like a warning, but it is really a confirmation. Investors who wait for the official call to sell usually sell after prices have already fallen, and investors who wait for the official trough to buy usually buy after prices have recovered. The market is a leading indicator; the NBER is a historian.
The practical takeaway is to plan before the announcement, not react to it. The recession preparation in this post still works: an emergency fund of three to six months of expenses, high-interest debt paid down, and a diversified mix of stocks and bonds you hold through the cycle. The NBER’s real gift to your finances is not a trading signal. It is a reliable record of what past downturns looked like, which is the evidence your long term plan rests on.
Why the NBER Matters for Personal Finance
The NBER’s research impacts personal finance by influencing government policies, interest rates, and the broader economic environment. Understanding their findings can help you make informed financial decisions, especially during periods of economic uncertainty.
Here are some ways NBER’s work can affect your financial journey:
Navigating Recessions
NBER’s announcement of a recession can help you prepare for potential economic challenges. Recessions often lead to job losses, reduced income, and tighter credit markets. Being aware of these economic cycles allows you to:
- Build an Emergency Fund: Aim for three to six months of living expenses in a high-yield savings account.
- Reduce Debt: Pay down high-interest debt to lower your financial risk during uncertain times.
- Diversify Investments: Consider a mix of stocks, bonds, and other assets to weather market volatility.
Best selling money books on Amazon
Understanding Interest Rates
NBER research often informs Federal Reserve decisions on interest rates. Rising interest rates can increase the cost of borrowing, affecting mortgages, car loans, and credit cards. Conversely, lower rates can make borrowing cheaper but may reduce the returns on savings accounts and bonds. Stay informed about rate changes and adjust your financial strategy accordingly.
Making Informed Investment Decisions
NBER’s insights into market trends and economic growth can help guide your investment choices. For example:
- Invest in Broad Market Index Funds: $VOO, an ETF that tracks the S&P 500, remains a strong choice for long-term growth.
- Stay the Course: Avoid panic selling during market downturns. Historical data shows that markets tend to recover over time.
Planning for Inflation
NBER studies on inflation provide valuable context for how rising prices might affect your purchasing power. Protect yourself by:
- Investing in Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS): These bonds adjust with inflation.
- Prioritizing Essential Spending: Focus on fixed expenses over lifestyle expenses during periods of high inflation.
How to Leverage NBER Insights for Financial Success
To incorporate NBER’s findings into your personal finance plan, consider these steps:
- Follow Economic Trends: Stay updated on NBER publications and reports through their website.
- Adjust Your Budget: Align your spending and saving habits with the current economic climate.
- Seek Professional Advice: Consult a financial advisor to tailor your strategy based on NBER data and your goals.
Final Thoughts
The National Bureau of Economic Research plays a pivotal role in shaping our understanding of the economy. By staying informed about their findings, you can anticipate changes in the economic landscape and make smarter financial decisions. Whether preparing for a recession, navigating inflation, or planning investments, leveraging NBER’s insights can help you achieve long-term financial stability and independence.
#Economics #NBER #Recessions -
Little #recessions make big #interest #rates.
-
U.S. President Donald Trump has declined to rule out the possibility that the United States might enter a recession this year, as his tariff threats roil financial markets and stoke unease among consumers. https://www.japantimes.co.jp/business/2025/03/10/economy/us-trump-recession/?utm_medium=Social&utm_source=mastodon #business #economy #globaleconomy #donaldtrump #us #tradewar #tariffs #trade #inflation #recessions
-
U.S. President Donald Trump has declined to rule out the possibility that the United States might enter a recession this year, as his tariff threats roil financial markets and stoke unease among consumers. https://www.japantimes.co.jp/business/2025/03/10/economy/us-trump-recession/?utm_medium=Social&utm_source=mastodon #business #economy #globaleconomy #donaldtrump #us #tradewar #tariffs #trade #inflation #recessions
-
U.S. President Donald Trump has declined to rule out the possibility that the United States might enter a recession this year, as his tariff threats roil financial markets and stoke unease among consumers. https://www.japantimes.co.jp/business/2025/03/10/economy/us-trump-recession/?utm_medium=Social&utm_source=mastodon #business #economy #globaleconomy #donaldtrump #us #tradewar #tariffs #trade #inflation #recessions
-
U.S. President Donald Trump has declined to rule out the possibility that the United States might enter a recession this year, as his tariff threats roil financial markets and stoke unease among consumers. https://www.japantimes.co.jp/business/2025/03/10/economy/us-trump-recession/?utm_medium=Social&utm_source=mastodon #business #economy #globaleconomy #donaldtrump #us #tradewar #tariffs #trade #inflation #recessions
-
Announced #layoffs have 'jumped to levels not seen since the last two #recessions': report https://www.rawstory.com/trump-recession-2671280504/
-
Announced #layoffs have 'jumped to levels not seen since the last two #recessions': report https://www.rawstory.com/trump-recession-2671280504/
-
Announced #layoffs have 'jumped to levels not seen since the last two #recessions': report https://www.rawstory.com/trump-recession-2671280504/
-
Announced #layoffs have 'jumped to levels not seen since the last two #recessions': report https://www.rawstory.com/trump-recession-2671280504/
-
A sharp repricing in U.S. interest rate cut expectations could give more fuel to a searing bond rally triggered by weakening economic data. https://www.japantimes.co.jp/business/2024/08/03/us-recession-bond-rally/ #business #us #fed #interestrates #recessions
-
A sharp repricing in U.S. interest rate cut expectations could give more fuel to a searing bond rally triggered by weakening economic data. https://www.japantimes.co.jp/business/2024/08/03/us-recession-bond-rally/ #business #us #fed #interestrates #recessions
-
A sharp repricing in U.S. interest rate cut expectations could give more fuel to a searing bond rally triggered by weakening economic data. https://www.japantimes.co.jp/business/2024/08/03/us-recession-bond-rally/ #business #us #fed #interestrates #recessions
-
A sharp repricing in U.S. interest rate cut expectations could give more fuel to a searing bond rally triggered by weakening economic data. https://www.japantimes.co.jp/business/2024/08/03/us-recession-bond-rally/ #business #us #fed #interestrates #recessions
-
"#Markets are pricing in roughly 175 basis points of #cuts over the next 18 months. Such a degree of #easing has previously been associated with #recessions, apart from times when real rates were extremely high."
-
Historic Yield Curve Inversion Reaches 656 Days, Echoing Pre-Stock Market Crash Patterns - Based on the latest data, the yield curve of the U.S. Treasury, which charts the y... - https://news.bitcoin.com/historic-yield-curve-inversion-reaches-656-days-echoing-pre-stock-market-crash-patterns/ #1929greatdepression #yieldcurveinversion #wallstreetbets #depressions #bondmarket #recessions #yieldcurve #economics #useconomy #fed
-
Historic Yield Curve Inversion Reaches 656 Days, Echoing Pre-Stock Market Crash Patterns - Based on the latest data, the yield curve of the U.S. Treasury, which charts the y... - https://news.bitcoin.com/historic-yield-curve-inversion-reaches-656-days-echoing-pre-stock-market-crash-patterns/ #1929greatdepression #yieldcurveinversion #wallstreetbets #depressions #bondmarket #recessions #yieldcurve #economics #useconomy #fed
-
Historic Yield Curve Inversion Reaches 656 Days, Echoing Pre-Stock Market Crash Patterns - Based on the latest data, the yield curve of the U.S. Treasury, which charts the y... - https://news.bitcoin.com/historic-yield-curve-inversion-reaches-656-days-echoing-pre-stock-market-crash-patterns/ #1929greatdepression #yieldcurveinversion #wallstreetbets #depressions #bondmarket #recessions #yieldcurve #economics #useconomy #fed
-
Historic Yield Curve Inversion Reaches 656 Days, Echoing Pre-Stock Market Crash Patterns - Based on the latest data, the yield curve of the U.S. Treasury, which charts the y... - https://news.bitcoin.com/historic-yield-curve-inversion-reaches-656-days-echoing-pre-stock-market-crash-patterns/ #1929greatdepression #yieldcurveinversion #wallstreetbets #depressions #bondmarket #recessions #yieldcurve #economics #useconomy #fed
-
#KeirStarmer has faced criticism for publishing an article in the right-wing #Telegraph and praising #MargaretThatcher. However, a study suggests that when the public perceives a party becoming more right-wing, the party gains more votes, particularly during #recessions.
-
#KeirStarmer has faced criticism for publishing an article in the right-wing #Telegraph and praising #MargaretThatcher. However, a study suggests that when the public perceives a party becoming more right-wing, the party gains more votes, particularly during #recessions.
-
RT from Marco Roque (@BaptistaRoque)
Does Gold’s Value Increase During Recessions? 🥇
-
RT from Marco Roque (@BaptistaRoque)
Does Gold’s Value Increase During Recessions? 🥇
-
CW: SVB and bank failures
I’m confused by the media and everyone reacting or reaching for strange explanations of #SVB or the other current bank failures (like being ‘too woke’ or ‘greed and capitalism’ or ‘too much regulation’ or ‘too much deregulation’. Simply, the #FED increased interest rates a lot, recessions very frequently follow interest rate increases, and bank failures frequently occur during those #recessions. This is not an emergency, this was expected. Enjoy your day!
-
CW: SVB and bank failures
I’m confused by the media and everyone reacting or reaching for strange explanations of #SVB or the other current bank failures (like being ‘too woke’ or ‘greed and capitalism’ or ‘too much regulation’ or ‘too much deregulation’. Simply, the #FED increased interest rates a lot, recessions very frequently follow interest rate increases, and bank failures frequently occur during those #recessions. This is not an emergency, this was expected. Enjoy your day!
-
@razumasu Good question. After perusing various sources for a wee bit of time, it appears the tech industry does better than average, but suffers with everyone else.
The companies you mentioned specifically weathered the last #recessions (2008–09, 2018–19) quite differently.
My very assailable assumptions for this hasty conclusion were: (1) it is enough to look at two global recessions; and (2) insight can come from revenue trends alone (very unscientific).
-
@razumasu Good question. After perusing various sources for a wee bit of time, it appears the tech industry does better than average, but suffers with everyone else.
The companies you mentioned specifically weathered the last #recessions (2008–09, 2018–19) quite differently.
My very assailable assumptions for this hasty conclusion were: (1) it is enough to look at two global recessions; and (2) insight can come from revenue trends alone (very unscientific).
-
@razumasu Good question. After perusing various sources for a wee bit of time, it appears the tech industry does better than average, but suffers with everyone else.
The companies you mentioned specifically weathered the last #recessions (2008–09, 2018–19) quite differently.
My very assailable assumptions for this hasty conclusion were: (1) it is enough to look at two global recessions; and (2) insight can come from revenue trends alone (very unscientific).
