#projections — Public Fediverse posts

Radiation trends conduct to revising climate predictions upward.

"Recent data of the amount of heat energy trapped within the Earth system—the energy imbalance—indicates that Earth may actually be warming faster, aligned with models that forecast higher temperatures."

"Our findings indicate that it becomes increasingly difficult to exclude models with strong future warming."

Gyuleva, G., Fischer, E., Knutti, R., & Sippel, S. (2026). "Recent temperature and energy imbalance trends point to higher estimates of future warming" https://doi.org/10.1029/2026EF008356

#anticipation #future #futures #projections #forecast #prediction #climate #climateCollapse #climateChange #globalHeating #globalWarming #climateCrisis #science

1️⃣ Combien serons-nous en 2070 ? Pour répondre à cette question, l’Insee réalise régulièrement des #projections de la population vivant en France. Sur quelles hypothèses s’appuie le nouvel exercice publié en juin 2026 ? Pour en savoir plus. (2/4)
👉 https://blog.insee.fr/projections-de-population-en-france-a-l-horizon-2070/

Beyond The 100-Year Flood - Probabilistic Flood Hazard Assessment For King And Pierce Counties Under Future Climate Scenarios
--
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3231-2026 <-- shared #openacess paper
--
[part of my old stomping ground as an engineering geologist]
H/T @Kees Nederhoff
“Flood maps are usually built from a single design storm. For King and Pierce Counties in the Pacific Northwest (USA), [the authors] tried the opposite - simulate 82 years of actual coastal and river conditions (plus 18 synthetic years) with SFINCS and let the statistics fall out cell by cell. That took about 5,400 yearly simulations and 194,000 CPU hours on USGS's Hovenweep HPC. Worth it!
The design-event shortcut turns out to hide a real hazard. A deterministic 10-year event underestimated flood depths by up to half a meter compared to the continuous runs.
The bigger surprise [to the authors] was how one-sided the climate signal is. One metre of sea level rise takes King County's expected annual flooded area from 161 --> 787 hectares, almost a factor of five. Changes in storminess over the same horizon barely register. And somewhere between 100 and 150 cm of SLR, land that never floods today starts flooding fast. If you plan adaptation in Puget Sound, that threshold matters more than any single return-period map.
[They] also propose Expected Annual Flooded Area (EAFA) as a probability-weighted alternative to the binary "inside or outside the 100-year zone" label…”
#USGS #supercomputing #Hovenweep #HPC #coast #coastal #PNW #Seattle #PacificNorthwest #risk #hazard #riskmanagement #model #modeling #CFRM #deterministic #probabilistic #climatechange #extremeweather #fedscience #WA #KingCounty #PierceCounty #WashingtonState #USA #flood #flooding #compoundflooding #floodmaps #SFINCS #storm #weather #climate #climatechange #rainfall #precipitation #sealevel #sealevelrise #SLR #100yearflood #floodhazardmapping #returnperiods #pluvial #fluvial #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #remotesensing #streamgage #history #historicflooding #projections #predictions
#USGS

@nek
That’s so true - now you say it - there *is* a really noticeable aesthetic to their work - having looked through about two pages of it now, including the Christmas compilation. One briefly showed the tech for the projections; it must be a real art just finding suitable buildings & somewhere safe to project from.
Noticed that below the animation of Patel rolling his eyes was the text: “paid for by Lincoln Project Advocacy” or similar but can’t find anything on their website.

#USPol #protestArt #projections #streetArt #creativeComment

@PeterLG

Modeled #Scenario #Projections for the #Ebola Disease #Outbreak Caused by #Bundibugyo Virus, 2026 (MMWR), https://etidiohnew.blogspot.com/2026/06/modeled-scenario-projections-for-ebola.html

Ah, the classic #scholarly debate: do #Transformers need more than one shiny hat to party? 🤖🎩 Spoiler alert: apparently, someone thought it was worth 2606.04032 pages to answer this. Meanwhile, the real question is, how many #projections does it take to screw in a lightbulb? 😂💡
https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.04032 #Debate #Transformers #Hats #Lightbulb #Humor #HackerNews #ngated

UK doom metal saviors Godthrymm are a damn good band. If you’ve had a chance to listen to either their full-length debut Reflections or their follow-up in 2023’s mighty Distortions, you already know just how talented and outright heavy their brand of doom and traditional metal can get. Then again, you’d also know that their pedigree (with stints in Vallenfyre, Solstice, and of course My Dying Bride, among others) pretty much guaranteed a rock-solid backdrop to their sound. With all that said, I’ve awaited Projections, their final piece to their Visions, for as long as it was announced. Now that it’s upon us, and I’ve had a chance to spend a good, solid week with it, I’ve got some major concerns.

Before I get into the reasons why, let’s focus on the good. There are no poor performances on the album from anybody. Lead-off single “Truth in My Own” is classic Godthrymm through and through, with Hamish Glencross and newcomer Kris McLaughlin throwing down riff after heavy riff, and Hamish’s voice is once again in fine form, especially when he sings alongside his wife, keyboardist Catherine Glencross. Elsewhere, “Endure My Skin” features a fine performance by former My Dying Bride (and current High Parasite) vocalist, Aaron Stainthorpe, reuniting him with Hamish and fellow MDB alumni, drummer Shaun Taylor-Steels. Those two songs are Godthrymm personified.

Sadly, there are four other songs on here,1 and that’s where the concerns lie. Opener “Trenches Deep,” which features Adie Bailey (English Dogs) and Jay Walsh (Xentrix) providing additional vocals, starts off promising enough, but for whatever reason, transitions into a thrash tune that sounds eerily like MDB’s “The Forever People,” and the way it was shoehorned in is anything but natural. At the other end, closer “Hope is Eternal” starts off with an impressive drum fill by Taylor-Steels, and a somber performance by Catherine, until we get to the chorus, which features Catherine wailing “MEEEEEEeeeEEEEEEEEEEEEeeeeeeeeee…” repeatedly. In fact, Catherine features more vocally on this album than Hamish, which isn’t a bad thing at all. I just wish the songs were better, with the other two songs, “Jewels” and “The Sun Never Fell,” not making an impact with me no matter how many times I listen, and no matter who is singing.

It doesn’t help that there are production issues as well. For some inexplicable reason, about halfway through the thrash portion of “Trenches Deep,” there’s a noticeable volume dip, as well as some major compression. I don’t know if this was intentional, but it’s highly off-putting. That volume dip would later reverse itself as “The Sun Never Fell” jacks the volume back up for no reason at all. On my first listen, I thought I was imagining things when it came to the production side, but on repeated listens, they’re right there, and they’re distracting on an album that’s already having a tough time winning me over on a songwriting level. And that absolutely sucks to say, especially since Godthrymm, up until now, has been delivering nothing but slam dunks on each of their preceding albums.

This is not how I envisioned reviewing Projections. In what should have been a hat trick, I’m left baffled and more than a little disappointed. I’m hoping this is just a hiccup, as Godthrymm stand toe-to-toe with the absolute best in British doom metal, rivaling the best that many of the heroes of that genre. With Reflections, they channeled the very best love letter to the classics of yore. On Distortions, they added their own flavor and punch to that sound, resulting in my favorite album of 2023. Sadly, on Projections, I’m listening to this solely for writing this review, and little else. This is not how I wanted things to transpire.

Rating: 2.0/5.0
DR: 6 | Format Reviewed: 320 kbps mp3
Label: Profound Lore
Websites: Bandcamp | Facebook
Releases Worldwide: May 29th, 2026

SpaceX’s IPO Filing Shows Elon’s Twitter ‘Business Genius’ Was A Fantasy

https://fed.brid.gy/r/https://www.techdirt.com/2026/05/22/spacexs-ipo-filing-shows-elons-twitter-business-genius-was-a-fantasy/

Giornata Internazionale dei Planetari

La Giornata Internazionale dei Planetari torna oggi, il 7 maggio 2026 e, come ogni anno, ci invita a riscoprire il cielo con occhi nuovi. Per chi vuole rileggere il percorso iniziato lo scorso anno, ecco l’articolo precedente:

https://perfettamentechic.com/2025/05/07/giornata-internazionale-dei-planetari/

✨ Cosa cambia nel 2026

Il 2026 porta con sé un’energia diversa: più tecnologia, più inclusione, più “meraviglia accessibile”. Ecco le novità più interessanti.

• Planetari immersivi di nuova generazione ⇔ Diversi centri europei inaugurano cupole a risoluzione 12K, con sistemi audio spaziali che ricreano il silenzio cosmico e le vibrazioni stellari. L’esperienza non è più solo visiva: è multisensoriale.
• Accessibilità ampliata ⇔ Arrivano percorsi tattili per persone ipovedenti, mappe stellari in rilievo e narrazioni audio pensate per chi ha difficoltà uditive o cognitive. Il cielo diventa davvero per tutti.
• Notte dei Planetari ⇔ Novità assoluta: una rete di strutture europee organizza una “notte condivisa” con proiezioni sincronizzate, talk con astrofisici e collegamenti live tra città diverse. Un’unica grande cupola virtuale che abbraccia il continente.
• Focus 2026: la vita oltre la Terra ⇔ Molti programmi tematici di quest’anno ruotano attorno alle nuove scoperte sugli esopianeti abitabili e sulle missioni verso Europa ed Encelado. La domanda “siamo soli?” torna protagonista, ma con dati più freschi e suggestioni più audaci.

🌌 Perché celebrarla

Perché i planetari sono ponti: tra scienza e immaginazione, tra passato e futuro, tra ciò che sappiamo e ciò che ancora non riusciamo a spiegare. Nel 2026, più che mai, diventano luoghi dove rallentare, alzare lo sguardo e ricordare che siamo parte di qualcosa di immensamente più grande.

Autore: Lynda Di Natale
Fonte: web
Immagine: AI

Another shot from the excellent BYOB (bring your own beamer) event in Berlin last year. Kühlhaus, a quintessentially Berlin venue, was transformed with unique visuals around every corner and on pretty much every surface imaginable.

#photography #PerformingArts #Berlin #Germany #projections #videoArt

https://leonard.earth/2026/04/28/byob-display-iii/

This is probably the first, last, and only time I’ll ever mention the former “Bad Boy” of “Pop”.

A common motif scattered around the Academy campus is the visage of Robbie Williams. Site-based stage innovators TAIT have built scenery for his prior productions, with the larger than life result donated afterwards to make an effective fire assembly point. In wintry weather I observe it’s not the first time he’s had snow on his nose.

On a smaller scale, a 3D-fabricated sculpture of his face provided a challenging projection mapped surface as my Visuals module heads toward end-of-term assessment. Indulging a desire to integrate facial projection into future projects, this was the ideal static subject to try things out over a few hours of experimental studio time.

Despite any knowledge of his career purely culled by cultural osmosis (really!), I was able to piece together a collage of clips to represent the journey. With a simian base layer invoking the Better Man biopic, I swiftly incorporated his more recent cartoon appearance on a certain cat food commercial. Going back to the KISS-inspired makeup from “Let Me Entertain You”, the montage was topped off with the skin-stripping coda to the “Rock DJ” video. Looping that segment through the projector’s tinny speaker was sufficient to get everyone’s toes tapping – whether they wanted to or not.

Sourcing the elements in short notice was a challenge within itself, necessitating some quick thinking across many resources and creating new ones on the fly. But for a dabble it did the job nicely – despite a few imperfect keystone masks and off-centre aspects.

Although my studies and assessment focus on mastering Green Hippo media servers, I took the opportunity to try something different. Cracking open the case for the first time on our prized Troikatronix Isadora server, I soon found myself a quick learner.

Green Hippo has a warm, organic user interface that sometimes seems counter-intuitive despite its obvious power. Isadora presents a more familiar building-block style of boxes and properties, allowing links to be dragged between outputs and inputs to visualise how everything is hooked up.

My familiarity with node-based workflows such as DaVinci Resolve Fusion, combined with my coding background, made getting to grips with Isadora a cinch. Although I can understand how the blank starting screen can seem intimidating to non-techies.

Although there are likely far more efficient ways to structure my little throw-together, I was able to coax the effect I wanted by combining smaller known sub-processes. This combination of nodes and lines offered mathematical means to make it work where I may have floundered with an artier interface…

… so I guess I’m loving angles instead.