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#probabilisticphysics — Public Fediverse posts

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  1. New Study Finds Clear Cut Logging Can Dramatically Increase Flood Risk
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    theconversation.com/new-study- <-- shared technical media article
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    doi.org/10.1016/j.foreco.2026. <-- shared paper
    --
    H/T @Daniel Pierce | Ramshackle Pictures
    “Here is a clear and simple breakdown of some of the latest bombshell findings out of the UBC Hydrology Lab… using a probabilistic framework, known as attribution science in the climate world. [The researchers] studied two watersheds in BC's Okanagan Valley near Summerland. In this area, they found that climate change was actually making the frequency of floods go down, but forest harvesting counteracted the effects of climate change and increased the flood risk by 10-fold (!!!) turning a 20-year flood into a flood that occurs every two years. [The H/T] truly want to know how the BC government and timber industry are responding to this new science internally. They're absolutely silent on it in public as they continue business as usual…”
    #Nonstationary #Probabilisticphysics #Foresthydrology #Floodfrequencyanalysis #Snowmelt #Causalinference #flood #flooding #forest #forestry #water #hydrology #OkanaganValley #watershed #BC #Canada #BritishCanada #clearcut #logging #harvesting #practices #climatechange #extremeweather #humanimpacts #caseexamples #floodrisk #risk #hazard #probabilistic #framework #attributionscience #policy #planning
    #UniversityofBritishColumbia | #GovernmentofBritishColumbia

  2. New Study Finds Clear Cut Logging Can Dramatically Increase Flood Risk
    --
    theconversation.com/new-study- <-- shared technical media article
    --
    doi.org/10.1016/j.foreco.2026. <-- shared paper
    --
    H/T @Daniel Pierce | Ramshackle Pictures
    “Here is a clear and simple breakdown of some of the latest bombshell findings out of the UBC Hydrology Lab… using a probabilistic framework, known as attribution science in the climate world. [The researchers] studied two watersheds in BC's Okanagan Valley near Summerland. In this area, they found that climate change was actually making the frequency of floods go down, but forest harvesting counteracted the effects of climate change and increased the flood risk by 10-fold (!!!) turning a 20-year flood into a flood that occurs every two years. [The H/T] truly want to know how the BC government and timber industry are responding to this new science internally. They're absolutely silent on it in public as they continue business as usual…”

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