#predictionsmarket — Public Fediverse posts

Speaking of Prediction Markets!

FanDuel's parent Flutter announces upcoming launch of "FanDuel Predicts" a prediction markets platform, in partnership with CME group (the Chicago based derivatives marketplace).

The platform will offer peer-to-peer trades on contracts across baseball, basketball, football, hockey, and on an assortment of benchmarks: S&P 500, Nasdaq-100, prices of oil and gas, gold, cryptocurrencies, and key economic indicators such as GDP and CPI.

Because the contracts are structured as peer-to-peer trades, prediction market providers are regulated as derivatives platforms rather than betting groups, allowing it to bypass restrictions in US states where sports gambling is illegal. https://www.cmegroup.com/media-room/press-releases/2025/11/12/fanduel_and_cme_groupunveilnewpredictionmarketsplatformtolaunchi.html #FanDuel #CME #MarketTrade #Gambling #Trades #Crypto #CryptoCurrencies #StableCoin #CryptoWallets #PredictionsMarket #SP500 #NASDAQ #GDP #CPI #SportsGambling #Gold #Flutter

Stealth "re-launch".

Polymarket, the decentralized prediction platform, previously accused of operating without a license and banned from operating in the USA had reopened its doors with a "beta" release. (polymarket.com) Select users in the USA can now place live, real-money bets on raft of "markets" including professional sports. https://finance.yahoo.com/news/polymarket-quietly-returns-u-073850520.html #Polymarket #MarketTrade #Gambling #Trades #Crypto #CryptoCurrencies #StableCoin #CryptoWallets #PredictionsMarket

Whaaattt? Fake trades on PolyMarket?

Researchers at Columbia University identified that ~ 25% of contracts on PolyMarket were “wash trades,”. Wash trade refer to the practice of buying and selling securities without taking a net position, for the purpose of artificially inflating recorded trading volume - aka
manipulate the market.

Transaction patterns indicative of wash trading trended upward in July 2024, peaking at nearly 60 percent of volume in December 2024. This activity persisted through late April 2025 before subsiding substantially, and increased again to about 20 percent of volume in early October 2025. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=5714122 #Polymarket #Gambling #Trades #WashTrades #MarketManipulation #Crypto #CryptoCurrencies #StableCoin #CryptoWallets #PredictionsMarket #ColumbiaUniversity

Election Fever Pushes Polymarket to $533M in September, Setting New Records - Polymarket hit new milestones in September, with trading volume climbing to $533.5... - https://news.bitcoin.com/election-fever-pushes-polymarket-to-533m-in-september-setting-new-records/ #predictionsmarket #predictivemarkets #presidentialrace #bettingplatform #tradingvolume #openinterest #u.s.election #activeusers #blockchain #polymarket #news

Bettors on Polymarket See 69% Chance of Trump Launching a Token Before Election - Two days ago, former President Donald Trump made headlines by announcing his famil... - https://news.bitcoin.com/bettors-on-polymarket-see-69-chance-of-trump-launching-a-token-before-election/ #worldlibertyfinancial #predictionsmarket #digitalcurrency #cryptocurrency #cryptotoken #blockchain #polymarket #xspaces #trump #news #defi

Bettors on Polymarket See 69% Chance of Trump Launching a Token Before Election - Two days ago, former President Donald Trump made headlines by announcing his famil... - https://news.bitcoin.com/bettors-on-polymarket-see-69-chance-of-trump-launching-a-token-before-election/ #worldlibertyfinancial #predictionsmarket #digitalcurrency #cryptocurrency #cryptotoken #blockchain #polymarket #xspaces #trump #news #defi

Bettors on Polymarket See 69% Chance of Trump Launching a Token Before Election - Two days ago, former President Donald Trump made headlines by announcing his famil... - https://news.bitcoin.com/bettors-on-polymarket-see-69-chance-of-trump-launching-a-token-before-election/ #worldlibertyfinancial #predictionsmarket #digitalcurrency #cryptocurrency #cryptotoken #blockchain #polymarket #xspaces #trump #news #defi

Bettors on Polymarket See 69% Chance of Trump Launching a Token Before Election - Two days ago, former President Donald Trump made headlines by announcing his famil... - https://news.bitcoin.com/bettors-on-polymarket-see-69-chance-of-trump-launching-a-token-before-election/ #worldlibertyfinancial #predictionsmarket #digitalcurrency #cryptocurrency #cryptotoken #blockchain #polymarket #xspaces #trump #news #defi

Prediction market interest fuels launch of PancakeSwap Telegram bot - Interest in prediction markets has been growing since the beginning of 2... - https://cointelegraph.com/news/pancakeswap-launches-prediction-telegram-bot #predictionsmarket #cryptoadoption #pancakeswap #predictions #telegrambot #uselections #telegram #defi #web3

Bets on Harris Slide in Predictions Market After Her Price Controls Plan Sparks Controversy - In a twist of political fortunes, Vice President Kamala Harris, who had been leadi... - https://news.bitcoin.com/bets-on-harris-slide-in-predictions-market-after-her-price-controls-plan-sparks-controversy/ #predictionsmarket #campaignstrategy #economicpolicies #votersentiment #politicalrace #pricecontrols #electionodds #polymarket #harris #trump #news

Polymarket Open Interest Rebounds as August Set to Challenge July’s Record - Polymarket, the leading blockchain-powered predictions platform, saw its highest m... - https://news.bitcoin.com/polymarket-open-interest-rebounds-as-august-set-to-challenge-julys-record/ #blockchaintechnology #predictionsmarket #economicevents #electionimpact #activetraders #tradingvolume #marketgrowth #openinterest #blockchain #polymarket #news