#prediction-markets — Public Fediverse posts

https://www.europesays.com/unitedstates/34498/ Democrats’ Chances of Winning Senate Shift: Nate Silver Forecast #Democrat #DemocraticParty #Democrats #election #Forecast #michigan #MidtermElections #midterms #NateSilver #Ohio #Poll #polling #Polls #PredictionMarkets #PublicOpinion #Republican #RepublicanParty #Senate #texas

ICYMI: Google bans prediction market ads in Connecticut, fifth US state excluded: Effective the day it was posted, October 7, the ban hits CFTC-certified exchanges and brokers. Why the main policy page still left the state off days later. https://ppc.land/google-bans-prediction-market-ads-in-connecticut-fifth-us-state-excluded/ #Google #PredictionMarkets #Connecticut #CryptoNews #AdBan

CFTC Issues New Rules Drawing a Line Between Prediction Markets and Gambling

The U.S. CFTC has introduced new rules separating prediction markets from gambling. Details of the rules were not in the available source material.

https://newisty.com/blog/cftc-issues-new-rules-drawing-a-line-between-prediction-markets-and-gambling?utm_source=social&utm_campaign=crypto_news

#cftc #predictionmarkets #regulation

Supreme Court Asked to Settle Prediction Markets Fight Between Federal and State Regulators

Multiple parties filed amicus briefs urging SCOTUS to take up a case over whether sports prediction markets fall under federal or state gambling rules.

https://newisty.com/blog/supreme-court-asked-to-settle-prediction-markets-fight-between-federal-and-state-regulators?utm_source=social&utm_campaign=crypto_news

#predictionmarkets #scotus #cftc

Blockchain.com Files for US Prediction Markets and Crypto Derivatives Approval

Blockchain.com has applied for regulatory approval to offer prediction markets and crypto derivatives products to US customers.

https://newisty.com/blog/blockchaincom-files-for-us-prediction-markets-and-crypto-derivatives-approval?utm_source=social&utm_campaign=crypto_news

#blockchaincom #cftc #predictionmarkets

Kalshi Investigates Suspicious Bets That Called Trump's Press Secretary Pick Before Announcement

Kalshi is investigating three small bets that correctly predicted Katie Zacharia as Trump's press secretary pick, hours before the news broke.

https://newisty.com/blog/kalshi-investigates-suspicious-bets-that-called-trumps-press-secretary-pick-before-announcement?utm_source=social&utm_campaign=crypto_news

#kalshi #predictionmarkets #insidertrading

https://www.europesays.com/unitedstates/32940/ Everyone wants SCOTUS to take up prediction markets: State of Crypto #newsletters #PredictionMarkets #StateOfCrypto #SupremeCourt

https://www.europesays.com/3304571/ Everyone wants SCOTUS to take up prediction markets: State of Crypto #crypto #cryptocurrency #newsletters #PredictionMarkets #StateOfCrypto

CFTC Proposes to Classify Prediction Market Contracts as Swaps Amid State Legal Fight

The U.S. CFTC issued an interim rule and proposed another to classify prediction market contracts as swaps under federal oversight, sparking pushback from several states.

https://newisty.com/blog/cftc-proposes-to-classify-prediction-market-contracts-as-swaps-amid-state-legal-fight?utm_source=social&utm_campaign=crypto_news

#cftc #predictionmarkets #eventcontracts

CFTC Files Two Proposals to Separate Prediction Markets from Casino Gambling

CFTC filed proposals classifying event contracts as swaps while excluding casino-style gambling, potentially setting up a Supreme Court fight over jurisdiction.

https://newisty.com/blog/cftc-files-two-proposals-to-separate-prediction-markets-from-casino-gambling?utm_source=social&utm_campaign=crypto_news

#cftc #predictionmarkets #kalshi

Google bans prediction market ads in Connecticut, fifth US state excluded: Effective the day it was posted, October 7, the ban hits CFTC-certified exchanges and brokers. Why the main policy page still left the state off days later. https://ppc.land/google-bans-prediction-market-ads-in-connecticut-fifth-us-state-excluded/ #GoogleBan #PredictionMarkets #Connecticut #CFTC #AdRestrictions

CFTC Proposes Explicit Swap Classification for Sports and Event Contracts

The CFTC proposes classifying sports, political, cultural and weather event contracts as swaps, aiming to cement its federal oversight of prediction markets.

https://newisty.com/blog/cftc-proposes-explicit-swap-classification-for-sports-and-event-contracts?utm_source=social&utm_campaign=crypto_news

#cftc #regulation #predictionmarkets

Kalshi Investigates Suspicious Bets Placed Before Trump's Press Secretary Announcement

Prediction market Kalshi probes three trades placed hours before news broke about Katie Zacharia's selection as White House press secretary.

https://newisty.com/blog/kalshi-investigates-suspicious-bets-placed-before-trumps-press-secretary-announcement?utm_source=social&utm_campaign=crypto_news

#kalshi #predictionmarkets #regulation

Blockchain.com Applies for CFTC License to Launch US Prediction Markets

The crypto exchange filed for two regulatory licenses that would let it operate event contracts and derivatives for American retail and institutional investors.

https://newisty.com/blog/blockchaincom-applies-for-cftc-license-to-launch-us-prediction-markets?utm_source=social&utm_campaign=crypto_news

#blockchaincom #cftc #predictionmarkets

Blockchain.com seeks CFTC approval for US prediction markets and crypto derivatives

Crypto platform applies for two federal licenses that would let it offer prediction markets and derivatives trading to US customers.

https://newisty.com/blog/blockchaincom-seeks-cftc-approval-for-us-prediction-markets-and-crypto-derivatives?utm_source=social&utm_campaign=crypto_news

#blockchaincom #cftc #predictionmarkets

NFL asks Supreme Court to let states regulate prediction markets instead of federal regulators

The NFL joined states, former regulator Gary Gensler and former Senator Chris Dodd in asking the Supreme Court to uphold state gambling oversight of prediction markets.

https://newisty.com/blog/nfl-asks-supreme-court-to-let-states-regulate-prediction-markets-instead-of-federal-regulators?utm_source=social&utm_campaign=crypto_news

#predictionmarkets #regulation #cftc

https://youtu.be/ZN4njIQcSR4?si=qMkm5hZTZY1ky6Y5 #gambling #predictionmarkets

NFL Backs New Jersey in Supreme Court Petition Against Prediction Market Platform Kalshi

The NFL joined New Jersey officials in asking the Supreme Court to decide whether prediction market platforms like Kalshi fall under state or federal regulation, citing game integrity and manipulation...

https://newisty.com/blog/nfl-backs-new-jersey-in-supreme-court-petition-against-prediction-market-platform-kalshi?utm_source=social&utm_campaign=crypto_news

#kalshi #predictionmarkets #regulation

#NFL to #SCOTUS : #Sports franchise owners want #StatesRights To #Supercede regulatory oversight of #PredictionMarkets in which #Drumpf family members hold key stakes and endorsement interests

https://www.washingtonsun.com/legal/nfl-kalshi-prediction-markets-supreme-court #Wagering #Gambling

NFL urges the Supreme Court to rule on regulation of prediction markets https://www.rawchili.com/5119042/ #AmicusBrief #appeals #betting #CFTC #consumer #EnforcementCapability #GameIntegrity #integrity #lawyer #league #mcnd #NewJersey #NFL #PredictionMarket #PredictionMarkets #regulation #ruling #sports #state #SupremeCourt

NFL urges the Supreme Court to rule on regulation of prediction markets https://www.rawchili.com/5119007/ #AmicusBrief #appeals #betting #CFTC #consumer #EnforcementCapability #GameIntegrity #integrity #lawyer #league #mcnd #NewJersey #NFL #PredictionMarket #PredictionMarkets #regulation #ruling #sports #state #SupremeCourt

Get over $250 NFL prediction market promos with Kalshi promo code CBSSPORTS55, others for Cowboys-Buccaneers https://www.rawchili.com/5118936/ #BestPredictionMarketApps #BestPredictionMarketPromos #HowToTradeOnNfl #NFL #NflPredictionMarkets #NflPredictions #NFLTrades #NflTrading #NflTradingApps #NflTradingSites #prediction #PredictionMarkets #TradeOnNfl #WhereToTradeOnNfl

NFL urges the Supreme Court to rule on regulation of prediction markets https://www.rawchili.com/mlb/824905/ #Baseball #Giants #MLB #NFL #PredictionMarkets #SanFrancisco #SanFranciscoGiants #SanFrancisco #SanFranciscoGiants #SF #SFGiants #SFGiants #SupremeCourt

NFL urges Supreme Court to decide if feds or states should regulate prediction markets https://www.rawchili.com/5118828/ #Kalshi #NationalFootballLeague #NFL #polymarket #PredictionMarkets

Can GLP-1 drugs help stop compulsive shopping, gambling and other ways people throw away their money?

A growing body of research suggests GLP-1 drugs can do more than just help people lose weight by…
#NewsBeep #News #US #USA #UnitedStates #UnitedStatesOfAmerica #Mentalhealth #finance #gambling #GLP-1 #Health #MentalHealth #predictionmarkets
https://www.newsbeep.com/us/875495/

Can GLP-1 drugs help stop compulsive shopping, gambling and other ways people throw away their money?

A growing body of research suggests GLP-1 drugs can do more than just help people lose weight by…
#NewsBeep #News #Mentalhealth #CA #Canada #Finance #gambling #glp-1 #Health #MentalHealth #predictionmarkets
https://www.newsbeep.com/ca/925671/

NFL urges the Supreme Court to rule on regulation of prediction markets https://www.rawchili.com/5118795/ #NFL #PredictionMarkets #SupremeCourt

Worm affiliate program review: a Solana prediction market with no referral program yet, paying whoever creates a market half of a 2% maker and 4% taker fee on it, per trade in USDC. No company named, no terms of service, no country list. DefiLlama models $9,280 to all creators in Q3 2026; the eight user-created markets we found open had $234 of volume between them. 5.5/10

https://adbench.io/worm-affiliate-program-review/

#crypto #affiliate #predictionmarkets

https://www.europesays.com/3297940/ Crypto moves beyond digital assets into community formation and price discovery #blockchain #CapitalFormation #CommunityFormation #crypto #CryptoInfrastructure #cryptocurrency #DigitalIdentity #liquidity #OnChainOwnership #PredictionMarkets #PriceDiscovery #tokenisation

Prediction markets hit a record $78.2B in September notional volume. A Q3 2026 preview of trading, billion-dollar deal headlines and sports. https://hackernoon.com/prediction-market-volume-surges-to-$782-billion-as-sports-trading-takes-off #predictionmarkets

Coinbase Adds 15-Minute and Hourly Crypto Prediction Markets for U.S. Users

Coinbase opened 15-minute and hourly crypto price markets to U.S. customers, with ten tokens listed and Kalshi operating the markets behind the app.

https://newisty.com/blog/coinbase-adds-15-minute-and-hourly-crypto-prediction-markets-for-us-users?utm_source=social&utm_campaign=crypto_news

#coinbase #predictionmarkets #kalshi

Get over $250 in NFL prediction market promos with Kalshi promo code CBSSPORTS55, others for Saints-Falcons

NFL prediction market apps like Kalshi and Polymarket are offering lucrative predic…
#NewsBeep #News #NFL #AU #Australia #bestpredictionmarketapps #bestpredictionmarketpromos #howtotradeonnfl #nflpredictionmarkets #nflpredictions #nfltrades #nfltrading #nfltradingapps #nfltradingsites #prediction #predictionmarkets #sports #tradeonnfl #wheretotradeonnfl
https://www.newsbeep.com/au/917581/

Why shouldn't politicians bet on their own elections? Rep. Don Davis has introduced a bill to ban federal candidates from trading prediction market contracts on their own races, following his opponent's past trades. Davis believes candidates should face the same restrictions as athletes to prevent insider trading and protect public trust. Clear rules are essential when elections become financial instruments. Discover the full implications. https://www.cnbc.com/2026/10/05/don-davis-prediction-market-candidate-trading.html #PredictionMarkets #ElectionIntegrity #DonDavis

#CBS News, under Bari Weiss, partnered with #Kalshi for #electioncoverage, joining #CNN and #CNBC in #legitimising #predictionmarkets. Critics warn of #insidertrading and #gamblingrisks, while ProPublica, NPR, Time and the New York Times ban staff bets. https://futurism.com/future-society/news-organizations-cbs-prediction-markets-journalism?eicker.news #tech #news #ainews

A Prediction Market About the Past? Sure, Why Not!

https://fed.brid.gy/r/https://www.wired.com/story/a-prediction-market-about-the-past-sure-why-not/

https://www.europesays.com/unitedstates/?p=13351 Should We Ever Trust Polls Again?  #2026Midterms #DemocraticPrimaries #Elections #Kalshi #michigan #olling #PoliticalPolls #Polls #PredictionMarkets #PublicOpinion #PublicPolicyPolling #wisconsin

Colts vs. Commanders odds, picks, NFL London predictions: Use Kalshi promo code CBSSPORTS55 for $55 bonus https://www.rawchili.com/5114797/ #betting #IndianapolisColts #Kalshi #KalshiNfl #KalshiNflProps #KalshiPromo #KalshiPromoCode #KalshiProps #KalshiReferralCode #KalshiTrading #NFL #NflPicks #NflPredictions #prediction #PredictionMarkets #SportsTrading #TylerWarren #WashingtonCommanders

How Everything Became Gambling

https://web.brid.gy/r/https://www.nytimes.com/2026/10/04/magazine/gambling-prediction-markets-statistics.html

How Everything Became Gambling

https://fed.brid.gy/r/https://www.nytimes.com/2026/10/04/magazine/gambling-prediction-markets-statistics.html

@jon It depends on where you are. In a lot of places this is not allowed.

Many European Regulators, and the EU’s European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA), do consider prediction markets gambling and companies are lobbying to get reclassified. I doubt it will work. https://www.engadget.com/2265021/polymarket-lobbying-eu-regulators-to-not-be-seen-as-gambling-website/

#PredictionMarkets

UK urged to act as Polymarket takes bets on whether HSBC and Lloyds will fail https://www.theguardian.com/business/2026/oct/03/uk-polymarket-hsbc-lloyds-failures-banks #Banking #Hsbc #LloydsBankingGroup #Business #Polymarket #PredictionMarkets #WorldNews #UkNews #Gambling #BanksAndBuildingSocieties #FinancialSector #Regulators

UK urged to act as Polymarket takes bets on whether HSBC and Lloyds will fail
By Kalyeena Makortoff Banking correspondent

Revelation comes amid mounting concern over online prediction market’s effects on integrity of financial system

https://www.theguardian.com/business/2026/oct/03/uk-polymarket-hsbc-lloyds-failures-banks

#Banking #HSBC #LloydsBankingGroup #Business #Polymarket #Predictionmarkets #Worldnews #UKnews #Gambling #Banksandbuildingsocieties #Financialsector #Regulators #TheGuardian #KalyeenaMakortoffBankingcorrespondent

https://www.europesays.com/conflicts/20229/ Justice Department Says Binary Event Contracts Are Swaps #Army #DOJ #EventContract #EventContracts #GannonKenVanDyke #InsiderTrading #JusticeDepartment #NicolásMaduro #Polymarket #PredictionMarket #PredictionMarkets #SpecialForces #SportsContract #SportsEventContract #SportsPredictions #swap #swaps #USArmy #VanDyke

Ex-Vanguard exec aims to launch Canada’s first investment dealer solely focused on prediction markets

Atul Tiwari and fellow domestic finance vets seek regulatory approval to build Verdx.
Former Vanguard Canada CEO…
#Canada #atultiwari #bmoetfs #briefs #CIRO #CSA #fintech #govt #interactivebrokers #jimandriopoulos #michaelwilliams #ontario #predictionmarkets #Toronto #VanguardCanada #verdx #wealthsimple
https://www.europesays.com/canada/234925/

I am not a fan of gambling. Never have been. Personally I think most all gambling should be banned. Maybe with some limited exceptions.

What I am more than disgusted by is the so called prediction markets. That looks like the worst kind of gambling and marketed as just stats. TV channels, such as CNN, include gambling results from these companies as something equal to polling. Hidden marketing is a more accurate term.

There is also a lot of examples of people gambling on things they know the outcome of. Maybe not a big surprise with something like this.

Where are the regulators? Why is this allowed?

#PredictionMarkets #Scam #CNN #Politics

Victor Wembanyama said no to gambling money. In today’s NBA, that feels radical | Owen Lewis
By Owen Lewis

As LeBron James and other NBA stars wholeheartedly embrace the murk of betting and prediction markets, the San Antonio Spurs’ 22-year-old cornerstone has drawn a refreshing line

https://www.theguardian.com/sport/2026/oct/02/victor-wembanyama-sports-betting-gambling-nba

#VictorWembanyama #Sport #SanAntonioSpurs #Sportbetting #Gambling #USsports #Polymarket #Predictionmarkets #TheGuardian #OwenLewis

Victor Wembanyama said no to gambling money. In today’s NBA, that feels radical | Owen Lewis https://www.theguardian.com/sport/2026/oct/02/victor-wembanyama-sports-betting-gambling-nba #VictorWembanyama #Sport #SanAntonioSpurs #SportBetting #Gambling #UsSports #Polymarket #PredictionMarkets

Victor Wembanyama calls out NBA players promoting gambling https://www.rawchili.com/nba/848863/ #Basketball #NBA #Polymarket #PredictionMarkets #SanAntonio #SanAntonioSpurs #SanAntonio #SanAntonioSpurs #SportsBetting #spurs #VictorWembanyama

Get over $250 in NFL prediction market promos with Kalshi promo code CBSSPORTS55 plus more on Sunday https://www.rawchili.com/5108824/ #BestPredictionMarketApps #BestPredictionMarketPromos #HowToTradeOnNfl #NFL #NflPredictionMark #NflPredictionMarkets #NFLTrades #NflTrading #NflTradingApps #NflTradingSites #prediction #PredictionMarkets #TradeOnNfl #WhereToTradeOnNfl

Kalshi promo code CBSSPORTS55: Get $55 bonus for Clemson-California, college football trades on Friday https://www.rawchili.com/nfl/1010829/ #CaliforniaGoldenBears #ClemsonTigers #CollegeFootball #CollegeFootballPicks #CollegeFootballPredictions #CollegeFootballTrading #Football #KalshiCollegeFootball #KalshiPromoCode #KalshiReferralCode #KalshiTrading #prediction #PredictionMarkets #SportsTrading

Would you bet on the future of our planet?
By Oliver Milman

Prediction markets are focusing on extreme weather and the climate crisis. But it’s led to questions about what exactly people are betting on

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2026/sep/24/down-to-earth-can-you-bet-on-the-future-of-the-climate

#Environment #Predictionmarkets #Gambling #Extremeweather #Worldnews #USweather #Climatecrisis #TheGuardian #OliverMilman

Would you bet on the future of our planet? https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2026/sep/24/down-to-earth-can-you-bet-on-the-future-of-the-climate #Environment #PredictionMarkets #Gambling #ExtremeWeather #WorldNews #UsWeather #ClimateCrisis

Draymond Green on LeBron’s Polymarket Deal: ‘I Think It’s Great’ https://www.rawchili.com/nba/842764/ #Basketball #centerpiece #GoldenStateWarriors #NBA #Philadelphia76ers #PredictionMarkets

Best Kalshi promo code CBSSPORTS55: Get $55 bonus for Falcons-Packers, NFL, Braves-Reds, MLB on Wednesday https://www.rawchili.com/5105494/ #AtlantaBraves #AtlantaFalcons #betting #ChicagoCubs #CincinnatiReds #GreenBayPackers #KalshiPromo #KalshiPromoCode #KalshiReferralCode #KalshiTrading #MiamiMarlins #MLB #MlbPicks #MlbPredictions #MlbPromos #NFL #NflPicks #NflPredictions #NflPromos #prediction #PredictionMarkets #SportsTrading

Ryan Smith Doesn’t Want Betting to Take Over Sports https://www.rawchili.com/nba/841196/ #Basketball #Jazz #NBA #nhl #PortfolioPlayers #PredictionMarkets #RyanSmith #Utah #UtahJazz #UtahMammoth #UtahJazz

The world’s rivers are at breaking point. Can we save them before it is too late?
By Bibi van der Zee

In this week’s newsletter: As the Guardian launches a year-long project, Our Rivers, we take stock of the issues facing waterways around the world

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2026/sep/17/down-to-earth-our-rivers-project

#Environment #Extremeweather #Wildfires #Climatecrisis #Predictionmarkets #Gambling #TheGuardian #BibivanderZee

The world’s rivers are at breaking point. Can we save them before it is too late? https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2026/sep/17/down-to-earth-our-rivers-project #Environment #ExtremeWeather #Wildfires #ClimateCrisis #PredictionMarkets #Gambling

In relationships like these - I find it interesting to ponder the question "Who needs the other guy more" OR stated another way = Who is the "Big Dog" and who is the "Little Dog" in the relationship?

Prediction Markets PolyMarket and Kalshi are very willing to share their markets data with Communications and News outlets - aka Dow Jones, Substack, CNN, CNBC, and Fox etc....

What happens to these "collaborations" if Polymarket and/or Kalshi move more aggressively into "media content" and begin to offer editorial products (as some commentators think they will) in addition to their prediction markets??? https://www.wired.com/story/prediction-markets-polymarket-media-company-kalshi/ #PredictionMarkets #PolyMarket #Kalshi #Gambling #Media #MediaContent #Marketing #Partnership #DataSharing #News #MediaOutlets #MainstreamMedia #SocialMedia #Ragebaiting

Polymarket’s Next Bet? It Can Also Be a Media Company

https://fed.brid.gy/r/https://www.wired.com/story/prediction-markets-polymarket-media-company-kalshi/

A circuit split could put the future of sports event contracts listed on prediction markets before the Supreme Court, implicating the balance between federal CFTC oversight and state gaming laws.

#EventContracts #PredictionMarkets

https://www.zwillgen.com/gaming/sports-bets-swaps-circuit-split-may-push-prediction-markets-toward-supreme-court