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  1. Beyond The 100-Year Flood - Probabilistic Flood Hazard Assessment For King And Pierce Counties Under Future Climate Scenarios
    --
    doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3231- <-- shared #openacess paper
    --
    [part of my old stomping ground as an engineering geologist]
    H/T @Kees Nederhoff
    “Flood maps are usually built from a single design storm. For King and Pierce Counties in the Pacific Northwest (USA), [the authors] tried the opposite - simulate 82 years of actual coastal and river conditions (plus 18 synthetic years) with SFINCS and let the statistics fall out cell by cell. That took about 5,400 yearly simulations and 194,000 CPU hours on USGS's Hovenweep HPC. Worth it!
    The design-event shortcut turns out to hide a real hazard. A deterministic 10-year event underestimated flood depths by up to half a meter compared to the continuous runs.
    The bigger surprise [to the authors] was how one-sided the climate signal is. One metre of sea level rise takes King County's expected annual flooded area from 161 --> 787 hectares, almost a factor of five. Changes in storminess over the same horizon barely register. And somewhere between 100 and 150 cm of SLR, land that never floods today starts flooding fast. If you plan adaptation in Puget Sound, that threshold matters more than any single return-period map.
    [They] also propose Expected Annual Flooded Area (EAFA) as a probability-weighted alternative to the binary "inside or outside the 100-year zone" label…”
    #USGS #supercomputing #Hovenweep #HPC #coast #coastal #PNW #Seattle #PacificNorthwest #risk #hazard #riskmanagement #model #modeling #CFRM #deterministic #probabilistic #climatechange #extremeweather #fedscience #WA #KingCounty #PierceCounty #WashingtonState #USA #flood #flooding #compoundflooding #floodmaps #SFINCS #storm #weather #climate #climatechange #rainfall #precipitation #sealevel #sealevelrise #SLR #100yearflood #floodhazardmapping #returnperiods #pluvial #fluvial #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #remotesensing #streamgage #history #historicflooding #projections #predictions
    #USGS

  2. Beyond The 100-Year Flood - Probabilistic Flood Hazard Assessment For King And Pierce Counties Under Future Climate Scenarios
    --
    doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3231- <-- shared #openacess paper
    --
    [part of my old stomping ground as an engineering geologist]
    H/T @Kees Nederhoff
    “Flood maps are usually built from a single design storm. For King and Pierce Counties in the Pacific Northwest (USA), [the authors] tried the opposite - simulate 82 years of actual coastal and river conditions (plus 18 synthetic years) with SFINCS and let the statistics fall out cell by cell. That took about 5,400 yearly simulations and 194,000 CPU hours on USGS's Hovenweep HPC. Worth it!
    The design-event shortcut turns out to hide a real hazard. A deterministic 10-year event underestimated flood depths by up to half a meter compared to the continuous runs.
    The bigger surprise [to the authors] was how one-sided the climate signal is. One metre of sea level rise takes King County's expected annual flooded area from 161 --> 787 hectares, almost a factor of five. Changes in storminess over the same horizon barely register. And somewhere between 100 and 150 cm of SLR, land that never floods today starts flooding fast. If you plan adaptation in Puget Sound, that threshold matters more than any single return-period map.
    [They] also propose Expected Annual Flooded Area (EAFA) as a probability-weighted alternative to the binary "inside or outside the 100-year zone" label…”
    #USGS #supercomputing #Hovenweep #HPC #coast #coastal #PNW #Seattle #PacificNorthwest #risk #hazard #riskmanagement #model #modeling #CFRM #deterministic #probabilistic #climatechange #extremeweather #fedscience #WA #KingCounty #PierceCounty #WashingtonState #USA #flood #flooding #compoundflooding #floodmaps #SFINCS #storm #weather #climate #climatechange #rainfall #precipitation #sealevel #sealevelrise #SLR #100yearflood #floodhazardmapping #returnperiods #pluvial #fluvial #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #remotesensing #streamgage #history #historicflooding #projections #predictions
    #USGS

  3. Beyond The 100-Year Flood - Probabilistic Flood Hazard Assessment For King And Pierce Counties Under Future Climate Scenarios
    --
    doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3231- <-- shared #openacess paper
    --
    [part of my old stomping ground as an engineering geologist]
    H/T @Kees Nederhoff
    “Flood maps are usually built from a single design storm. For King and Pierce Counties in the Pacific Northwest (USA), [the authors] tried the opposite - simulate 82 years of actual coastal and river conditions (plus 18 synthetic years) with SFINCS and let the statistics fall out cell by cell. That took about 5,400 yearly simulations and 194,000 CPU hours on USGS's Hovenweep HPC. Worth it!
    The design-event shortcut turns out to hide a real hazard. A deterministic 10-year event underestimated flood depths by up to half a meter compared to the continuous runs.
    The bigger surprise [to the authors] was how one-sided the climate signal is. One metre of sea level rise takes King County's expected annual flooded area from 161 --> 787 hectares, almost a factor of five. Changes in storminess over the same horizon barely register. And somewhere between 100 and 150 cm of SLR, land that never floods today starts flooding fast. If you plan adaptation in Puget Sound, that threshold matters more than any single return-period map.
    [They] also propose Expected Annual Flooded Area (EAFA) as a probability-weighted alternative to the binary "inside or outside the 100-year zone" label…”
    #USGS #supercomputing #Hovenweep #HPC #coast #coastal #PNW #Seattle #PacificNorthwest #risk #hazard #riskmanagement #model #modeling #CFRM #deterministic #probabilistic #climatechange #extremeweather #fedscience #WA #KingCounty #PierceCounty #WashingtonState #USA #flood #flooding #compoundflooding #floodmaps #SFINCS #storm #weather #climate #climatechange #rainfall #precipitation #sealevel #sealevelrise #SLR #100yearflood #floodhazardmapping #returnperiods #pluvial #fluvial #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #remotesensing #streamgage #history #historicflooding #projections #predictions
    #USGS

  4. Beyond The 100-Year Flood - Probabilistic Flood Hazard Assessment For King And Pierce Counties Under Future Climate Scenarios
    --
    doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3231- <-- shared #openacess paper
    --
    [part of my old stomping ground as an engineering geologist]
    H/T @Kees Nederhoff
    “Flood maps are usually built from a single design storm. For King and Pierce Counties in the Pacific Northwest (USA), [the authors] tried the opposite - simulate 82 years of actual coastal and river conditions (plus 18 synthetic years) with SFINCS and let the statistics fall out cell by cell. That took about 5,400 yearly simulations and 194,000 CPU hours on USGS's Hovenweep HPC. Worth it!
    The design-event shortcut turns out to hide a real hazard. A deterministic 10-year event underestimated flood depths by up to half a meter compared to the continuous runs.
    The bigger surprise [to the authors] was how one-sided the climate signal is. One metre of sea level rise takes King County's expected annual flooded area from 161 --> 787 hectares, almost a factor of five. Changes in storminess over the same horizon barely register. And somewhere between 100 and 150 cm of SLR, land that never floods today starts flooding fast. If you plan adaptation in Puget Sound, that threshold matters more than any single return-period map.
    [They] also propose Expected Annual Flooded Area (EAFA) as a probability-weighted alternative to the binary "inside or outside the 100-year zone" label…”
    #USGS #supercomputing #Hovenweep #HPC #coast #coastal #PNW #Seattle #PacificNorthwest #risk #hazard #riskmanagement #model #modeling #CFRM #deterministic #probabilistic #climatechange #extremeweather #fedscience #WA #KingCounty #PierceCounty #WashingtonState #USA #flood #flooding #compoundflooding #floodmaps #SFINCS #storm #weather #climate #climatechange #rainfall #precipitation #sealevel #sealevelrise #SLR #100yearflood #floodhazardmapping #returnperiods #pluvial #fluvial #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #remotesensing #streamgage #history #historicflooding #projections #predictions
    #USGS

  5. Beyond The 100-Year Flood - Probabilistic Flood Hazard Assessment For King And Pierce Counties Under Future Climate Scenarios
    --
    doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3231- <-- shared paper
    --
    [part of my old stomping ground as an engineering geologist]
    H/T @Kees Nederhoff
    “Flood maps are usually built from a single design storm. For King and Pierce Counties in the Pacific Northwest (USA), [the authors] tried the opposite - simulate 82 years of actual coastal and river conditions (plus 18 synthetic years) with SFINCS and let the statistics fall out cell by cell. That took about 5,400 yearly simulations and 194,000 CPU hours on USGS's Hovenweep HPC. Worth it!
    The design-event shortcut turns out to hide a real hazard. A deterministic 10-year event underestimated flood depths by up to half a meter compared to the continuous runs.
    The bigger surprise [to the authors] was how one-sided the climate signal is. One metre of sea level rise takes King County's expected annual flooded area from 161 --> 787 hectares, almost a factor of five. Changes in storminess over the same horizon barely register. And somewhere between 100 and 150 cm of SLR, land that never floods today starts flooding fast. If you plan adaptation in Puget Sound, that threshold matters more than any single return-period map.
    [They] also propose Expected Annual Flooded Area (EAFA) as a probability-weighted alternative to the binary "inside or outside the 100-year zone" label…”

  6. Puyallup Tribe hosts free FIFA World Cup watch party

    TACOMA, WA – For every local FIFA World Cup 2026 match, the Puyallup Tribe of Indians is hosting…
    #Football #Soccer #WorldCup2026 #News #PierceCounty #Puyallup #sports #Tacoma #Us #WA #WorldCup
    europesays.com/football/11621/

  7. Hype for the Future 205P: Village of Spring Valley, Wisconsin

    Overview The Village of Spring Valley is a small village located in the northeastern portion of Pierce County and north into Saint Croix County in the State of Wisconsin, home to the Crystal Cave attraction and Mooney’s Rusty Horse Bar and Grill. The community is located chiefly along the Route 29 corridor and to the west of Route 128.

    novatopflex.wordpress.com/2026

  8. Hype for the Future 205P: Village of Spring Valley, Wisconsin

    Overview The Village of Spring Valley is a small village located in the northeastern portion of Pierce County and north into Saint Croix County in the State of Wisconsin, home to the Crystal Cave attraction and Mooney’s Rusty Horse Bar and Grill. The community is located chiefly along the Route 29 corridor and to the west of Route 128.

    novatopflex.wordpress.com/2026

  9. Hype for the Future 205P: Village of Spring Valley, Wisconsin

    Overview The Village of Spring Valley is a small village located in the northeastern portion of Pierce County and north into Saint Croix County in the State of Wisconsin, home to the Crystal Cave attraction and Mooney’s Rusty Horse Bar and Grill. The community is located chiefly along the Route 29 corridor and to the west of Route 128.

    novatopflex.wordpress.com/2026

  10. Hype for the Future 205P: Village of Spring Valley, Wisconsin

    Overview The Village of Spring Valley is a small village located in the northeastern portion of Pierce County and north into Saint Croix County in the State of Wisconsin, home to the Crystal Cave attraction and Mooney’s Rusty Horse Bar and Grill. The community is located chiefly along the Route 29 corridor and to the west of Route 128.

    novatopflex.wordpress.com/2026

  11. Hype for the Future 205P: Village of Spring Valley, Wisconsin

    Overview The Village of Spring Valley is a small village located in the northeastern portion of Pierce County and north into Saint Croix County in the State of Wisconsin, home to the Crystal Cave attraction and Mooney’s Rusty Horse Bar and Grill. The community is located chiefly along the Route 29 corridor and to the west of Route 128.

    novatopflex.wordpress.com/2026

  12. Hype for the Future 202F: Minneapolis—Saint Paul Area Communities

    Introduction The Minneapolis—Saint Paul area is a notable metropolitan area that serves as the primary population core of the entirety of the State of Minnesota, with numerous urban, suburban, and exurban communities largely included within Hennepin, Ramsey, Anoka, Washington, Dakota, Sherburne, Wright, and Carver Counties in Minnesota; and in Saint Croix and Pierce Counties in Wisconsin. County Seats The county seats of the associated counties of the Twin Cities area are the respective […]

    novatopflex.wordpress.com/2026

  13. Hype for the Future 202F: Minneapolis—Saint Paul Area Communities

    Introduction The Minneapolis—Saint Paul area is a notable metropolitan area that serves as the primary population core of the entirety of the State of Minnesota, with numerous urban, suburban, and exurban communities largely included within Hennepin, Ramsey, Anoka, Washington, Dakota, Sherburne, Wright, and Carver Counties in Minnesota; and in Saint Croix and Pierce Counties in Wisconsin. County Seats The county seats of the associated counties of the Twin Cities area are the respective […]

    novatopflex.wordpress.com/2026

  14. Hype for the Future 202F: Minneapolis—Saint Paul Area Communities

    Introduction The Minneapolis—Saint Paul area is a notable metropolitan area that serves as the primary population core of the entirety of the State of Minnesota, with numerous urban, suburban, and exurban communities largely included within Hennepin, Ramsey, Anoka, Washington, Dakota, Sherburne, Wright, and Carver Counties in Minnesota; and in Saint Croix and Pierce Counties in Wisconsin. County Seats The county seats of the associated counties of the Twin Cities area are the respective […]

    novatopflex.wordpress.com/2026

  15. Hype for the Future 202F: Minneapolis—Saint Paul Area Communities

    Introduction The Minneapolis—Saint Paul area is a notable metropolitan area that serves as the primary population core of the entirety of the State of Minnesota, with numerous urban, suburban, and exurban communities largely included within Hennepin, Ramsey, Anoka, Washington, Dakota, Sherburne, Wright, and Carver Counties in Minnesota; and in Saint Croix and Pierce Counties in Wisconsin. County Seats The county seats of the associated counties of the Twin Cities area are the respective […]

    novatopflex.wordpress.com/2026

  16. Hype for the Future 202F: Minneapolis—Saint Paul Area Communities

    Explore the rich cultural tapestry of the Minneapolis-Saint Paul area, where historic sites, modern amenities, and natural beauty coexist harmoniously. Discover the unique charm of Elk River and Anoka, and immerse yourself in the region's vibrant community spirit.

    novatopflex.wordpress.com/2026

  17. Hype for the Future 180C → City of Norfolk, Nebraska (plus Northeast Nebraska)

    Introduction The City of Norfolk is a city located in the northeastern portion of the State of Nebraska, located north of the major corridor that contains Omaha, Lincoln, Grand Island, Hastings, Kearney, and North Platte. Located in Madison County, the community is the seventh-largest city in the State of Nebraska and is located north of the City of Madison, which serves as the county seat. Today, Norfolk is a community located at the junction of Routes 81 and 275, with the Norfolk Lodge and […]

    novatopflex.wordpress.com/2026

  18. Hype for the Future 180C → City of Norfolk, Nebraska (plus Northeast Nebraska)

    Introduction The City of Norfolk is a city located in the northeastern portion of the State of Nebraska, located north of the major corridor that contains Omaha, Lincoln, Grand Island, Hastings, Kearney, and North Platte. Located in Madison County, the community is the seventh-largest city in the State of Nebraska and is located north of the City of Madison, which serves as the county seat. Today, Norfolk is a community located at the junction of Routes 81 and 275, with the Norfolk Lodge and […]

    novatopflex.wordpress.com/2026

  19. Hype for the Future 180C → City of Norfolk, Nebraska (plus Northeast Nebraska)

    Introduction The City of Norfolk is a city located in the northeastern portion of the State of Nebraska, located north of the major corridor that contains Omaha, Lincoln, Grand Island, Hastings, Kearney, and North Platte. Located in Madison County, the community is the seventh-largest city in the State of Nebraska and is located north of the City of Madison, which serves as the county seat. Today, Norfolk is a community located at the junction of Routes 81 and 275, with the Norfolk Lodge and […]

    novatopflex.wordpress.com/2026

  20. Hype for the Future 180C → City of Norfolk, Nebraska (plus Northeast Nebraska)

    Introduction The City of Norfolk is a city located in the northeastern portion of the State of Nebraska, located north of the major corridor that contains Omaha, Lincoln, Grand Island, Hastings, Kearney, and North Platte. Located in Madison County, the community is the seventh-largest city in the State of Nebraska and is located north of the City of Madison, which serves as the county seat. Today, Norfolk is a community located at the junction of Routes 81 and 275, with the Norfolk Lodge and […]

    novatopflex.wordpress.com/2026

  21. Hype for the Future 180C → City of Norfolk, Nebraska (plus Northeast Nebraska)

    Introduction The City of Norfolk is a city located in the northeastern portion of the State of Nebraska, located north of the major corridor that contains Omaha, Lincoln, Grand Island, Hastings, Kearney, and North Platte. Located in Madison County, the community is the seventh-largest city in the State of Nebraska and is located north of the City of Madison, which serves as the county seat. Today, Norfolk is a community located at the junction of Routes 81 and 275, with the Norfolk Lodge and […]

    novatopflex.wordpress.com/2026

  22. Hype for the Future 153A: City of Blackshear, Georgia

    Introduction The City of Blackshear is a city located within and the county seat of Pierce County, Georgia, located along United States Routes 84 and Georgia State Routes 15 and 203. Route 84 is the principal highway, providing access to the larger City of Waycross in Ware County to the southwest and the City of Jesup in Wayne County to the northeast. Traffic The City of Blackshear is a community conveniently located between the Cites of Waycross and Jesup along Route 84 and numerous […]

    novatopflex.wordpress.com/2026

  23. Hype for the Future 153A: City of Blackshear, Georgia

    Introduction The City of Blackshear is a city located within and the county seat of Pierce County, Georgia, located along United States Routes 84 and Georgia State Routes 15 and 203. Route 84 is the principal highway, providing access to the larger City of Waycross in Ware County to the southwest and the City of Jesup in Wayne County to the northeast. Traffic The City of Blackshear is a community conveniently located between the Cites of Waycross and Jesup along Route 84 and numerous […]

    novatopflex.wordpress.com/2026

  24. Hype for the Future 153A: City of Blackshear, Georgia

    Introduction The City of Blackshear is a city located within and the county seat of Pierce County, Georgia, located along United States Routes 84 and Georgia State Routes 15 and 203. Route 84 is the principal highway, providing access to the larger City of Waycross in Ware County to the southwest and the City of Jesup in Wayne County to the northeast. Traffic The City of Blackshear is a community conveniently located between the Cites of Waycross and Jesup along Route 84 and numerous […]

    novatopflex.wordpress.com/2026

  25. Hype for the Future 153A: City of Blackshear, Georgia

    Introduction The City of Blackshear is a city located within and the county seat of Pierce County, Georgia, located along United States Routes 84 and Georgia State Routes 15 and 203. Route 84 is the principal highway, providing access to the larger City of Waycross in Ware County to the southwest and the City of Jesup in Wayne County to the northeast. Traffic The City of Blackshear is a community conveniently located between the Cites of Waycross and Jesup along Route 84 and numerous […]

    novatopflex.wordpress.com/2026

  26. Hype for the Future 153A: City of Blackshear, Georgia

    Introduction The City of Blackshear is a city located within and the county seat of Pierce County, Georgia, located along United States Routes 84 and Georgia State Routes 15 and 203. Route 84 is the principal highway, providing access to the larger City of Waycross in Ware County to the southwest and the City of Jesup in Wayne County to the northeast. Traffic The City of Blackshear is a community conveniently located between the Cites of Waycross and Jesup along Route 84 and numerous […]

    novatopflex.wordpress.com/2026

  27. Hype for the Future 79Y: City of Rugby, North Dakota

    Overview Located in the relatively northeastern portion of the State of North Dakota, the City of Rugby is the county seat of Pierce County and is often billed as the “Geographic Center of North America” by numerous definitions. Though supposedly home to the Victorian Dress Museum, the most important attractions within the City include the Pierce County Fairgrounds and the seasonal Prairie Village Museum, with the entire region situated along the intersection of Routes 2 and 3.

    novatopflex.wordpress.com/2026

  28. Hype for the Future 79Y: City of Rugby, North Dakota

    Overview Located in the relatively northeastern portion of the State of North Dakota, the City of Rugby is the county seat of Pierce County and is often billed as the “Geographic Center of North America” by numerous definitions. Though supposedly home to the Victorian Dress Museum, the most important attractions within the City include the Pierce County Fairgrounds and the seasonal Prairie Village Museum, with the entire region situated along the intersection of Routes 2 and 3.

    novatopflex.wordpress.com/2026

  29. Hype for the Future 79Y: City of Rugby, North Dakota

    Overview Located in the relatively northeastern portion of the State of North Dakota, the City of Rugby is the county seat of Pierce County and is often billed as the “Geographic Center of North America” by numerous definitions. Though supposedly home to the Victorian Dress Museum, the most important attractions within the City include the Pierce County Fairgrounds and the seasonal Prairie Village Museum, with the entire region situated along the intersection of Routes 2 and 3.

    novatopflex.wordpress.com/2026

  30. Hype for the Future 79Y: City of Rugby, North Dakota

    Overview Located in the relatively northeastern portion of the State of North Dakota, the City of Rugby is the county seat of Pierce County and is often billed as the “Geographic Center of North America” by numerous definitions. Though supposedly home to the Victorian Dress Museum, the most important attractions within the City include the Pierce County Fairgrounds and the seasonal Prairie Village Museum, with the entire region situated along the intersection of Routes 2 and 3.

    novatopflex.wordpress.com/2026

  31. Hype for the Future 79Y: City of Rugby, North Dakota

    Overview Located in the relatively northeastern portion of the State of North Dakota, the City of Rugby is the county seat of Pierce County and is often billed as the “Geographic Center of North America” by numerous definitions. Though supposedly home to the Victorian Dress Museum, the most important attractions within the City include the Pierce County Fairgrounds and the seasonal Prairie Village Museum, with the entire region situated along the intersection of Routes 2 and 3.

    novatopflex.wordpress.com/2026

  32. "Pierce County Sheriff Keith Swank is no stranger to controversy."

    "But now, a leading police group in Washington is considering expelling him from its ranks over comments to state lawmakers."

    #PierceCounty #Washington #Sheriff
    mynorthwest.com/mynorthwest-po