#occams-razor — Public Fediverse posts
Live and recent posts from across the Fediverse tagged #occams-razor, aggregated by home.social.
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Finding it hard to believe marketing experts are so clueless, and #OccamsRazor suggests a less pleasant, and very likely, explanation.
IndyCar’s ‘One Nation, One Race’ controversy is no surprise amid its rightward drift
https://www.theguardian.com/sport/2026/may/14/indycar-shirt-trump-penske?CMP=Share_AndroidApp_Other -
Finding it hard to believe marketing experts are so clueless, and #OccamsRazor suggests a less pleasant, and very likely, explanation.
IndyCar’s ‘One Nation, One Race’ controversy is no surprise amid its rightward drift
https://www.theguardian.com/sport/2026/may/14/indycar-shirt-trump-penske?CMP=Share_AndroidApp_Other -
After learning that HeLa cells moved in the air inside supposedly clean laboratories, I'm seeing the reasonable & parsimonious theory about the movement in air of all small things to be "It's airborne". A change to "Not airborne" should require experimental data for that specific material.
“Plurality should not be posited without necessity".
"Airborne infection" is the usual behaviour & "infection by droplet only for this material" needs specific evidence.
#OccamsRazor -
After learning that HeLa cells moved in the air inside supposedly clean laboratories, I'm seeing the reasonable & parsimonious theory about the movement in air of all small things to be "It's airborne". A change to "Not airborne" should require experimental data for that specific material.
“Plurality should not be posited without necessity".
"Airborne infection" is the usual behaviour & "infection by droplet only for this material" needs specific evidence.
#OccamsRazor -
Occam’s Grooming Tools
I’ve come to the conclusion that conspiracy theorists bypass Occam’s razor in favour of Occam’s epilator!
#AucklandComedy #Comedy #NZComedy #OccamSRazor -
This print “Occam’s Razor” is about the Law of Economy or Parsimony postulated by Scholastic philosopher William of Ockham (1287–1347), “pluralitas non est ponenda sine necessitate” or entities should not be needlessly multiplied. More simply this law, or really, rule of thumb is that the simplest explanation is usually right. The print shows Ockham himself, inspired by an image of him from a stained glass window in Surrey, the 🧵
#linocut #printmaking #OccamsRazor #sciArt #histsci #mastoArt -
This print “Occam’s Razor” is about the Law of Economy or Parsimony postulated by Scholastic philosopher William of Ockham (1287–1347), “pluralitas non est ponenda sine necessitate” or entities should not be needlessly multiplied. More simply this law, or really, rule of thumb is that the simplest explanation is usually right. The print shows Ockham himself, inspired by an image of him from a stained glass window in Surrey, the 🧵
#linocut #printmaking #OccamsRazor #sciArt #histsci #mastoArt -
@VeroniqueB99
Even if staged, I seriously doubt they would have informed him ahead of time. He can't keep a secret, and they would have needed him to "act natural"But #OccamsRazor applies here. The simplest solution is likely true: a nervous/angry MAGA kid tried to shoot him & missed.
No need to turn it into another #KennedyAssassination.
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@VeroniqueB99
Even if staged, I seriously doubt they would have informed him ahead of time. He can't keep a secret, and they would have needed him to "act natural"But #OccamsRazor applies here. The simplest solution is likely true: a nervous/angry MAGA kid tried to shoot him & missed.
No need to turn it into another #KennedyAssassination.
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I take this war at face value as a confession that the Epstein files child rape & battery accusation is true. #OccamsRazor
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Es ist zwar denkbar, daß in Wirklichkeit Faschos oder #WladimirPutin dahinterstecken, aber gemäß sowohl #HanlonsRazor als auch #OccamsRazor tippe ich auf durchgeknallte "linke" Spinnerʔinnen, die leider wirklich an das hohle Zeug glauben, was sie schreiben. So oder so hilft es der extremen Rechten.
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The GOP is a fake political party of the severely mentally ill being leveraged for the benefit of conniving rich assholes.
No other conclusion fits so well with so few caveats.
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The GOP is a fake political party of the severely mentally ill being leveraged for the benefit of conniving rich assholes.
No other conclusion fits so well with so few caveats.
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Let us remember that #math can only prove that which has an underlying foundation (theory). Simply because it's complex doesn't make it right, quite the opposite: 2 = 1+1 = 1-0+1 = -1^2 - (1*1)+√4, etc... #KISS #OccamsRazor
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CW: uspol, da files
K. So mom countered my endless harping on The Files with "why didn't the democrats want them released", to which I said "probably the same reason Trump doesn't want them released."
That's it. This isn't just about "trump is in the files" this is "some of the billionaires that control both parties are in the files."
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Occam’s Razor: Why the Simplest Answer is Often the Best
https://wp.me/p84YjG-5Jd
#OccamsRazor #Simplicity #CriticalThinking #ProblemSolving #DecisionMaking #Philosophy #LifeSkills #ThinkingSkills #Mindset #Wisdom #zsoltzsemba -
It is wonderful to learn from the well respected and experienced #HarshMariwala #Chairman #Marico
5 #laws for founders
1. #ParkinsonsLaw : Time is elastic. Discipline is your edge.
2. #ChestertonsFence : Innovate, yes; but understand what you’re changing.
3. #LawofDiminishingReturns : Don’t brute-force growth. Calibrate it
4. #ParetoPrinciple : Not everything matters equally. Focus sharply.
5. #OccamsRazor : Simple scales. Simple sells. Simple succeeds.Source : #HarshMariwala #LinkedIn
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@sHackenthal Die naheliegendere Erklärung steht im Text. Warum in die Glaskugel schauen, wenn als Erklärung die Tatsache genügt, dass MDR-Land neuerdings komplett CDU-regiert ist?
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@sHackenthal Die naheliegendere Erklärung steht im Text. Warum in die Glaskugel schauen, wenn als Erklärung die Tatsache genügt, dass MDR-Land neuerdings komplett CDU-regiert ist?
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#OccamsRazor: They are #Jan6 creepy weirdos who were pardoned.
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#OccamsRazor: They are #Jan6 creepy weirdos who were pardoned.
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The #OccamsRazor position of Netanyahu, Likud, and Kahanist policy has always been #GazaDelendaEst.
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The #OccamsRazor position of Netanyahu, Likud, and Kahanist policy has always been #GazaDelendaEst.
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The thing is: If #AI actually worked, and I mean was able to do your job effectively, then you wouldn't see OpenAI, Micro$oft, Goggle etc trying to sell it.
They'd be *using it* themselves, and replacing entire industries, because your overhead (staff costs, office costs, HR, payroll, admin etc.) are my competitive advantage.
The fact that we DON'T see this happening is all the proof we need that #GenAI and #LLM don't work as sold.
#CriticalThinking #OccamsRazor -
The thing is: If #AI actually worked, and I mean was able to do your job effectively, then you wouldn't see OpenAI, Micro$oft, Goggle etc trying to sell it.
They'd be *using it* themselves, and replacing entire industries, because your overhead (staff costs, office costs, HR, payroll, admin etc.) are my competitive advantage.
The fact that we DON'T see this happening is all the proof we need that #GenAI and #LLM don't work as sold.
#CriticalThinking #OccamsRazor -
This print “Occam’s Razor” is about the Law of Economy or Parsimony postulated by Scholastic philosopher William of Ockham (1287–1347), “pluralitas non est ponenda sine necessitate” or entities should not be needlessly multiplied. More simply this law, or really, rule of thumb is that the simplest explanation is usually right. The print shows Ockham himself, inspired by an image of him from a 🧵 1/n
#linocut #printmaking #Ockham #OccamsRazor #typography #sciArt #philosophy #histsci #MastoArt -
This print “Occam’s Razor” is about the Law of Economy or Parsimony postulated by Scholastic philosopher William of Ockham (1287–1347), “pluralitas non est ponenda sine necessitate” or entities should not be needlessly multiplied. More simply this law, or really, rule of thumb is that the simplest explanation is usually right. The print shows Ockham himself, inspired by an image of him from a 🧵 1/n
#linocut #printmaking #Ockham #OccamsRazor #typography #sciArt #philosophy #histsci #MastoArt -
Cosmology Results from DESI
Yesterday evening (10pm Irish Time) saw the release of new results from the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI), completing a trio of major announcements of cosmological results in the space of two days (the Atacama Cosmology Telescope and the Euclid Q1 release being the others). I didn’t see the DESI press conference but you can read the press release here.
There were no fewer than eight DESI papers on the astro-ph section of the arXiv this morning. Here are the titles with links:
- DESI DR2 Results I: Baryon Acoustic Oscillations from the Lyman Alpha Forest
- DESI DR2 Results II: Measurements of Baryon Acoustic Oscillations and Cosmological Constraints;
- Construction of the Damped Lyα Absorber Catalog for DESI DR2 Lyα BAO;
- Validation of the DESI DR2 Lyα BAO analysis using synthetic datasets;
- Validation of the DESI DR2 Measurements of Baryon Acoustic Oscillations from Galaxies and Quasars;
- Extended Dark Energy analysis using DESI DR2 BAO measurements;
- Constraints on Neutrino Physics from DESI DR2 BAO and DR1 Full Shape;
- Data Release 1 of the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument.
You can see from the titles that the first seven of these relate to the second data release (DR2; three years of data) from DESI; the last one listed here is a description of the first data release (DR1), which is now publicly available.
Obviously there is a lot of information to digest in these papers so here are two members of the DESI collaboration talking with Shaun Hotchkiss on Cosmology Talks about the key messages from the analysis of Baryon Acoustic Oscillations (the BAO in the titles of the new papers):
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YiRaDtslycE
A lot has been made in the press coverage of these results about the evidence that the standard cosmological model is incomplete; see, e.g., here. Here are a few comments.
As I see it, taken on their own, the DESI BAO results are broadly consistent with the ΛCDM model as specified by the parameters determined by the Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB) inferred from Planck. Issues do emerge, however, when these results are combined with other data sets. The most intriguing of these arises with the dark energy contribution. The simplest interpretation of dark energy is that it is a cosmological constant (usually called Λ) which – as explained here – corresponds to a perfect fluid with an equation-of-state p=wρc2 with w=-1. In this case the effective mass density of the dark energy ρ remains constant as the universe expands. To parametrise departures from this constant behaviour, cosmologists have replaced this form with the form w(a)=w0+wa(1-a) where a(t) is the cosmic scale factor. A cosmological constant Λ would correspond to a point (w0=-1, wa=0) in the plane defined by these parameters, but the only requirement for dark energy to result in cosmic acceleration is that w<0 not that w=-1.
The DESI team allow (w0, wa) to act as free parameters and let the DESI data constrain them, either alone or in combinations with other data sets, finding evidence for departures from the “standard values”. Here’s an example plot:
The DESI data don’t include the standard point (at the intersection of the two dashed lines) but the discrepancy gets worse when other data (such as supernovae and CMB) are folded in, as in this picture. The weight of evidence suggests a dark energy contribution which is decreasing with time.
These results are certainly intriguing, and a lot of credit is due to the DESI collaboration for working so hard to identify and remove possible systematics in the analysis (see the papers above) but what do they tell us about ΛCDM?
My view is that we’ve never known what the dark energy actually is or why it is so large that it represents 70% of the overall energy density of the Universe. The Λ in ΛCDM is really just a place-holder, not there for any compelling physical reason but because it is the simplest way of accounting for the observations. In other words, it’s what it is because of Occam’s Razor and nothing more. As with any working hypothesis, the standard cosmological model will get updated whenever new information comes to light (as it is doing now) and/or if we get new physical insights into the origin of dark energy.
Do the latest observations cast doubt on the standard model? I’d say no. We’re seeing an evolutionary change from “We have no idea what the dark energy is but we think it might be a cosmological constant” to “We still have no idea what the dark energy is but we think it might not be a cosmological constant”.
#baryonAcousticOscillations #cosmologicalConstant #Cosmology #DarkEnergy #DarkEnergySpectroscopicInstrument #OccamSRazor #ShaunHotchkiss
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@Ally_SMMiller Or maybe because #Putin told him to?
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@Ally_SMMiller Or maybe because #Putin told him to?
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Is it out of line to apply #OccamsRazor to the present moment, in America? It could be. But if not, then...
The United States simply ought to have enshrined a process of ranked-choice voting in its Constitution. Ceteris paribus. That would have made its current political landscape much more unlikely.
Part of me believes this criticism of the US deserves priority over almost all other criticisms—even now.
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Is it out of line to apply #OccamsRazor to the present moment, in America? It could be. But if not, then...
The United States simply ought to have enshrined a process of ranked-choice voting in its Constitution. Ceteris paribus. That would have made its current political landscape much more unlikely.
Part of me believes this criticism of the US deserves priority over almost all other criticisms—even now.
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I've come to the conclusion that conspiracy theorists bypass Occam's razor in favour of Occam's #epilator!
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"It's hard to say that this is a rational policy pursued by a rational human being." - NPR on Trump tariffs
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We should all tattoo this quote to the inside of our eyeballs, it is the #OccamsRazor for…*gestures broadly*
“Conservatism consists of exactly one proposition, to wit: There must be in-groups whom the law protects but does not bind, alongside out-groups whom the law binds but does not protect”
- Frank Wilhoit
Slight tweak: conservatism is dead and has been replaced by neofeudal reactionaries.
This explains what happened, why things are the way they are, and how things will develop.
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New on my #blog: https://aspi.blog/2024/12/21/2500/
My 2,500th blog post, which features a #cricket story, a mention of a #science #book and lots of #photos
#T20 #BBL14 #HHvPS #Science #WilliamOfOccam #OccamsRazor #auctions #toys #photography #birds -
@CoolerPseudonym
We're not listening until you've got replicated, large number, double blind, random assignment experiments anyway.The financial cost, injury and mortality that could result from erroneously giving credence to "cats" far outweighs any cost from leaving "cats" as a topic on which further research could be done if funding were to become available.
We point also at the recent Cochrane Review on cats.
A simple application of #OccamsRazor is all that is needed here.
the dogs
