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#norstat — Public Fediverse posts

Live and recent posts from across the Fediverse tagged #norstat, aggregated by home.social.

  1. GB OPINION POLL ACCURACY

    Overall, the GB opinion polling average overestimated Labour, underestimated the Conservatives, were all over the place with Reform and missed the increase in votes for 'Other' parties/candidates.

    The most accurate, however, in order, were:

    1. Norstat UK Polls (#Norstat)
    2. Verian Group (#Verian)
    3. JL Partners Polls (#JLPartners)

    All of them were less than 2 points off the actual result for each party on average.

    #ukpol #ukpolitics #ge2024 #electionresults #polling

  2. SCOTLAND OPINION POLL

    Headline Holyrood regional list voting intention by #Norstat:

    🟡 * National Party: 29% (+1)
    🔴 * Scottish Labour: 22% (-6)
    🔵 * Conservatives: 14% (=)
    ⚪ Reform UK: 11% (+2)
    🟢 * Greens: 9% (+1)
    🟠 * Liberal Democrats: 9% (+2)
    🟤 Alba Party: 3% (-2)

    * Scottish

    Conducted 30 October - 1 November 2024. Changes with 20-22 August 2024.

    #ukpolitics #ukpol #scotpol #Scotland #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #ReformUK #SNP #GreenParty #ScottishGreens #AlbaParty

  3. SCOTLAND OPINION POLL

    Headline Holyrood list voting intention by #Norstat:

    🟡 * National Party: 28% (=)
    🔴 * Scottish Labour: 28% (-1)
    🔵 * Conservatives: 14% (-2)
    ⚪ Reform UK: 9% (+3)
    🟢 * Greens: 8% (=)
    🟠 * Liberal Democrats: 7% (=)
    🟤 Alba Party: 5% (+1)

    * Scottish

    Conducted 20-22 August 2024. Changes with 24-26 June 2024.

    #ukpolitics #ukpol #scotpol #Scotland #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #ReformUK #SNP #GreenParty #ScottishGreens #AlbaParty

  4. CW: SCOTLAND OPINION POLLING ANALYSIS

    Last week's #Norstat poll also included Holyrood voting intentions in addition to Westminster ones.

    There's an excellent writeup and analysis of the numbers here by BallotBoxScotland, including seat projections.

    ballotbox.scot/poll-analysis-n

    The key caveat to the poll is that the Conservative/Reform/Alba numbers seem implausibly high.

    #ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #ScottishGreens #GreenParty #SNP #ReformUK #AlbaParty #scotpol #GE2024

  5. CW: SCOTLAND OPINION POLL: NORSTAT

    Scottish Westminster voting intention. Poll by #Norstat:

    🔴 Labour: 34% (=)
    🟡 SNP: 30% (+1)
    🔵 Conservatives: 14% (-2)
    🟠 Liberal Democrats: 9% (+1)
    ⚪ Reform UK: 7% (+1)
    🟢 Scottish Greens: 4% (=)
    🟤 Alba: 2% (-1)

    Labour lead of 4 points.

    Conducted 11-14 June 2024. Changes with 30 April - 3 May 2024.

    #ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #ScottishGreens #GreenParty #SNP #ReformUK #AlbaParty #scotpol #GE2024

  6. OK - apparently #Norstat were formerly #Panelbase

    So, as you were. An actual polling organisation. Still weird not to have seen them before

  7. SCOTLAND OPINION POLL

    Holyrood constituency voting intention by #Norstat:

    🟡 * National Party: 33% (=)
    🔴 * Scottish Labour: 23% (-7)
    🔵 * Conservatives: 15% (+3)
    ⚪ Reform UK: 11% (+2)
    🟠 * Liberal Democrats: 10% (+2)
    🟢 * Greens: 6% (+1)

    * Scottish

    Conducted 30 October - 1 November 2024. Changes with 20-22 August 2024.

    #ukpolitics #ukpol #scotpol #Scotland #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #ReformUK #SNP #GreenParty #ScottishGreens

  8. SCOTLAND OPINION POLL

    Headline Westminster voting intention by #Norstat:

    🟡 SNP: 30% (+1)
    🔴 Labour: 23% (-9)
    🔵 Conservatives: 15% (+3)
    ⚪ Reform UK: 14% (+2)
    🟠 Liberal Democrats: 10% (+2)
    🟢 Greens: 6% (+1)

    SNP lead of 7 points.

    Conducted 30 October - 1 November 2024. Changes with 20-22 August 2024.

    #ukpolitics #ukpol #scotpol #Scotland #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #ReformUK #SNP #GreenParty #ScottishGreens

  9. SCOTLAND OPINION POLL

    Headline Holyrood constituency voting intention by #Norstat:

    🟡 * National Party: 33% (-2)
    🔴 * Scottish Labour: 30% (-2)
    🔵 * Conservatives: 12% (-2)
    ⚪ Reform UK: 9% (new)
    🟠 * Liberal Democrats: 8% (=)
    🟢 * Greens: 5% (=)

    * Scottish

    Conducted 20-22 August 2024. Changes with 24-26 June 2024.

    #ukpolitics #ukpol #scotpol #Scotland #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #ReformUK #SNP #GreenParty #ScottishGreens

  10. SCOTLAND OPINION POLL

    Headline Westminster voting intention by #Norstat:

    🔴 Labour: 32% (-3)
    🟡 SNP: 29% (-1)
    ⚪ Reform UK: 12% (+5)
    🔵 Conservatives: 12% (-1)
    🟠 Liberal Democrats: 8% (-2)
    🟢 Greens: 5% (+1)

    Conducted 20-22 August 2024. Changes with GE 2024.

    #ukpolitics #ukpol #scotpol #Scotland #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #ReformUK #SNP #GreenParty #ScottishGreens

  11. GB OPINION POLL

    Headline Westminster voting intention by #Norstat:

    🔴 Labour: 37% (-2)
    🔵 Conservatives: 24% (+1)
    ⚪ Reform UK: 16% (+1)
    🟠 Liberal Democrats: 11% (-1)
    🟢 Green Party: 6% (=)

    Labour lead of 13 points.

    Conducted 1-3 July 2024. Changes with 24-26 June 2024.

    #ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #ReformUK #GE2024

  12. SCOTLAND OPINION POLL

    Headline Westminster voting intention by #Norstat:

    🔴 Labour: 35% (+1)
    🟡 SNP: 31% (+1)
    🔵 Conservatives: 13% (-1)
    🟠 Liberal Democrats: 8% (-1)
    ⚪ Reform UK: 8% (+1)
    🟢 Greens: 3% (-1)

    Conducted 24-26 June 2024. Changes with 11-14 June 2024.

    #ukpolitics #ukpol #scotpol #Scotland #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #ReformUK #SNP #GreenParty #ScottishGreens #GE2024

  13. GB OPINION POLL

    Headline Westminster voting intention by #Norstat:

    🔴 Labour: 39% (-1)
    🔵 Conservatives: 23% (+4)
    ⚪ Reform UK: 15% (-4)
    🟠 Liberal Democrats: 12% (=)
    🟢 Green Party: 6% (+1)
    🟡 SNP: 4% (=)

    Labour lead of 16 points.

    Conducted 24-26 June 2024. Changes with 17-19 June 2024.

    #ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #ReformUK #SNP #GE2024

  14. GB OPINION POLL

    Headline Westminster voting intention by #Norstat:

    🔴 Labour: 40% (-1)
    🔵 Conservatives: 20% (-1)
    ⚪ Reform UK: 19% (+2)
    🟠 Liberal Democrats: 12% (+1)
    🟢 Green Party: 5% (-1)
    🟡 SNP: 3% (=)

    Labour lead of 20 points.

    Conducted 17-19 June 2024. Changes with 10-12 June 2024.

    #ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #ReformUK #SNP #GE2024

  15. CW: GB OPINION POLL - NORSTAT

    Headline Westminster voting intention by #Norstat:

    🔴 Labour: 41% (-4)
    🔵 Conservatives: 21% (-1)
    ⚪ Reform UK: 17% (+3)
    🟠 Liberal Democrats: 11% (+1)
    🟢 Green Party: 6% (+1)
    🟡 SNP: 3% (=)

    Labour lead of 20 points.

    Conducted 10-12 June 2024. Changes with 4-5 June 2024.

    So this was conducted this week, after D-Day but during the LD and Conservative manifesto launches.

    #ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #ReformUK #SNP #GE2024

  16. SCOTLAND OPINION POLL SEATS PROJECTION

    Ballot Box Scotland Holyrood seats projection from #Norstat poll:

    🔴 * Labour: 40 (+18)
    🟡 * National Party: 39 (-25)
    🔵 * Conservatives: 23 (-8)
    🟢 * Greens: 10 (+2)
    🟠 * Liberal Democrats: 10 (+6)
    ⚪ Reform UK: 7 (+7)

    * Scottish

    Changes with 2021 Holyrood election.

    Write-up: ballotbox.scot/norstat-may-202

    #ukpolitics #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #SNP #ReformUK #Scotland #scotpol

  17. SCOTLAND OPINION POLL

    Holyrood constituency voting intention. Poll by #Norstat:

    🟡 * National Party: 34% (-1)
    🔴 * Labour: 33% (+3)
    🔵 * Conservatives: 14% (-3)
    🟠 * Liberal Democrats: 9% (-1)
    🟢 * Greens: 5% (=)
    ⚫ Others: 5%

    * Scottish

    SNP lead of 1 point.

    Conducted 30 April-3 May 2024. Changes with 9-12 April 2024.

    #ukpolitics #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #SNP #ReformUK #Scotland #scotpol

  18. SCOTLAND OPINION POLL

    Holyrood regional voting intention. Poll by #Norstat:

    🔴 * Labour: 28% (+3)
    🟡 * National Party: 27% (-1)
    🔵 * Conservatives: 17% (-2)
    🟢 * Greens: 9% (=)
    🟠 * Liberal Democrats: 8% (-2)
    ⚪ Reform UK: 6% (+2)
    🟤 Alba Party: 4% (+1)

    * Scottish

    Scottish Labour lead of 1 point.

    Conducted 30 April-3 May 2024. Changes with 9-12 April 2024.

    #ukpolitics #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #SNP #ReformUK #Scotland #scotpol

  19. The Estonian Reform Party has seen an increase in voter support, according to the latest poll. Support for Reform now stands at 27.4%, followed by the Conservative People's Party of () with 23% and the Estonian Centre Party () with 15.6%.

    viabaltica.fi/estonia-support-

  20. Norstati reitingud: Reformierakond kaotas veel toetust | Eesti

    Ühiskonnauuringute Instituudi ja uuringufirma Norstat erakondade toetuse uuring näitab, et Reformierakonna populaarsus on nelja nädala keskmisena langenud 12,2…
    #Estonia #EE #Europe #Europa #EU #Eesti #eesti200 #ekre #erakondadetoetus #erakonnad #estonia #isamaa #keskerakond #koalitsioon #norstat #parempoolsed #reformierakond #sde #Uudised #valitsus
    europesays.com/2267976/