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#norstat — Public Fediverse posts

Live and recent posts from across the Fediverse tagged #norstat, aggregated by home.social.

  1. SCOTLAND OPINION POLL

    Headline Holyrood regional list voting intention by #Norstat:

    🟡 * National Party: 29% (+1)
    🔴 * Scottish Labour: 22% (-6)
    🔵 * Conservatives: 14% (=)
    ⚪ Reform UK: 11% (+2)
    🟢 * Greens: 9% (+1)
    🟠 * Liberal Democrats: 9% (+2)
    🟤 Alba Party: 3% (-2)

    * Scottish

    Conducted 30 October - 1 November 2024. Changes with 20-22 August 2024.

    #ukpolitics #ukpol #scotpol #Scotland #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #ReformUK #SNP #GreenParty #ScottishGreens #AlbaParty

  2. SCOTLAND OPINION POLL

    Headline Holyrood list voting intention by #Norstat:

    🟡 * National Party: 28% (=)
    🔴 * Scottish Labour: 28% (-1)
    🔵 * Conservatives: 14% (-2)
    ⚪ Reform UK: 9% (+3)
    🟢 * Greens: 8% (=)
    🟠 * Liberal Democrats: 7% (=)
    🟤 Alba Party: 5% (+1)

    * Scottish

    Conducted 20-22 August 2024. Changes with 24-26 June 2024.

    #ukpolitics #ukpol #scotpol #Scotland #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #ReformUK #SNP #GreenParty #ScottishGreens #AlbaParty

  3. GB OPINION POLL ACCURACY

    Overall, the GB opinion polling average overestimated Labour, underestimated the Conservatives, were all over the place with Reform and missed the increase in votes for 'Other' parties/candidates.

    The most accurate, however, in order, were:

    1. Norstat UK Polls (#Norstat)
    2. Verian Group (#Verian)
    3. JL Partners Polls (#JLPartners)

    All of them were less than 2 points off the actual result for each party on average.

    #ukpol #ukpolitics #ge2024 #electionresults #polling

  4. CW: SCOTLAND OPINION POLLING ANALYSIS

    Last week's #Norstat poll also included Holyrood voting intentions in addition to Westminster ones.

    There's an excellent writeup and analysis of the numbers here by BallotBoxScotland, including seat projections.

    ballotbox.scot/poll-analysis-n

    The key caveat to the poll is that the Conservative/Reform/Alba numbers seem implausibly high.

    #ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #ScottishGreens #GreenParty #SNP #ReformUK #AlbaParty #scotpol #GE2024

  5. CW: SCOTLAND OPINION POLL: NORSTAT

    Scottish Westminster voting intention. Poll by #Norstat:

    🔴 Labour: 34% (=)
    🟡 SNP: 30% (+1)
    🔵 Conservatives: 14% (-2)
    🟠 Liberal Democrats: 9% (+1)
    ⚪ Reform UK: 7% (+1)
    🟢 Scottish Greens: 4% (=)
    🟤 Alba: 2% (-1)

    Labour lead of 4 points.

    Conducted 11-14 June 2024. Changes with 30 April - 3 May 2024.

    #ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #ScottishGreens #GreenParty #SNP #ReformUK #AlbaParty #scotpol #GE2024