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#milintel — Public Fediverse posts

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  1. The extension does, however, buy time for the diplomatic faction by removing the deadline and preventing the hardliners from deploying any new "cards", without conceding any of the U.S. pressure instruments.

    Whether Vahidi permits the diplomatic faction to deliver a unified proposal is the question this extension was designed to answer.

    #OSINT #Iran #MilIntel
    3/3

  2. The Touska operates within the Islamic Republic of Iran Shipping Lines network, Iran's state-owned IRGC-controlled shipping company under U.S. sanctions since 2008 for weapons proliferation, and has carried its own Treasury designation since 2020.

    #OSINT #Iran #MilIntel
    3/3

  3. Released video shows the operation was staged from a Puller-class expeditionary mobile base, most likely USS Miguel Keith (ESB-5), which transited the Strait of Malacca on April 18. Two U.S. Marine Corps VBSS Teams are seen boarding two MH-60S Seahawk helicopters from which they later fast-roped onto the deck of the tanker.

    #OSINT #Iran #MilIntel
    2/2

  4. If they have them, or move to develop them, it will impose a materially different set of tactical and strategic conditions on those opposing the regime.

    Classic great-power negotiation theater with very real escalation risks underneath.

    #OSINT #Iran #MilIntel
    11/11

  5. The ceasefire expires Wednesday evening Washington time, which is Thursday morning in Islamabad. The window for a second round before the deadline is functionally closed.

    The hardline message Ghalibaf delivered on X is consistent with direction from Ahmad Vahidi, the de facto head of the IRGC and the only person running the country right now.

    The man who days ago told his advisors that IRGC-aligned extremists would destroy Iran is now delivering their message.

    #OSINT #Iran #MilIntel
    4/4

  6. It is Tuesday, April 21, in Pakistan. Neither delegation has departed, and the ceasefire expires at midnight on April 22.

    The warnings his own team gave him before the war began have materialized precisely as described. The decapitation of Iran's senior leadership did not produce a compliant successor.

    It produced Ahmad Vahidi.

    #OSINT #Iran #MilIntel #IRGC
    24/24

  7. Reuters citing a source familiar with the matter reported Monday that Vance has not yet departed.

    No independent flight tracking or on-ground confirmation has emerged. The delegation's status remains unconfirmed.

    Whether this was deliberate maximum pressure strategy or a failure to understand the internal Iranian dynamic is an open question.

    The ceasefire expires at midnight on April 22.

    #OSINT #Iran #MilIntel
    4/4

  8. If Vance walks out of the Serena Hotel with a signed framework covering uranium transfer, an end to enrichment, and termination of proxy support, it is one of the most consequential diplomatic achievements since the end of the Cold War and credit is due without qualification.

    And, a lot of crow will be eaten from inside the beltway to media pundits and beyond.

    The next 48-hours will tell.

    #OSINT #Iran #MilIntel
    6/6

  9. U.S. Marines have now boarded and taken control.

    Trump stated the Touska has been under U.S. Treasury sanctions for a history of illegal activities.

    #OSINT #Iran #MilIntel
    2/2

  10. Radio compliance at this scale indicates the blockade is achieving deterrent effect without kinetic escalation, at least in the tanker lane.

    Whether that pattern holds as economic pressure on Tehran compounds is a matter of time.

    #OSINT #MilIntel #Iran #Blockade
    2/2

  11. But Iran had already locked the language overnight, cited his exact words back at the administration, and declared three clauses violated before she reached the podium.

    Unfiltered Truth Social posts are not the place for high-stakes diplomacy and the consequences this time may not be reversible.

    #OSINT #MilIntel #OperationEpicFury #Iran #Pakistan
    11/11

  12. Any suggestion that American lives lost are a fair exchange is an insult to the families of the dead and the wounded.

    The United States has no obligation to trade American lives for Russians lost in a war of aggression initiated by their own state.

    #OSINT #MilIntel #Iran #OperationEpicFury
    10/10

  13. Israel coordinated air suppression to hold Iranian strikes away from the rescue corridor while the operation was underway

    At least one aircraft, possibly a C-130, became stuck and was destroyed on-site to prevent capture. No U.S. personnel were killed.

    This is the first time since 2003 that a U.S. warplane has been shot down over enemy territory.

    #OSINT #MilIntel #OperationEpicFury #F18
    3/3

  14. Both times, the effect preceded or accompanied ground operations that required degraded enemy command, communication, and logistics.

    The secondary benefit of the weapon is that it preserves infrastructure you intend to leave operational.

    #OSINT #MilIntel #Iran #OperationEpicFury
    1/2
    5/5

  15. The tanker, carrying sanctioned Arctic LNG from Murmansk, caught fire after explosions southeast of Malta.
    The vessel has been under U.S., EU, and UK sanctions since 2024.

    This possibly marks the fourth sanctioned Russian-linked vessel hit or sunk in the Mediterranean. The other three:

    • Cargo ship Ursa Major (December 2024, near Spain)
    • Shadow fleet tanker Vilamuora (30 June 2025, near Libya)
    • Shadow fleet tanker Qendil (December 2025, near Libya)

    #OSINT #MilIntel
    2/2

  16. Patriot interceptors are highest-end. The Biden framing is political insulation, pre-positioned ahead of what may become a public story. The math is not complicated.

    #OSINT #MilIntel
    2/2

  17. День воєнної розвідки України.
    Вітаю бойових побратимів - воїнів-розвідників, та усіх причетних з професійним святом!
    Про більшість успішних операцій розвідки не прийнято розповідати публічно. Воєнні розвідники не розкривають своїх облич, не називають імен. Вони часто ходять по лезу. Діють там, де багатьом не під силу. Чітко, виважено, послідовно та болісно для противника.
    Дякую за службу нашим розвідникам!
    Разом - до Перемоги!!
    Day of Military Intelligence of Ukraine! #MilIntel #Rens