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#jerkinprogress — Public Fediverse posts

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  1. #MonkeyBox #ClactonOnSea #Clacton #ClactonByElection

    🛠️ #JerkInProgress

    pollcheck.co.uk/by-elections/c

    (hand typed from screenshot)

    There is no recent poll of Farage's standing in Clacton itself.
    His personal favourability is tracked nationally, shown below -- a Britain wide figure, not a Clacton one.
    For the local context, he the seat in 2024 with 46.2% and the PollCheck seat model projects near 60% in Clacton now.

    Nigel Farage net favourability
    Britain wide, 7-poll rolling average -- National figure, not Clacton-specific.

    Source: PollCheck leadership approval tracker : updated as new polls are published.

    2024 General Election

    winner majority turnout electorate
    ReformUK 18.3% 58.7% 78,245

    Reform UK 46.2%

    Conservative 27.9%

    Labour 16.2%

    Liberal Democrat 04.4%

    Green 04.2%

    Other 01.1%

    Past results

    Election Winner Party Share Majority Turnout

    2024 General Election Nigel Farage Reform UK

    2019 General Election Giles Watling Conservative

    2017 General Election Giles Watling Conservative

    2015 General Election Douglas Carswell UKIP

    2014 by election Douglas Carswell UKIP

    2010 General Election Douglas Carswell Conservative

    General elections upto 2019 and the 2014 by-election were fought on Clacton's previous boundaries, the 2024 general e#ection used the revised 2024 boundaries.
    Sources: House of Commons Library results files (general elections); declared result as reported for the 2014 by-election.

  2. #MonkeyBox #ClactonOnSea #Clacton #ClactonByElection

    🛠️ #JerkInProgress

    pollcheck.co.uk/by-elections/c

    (hand typed from screenshot)

    There is no recent poll of Farage's standing in Clacton itself.
    His personal favourability is tracked nationally, shown below -- a Britain wide figure, not a Clacton one.
    For the local context, he the seat in 2024 with 46.2% and the PollCheck seat model projects near 60% in Clacton now.

    Nigel Farage net favourability
    Britain wide, 7-poll rolling average -- National figure, not Clacton-specific.

    Source: PollCheck leadership approval tracker : updated as new polls are published.

    2024 General Election

    winner majority turnout electorate
    ReformUK 18.3% 58.7% 78,245

    Reform UK 46.2%

    Conservative 27.9%

    Labour 16.2%

    Liberal Democrat 04.4%

    Green 04.2%

    Other 01.1%

    Past results

    Election Winner Party Share Majority Turnout

    2024 General Election Nigel Farage Reform UK

    2019 General Election Giles Watling Conservative

    2017 General Election Giles Watling Conservative

    2015 General Election Douglas Carswell UKIP

    2014 by election Douglas Carswell UKIP

    2010 General Election Douglas Carswell Conservative

    General elections upto 2019 and the 2014 by-election were fought on Clacton's previous boundaries, the 2024 general e#ection used the revised 2024 boundaries.
    Sources: House of Commons Library results files (general elections); declared result as reported for the 2014 by-election.