Giro histórico: Estados Unidos retira de jure a Siria de la lista de patrocinadores del terrorismo y Turquía celebra la medida. 🇦🇳 #AhmedAlSharaa #ankara #DeJure #DonaldTrump #economía #EstadosUnidos #HayatTahrirAlSham #hts #MarcoRubio #otan #SafwatRaslan #ScottBessent #siria #turquía https://soyarmenio.com/turquia-celebra-eeuu-retira-siria-lista-terrorismo/
#hayattahriralsham — Public Fediverse posts
Live and recent posts from across the Fediverse tagged #hayattahriralsham, aggregated by home.social.
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EE.UU. retira a Siria de la lista de países patrocinadores del terrorismo
https://fed.brid.gy/r/https://www.telesurtv.net/eeuu-retira-siria-lista-paises-terroristas/
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Explosões perto de hotel onde Macron está hospedado na Síria deixam feridos
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Syrian President’s German Visit Draws Concern over ‘Allahu Akbar’ Chants https://www.byteseu.com/1910074/ #AhmedAlSharaa #AllahuAkbar #BasharAlAssad #ChristianCommunity #ChristianPersecution #Easter #FriedrichMerz #Germany #HayatTahrirAlSham #islamist #Jihadist #KeirStarmer #OfficialVisit #persecution #Syria #Terrorist #UnitedKingdom
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https://www.europesays.com/iran/20178/ She lost 5 brothers to Syria’s war – Now she’s fighting for justice at the UN #Americas #BasharAlAssad #HayatTahrirAlSham(HTS) #MiddleEast #rebels #Syria
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https://www.europesays.com/de/804118/ Syrien-Rückkehrer: „Ich will zurück nach Deutschland“ #Ahmed #AktuelleNachrichten #AktuelleNachrichtenAusDeutschland #AktuelleNews #AktuelleNewsAusDeutschland #AlScharaa #DE #Deutschland #Germany #HayatTahrirAlSham(HTS) #Headlines #Idlib #Islamismus(ks) #Migration(ks) #Nachrichten #NachrichtenAusDeutschland #News #NewsAusDeutschland #Rückführung(ks) #Schlagzeilen #Syrien #SyrienKonflikt
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https://www.europesays.com/2602791/ Why Xinjiang casts a long shadow over China and Syria’s efforts to build better relations #AhmedAlSharaa #AlQaeda #AnasKhattab #AsaadAlShaibani #BasharAlAssad #BeltAndRoadInitiative #China #Conflicts #EastTurkestanIslamicMovement(ETIM) #HayatTahrirAlSham #IslamistMilitants #Russia #Syria #TurkestanIslamicMovement #UnitedNationsSecurityCouncil #UnitedStates #Uygurs #xinjiang
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Why Xinjiang casts a long shadow over China and Syria’s efforts to build better relations https://www.byteseu.com/1585974/ #AhmedAlSharaa #AlQaeda #AnasKhattab #AsaadAlShaibani #BasharAlAssad #BeltAndRoadInitiative #China #Conflicts #EastTurkestanIslamicMovement(ETIM) #HayatTahrirAlSham #IslamistMilitants #Russia #Syria #TurkestanIslamicMovement #UnitedNationsSecurityCouncil #UnitedStates #Uygurs #Xinjiang
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Syria’s President Meets Trump at White House for First Time
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Syria’s President Meets Trump at White House for First Time
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Trump rehabilita en la escena internacional al presidente sirio y exyihadista Ahmed al Shara
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What would Syria joining the US-led coalition mean for the fight against IS? https://www.byteseu.com/1528641/ #AhmadAlSharaa #Conflicts #counterterrorism #DonaldTrump #HayatTahrirAlSham #HTS #InternationalCoalition #is #IslamicState #SDF #Syria #SyrianDemocraticForces
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https://www.europesays.com/2558628/ Ex-jihadist Syrian president due at White House for landmark talks #AhmedAlSharaa #Conflicts #HayatTahrirAlSham #IslamicState #MilitaryBaseNearDamascus #RebuildingSyria #Syria #TerrorismBlacklist #USPresidentDonaldTrump
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Syria announces new troop training prog. in Turkey https://www.byteseu.com/?p=1498107 #AhmedAlSharaa #HayatTahrirAlSham #HTS #Syria #SyriaAndTurkey #SyrianArmy #Turkey
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https://www.europesays.com/?p=2522736 Syria FM Shaibani accuses Israel of ‘expansionist projects’ #AhmedAlSharaa #BasharAssad #China #Conflicts #Damascus #Druze #HayatTahrirAlSham #Israel #Kurds #Lebanon #Russia #sanctions #SergeiLavrov #Sweida #Syria #SyrianDemocraticForces #VladimirPutin
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What’s The Future Of Russia’s Bases In Syria?
What’s The Future Of Russia’s Bases In Syria?
Lavrov suggested that they could facilitate the dispatch of aid to Africa, but it’s also possible that they might host complex military-diplomatic talks between all stakeholders in Syria while also helping its armed forces maintain national unity by re-equipping, training, and advising them too.
Russian-Syrian relations are interesting for many observers due to the realpolitik that’s come to define them since Assad’s downfall last December. Ahmed “Jolani” Sharaa’s Al Qaeda-descended Hayat Tahrir al-Sham was designated as terrorists by Russia prior to their Turkish-backed seizure of power, and they accordingly hated Russia for bombing them, yet both swiftly put that aside. The fact of that matter is that their respective state interests require continued cooperation regardless of whoever’s in power in Syria.
Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov hinted at the future of his country’s bases there in an interview that aired last week ahead of Sharaa’s trip to Moscow on Wednesday to meet with Putin. While their summit was certainly important, Lavrov’s remarks shed more light on this subject than the opening statements from their talks (there was no press conference afterwards), which is why his words form the basis of this analysis. Here’s exactly what he said, which will then be analysed:
“The function must be reconfigured. One clear task that could benefit the Syrians, their neighbours, and many other countries is establishing a humanitarian hub, utilising the port and airport to deliver humanitarian supplies from Russia and the Persian Gulf states to Africa. There is a shared understanding that this will be in demand, and we are prepared to coordinate the details. The matter has, in principle, been discussed, and there is mutual interest.”
This is a unique proposal that would allow these facilities to become logistical hubs for supplying Russian, Arab, and possibly others’ aid to Africa. Russia’s continued dispatch of donated foodstuffs, mostly wheat, as well as discounted energy and fertilizer helped avert a chain reaction of tragedies over the past 3,5 years that could have exploded due to the West’s unilateral sanctions. There might be more to the future of Russia’s bases in Syria than just that, however, judging by what else Lavrov said:
“We understand Israel’s legitimate security concerns (in Syria)…Yet, the interests of other actors must also be safeguarded. In the northeast, there are the Kurds, whom the Biden administration began courting, actively encouraging separatist sentiments. Our Turkish counterparts maintain a presence in the north, along their border with Syria. Meanwhile, Alawites and Christians continue to face persecution – recently exemplified by a barbaric attack on a church.”
He then added that all those with influence in Syria must prioritize its unity and declared that “We are prepared to collaborate on these matters with other nations pursuing their interests in the Syrian Arab Republic.” Accordingly, it can be intuited that Russia’s military facilities could hypothetically host security talks between these conflicting parties, while its armed forces and diplomats could also provide advisory services to their Syrian counterparts to advance their shared goal of maintaining national unity.
Therefore, while the official reason for retaining Russia’s bases in Syria might be to facilitate aid to Africa and possibly host complex military-diplomatic talks, the real purpose might be to re-equip, train, and advise its army, albeit within the unofficial limits imposed by Israel and agreed to by Syria in that event. This vision was first shared in early February here and thus presciently predicted what’s thus far come to pass. These plans could still be offset, but for the time being, they arguably appear to be on track.
Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are author’s own and do not necessarily reflect the editorial policy of Voice of East.
#Africa #AlQaeda #Geopolitics #HayatTahrirAlSham #HTS #Russia #Syria
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https://www.europesays.com/2459718/ How Syria’s Ismaili community keeps a fragile peace #AgaKhan #Conflicts #GeneralSecurityService #Governance #Hama #HayatTahrirAlSham #inclusion #IsmailiCouncil #Ismailis #minorities #Salamiya #Syria #volunteers
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How Syria’s Ismaili community keeps a fragile peace https://www.byteseu.com/1413558/ #AgaKhan #Conflicts #GeneralSecurityService #Governance #Hama #HayatTahrirAlSham #inclusion #IsmailiCouncil #Ismailis #minorities #Salamiya #Syria #volunteers
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The Many Faces of Syria’s President, Ahmed al-Shara
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The Many Faces of Syria’s President, Ahmed al-Shara
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The Story of Millions of Syrian Refugees and Why They Can Never Return Home https://www.byteseu.com/1333432/ #AbuJolani #AhmedAlSharaa #ArabSpring #AssimilationAbroad #BasharAlAssad #bedouin #CantonizationOfSyria #Conflicts #DisplacementCrisis #Druze #EconomicCollapse #HayatTahrirAlSham #HTS #Israel #Latakia #RefugeeLegalStatus #RegionalPowerDynamics. #SectarianViolence #Suwayda #Syria #SyrianRefugees #Turkey #USAidWithdrawal
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Post-Assad Syria’s search for its place in an evolving international order https://www.byteseu.com/1291967/ #ArabSpring #BasharAlAssad #Conflicts #HayatTahrirAlSham #RegionalImplications #Syria
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Is “Balkanization” Back In The Cards For Syria?
Is “Balkanization” Back In The Cards For Syria?
The situation remains very combustible and could easily explode at the slightest spark.
Russia and the US rarely agree on much, but their top diplomats just sounded the alarm about Syria, which should convince objective observers that there’s credence to their warnings. Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said that “The situation in the Middle East is particularly troubling, especially in Syria, where groups of radical militants commit real acts of ethnic cleansing and mass executions on ethnic and religious grounds.” This was a reference to March’s Kristallnacht-like killings of Syria’s Alawite minority.
As for Secretary of State Marco Rubio, he said that “It is our assessment that, frankly, the transitional authority, given the challenges they’re facing, are maybe weeks — not many months — away from potential collapse and a full-scale civil war of epic proportions, basically the country splitting up.” He was likely alluding not only to the mass killings of Syria’s Alawites, but recent tensions with the Druze minority and potential problems in implementing spring’s national reintegration deal with the Kurds.
Prior to these top diplomats’ warnings, there was some cautious optimism about Syria’s future after Russia was able to retain its bases there for the time being, Trump met Jolani/Sharaa, and the US and then the EU lifted sanctions on Syria. Nevertheless, the aforesaid three positive developments were still overshadowed by the abovementioned problems, which pair with the Israeli-Turkish rivalry in Syria to create a very combustible situation.
To make matters worse, Russia’s Khmeimim airbase was recently attacked by what Russian milblog Rybar claimed were Uzbek militants, who might have gone rogue for whatever reason but Rybar suspects that they actually intended to send a plausibly deniable hostile message from the new authorities. Whatever their true motivation might be, it shows how volatile the situation remains in Syria, which could prompt all relevant foreign stakeholders into seriously considering their contingency plans there.
These are Russia, the US, Turkiye, Israel, and even the Iranian-led “Resistance Axis” to a degree, and the interplay between them could decisively shape Syria’s future. Apart from the previously described Israeli-Turkish rivalry, Israel was reportedly lobbying the US to keep Russia’s bases in Syria earlier this year, while another report claimed that Israel is engaged in secret Emirati-mediated talks with Syria. There are also recent reports about the Trump-Bibi rift, which might be irreconcilable, to consider too.
Another influential variable could be the nascent Russian–US “New Détente”, which might see them coordinate their activities in Syria, just like Turkiye and the US might do the same after Trump congratulated Erdogan for last December’s regime change. Observers also shouldn’t rule out that the “Resistance Axis” might have some “sleeper cells” across Syria waiting for the right time to “awake”. The chaotic interplay between these relevant foreign stakeholders could easily “Balkanize” Syria.
Syria might therefore be in for some tough times ahead due to these factors. To recap, the new authorities’ persecution of minorities might push some of them into taking up arms, after which they could be patronized by the identified foreign stakeholders. Some of these external players might then exploit these partners as proxies for dividing-and-ruling Syria. If another full-scale war ensues, then the region will once again be destabilized, and another tidal wave of refugees might crash into Europe.
Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are author’s own and do not necessarily reflect the editorial policy of Voice of East.
7 Courses in 1 – Diploma in Business Management
#Geopolitics #HayatTahrirAlSham #Israel #MiddleEast #Russia #Syria #Turkey #Turkiye #USA
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Kurds ponder future in Turkey, Syria and Iraq with guarded optimism https://www.byteseu.com/871126/ #AbdullahOcalan #AKP #Conflicts #damascus #Ekremİmamoğlu #Erdoğan #HayatTahrirAlSham #Iran #Iraq #KurdishAutonomy #KurdistanWorkers’Party #SDF #Syria #Turkey #YPG
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Kommentar zu Syrien - Es ist gut, dass wir mit Islamisten verhandeln
Den Versprechen der syrischen Übergangsregierung ist nicht zu trauen. Dennoch ist es gut, mit ihr zusammenzuarbeiten, um dem syrischen Volk zu helfen.#HayatTahriralSham #SYRIEN #Islamisten #SDF #KRIEG
Syrien: Es ist gut, dass wir mit Islamisten verhandeln -
Der syrische Übergangspräsident Ahmed al-Sharaa bildet Ausschüsse zur Untersuchung der "Ereignisse an der syrischen Küste". Beobachter sprechen von Massakern an Zivilisten und sogar von ethnischer Säuberung der Alawiten.#Syrien #Alawiten #HayatTahriral-Sham #Ahmedal-Sharaa
Syriens Interimspräsident Ahmed al-Sharaa will Gewalt an der syrischen Küste untersuchen lassen -
Bei zweitägigen Gefechten zwischen syrischen Sicherheitskräften und Anhängern des gestürzten Präsidenten Baschar al-Assad wurden mehr als 1.000 Menschen getötet.#Syrien #Basharal-Assad #Alawiten #HayatTahriral-Sham
Gefechte in Syrien: Mehr als 1.000 Tote -
Trump Envoy Pushes Lebanon’s New Leaders to Isolate Hezbollah
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Who Is Syria’s New Interim President? https://www.byteseu.com/699170/ #Ahmed(AbuMohammadAlJolani)(1982) #AlShara #AppointmentsAndExecutiveChanges #Conflicts #HayatTahrirAlSham #InternationalRelations #PoliticsAndGovernment #Syria
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CW: SYpol
It is a good thing to dike out pro-Assad propaganda, but maybe don't replace it with Islamist progaganda?
https://www.newarab.com/news/syrias-new-curriculum-sparks-nationwide-outcry
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The evolution of Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (Hts) in Syria https://www.liberoreporter.it/2024/12/eng-news/the-evolution-of-hayat-tahrir-al-sham-hts-in-syria.html?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=mastodon #Syria #HayatTahriralSham #HTS #Idlib #jihadism
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L’evoluzione di Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (Hts) in Siria https://www.liberoreporter.it/2024/12/primo-piano/levoluzione-di-hayat-tahrir-al-sham-hts-in-siria.html?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=mastodon #Siria #HayatTahriralSham #HTS #governanza #strategiamilitare
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Bashar Assad confided in almost no one about his plans to flee Syria as his reign collapsed, with aides, officials and even relatives deceived or kept in the dark until it was too late. https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2024/12/15/world/assad-final-hours-syria/?utm_medium=Social&utm_source=mastodon #worldnews #basharassad #syria #russia #hayattahriralsham
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The United States said it had made contact with Syria's victorious Hayat Tahrir al-Sham rebels, as Western and Arab states along with Turkey jointly voiced support for a united, peaceful Syria. https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2024/12/15/world/us-syria-rebels-contact/?utm_medium=Social&utm_source=mastodon #worldnews #us #turkey #syria #middleeast #russia #hayattahriralsham #antonyblinken #basharalassad
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⬆️ @homohortus
[Verbatim translation of above]: #Turkey has played a key role in the #HayatTahriralSham #HTS offensive against the #Assad regime. Although Ankara denies any direct involvement, many agree that the operation would not have happened without its tacit support. Turkish intelligence services have even reportedly been monitoring the terrain and sharing information. This dynamic raises questions about #Ankara's influence in the region. #Geopolitics #Syria #Turkey
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Without swift action, Syria risks descending into instability, echoing the chaos that followed regime collapses in Libya and Iraq. https://www.japantimes.co.jp/editorials/2024/12/13/syria-has-a-chance-to-be-free/?utm_medium=Social&utm_source=mastodon #editorials #basharassad #syria #iran #russia #hayattahriralsham #hts #alqaida
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Post-Assad Syria: the future of governance in the hands of Hayat Tahrir al-Sham https://www.liberoreporter.it/2024/12/eng-news/post-assad-syria-the-future-of-governance-in-the-hands-of-hayat-tahrir-al-sham.html?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=mastodon #Syria #Governance #HayatTahriralSham #BasharAlAssad #RebelCoalition
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Abu Mohammed al-Golani, the leader of a one-time al-Qaida affiliate that led the successful rebel offensive against Syrian ex-President Bashar Assad, has sought to project a moderate image so far, but there is distrust in the air. https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2024/12/12/world/politics/post-assad-militant-leadership-unknown/?utm_medium=Social&utm_source=mastodon #worldnews #politics #syria #basharassad #syriancivilwar #middleeast #abumohammedalgolani #hayattahriralsham
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Como a queda de Bashar al-Assad impacta cristãos na Síria? https://ntgospel.com/noticias/fe/como-a-queda-de-bashar-al-assad-impacta-cristaos-na-siria #BasharAlAssad #CristãosNaSíria #GrupoTerrorista #HayatTahrirAlSham #HTS #news #noticias #Brasil #gospel
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What the new Syria will look like: between promises of stability and international challenges https://www.liberoreporter.it/2024/12/eng-news/what-the-new-syria-will-look-like-between-promises-of-stability-and-international-challenges.html?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=mastodon #Syria #PoliticalTransition #Stability #InternationalRelations #HayatTahrirAlSham
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La nuova Siria: tra promesse di stabilità e sfide internazionali https://www.liberoreporter.it/2024/12/primo-piano/la-nuova-siria-tra-promesse-di-stabilita-e-sfide-internazionali.html?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=mastodon #Siria #Stabilità #PoliticaInternazionale #HayatTahrirAlSham #Ricostruzione
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⬆️ @foufoutos
In this world, there are no permanent enemies and no permanent allies.
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Al-Jawlani celebrates the fall of the Assad regime in the Umayyad Mosque https://www.liberoreporter.it/2024/12/eng-news/al-jawlani-celebrates-the-fall-of-the-assad-regime-in-the-umayyad-mosque.html?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=mastodon #Syria #AlJawlani #AssadFall #ISIS #HayatTahrirAlSham
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¿Podría subir el precio del petróleo en Chile tras el derrocamiento de Bashar al Assad en Siria? | vía #FastCheckCL
#actualidad #basharalassad #chile #hayattahriralsham #internacional #petróleo #siria
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Il nostro sogno di una Siria libera da Assad è tornato con l’avanzata dei ribelli di Aleppo – di Leila al-Shami
L’articolo è stato pubblicato originariamente il 2 dicembre su «The New Arab», lo ripubblico qui sopra col consenso dell’autrice e traduzione mia (i link che trovate nel testo sono quelli dell’articolo originale). Gli eventi si sono svolti molto rapidamente e alcune cose possono già apparire datate (i ribelli di Aleppo sono già arrivati a Homs a questo punto), ma credo che sia ancora interessante e molto importante da leggere, se non altro per capire il sentimento delle siriane e dei siriani di fronte a quello che sta accadendo in questi giorni, alla possibile cacciata di Assad da parte di un gruppo islamista, un sentimento che a orecchi occidentali distratti o troppo impegnati ad ascoltare le sirene delle teorie cospirative o geopolitiche può apparire strano, ma che strano non è affatto.
Otto anni dopo che Aleppo è stata sottoposta a un brutale assedio per fame, bombardata dal regime di Assad, dalle bombe russe e iraniane e migliaia di abitanti sono stati massacrati o sfollati con la forza, la bandiera della Siria Libera sventola sulla cittadella.
L’avanzata dei ribelli e il conseguente sgretolamento delle forze del regime hanno colto tutti di sorpresa, cambiando rapidamente la mappa del potere nel nord della Siria, che era rimasta in gran parte congelata dopo gli accordi di condivisione del potere del 2020 tra Russia, Turchia e Iran.
In pochi giorni Aleppo e la provincia di Idlib sono passate sotto il controllo dei gruppi ribelli dominati da Hayat Tahrir Al-Sham (HTS).
Nel frattempo, l’Esercito nazionale siriano, sostenuto dalla Turchia, ha lanciato un’offensiva a Tel Rifaat e dintorni, territorio sotto il controllo delle Forze democratiche siriane a guida curda e sostenute dagli Stati Uniti.
Sono stati segnalati scontri tra le fazioni dell’opposizione e il regime nella provincia meridionale di Daraa, mentre a Suwayda, dominata dai drusi, si sono tenute manifestazioni popolari a sostegno dei siriani del nord.
I siriani all’interno del Paese e all’estero sono stati colti di sorpresa. Molti hanno festeggiato, trattenendo il fiato, senza osare sperare che questo potesse segnare la fine del regime.
Per anni Assad ha violentato, torturato, affamato, bombardato e gassato la popolazione fino a sottometterla. È stato mantenuto al potere grazie al sostegno e alle bombe straniere. Ma oggi la Russia è impantanata in Ucraina e le infrastrutture militari iraniane in Siria (compreso il suo proxy Hezbollah) sono state decimate dagli attacchi israeliani.
Negli ultimi giorni, Assad, isolato e senza dubbio in preda al panico, ha chiesto freneticamente sostegno ai suoi alleati del Golfo.
Al contrario, i ribelli, approfittando di questo momento di debolezza, sembrano più forti e uniti che mai, utilizzando nuovi armamenti per droni e catturando depositi di armi dalle forze del regime in ritirata che hanno opposto poca resistenza.
La vendetta di Assad: quando, non se
La rapida liberazione del territorio ha dato a milioni di siriani la speranza di poter presto tornare a casa, e alcuni lo stanno già facendo. I siriani si sono emozionati nel vedere circolare i video dei prigionieri, tra cui molte donne, liberati dalle carceri del regime. Oltre 100.000 rimangono nei gulag di Assad o sono scomparsi.
Ma i siriani hanno anche paura. Temono le rappresaglie del regime contro i civili. Per rappresaglia, il regime e la Russia stanno bombardando ospedali e campi per sfollati ad Aleppo e Idlib.
I medici di un ospedale di Aleppo hanno lanciato un appello per ottenere sostegno, non essendo in grado di gestire l’afflusso di feriti.
Si dice che le milizie sciite sostenute dall’Iran stiano entrando nel Paese dall’Iraq per sostenere le forze di Assad.
I siriani temono anche ciò che potrebbe accadere in seguito. Non esiste più un’opposizione democratica organizzata all’interno del Paese – Assad si è assicurato che fosse così. Le milizie che stanno recuperando il territorio sono diverse nella loro composizione, ma includono gruppi autoritari, estremisti e in alcuni casi sostenuti dall’estero. Non rappresentano le aspirazioni rivoluzionarie dei siriani.
I ribelli che sono avanzati da Idlib si sono riuniti sotto Hayat Tahrir Al-Sham (HTS).
L’HTS è una milizia islamista autoritaria, dominante nel nord della Siria. Ha le sue radici in Al Qaeda, ma negli ultimi anni si è notevolmente moderata ed è un’organizzazione nazionalista siriana, non jihadista straniera. È l’amministrazione locale de facto di Idlib che gestisce istituzioni, servizi e assistenza umanitaria attraverso il Governo di Salvezza Siriano. Ci sono state continue e diffuse proteste popolari contro la milizia e il suo leader Mohammed al-Johani, contro i loro abusi e il loro governo autoritario.
Coloro che impugnano le armi non rappresentano le aspirazioni della maggioranza. Tuttavia, i sostenitori del regime calunniano ripetutamente tutti gli oppositori di Assad come «terroristi», utilizzando narrazioni «copia e incolla» della Guerra al Terrore, islamofobiche e sioniste per disumanizzarli, ridurre le loro diverse lotte alle loro componenti più autoritarie e legittimare la violenza del regime contro di loro.
Le minoranze in particolare sono timorose, nonostante i tentativi dell’alleanza di rassicurarle attraverso dichiarazioni che assicurano la protezione delle minoranze e invocano l’unità di tutti i siriani. L’HTS ha persino istituito una linea telefonica diretta per i cittadini di Aleppo e Idlib, affinché possano denunciare eventuali abusi o incidenti di sicurezza.
Finora le minoranze religiose non hanno subito violenze e i cristiani di Aleppo e i leader religiosi, come il vescovo Ephrem Maalouli, hanno dichiarato di essere al sicuro e che le preghiere continuano a svolgersi nelle chiese.
I curdi siriani, intanto, temono l’avanzata delle forze sostenute dalla Turchia e le minacce alla loro autonomia faticosamente conquistata, soprattutto alla luce delle preoccupazioni per il previsto ritiro americano che li lascerebbe vulnerabili e isolati. Sono già circolati video inquietanti che mostrano abusi contro le forze guidate dai curdi.
I gruppi sostenuti dalla Turchia sono impopolari tra i siriani in generale a causa della corruzione, degli abusi e delle continue lotte intestine. Lo Stato turco, un tempo considerato un alleato della rivoluzione, è ora visto con disprezzo a causa dei suoi sforzi di normalizzazione con Assad e dell’ondata di attacchi xenofobi contro i rifugiati siriani in Turchia.
Ancora una volta le narrazioni dominanti della «sinistra» cercano di negare ai siriani qualsiasi potere e di vedere tutti gli eventi attraverso una lente geopolitica immutabile. Circolano teorie cospirative su macchinazioni straniere dietro i recenti eventi. Ma gli Stati stranieri non sono interessati al rovesciamento del regime, né tanto meno all’autodeterminazione siriana.
Gli Stati Uniti, nonostante la loro retorica anti-regime, hanno fornito solo un sostegno parziale ai ribelli, sufficiente a spingere Assad al tavolo dei negoziati ma non a cambiare i rapporti di forza. L’intervento militare statunitense si è concentrato sulla sconfitta dell’ISIS, non del regime.
Israele ha un utile partner in un regime che, nonostante la sua retorica anti-israeliana, ha sempre usato le sue armi solo per schiacciare l’opposizione interna (e in molti casi la resistenza palestinese) piuttosto che per liberare il territorio siriano dall’occupazione israeliana.
Gli interessi della Turchia si concentrano sulla repressione dell’autonomia curda e sul rimpatrio dei rifugiati.
Indubbiamente, tutti questi Stati si affanneranno per influenzare il corso degli eventi, assicurandosi che i loro interessi siano protetti e che qualsiasi risultato vada a loro favore.
I siriani non si fanno illusioni: qualsiasi cosa accada dopo Assad sarà un disastro. L’intera regione è in fiamme. Ma per milioni di siriani non c’è niente di peggio di questo regime fascista genocida che ha ucciso centinaia di migliaia di persone, ha distrutto completamente il Paese, lo ha consegnato a potenze straniere, ha devastato l’economia, ha fatto fuggire metà della popolazione dalle proprie case e ora gestisce il Paese come un cartello della droga che esporta l’anfetamina Captagon.
Se il regime dovesse cadere, milioni di siriani potranno tornare a casa, consentendo la ripresa dell’attivismo civile. Se Assad cade c’è la possibilità di sperare, e la speranza è sempre stata scarsa tra i siriani.
Leila Al-Shami è coautrice di Burning Country: Syrians in Revolution and War e co-fondatrice del collettivo mediatico «From the Periphery».
