Live and recent posts from across the Fediverse tagged #gulfofmexico, aggregated by home.social.
TD1 now Trop Depression Nine, slatted to become up to Cat1-2 hurricane by late Thursday. Likely landfall, so far, between Ms and Al.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT4+shtml/070254.shtml?
#Weather #TD9 #GulfOfMexico #Caribbean #Louisiana #Mississippi #Alabama #Florida #NHC #NOAA
Ah joy, just in time to go camping this weekend near central Illinois...
https://m.ai6yr.org/@BakerRL75/117395990141163171
#TropicalOutlook #SevereWeather #GulfofMexico
From meteorologist Matt DiNardo WRIC on FB: Tropical Depression #9 forms.... At 4:40pm Tuesday, the tropical disturbance that we were watching is now Tropical Depression #9. This could become Tropical Storm Isaias in the next 24 hours and then possibly hurricane Isaias by Thursday.
wwric.com/weather #8News #RVA #VAWX
@DismalManorGang @AE4WX @firefly @ai6yr @uccawx
#TropicalOutlook #SevereWeather #GulfofMexico
From North Carolina’s Weather Authority on FB: Invest 92L soon to be Isaias has become better defined this afternoon, and should become a Tropical Depression or Storm soon. I’m starting to see signs of low-level circulation, which suggests it’s on its way to becoming a Tropical Storm or Depression over the Bay of Campeche in the southern Gulf. The National Hurricane Center now gives it a 100% chance of development.
I’ll have more thoughts later; enjoy the gorgeous weather here in NC.
#TropicalOutlook #SevereWesther #GulfofMexico
From North Carolina’s Weather Authority on FB: 🌀 Tropical Update: Well, even though it is October, if you’ve been around long enough, tropical storms/ hurricanes can still develop! All eyes are on the Southwestern Gulf, where Showers and thunderstorms are showing signs of organization in association with a broad area of low pressure this morning. The National Hurricane Center has raised the odds of development to 90%; the system is already looking better today. I think it will develop into at least a Tropical Storm over the next 48-72 hours, and I can’t rule out a Hurricane before landfall along the Gulf Coast at this point. The next name is Isaias.
1. The system is facing some obstacles; the faster it develops and moves northeastward, the stronger it’ll get. Why? Well, it’ll have warm oceans to work with and a break in wind shear. Which should allow it to develop quickly. A slower system will feel more impacts from wind shear.
2. It is still too early to determine specific impacts to the northern Gulf Coast, but interests from the Florida Panhandle to Louisiana should closely monitor the progress of this system.
3. I’m monitoring the progress of this system closely too; it could bring leftover impacts to parts of the Southeast, including NC Sunday into Monday. However, details are unclear, and nothing is set in stone. We will watch to see if rain works in and, being on the east/right side of the storm somethings severe weather develops. I’ll have more thoughts later today! Nothing to panic about right now; just keep an eye out. We all know things change!
👀 The Bottom Line: It is likely to become a Tropical Storm/Depression over the next 48 hours, and turn northeastward into the middle of the Gulf. Impacts are possible along the Gulf Coast from Louisiana to Florida late week into the weekend. Hurricane Hunters will begin heading into the system later today. It is too soon to know whether it'll bring any real impacts to North Carolina, but there's potential for at least some direct/indirect impacts, including rain, Sunday into Monday. Stay tuned; I'll be providing regular updates until further notice.
#TropicalOutlook #SevereWeather #GulfOfMexico
From Chief Meteorologist Jamie Arnold WMBF on FB: TUESDAY AM TROPICAL UPDATE - Chances of development are now at a 90% with this area of low pressure over the southwestern Gulf. Continued development is expected, and a tropical depression is anticipated to form later today or by tomorrow.
Hurricane Hunters will begin investigating this system later today.
While no direct impacts are expected in our area, an increase in tropical moisture and rain chances are likely as the system moves into the Deep South this weekend.
#TropicalOutlook #SevereWeather #GulfOfMexico
From North Carolina’s Weather Authority on FB: Good morning!! If you know me anytime there’s even a remote chance of something tropical impacting or near by, it is time to lock in. So it’s an early-morning hand analyzing the model data and atmospheric conditions in the Gulf and downstream from it. After this past weekend's model and forecasting failure, I’m not taking any chances. Invest 92L, located in the southern Gulf, has an 80% chance of becoming a tropical system over the next 48 hours. The next name on the list is Isaias 🫠. Interest along the Gulf Coast states should monitor the progress of this system closely.
North Carolina could see the remnants, along with a front, late this weekend that could bring at least rain chances, but nothing is set in stone. I’ll have more thoughts later today; you know I’ll keep you updated.
-Ethan
#TropicalOutlook #SevereWeather #GulfofMexico
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Mon Oct 5 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
1. Southwestern Gulf of America (AL92):
A trough of low pressure over the southwestern Gulf of America is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Although environmental conditions appear to be only marginally conducive, gradual development is becoming more likely, and a tropical
depression is expected to form during the middle portion of the week. This system is expected to drift east-northeastward over the next couple of days, before it turns northward. It is too early to determine the specific impacts to the northern Gulf Coast, but interests there should closely monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.
Forecaster Pasch
#PublicRadio Station Forced to Call #GulfOfMexico the #GulfOfAmerica
The #UniversityOfAlabama at #Birmingham is rolling over to #Trump and his acolytes in the state, rather than stand up for editorial independence.
Seth Stern, Clayton Weimers
October 2 2026
"The Alabama legislature passed a bill in late March requiring all state and local entities to refer to the Gulf of Mexico as the 'Gulf of America,' in line with one of the many executive orders Trump signed on his first day in office. The legislation does not set forth penalties for noncompliance, but its sponsor, state Rep. David Standridge, called it 'an opportunity to make a patriotic statement' on the House floor in January. Alabama Gov. Kay Ivey, a Trump ally, signed the bill into law.
"Birmingham public radio station WBHM told its listeners in a letter from Will Dahlberg, the station’s executive director and general manager, that due to the law, which took effect October 1, the University of Alabama at Birmingham is forcing it to use the legislature’s preferred language in its reporting. The move puts it at odds with #NPR, of which it is a member station; The #AssociatedPress, which publishes the style guide used by newsrooms across the country; and other journalistic institutions. The station is licensed to the university, making its employees both state and #UAB employees. Still, #WBHM ’s Journalism Code of Integrity emphasizes the newsroom’s independence and states that the university 'should not — and cannot — expect to exert influence on WBHM’s journalists and its independent editorial process.'
"Dahlberg wrote that not implementing the new language 'may result in disciplinary action or termination of employees and affect WBHM’s relationship and support from UAB.' But nothing in the law requires the university to discipline or fire anyone. In other words, the university took a toothless stunt of a law, gave it teeth, and used them to take a bite out of #PressFreedom."
Read more:
https://theintercept.com/2026/10/02/gulf-america-university-alabama-birmingham-wbhm/
Archived version:
https://archive.ph/Mw0Ls
#SilencingDissent #PressFreedom #FirstAmendment #CollegeRadio #PublicRadio #USPo #CharacteristicsOfFascism
Uh oh
TD1 is organizing better and faster than what I'd like to see. TD1 is moving N,expected to shift NNE within 24-48hrs and inshallah doesn't come to pass, but the stream of winds would strengthen shift it further to ENE.
There is no advisory, yet, for TD1, but keep an eye on it.
#TropicalOutlook #SevereWeather #GulfOfMexico
From North Carolina’s Weather Authority on FB: Tropical Update: All eyes will be on the Gulf this week. We are monitoring a developing low-pressure system in the Southwestern Gulf over the Bay of Campeche that has a growing potential to become a Tropical Depression or Storm over the next 5-7 days. This morning, the National Hurricane Center raised the odds of development to 70%. Environmental condtions are complex over the Gulf over the next few days and will not be a slam dunk, as considerable uncertainty remains.
A cold front over the Gulf Coast will enhance wind shear, which would favor a weaker system. However, this setup also favors shortwave troughs over that area at times, which would allow for lower wind shear, and the system could quickly get its act together over very warm Gulf waters. Models are all over the place, shocker; some get it's act together quickly and develop it into a Tropical Storm or even Hurricane by late week into the weekend before bringing it into parts of the Gulf Coast Saturday. Others are much weaker and manader it around in the Gulf with high wind shear (which tropical systems don't like).
The Bottom Line: There is significant uncertainty about the final outcome of this system, but folks interested along the Gulf Coast should monitor its progress over the coming days. Here in NC, some models try to bring leftover moisture/ cirlcation north Sunday into Monday. So we will keep an eye on it to see if we get a surge of moisture. There is no reason to stress about it, but the forecast for the weekend after Saturday will remain complex here and along the Gulf until we get a better handle on this system. Stay tuned!
-Ethan
@ai6yr @uccawx @AE4WX @DismalManorGang
#TropicalOutlook #SevereWeather #GulfOfMexico
Note: Here we go folks…
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Oct 5 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
1. Southwestern Gulf of America:
A trough of low pressure in the southwestern Gulf of America is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Although environmental conditions appear to be marginally conducive, gradual
development is becoming more likely, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the middle or latter portion of the week. This system is expected to drift eastward over the next few days, before
it turns northward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.
Forecaster Kelly
#TropicalOutlook #SevereWeather #GulfOfMexico
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Mon Oct 5 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
1. Southwestern Gulf of America:
A surface trough of low pressure has developed along the coast of
Mexico in the southwestern Gulf of America. Although environmental conditions are expected to be only marginally conducive, gradual development of this system is possible and a tropical depression
could form by the second half of this week while it initially drifts eastward before turning northward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.
Forecaster Papin