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#geomagneticstorm — Public Fediverse posts

Live and recent posts from across the Fediverse tagged #geomagneticstorm, aggregated by home.social.

  1. In case anybody needs something else to worry over...

    "Space weather poses an important but under-quantified threat to society. While severe geomagnetic storms are recognized as potential global catastrophes, their socio-economic impacts remain poorly quantified. We present a novel physics-engineering-economic framework that links geophysical drivers to power grid geoelectric fields, transformer vulnerability, and macroeconomic consequences. Using the United States as an example, we estimate daily economic losses for a 250-year geomagnetic storm from transformer thermal heating of 1.81 billion USD (95 percent confidence interval: 1.65 to 1.96 billion USD), disrupting power for approximately 5.1 million people and 135,000 businesses. These estimates are conservative lower bounds, reflecting only transformer thermal heating effects and excluding voltage collapse, cascading failures, and restoration costs. The true societal risk could be substantially higher. Nonetheless, this contribution provides the first nationwide end-to-end coupling from space physics to potential macroeconomic loss, with quantified uncertainties. Our results demonstrate that coupled socio-economic modeling of space weather is feasible and essential, and the framework is scalable and transferable, offering a template for assessing space weather risk to critical infrastructure in other countries."

    #SpaceWeather
    #GeomagneticStorm
    #GridFailure

    agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.co

  2. How Space Weather Could Bust The AI Boom
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    spacenews.com/how-space-weathe <-- shared technical article
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    futurism.com/artificial-intell <-- shared technical article, “AI Data Centers Pushing Electric Grid Into Meltdown”
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    doi.org/10.1146/annurev-earth- <-- shared 2026 paper, “Magnetic Storms and Geoelectric Hazards”
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    #AI #datcenters #infrastructure #impacts #solarstorms #spaceweather #risk #hazards #overloading #electricity #energy #powersupply #energygrid #vulnerable #transmission #energy #demand #consumers #geoelectrical #geomagnetism #blackout #damage #cost #economics #equipment #transformers #carringtonevent #NERC #grid #reliability #electricaldemand #utilities #magneticstorm #electromagneticinduction #extremeevent #historicalevent #hazardanalysis #spaceweather #history #Carrington #geoelectric #humanimpacts #risk #hazard #monitoring #network #geology #geomagnetism #impedance #rock #soil #utilities #electricaltransmission #powerlines #magnetotelluric #sensor #blackout #brownout #energy #geoelectrichazard #geoelectric #GIS #spatial #mapping #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #model #modeling #geomagnetism #geomagneticstorm #telecommunication #electronics #hardened #geography #mitigation #preparedness #geomorphology #geomorphometry #surfacegeology #cost #economics #disaster #impacts #technology #InternetOfThings #internet #USA #review #CONUS #numericalmodeling #realtimemonitoring #AIBoom #Bust
    @North American Electric Reliability Corporation (NERC)

  3. On The Uncertain Intensity Estimate Of The 1859 Carrington Storm
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    doi.org/10.1051/swsc/2024015 <-- shared paper
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    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carringt <-- background on the Carrington Event
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    ["The big one", if it happened today we would be right royally %^#$& (excuse my pretend language 😉 ), we are nowhere close to being hardened, etc; my other ½ is a space weather scientist, until I knew her I was not fully aware of all the risks and hazards associated with space weather]
    #GIS #spatial #mapping #Magneticstorm #spaceweather #historicalevent #statisticalanalysis #spatialanalysis #geostatistics #model #modeling #geomagneticstorm #geomagnetism #solar #sun #risk #hazard #infrastructure #CME #coronalmassejection #solarflare #blackouts #humanimpacts #electricpowergrid #CarringtonEvent #numericmodel #aurora #usgs #space #geophysics #naturalhazards #extremeevents