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  1. Anatomy of the Post-Pandemic Monetary Tightening Cycle
    Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco - June 24, 2024

    “A significant amount of policy tightening occurred during weeks without explicit monetary policy news, as markets responded to macroeconomic news, likely in anticipation of subsequent FOMC policy reactions to the new data.”

    frbsf.org/research-and-insight

    #Economy #FederalReserve #FRBSF

  2. Anatomy of the Post-Pandemic Monetary Tightening Cycle
    Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco - June 24, 2024

    “A significant amount of policy tightening occurred during weeks without explicit monetary policy news, as markets responded to macroeconomic news, likely in anticipation of subsequent FOMC policy reactions to the new data.”

    frbsf.org/research-and-insight

    #Economy #FederalReserve #FRBSF

  3. Anatomy of the Post-Pandemic Monetary Tightening Cycle
    Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco - June 24, 2024

    “A significant amount of policy tightening occurred during weeks without explicit monetary policy news, as markets responded to macroeconomic news, likely in anticipation of subsequent FOMC policy reactions to the new data.”

    frbsf.org/research-and-insight

    #Economy #FederalReserve #FRBSF

  4. "The jobless unemployment rate is a reliable predictor of recessions, almost always showing a turning point shortly before recessions but not at other times. Its success in predicting recessions is on par with the better-known slope of the yield curve but at a shorter horizon. Hence, it performs better for predicting recessions in the near term."

    frbsf.org/economic-research/pu

    #Economy #Recession #Unemployment #FederalReserve #FRBSF

  5. "The jobless unemployment rate is a reliable predictor of recessions, almost always showing a turning point shortly before recessions but not at other times. Its success in predicting recessions is on par with the better-known slope of the yield curve but at a shorter horizon. Hence, it performs better for predicting recessions in the near term."

    frbsf.org/economic-research/pu

    #Economy #Recession #Unemployment #FederalReserve #FRBSF