home.social

#forcing — Public Fediverse posts

Live and recent posts from across the Fediverse tagged #forcing, aggregated by home.social.

fetched live
  1. Hydroclimate Volatility On A Warming Earth
    --
    doi.org/10.1038/s43017-024-006 <-- shared 2025 paper
    --
    newsroom.ucla.edu/releases/flo <-- shared UCLA article, “Floods, Droughts, Then Fires: Hydroclimate Whiplash Is Speeding Up Globally “
    --
    H/T @Daniel Swain
    “Hydroclimate volatility refers to sudden, large and/or frequent transitions between very dry and very wet conditions. In this Review, we examine how hydroclimate volatility is anticipated to evolve with anthropogenic warming. Using a metric of ‘hydroclimate whiplash’ based on the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index, global-averaged subseasonal (3-month) and interannual (12-month) whiplash have increased by 31–66% and 8–31%, respectively, since the mid-twentieth century. Further increases are anticipated with ongoing warming, including subseasonal increases of 113% and interannual increases of 52% over land areas with 3 °C of warming; these changes are largest at high latitudes and from northern Africa eastward into South Asia. Extensive evidence links these increases primarily to thermodynamics, namely the rising water-vapour-holding capacity and potential evaporative demand of the atmosphere. Increases in hydroclimate volatility will amplify hazards associated with rapid swings between wet and dry states (including flash floods, wildfires, landslides and disease outbreaks), and could accelerate a water management shift towards co-management of drought and flood risks. A clearer understanding of plausible future trajectories of hydroclimate volatility requires expanded focus on the response of atmospheric circulation to regional and global forcings, as well as land–ocean–atmosphere feedbacks, using large ensemble climate model simulations, storm-resolving high-resolution models and emerging machine learning methods…
    #water #hydrology #hydroclimate #whiplash #global #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #weatherwhiplash #ecogeomorphology #sustainability #ecology# ###
    #water #hydrology #hydroclimate #volatility #dry #wet #drought #flood #flooding #wildfire #landslide #massmovement #whiplash #global #spatialanalysis #spatiotemporal #weatherwhiplash #ecogeomorphology #sustainability #ecology #hydrogeomorphology #climatechange #extremeweather #anthropogenicwarming #climate #weather #connection #StandardizedPrecipitationEvapotranspiration #precipitation #rainfall #research #evapotranspiration #risk #hazard #riskassessment #disease #pandemic #publichealth #publicsafety #waterquality #watersecurity #watermanagement #hydrography #atmospheric #regional #global #forcing #climatemodel #model #modeling #AI #machinelearning

  2. Hydroclimate Volatility On A Warming Earth
    --
    doi.org/10.1038/s43017-024-006 <-- shared 2025 paper
    --
    newsroom.ucla.edu/releases/flo <-- shared UCLA article, “Floods, Droughts, Then Fires: Hydroclimate Whiplash Is Speeding Up Globally “
    --
    H/T @Daniel Swain
    “Hydroclimate volatility refers to sudden, large and/or frequent transitions between very dry and very wet conditions. In this Review, we examine how hydroclimate volatility is anticipated to evolve with anthropogenic warming. Using a metric of ‘hydroclimate whiplash’ based on the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index, global-averaged subseasonal (3-month) and interannual (12-month) whiplash have increased by 31–66% and 8–31%, respectively, since the mid-twentieth century. Further increases are anticipated with ongoing warming, including subseasonal increases of 113% and interannual increases of 52% over land areas with 3 °C of warming; these changes are largest at high latitudes and from northern Africa eastward into South Asia. Extensive evidence links these increases primarily to thermodynamics, namely the rising water-vapour-holding capacity and potential evaporative demand of the atmosphere. Increases in hydroclimate volatility will amplify hazards associated with rapid swings between wet and dry states (including flash floods, wildfires, landslides and disease outbreaks), and could accelerate a water management shift towards co-management of drought and flood risks. A clearer understanding of plausible future trajectories of hydroclimate volatility requires expanded focus on the response of atmospheric circulation to regional and global forcings, as well as land–ocean–atmosphere feedbacks, using large ensemble climate model simulations, storm-resolving high-resolution models and emerging machine learning methods…
    # ###

  3. Space debris is forcing satellites to dodge more often — costing us vital science. 'Things will get worse before they get better'
    atlas.whatip.xyz/post.php?slug
    <p>Satellites forced to avoid space debris appear to have lost some of their data due to the movement
    #satellites #forcing #costing #debris

  4. Latvian Prime Minister Evika Silina has announced her resignation following several incidents involving Ukrainian drones. The primary background to this develop... news.osna.fm/?p=45967 | #news #collapse #drone #forcing #government

  5. Latvian Prime Minister Evika Silina has announced her resignation following several incidents involving Ukrainian drones. The primary background to this develop... news.osna.fm/?p=45967 | #news #collapse #drone #forcing #government

  6. Paul Beckwith, a climate science educator, goes through James Hansen's recent warnings about a coming "Super El Niño".

    This video (24:48) assumes a small amount of background in math and science, enough to read time/temperature graphs, but is generally quite accessible in its explanations. He walks through a lot of good stuff like how the El Niño / La Niña cycle works, what some of the "forcings" are that are driving some of these things, why things like aerosols matter, what different models show, what the consensus predictions have been and why Hansen's predicting something substantively stronger.

    It's a pretty worrisome set of things, but Hansen has been an important voice in the climate conversation, and I think Beckwith's presentation is pretty level—trying to just walk through the information dispassionately in a way that can help you understand the science part.

    youtube.com/watch?v=tP3VQk3mIgQ

    Note: Notwithstanding the use of em dash, this post was written by a human.

    #climate #ElNiño #ElNino #SuperElNiño #SuperElNino #ClimateModels #ClimateModeling #warming #heat #GlobalWarming #aerosol #aerosols #OceanWarming #ClimateSensitivity #ClimateScience #science #co2 #IPCC #forcing #Greenhouse #JamesHansen #PaulBeckwith #video #YouTube

  7. Paul Beckwith, a climate science educator, goes through James Hansen's recent warnings about a coming "Super El Niño".

    This video (24:48) assumes a small amount of background in math and science, enough to read time/temperature graphs, but is generally quite accessible in its explanations. He walks through a lot of good stuff like how the El Niño / La Niña cycle works, what some of the "forcings" are that are driving some of these things, why things like aerosols matter, what different models show, what the consensus predictions have been and why Hansen's predicting something substantively stronger.

    It's a pretty worrisome set of things, but Hansen has been an important voice in the climate conversation, and I think Beckwith's presentation is pretty level—trying to just walk through the information dispassionately in a way that can help you understand the science part.

    youtube.com/watch?v=tP3VQk3mIgQ

    Note: Notwithstanding the use of em dash, this post was written by a human.

    #climate #ElNiño #ElNino #SuperElNiño #SuperElNino #ClimateModels #ClimateModeling #warming #heat #GlobalWarming #aerosol #aerosols #OceanWarming #ClimateSensitivity #ClimateScience #science #co2 #IPCC #forcing #Greenhouse #JamesHansen #PaulBeckwith #video #YouTube

  8. Forcing banks to collect citizenship data will hurt law-abiding Americans

    misryoum.com/us/opinion/forcin

    JPMorgan Chase under investigation for 'debanking' Lara Trump, host of 'My View,' discusses the alleged 'debanking' scandal involving JPMorgan Chase, detailing how conservative individuals and organizations, including her family, were targeted due to political views. NEWYou can now listen...

    #Forcing #US_Opinion #MISRYOUM

  9. Walmart and other big companies say tariffs are forcing them to hike prices

    misryoum.com/us/moneywatch/wal

    Some of the biggest U.S. companies say they are passing tariff-related costs on to consumers, with Walmart this week attributing a jump in prices for certain goods sold by the retailer to higher import duties. In a fourth-quarter earnings call...

    #Walmart #and #other #big #companies #say #tariffs #are #forcing #them #hike #prices #US_News_Hub #misryoum_com

  10. btw #forcing #religion onto #kids is #Grooming. If you don't think your kid is old enough to #choose their #gender then they are sure as hell not old enough to choose their religion. Making a kid go to Ch*rch is just as bad as making them #Vegan and I stand by that.

  11. btw #forcing #religion onto #kids is #Grooming. If you don't think your kid is old enough to #choose their #gender then they are sure as hell not old enough to choose their religion. Making a kid go to Ch*rch is just as bad as making them #Vegan and I stand by that.

  12. Rejoice, car j'ai réussi à prendre deux photos de blep de Michka (ce chaton est une machine à blep).
    J'en profite également pour vous dévoiler un nouveau segment de mes posts sur les chats, les conseils lectures appairés aux chatons, ou si on veut les conseils chatons appairés aux lectures.
    Je sais que le classique de la littérature russe "Le Maître et Marguerite" n'est pas exactement une lecture légère de l'été, mais en tout cas, avec sa profusion de chats et chatons noirs, elle ira très bien avec Michka, nommé d'après l'auteur de cet incroyable roman.
    Si vous aussi vous aimez Boulgakov, vous aimerez sans doute Michka 👀

    #forcing

    #roimiraclechats

  13. Rejoice, car j'ai réussi à prendre deux photos de blep de Michka (ce chaton est une machine à blep).
    J'en profite également pour vous dévoiler un nouveau segment de mes posts sur les chats, les conseils lectures appairés aux chatons, ou si on veut les conseils chatons appairés aux lectures.
    Je sais que le classique de la littérature russe "Le Maître et Marguerite" n'est pas exactement une lecture légère de l'été, mais en tout cas, avec sa profusion de chats et chatons noirs, elle ira très bien avec Michka, nommé d'après l'auteur de cet incroyable roman.
    Si vous aussi vous aimez Boulgakov, vous aimerez sans doute Michka 👀

    #forcing

    #roimiraclechats

  14. #SpringBlossoms #BloomScrolling #Forsythia #Forcing #Clutter

    Yeah, so there's no good angle for this arrangement, our house is cluttered!

    The dehydrator and bags of gluten free flour are part of us making dog treats to benefit our Hands Helping Paws Project.

  15. #SpringBlossoms #BloomScrolling #Forsythia #Forcing #Clutter

    Yeah, so there's no good angle for this arrangement, our house is cluttered!

    The dehydrator and bags of gluten free flour are part of us making dog treats to benefit our Hands Helping Paws Project.

  16. #Shaarli: Le forcing de l'IA | Limites numériques - Un article qui présente les méthodes utilisées dans les logiciels pour pousser à utiliser l'IA.
    Car il faut rentabiliser le coût prohibitif de ces services.

    Merdification de l'informatique over 9000. : limitesnumeriques.fr/travaux-p #intelligence #artificielle #forcing #utilisation

  17. #Shaarli: Le forcing de l'IA | Limites numériques - Un article qui présente les méthodes utilisées dans les logiciels pour pousser à utiliser l'IA.
    Car il faut rentabiliser le coût prohibitif de ces services.

    Merdification de l'informatique over 9000. : limitesnumeriques.fr/travaux-p #intelligence #artificielle #forcing #utilisation

  18. You know what is awesome about #Mastodon...?

    #IT #AutomaticallyCounts the #Number of #Days #Since: An #InstanceAdministrator #Performs a #ShadowBan, #Lies to its #Members and then seeks to #CoverUp their #Breach by #Forcing a #PrivateDiscussion...

    Also, it #AutomaticallyCounts the #Number of #Days it takes for the #InstanceAdministrator to #Apologise... #Automatically...!

    And, #QuoteToots...

    🧙⚔️🤖🐺🤖⚔️🧙 | ☕️🍪🍫🦄🍫🍪☕

  19. It kind of sucks that we do not stagger #work #schedules to ease rush hours. Would be nice if we are going to be #forcing people who do not have to be #commuting so that #traffic can suck slightly less.

    Like If my day started 45min later a lot of #traffic would just be gone.

  20. It kind of sucks that we do not stagger #work #schedules to ease rush hours. Would be nice if we are going to be #forcing people who do not have to be #commuting so that #traffic can suck slightly less.

    Like If my day started 45min later a lot of #traffic would just be gone.

  21. Maui Cops Turned Cars Back Into Fire!

    youtube.com/watch?v=odbCHem2mC

    As more and more #stories — not to mention #videos — emerge from the devastating #Maui wildfires, the public is gaining ever more reason for anger at the #official #response. Most recently footage has come out showing #police officers restricting motorists from #fleeing the #burn zone and #forcing #cars #back. No official #explanation has been released to explain what seems like an inexplicable #policy.

  22. RealClimate: What is happening in the Atlantic Ocean to the AMOC?

    Timing of the critical #AMOC #transition is still highly uncertain, but increasingly the evidence points to the risk being far greater than 10 % during this century – even rather worrying for the next few decades.

    The conservative #IPCC estimate, based on climate models which are #too #stable and don’t get the full #freshwater #forcing, is in my view outdated now.

    I side with the recent Climate Tipping Points report by the #OECD, which advised:

    Yet, the current scientific evidence unequivocally supports unprecedented, urgent and ambitious climate action to tackle the risks of climate system tipping points.

    If you'd like to know more about this topic, you can either watch my short talk from the Exeter Tipping Points conference last autumn (where also Peter Ditlevsen first presented the study which was just published), or the longer video of my EPA Climate Lecture in Dublin Mansion House last April
    realclimate.org/index.php/arch

  23. RealClimate: What is happening in the Atlantic Ocean to the AMOC?

    Timing of the critical #AMOC #transition is still highly uncertain, but increasingly the evidence points to the risk being far greater than 10 % during this century – even rather worrying for the next few decades.

    The conservative #IPCC estimate, based on climate models which are #too #stable and don’t get the full #freshwater #forcing, is in my view outdated now.

    I side with the recent Climate Tipping Points report by the #OECD, which advised:

    Yet, the current scientific evidence unequivocally supports unprecedented, urgent and ambitious climate action to tackle the risks of climate system tipping points.

    If you'd like to know more about this topic, you can either watch my short talk from the Exeter Tipping Points conference last autumn (where also Peter Ditlevsen first presented the study which was just published), or the longer video of my EPA Climate Lecture in Dublin Mansion House last April
    realclimate.org/index.php/arch